{smcl}
{com}{sf}{ul off}{txt}{.-}
      name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}C:\Users\Kerry\Documents\Alchemy\Publications\210914 - termrally\Publication\Replication files\Replication run log.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}opened on:  {res}14 Sep 2021, 17:54:25

{com}. do "C:\Users\Kerry\AppData\Local\Temp\STD6cfc_000000.tmp"
{txt}
{com}. use full_sample, clear
{txt}
{com}. tsset presidentid_crisis yearmonth
{res}{txt}{col 8}panel variable:  {res}presidentid_crisis (unbalanced)
{txt}{col 9}time variable:  {res}{col 25}yearmonth, 195304 to 201602, but with gaps
{txt}{col 17}delta:  {res}1 unit
{txt}
{com}. 
. global president = "_Ipresident_*"
{txt}
{com}. global c "miseryt1 ICB_dura ICB_viol strivalry coldwar nytimes_cum $president"
{txt}
{com}. drop if start_and_terminate==1
{txt}(13 observations deleted)

{com}. 
. ***Baseline Models (Table 2, all columns in order from left to right)***
. ivreg2 approve terminate, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}20{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    49{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     257
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   217{txt}{col 55}F(  1,    48) = {res}    9.89
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0028
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 49953.40064{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.0347
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 748857.0885{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.9356
{txt}Residual SS             = {res}  48219.6747{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}    13.7

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}     approve{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 3}terminate {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 6.895101{col 26}{space 2} 2.165293{col 37}{space 1}    3.18{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} 2.651205{col 67}{space 3}   11.139
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 50.96805{col 26}{space 2} 2.842567{col 37}{space 1}   17.93{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 45.39672{col 67}{space 3} 56.53938
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
Included instruments:{col 23}terminate
{hline 78}

{com}. ivreg2 approve terminate $c firstyear elecyear term2, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}19{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    48{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     253
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   213{txt}{col 55}F( 20,    47) = {res}  281.67
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 49844.50046{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.7453
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 740000.7433{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.9828
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 12694.99025{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   7.084

{txt}{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}       approve{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}terminate {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 2.961386{col 28}{space 2} 1.154492{col 39}{space 1}    2.57{col 48}{space 3}0.010{col 56}{space 4} .6986227{col 69}{space 3} 5.224149
{txt}{space 6}miseryt1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-2.529689{col 28}{space 2}  .445863{col 39}{space 1}   -5.67{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-3.403564{col 69}{space 3}-1.655813
{txt}{space 6}ICB_dura {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.7986593{col 28}{space 2} .1562711{col 39}{space 1}   -5.11{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-1.104945{col 69}{space 3}-.4923735
{txt}{space 6}ICB_viol {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 2.200779{col 28}{space 2} 1.401569{col 39}{space 1}    1.57{col 48}{space 3}0.116{col 56}{space 4} -.546245{col 69}{space 3} 4.947803
{txt}{space 5}strivalry {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 2.911325{col 28}{space 2} 2.069874{col 39}{space 1}    1.41{col 48}{space 3}0.160{col 56}{space 4}-1.145555{col 69}{space 3} 6.968204
{txt}{space 7}coldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-18.01283{col 28}{space 2} 7.214958{col 39}{space 1}   -2.50{col 48}{space 3}0.013{col 56}{space 4}-32.15388{col 69}{space 3}-3.871769
{txt}{space 3}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .4284361{col 28}{space 2} .3715275{col 39}{space 1}    1.15{col 48}{space 3}0.249{col 56}{space 4}-.2997444{col 69}{space 3} 1.156617
{txt}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}        0{col 28}{txt}  (omitted)
_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 22.63412{col 28}{space 2} 8.526007{col 39}{space 1}    2.65{col 48}{space 3}0.008{col 56}{space 4} 5.923455{col 69}{space 3} 39.34479
{txt}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 28.61337{col 28}{space 2} 7.506971{col 39}{space 1}    3.81{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 13.89998{col 69}{space 3} 43.32677
{txt}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 13.06546{col 28}{space 2} 9.051026{col 39}{space 1}    1.44{col 48}{space 3}0.149{col 56}{space 4}-4.674228{col 69}{space 3} 30.80514
{txt}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}  14.8172{col 28}{space 2} 8.240994{col 39}{space 1}    1.80{col 48}{space 3}0.072{col 56}{space 4}-1.334849{col 69}{space 3} 30.96925
{txt}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 21.96711{col 28}{space 2} 9.545103{col 39}{space 1}    2.30{col 48}{space 3}0.021{col 56}{space 4} 3.259055{col 69}{space 3} 40.67517
{txt}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 39.59583{col 28}{space 2} 10.34753{col 39}{space 1}    3.83{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 19.31504{col 69}{space 3} 59.87662
{txt}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 38.41381{col 28}{space 2} 8.117003{col 39}{space 1}    4.73{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 22.50478{col 69}{space 3} 54.32284
{txt}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 16.31057{col 28}{space 2} 3.605555{col 39}{space 1}    4.52{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 9.243806{col 69}{space 3} 23.37732
{txt}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.9153076{col 28}{space 2} 3.418567{col 39}{space 1}   -0.27{col 48}{space 3}0.789{col 56}{space 4}-7.615575{col 69}{space 3}  5.78496
{txt}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1976792{col 28}{space 2} 4.881327{col 39}{space 1}   -0.04{col 48}{space 3}0.968{col 56}{space 4}-9.764904{col 69}{space 3} 9.369546
{txt}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}        0{col 28}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 5}firstyear {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 4.400225{col 28}{space 2} 4.237095{col 39}{space 1}    1.04{col 48}{space 3}0.299{col 56}{space 4}-3.904328{col 69}{space 3} 12.70478
{txt}{space 6}elecyear {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-6.180177{col 28}{space 2} 2.951107{col 39}{space 1}   -2.09{col 48}{space 3}0.036{col 56}{space 4}-11.96424{col 69}{space 3}-.3961127
{txt}{space 9}term2 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-10.00661{col 28}{space 2} 3.570676{col 39}{space 1}   -2.80{col 48}{space 3}0.005{col 56}{space 4}-17.00501{col 69}{space 3}-3.008217
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 76.27897{col 28}{space 2} 6.177004{col 39}{space 1}   12.35{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 64.17226{col 69}{space 3} 88.38568
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}terminate miseryt1 ICB_dura ICB_viol strivalry coldwar
{col 23}nytimes_cum _Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36
{col 23}_Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 23}_Ipresident_40 _Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42
{col 23}_Ipresident_43 firstyear elecyear term2
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. ivreg2 approve_detrend terminate, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}20{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    49{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     257
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   217{txt}{col 55}F(  1,    48) = {res}    4.02
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0507
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 27178.82481{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.0150
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res}  27817.2847{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.0376
{txt}Residual SS             = {res}  26770.0683{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   10.21

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}approve_de~d{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 3}terminate {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.347979{col 26}{space 2} 1.650389{col 37}{space 1}    2.03{col 46}{space 3}0.042{col 54}{space 4} .1132772{col 67}{space 3} 6.582681
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.149355{col 26}{space 2} 1.932899{col 37}{space 1}   -1.11{col 46}{space 3}0.266{col 54}{space 4}-5.937767{col 67}{space 3} 1.639057
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
Included instruments:{col 23}terminate
{hline 78}

{com}. ivreg2 approve_detrend terminate $c, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}19{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    48{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     253
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   213{txt}{col 55}F( 17,    47) = {res}  131.61
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 26892.84863{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.5235
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 27628.89294{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.5362
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 12813.69839{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   7.117

{txt}{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}approve_detr~d{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}terminate {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 2.617469{col 28}{space 2} 1.101088{col 39}{space 1}    2.38{col 48}{space 3}0.017{col 56}{space 4} .4593761{col 69}{space 3} 4.775561
{txt}{space 6}miseryt1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-2.485831{col 28}{space 2} .4352348{col 39}{space 1}   -5.71{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-3.338876{col 69}{space 3}-1.632787
{txt}{space 6}ICB_dura {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.6939373{col 28}{space 2} .1494143{col 39}{space 1}   -4.64{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-.9867839{col 69}{space 3}-.4010906
{txt}{space 6}ICB_viol {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 3.054865{col 28}{space 2} 1.305283{col 39}{space 1}    2.34{col 48}{space 3}0.019{col 56}{space 4} .4965571{col 69}{space 3} 5.613173
{txt}{space 5}strivalry {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 4.568798{col 28}{space 2} 2.027576{col 39}{space 1}    2.25{col 48}{space 3}0.024{col 56}{space 4}  .594823{col 69}{space 3} 8.542773
{txt}{space 7}coldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-15.82046{col 28}{space 2} 6.243505{col 39}{space 1}   -2.53{col 48}{space 3}0.011{col 56}{space 4}-28.05751{col 69}{space 3}-3.583419
{txt}{space 3}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .3450343{col 28}{space 2} .3715996{col 39}{space 1}    0.93{col 48}{space 3}0.353{col 56}{space 4}-.3832876{col 69}{space 3} 1.073356
{txt}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}        0{col 28}{txt}  (omitted)
_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 2.848614{col 28}{space 2} 6.577113{col 39}{space 1}    0.43{col 48}{space 3}0.665{col 56}{space 4}-10.04229{col 69}{space 3} 15.73952
{txt}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}  11.2353{col 28}{space 2} 6.875464{col 39}{space 1}    1.63{col 48}{space 3}0.102{col 56}{space 4}-2.240366{col 69}{space 3} 24.71096
{txt}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 7.381165{col 28}{space 2} 7.361395{col 39}{space 1}    1.00{col 48}{space 3}0.316{col 56}{space 4}-7.046905{col 69}{space 3} 21.80923
{txt}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 12.51297{col 28}{space 2} 7.092296{col 39}{space 1}    1.76{col 48}{space 3}0.078{col 56}{space 4} -1.38767{col 69}{space 3} 26.41362
{txt}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 25.53789{col 28}{space 2} 7.422695{col 39}{space 1}    3.44{col 48}{space 3}0.001{col 56}{space 4} 10.98967{col 69}{space 3}  40.0861
{txt}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 41.92584{col 28}{space 2} 8.314534{col 39}{space 1}    5.04{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 25.62966{col 69}{space 3} 58.22203
{txt}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 33.56887{col 28}{space 2} 7.275352{col 39}{space 1}    4.61{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 19.30944{col 69}{space 3}  47.8283
{txt}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 8.053691{col 28}{space 2} 3.265566{col 39}{space 1}    2.47{col 48}{space 3}0.014{col 56}{space 4} 1.653299{col 69}{space 3} 14.45408
{txt}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-8.093956{col 28}{space 2} 3.009666{col 39}{space 1}   -2.69{col 48}{space 3}0.007{col 56}{space 4}-13.99279{col 69}{space 3} -2.19512
{txt}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-1.781714{col 28}{space 2} 4.679857{col 39}{space 1}   -0.38{col 48}{space 3}0.703{col 56}{space 4}-10.95406{col 69}{space 3} 7.390637
{txt}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}        0{col 28}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 21.32117{col 28}{space 2} 5.502236{col 39}{space 1}    3.88{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 10.53698{col 69}{space 3} 32.10535
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}terminate miseryt1 ICB_dura ICB_viol strivalry coldwar
{col 23}nytimes_cum _Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36
{col 23}_Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 23}_Ipresident_40 _Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42
{col 23}_Ipresident_43
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. 
. ***Election Year Models***
. /*Table 3, column 1*/
. ivreg2 approve terminate##elecyear $c firstyear term2, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}19{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    48{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     253
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   213{txt}{col 55}F( 21,    47) = {res}  168.01
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 49844.50046{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.7503
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 740000.7433{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.9832
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 12447.67285{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   7.014

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}    Robust
{col 1}           approve{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      z{col 52}   P>|z|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}1.terminate {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 2.038077{col 32}{space 2} 1.160989{col 43}{space 1}    1.76{col 52}{space 3}0.079{col 60}{space 4}-.2374197{col 73}{space 3} 4.313573
{txt}{space 8}1.elecyear {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-7.746437{col 32}{space 2} 3.226787{col 43}{space 1}   -2.40{col 52}{space 3}0.016{col 60}{space 4}-14.07082{col 73}{space 3}-1.422052
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
terminate#elecyear {c |}
{space 14}1 1  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 10.36649{col 32}{space 2} 4.106005{col 43}{space 1}    2.52{col 52}{space 3}0.012{col 60}{space 4} 2.318873{col 73}{space 3} 18.41412
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 10}miseryt1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-2.525438{col 32}{space 2} .4487534{col 43}{space 1}   -5.63{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-3.404979{col 73}{space 3}-1.645898
{txt}{space 10}ICB_dura {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.7825554{col 32}{space 2}  .157943{col 43}{space 1}   -4.95{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-1.092118{col 73}{space 3}-.4729928
{txt}{space 10}ICB_viol {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 2.366679{col 32}{space 2}  1.40238{col 43}{space 1}    1.69{col 52}{space 3}0.091{col 60}{space 4}-.3819356{col 73}{space 3} 5.115293
{txt}{space 9}strivalry {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 2.436798{col 32}{space 2} 2.089568{col 43}{space 1}    1.17{col 52}{space 3}0.244{col 60}{space 4} -1.65868{col 73}{space 3} 6.532276
{txt}{space 11}coldwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-17.16374{col 32}{space 2} 6.902468{col 43}{space 1}   -2.49{col 52}{space 3}0.013{col 60}{space 4}-30.69233{col 73}{space 3}-3.635153
{txt}{space 7}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .4425249{col 32}{space 2} .3667157{col 43}{space 1}    1.21{col 52}{space 3}0.228{col 60}{space 4}-.2762247{col 73}{space 3} 1.161274
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}        0{col 32}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 4}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 22.15293{col 32}{space 2} 8.268028{col 43}{space 1}    2.68{col 52}{space 3}0.007{col 60}{space 4} 5.947894{col 73}{space 3} 38.35797
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 28.35544{col 32}{space 2} 7.216886{col 43}{space 1}    3.93{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}  14.2106{col 73}{space 3} 42.50028
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 12.50164{col 32}{space 2} 8.683329{col 43}{space 1}    1.44{col 52}{space 3}0.150{col 60}{space 4}-4.517371{col 73}{space 3} 29.52066
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 14.16892{col 32}{space 2} 8.022209{col 43}{space 1}    1.77{col 52}{space 3}0.077{col 60}{space 4}-1.554322{col 73}{space 3} 29.89216
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 21.74059{col 32}{space 2}  9.40368{col 43}{space 1}    2.31{col 52}{space 3}0.021{col 60}{space 4} 3.309719{col 73}{space 3} 40.17147
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 39.11485{col 32}{space 2} 10.09425{col 43}{space 1}    3.87{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 19.33049{col 73}{space 3} 58.89922
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 37.78633{col 32}{space 2} 7.999396{col 43}{space 1}    4.72{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}  22.1078{col 73}{space 3} 53.46485
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  15.9166{col 32}{space 2} 3.817922{col 43}{space 1}    4.17{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 8.433613{col 73}{space 3} 23.39959
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.8853123{col 32}{space 2} 3.435645{col 43}{space 1}   -0.26{col 52}{space 3}0.797{col 60}{space 4}-7.619053{col 73}{space 3} 5.848429
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -.502154{col 32}{space 2} 4.882465{col 43}{space 1}   -0.10{col 52}{space 3}0.918{col 60}{space 4}-10.07161{col 73}{space 3} 9.067301
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}        0{col 32}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 9}firstyear {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 4.128642{col 32}{space 2}  4.23614{col 43}{space 1}    0.97{col 52}{space 3}0.330{col 60}{space 4} -4.17404{col 73}{space 3} 12.43132
{txt}{space 13}term2 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-9.937199{col 32}{space 2} 3.482414{col 43}{space 1}   -2.85{col 52}{space 3}0.004{col 60}{space 4} -16.7626{col 73}{space 3}-3.111793
{txt}{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 76.07615{col 32}{space 2} 6.163519{col 43}{space 1}   12.34{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 63.99588{col 73}{space 3} 88.15643
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate 1.elecyear 1.terminate#1.elecyear miseryt1
{col 23}ICB_dura ICB_viol strivalry coldwar nytimes_cum
{col 23}_Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36
{col 23}_Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 23}_Ipresident_40 _Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42
{col 23}_Ipresident_43 firstyear term2
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. /*Figure 2, top left panel*/
. margins, dydx(terminate) at(elecyear=(0 1)) atmeans
{res}
{txt}Conditional marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       253
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Linear prediction, predict()}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:1.terminate}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:0.terminate}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}.8300395 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:1.terminate}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}.1699605 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:elecyear}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:miseryt1}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}9.219444 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:ICB_dura}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}5.743083 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:ICB_viol}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}1.667984 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:strivalry}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 3}.1383399 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:coldwar}{space 9}{txt:=} {space 3}.4545455 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:nytimes_cum}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}1.094862 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~33}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~34}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.1501976 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~35}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0513834 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~36}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0750988 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~37}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 4}.083004 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~38}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0158103 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~39}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0632411 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~40}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0079051 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~41}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0395257 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~42}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.1541502 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~43}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.2648221 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~44}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0948617 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:firstyear}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 3}.1501976 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:term2}{space 11}{txt:=} {space 3}.3636364 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:0.terminate}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}.8300395 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:1.terminate}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}.1699605 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:elecyear}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 10}1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:miseryt1}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}9.219444 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:ICB_dura}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}5.743083 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:ICB_viol}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}1.667984 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:strivalry}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 3}.1383399 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:coldwar}{space 9}{txt:=} {space 3}.4545455 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:nytimes_cum}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}1.094862 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~33}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~34}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.1501976 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~35}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0513834 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~36}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0750988 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~37}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 4}.083004 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~38}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0158103 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~39}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0632411 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~40}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0079051 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~41}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0395257 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~42}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.1541502 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~43}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.2648221 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~44}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0948617 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:firstyear}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 3}.1501976 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:term2}{space 11}{txt:=} {space 3}.3636364 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}      dy/dx{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0.terminate {col 14}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1.terminate  {txt}{c |}
{space 9}_at {c |}
{space 10}1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.038077{col 26}{space 2} 1.160989{col 37}{space 1}    1.76{col 46}{space 3}0.079{col 54}{space 4}-.2374197{col 67}{space 3} 4.313573
{txt}{space 10}2  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 12.40457{col 26}{space 2} 3.744045{col 37}{space 1}    3.31{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} 5.066377{col 67}{space 3} 19.74276
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 0 78}Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.{txt}{p_end}
{res}{txt}
{com}. marginsplot, title("Moderator: Election Period") ytitle("Effect of Termination") ///
>         xtitle("Election Period") yline(0) saving(PLOT_elecyear, replace)
{res}
{text}{p 2 6 2}Variables that uniquely identify margins: elecyear{p_end}
{res}{txt}(note: file PLOT_elecyear.gph not found)
{res}{txt}(file PLOT_elecyear.gph saved)

{com}. /*Table A2, column 1*/
. ivreg2 approve_detrend terminate##elecyear $c, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)      
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}19{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    48{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     253
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   213{txt}{col 55}F( 19,    47) = {res}   68.19
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 26892.84863{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.5332
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 27628.89294{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.5456
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 12553.61765{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   7.044

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}    Robust
{col 1}   approve_detrend{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      z{col 52}   P>|z|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}1.terminate {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.649825{col 32}{space 2} 1.142869{col 43}{space 1}    1.44{col 52}{space 3}0.149{col 60}{space 4}-.5901567{col 73}{space 3} 3.889808
{txt}{space 8}1.elecyear {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-3.810511{col 32}{space 2} 2.605455{col 43}{space 1}   -1.46{col 52}{space 3}0.144{col 60}{space 4}-8.917108{col 73}{space 3} 1.296086
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
terminate#elecyear {c |}
{space 14}1 1  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 8.992652{col 32}{space 2} 3.489032{col 43}{space 1}    2.58{col 52}{space 3}0.010{col 60}{space 4} 2.154275{col 73}{space 3} 15.83103
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 10}miseryt1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -2.47808{col 32}{space 2} .4407856{col 43}{space 1}   -5.62{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-3.342004{col 73}{space 3}-1.614156
{txt}{space 10}ICB_dura {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.6677676{col 32}{space 2} .1511918{col 43}{space 1}   -4.42{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-.9640981{col 73}{space 3}-.3714371
{txt}{space 10}ICB_viol {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 3.242607{col 32}{space 2}  1.32366{col 43}{space 1}    2.45{col 52}{space 3}0.014{col 60}{space 4} .6482802{col 73}{space 3} 5.836934
{txt}{space 9}strivalry {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 4.076184{col 32}{space 2} 2.044263{col 43}{space 1}    1.99{col 52}{space 3}0.046{col 60}{space 4} .0695017{col 73}{space 3} 8.082866
{txt}{space 11}coldwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-14.94452{col 32}{space 2} 5.821938{col 43}{space 1}   -2.57{col 52}{space 3}0.010{col 60}{space 4}-26.35531{col 73}{space 3}-3.533732
{txt}{space 7}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .4025117{col 32}{space 2} .3748323{col 43}{space 1}    1.07{col 52}{space 3}0.283{col 60}{space 4}-.3321461{col 73}{space 3} 1.137169
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}        0{col 32}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 4}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 2.416247{col 32}{space 2} 6.204423{col 43}{space 1}    0.39{col 52}{space 3}0.697{col 60}{space 4}-9.744198{col 73}{space 3} 14.57669
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 10.83018{col 32}{space 2} 6.533786{col 43}{space 1}    1.66{col 52}{space 3}0.097{col 60}{space 4}-1.975804{col 73}{space 3} 23.63617
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 8.135886{col 32}{space 2} 6.750702{col 43}{space 1}    1.21{col 52}{space 3}0.228{col 60}{space 4}-5.095247{col 73}{space 3} 21.36702
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 12.13567{col 32}{space 2} 6.783968{col 43}{space 1}    1.79{col 52}{space 3}0.074{col 60}{space 4}-1.160665{col 73}{space 3}   25.432
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 25.32765{col 32}{space 2} 7.078516{col 43}{space 1}    3.58{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 11.45401{col 73}{space 3} 39.20128
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 43.10312{col 32}{space 2} 8.177084{col 43}{space 1}    5.27{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 27.07633{col 73}{space 3} 59.12991
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 32.74535{col 32}{space 2} 7.002921{col 43}{space 1}    4.68{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 19.01987{col 73}{space 3} 46.47082
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 7.429387{col 32}{space 2} 3.537996{col 43}{space 1}    2.10{col 52}{space 3}0.036{col 60}{space 4} .4950426{col 73}{space 3} 14.36373
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-8.049392{col 32}{space 2}  3.07201{col 43}{space 1}   -2.62{col 52}{space 3}0.009{col 60}{space 4}-14.07042{col 73}{space 3}-2.028362
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-2.033158{col 32}{space 2} 4.677322{col 43}{space 1}   -0.43{col 52}{space 3}0.664{col 60}{space 4}-11.20054{col 73}{space 3} 7.134224
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}        0{col 32}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  20.9681{col 32}{space 2} 5.537674{col 43}{space 1}    3.79{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 10.11445{col 73}{space 3} 31.82174
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate 1.elecyear 1.terminate#1.elecyear miseryt1
{col 23}ICB_dura ICB_viol strivalry coldwar nytimes_cum
{col 23}_Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36
{col 23}_Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 23}_Ipresident_40 _Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42
{col 23}_Ipresident_43
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. 
. ***New York Times Models***
. /*Table 3, column 2*/
. ivreg2 approve terminate##c.nytimes_cum $c elecyear firstyear term2, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}19{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - duplicate variables detected
Duplicates:{col 21}nytimes_cum
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    48{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     253
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   213{txt}{col 55}F( 21,    47) = {res}  315.86
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 49844.50046{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.7479
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 740000.7433{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.9830
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 12566.87729{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   7.048

{txt}{hline 24}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 25}{c |}{col 37}    Robust
{col 1}                approve{col 25}{c |}      Coef.{col 37}   Std. Err.{col 49}      z{col 57}   P>|z|{col 65}     [95% Con{col 78}f. Interval]
{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 12}1.terminate {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 3.986415{col 37}{space 2} 1.320953{col 48}{space 1}    3.02{col 57}{space 3}0.003{col 65}{space 4} 1.397396{col 78}{space 3} 6.575435
{txt}{space 12}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .7101113{col 37}{space 2}  .412053{col 48}{space 1}    1.72{col 57}{space 3}0.085{col 65}{space 4}-.0974977{col 78}{space 3}  1.51772
{txt}{space 23} {c |}
terminate#c.nytimes_cum {c |}
{space 21}1  {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.6302711{col 37}{space 2} .2181314{col 48}{space 1}   -2.89{col 57}{space 3}0.004{col 65}{space 4}-1.057801{col 78}{space 3}-.2027414
{txt}{space 23} {c |}
{space 15}miseryt1 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-2.535488{col 37}{space 2}   .43639{col 48}{space 1}   -5.81{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4}-3.390797{col 78}{space 3}-1.680179
{txt}{space 15}ICB_dura {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} -.811718{col 37}{space 2} .1559775{col 48}{space 1}   -5.20{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4}-1.117428{col 78}{space 3}-.5060078
{txt}{space 15}ICB_viol {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 2.162526{col 37}{space 2} 1.401336{col 48}{space 1}    1.54{col 57}{space 3}0.123{col 65}{space 4}-.5840419{col 78}{space 3} 4.909093
{txt}{space 14}strivalry {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 3.018996{col 37}{space 2} 2.057263{col 48}{space 1}    1.47{col 57}{space 3}0.142{col 65}{space 4}-1.013164{col 78}{space 3} 7.051157
{txt}{space 16}coldwar {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-17.87012{col 37}{space 2} 7.488854{col 48}{space 1}   -2.39{col 57}{space 3}0.017{col 65}{space 4}-32.54801{col 78}{space 3}-3.192237
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}        0{col 37}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 9}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 22.34254{col 37}{space 2} 8.727448{col 48}{space 1}    2.56{col 57}{space 3}0.010{col 65}{space 4} 5.237058{col 78}{space 3} 39.44803
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 28.16552{col 37}{space 2} 7.773653{col 48}{space 1}    3.62{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 12.92944{col 78}{space 3}  43.4016
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 13.07169{col 37}{space 2} 9.192786{col 48}{space 1}    1.42{col 57}{space 3}0.155{col 65}{space 4} -4.94584{col 78}{space 3} 31.08922
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 14.33443{col 37}{space 2} 8.445973{col 48}{space 1}    1.70{col 57}{space 3}0.090{col 65}{space 4}-2.219375{col 78}{space 3} 30.88823
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}   21.582{col 37}{space 2} 9.677043{col 48}{space 1}    2.23{col 57}{space 3}0.026{col 65}{space 4} 2.615348{col 78}{space 3} 40.54866
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 39.86118{col 37}{space 2} 10.43642{col 48}{space 1}    3.82{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 19.40617{col 78}{space 3} 60.31619
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 38.49524{col 37}{space 2} 8.331208{col 48}{space 1}    4.62{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 22.16638{col 78}{space 3} 54.82411
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 15.71842{col 37}{space 2} 3.578677{col 48}{space 1}    4.39{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 8.704344{col 78}{space 3}  22.7325
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.9565355{col 37}{space 2} 3.404164{col 48}{space 1}   -0.28{col 57}{space 3}0.779{col 65}{space 4}-7.628573{col 78}{space 3} 5.715502
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0447993{col 37}{space 2} 4.859324{col 48}{space 1}   -0.01{col 57}{space 3}0.993{col 65}{space 4}  -9.5689{col 78}{space 3} 9.479302
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}        0{col 37}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 15}elecyear {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-6.843221{col 37}{space 2} 3.010041{col 48}{space 1}   -2.27{col 57}{space 3}0.023{col 65}{space 4}-12.74279{col 78}{space 3}-.9436496
{txt}{space 14}firstyear {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 4.520045{col 37}{space 2} 4.205005{col 48}{space 1}    1.07{col 57}{space 3}0.282{col 65}{space 4}-3.721613{col 78}{space 3}  12.7617
{txt}{space 18}term2 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-10.00163{col 37}{space 2} 3.574921{col 48}{space 1}   -2.80{col 57}{space 3}0.005{col 65}{space 4}-17.00834{col 78}{space 3}-2.994912
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 76.26863{col 37}{space 2} 6.117108{col 48}{space 1}   12.47{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 64.27932{col 78}{space 3} 88.25794
{txt}{hline 24}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate nytimes_cum 1.terminate#c.nytimes_cum
{col 23}miseryt1 ICB_dura ICB_viol strivalry coldwar
{col 23}_Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36
{col 23}_Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 23}_Ipresident_40 _Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42
{col 23}_Ipresident_43 elecyear firstyear term2
Duplicates:{col 23}nytimes_cum
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. /*Figure 2, top right panel*/
. margins, dydx(terminate) at(nytimes_cum=(0(0.1)18)) atmeans
{res}
{txt}Conditional marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       253
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Linear prediction, predict()}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:1.terminate}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:0.terminate}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}.8300395 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:1.terminate}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}.1699605 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:nytimes_cum}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:miseryt1}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}9.219444 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:ICB_dura}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}5.743083 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:ICB_viol}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}1.667984 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:strivalry}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 3}.1383399 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:coldwar}{space 9}{txt:=} {space 3}.4545455 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~33}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~34}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.1501976 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~35}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0513834 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~36}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0750988 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~37}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 4}.083004 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~38}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0158103 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~39}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0632411 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~40}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0079051 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~41}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0395257 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~42}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.1541502 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~43}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.2648221 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~44}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0948617 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:elecyear}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}.1146245 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:firstyear}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 3}.1501976 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:term2}{space 11}{txt:=} {space 3}.3636364 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:0.terminate}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}.8300395 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:1.terminate}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}.1699605 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:nytimes_cum}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 9}.1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:miseryt1}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}9.219444 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:ICB_dura}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}5.743083 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:ICB_viol}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}1.667984 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:strivalry}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 3}.1383399 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:coldwar}{space 9}{txt:=} {space 3}.4545455 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~33}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~34}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.1501976 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~35}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0513834 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~36}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0750988 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~37}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 4}.083004 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~38}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0158103 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~39}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0632411 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~40}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0079051 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~41}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0395257 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~42}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.1541502 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~43}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.2648221 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~44}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0948617 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:elecyear}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}.1146245 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:firstyear}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 3}.1501976 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:term2}{space 11}{txt:=} {space 3}.3636364 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:3._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:0.terminate}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}.8300395 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:1.terminate}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}.1699605 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:nytimes_cum}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 9}.2}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:miseryt1}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}9.219444 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:ICB_dura}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}5.743083 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:ICB_viol}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}1.667984 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:strivalry}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 3}.1383399 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:coldwar}{space 9}{txt:=} {space 3}.4545455 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~33}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~34}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.1501976 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~35}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0513834 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~36}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0750988 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~37}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 4}.083004 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~38}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0158103 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~39}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0632411 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~40}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0079051 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~41}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0395257 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~42}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.1541502 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~43}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.2648221 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~44}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0948617 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:elecyear}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}.1146245 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:firstyear}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 3}.1501976 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:term2}{space 11}{txt:=} {space 3}.3636364 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:4._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:0.terminate}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}.8300395 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:1.terminate}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}.1699605 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
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{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:180._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:0.terminate}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}.8300395 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:1.terminate}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}.1699605 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:nytimes_cum}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 7}17.9}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:miseryt1}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}9.219444 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:ICB_dura}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}5.743083 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:ICB_viol}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}1.667984 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:strivalry}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 3}.1383399 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:coldwar}{space 9}{txt:=} {space 3}.4545455 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~33}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~34}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.1501976 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~35}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0513834 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~36}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0750988 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~37}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 4}.083004 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~38}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0158103 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~39}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0632411 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~40}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0079051 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~41}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0395257 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~42}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.1541502 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~43}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.2648221 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~44}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0948617 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:elecyear}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}.1146245 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:firstyear}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 3}.1501976 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:term2}{space 11}{txt:=} {space 3}.3636364 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:181._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:0.terminate}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}.8300395 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:1.terminate}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}.1699605 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:nytimes_cum}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 9}18}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:miseryt1}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}9.219444 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:ICB_dura}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}5.743083 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:ICB_viol}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}1.667984 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:strivalry}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 3}.1383399 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:coldwar}{space 9}{txt:=} {space 3}.4545455 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~33}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~34}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.1501976 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~35}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0513834 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~36}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0750988 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~37}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 4}.083004 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~38}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0158103 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~39}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0632411 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~40}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0079051 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~41}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0395257 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~42}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.1541502 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~43}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.2648221 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~44}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0948617 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:elecyear}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}.1146245 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:firstyear}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 3}.1501976 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:term2}{space 11}{txt:=} {space 3}.3636364 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}      dy/dx{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0.terminate {col 14}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1.terminate  {txt}{c |}
{space 9}_at {c |}
{space 10}1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.986415{col 26}{space 2} 1.320953{col 37}{space 1}    3.02{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4} 1.397396{col 67}{space 3} 6.575435
{txt}{space 10}2  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.923388{col 26}{space 2}    1.309{col 37}{space 1}    3.00{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4} 1.357796{col 67}{space 3} 6.488981
{txt}{space 10}3  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.860361{col 26}{space 2} 1.297303{col 37}{space 1}    2.98{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4} 1.317693{col 67}{space 3} 6.403029
{txt}{space 10}4  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.797334{col 26}{space 2} 1.285871{col 37}{space 1}    2.95{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4} 1.277074{col 67}{space 3} 6.317594
{txt}{space 10}5  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.734307{col 26}{space 2} 1.274709{col 37}{space 1}    2.93{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4} 1.235924{col 67}{space 3}  6.23269
{txt}{space 10}6  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  3.67128{col 26}{space 2} 1.263825{col 37}{space 1}    2.90{col 46}{space 3}0.004{col 54}{space 4} 1.194229{col 67}{space 3} 6.148331
{txt}{space 10}7  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.608253{col 26}{space 2} 1.253226{col 37}{space 1}    2.88{col 46}{space 3}0.004{col 54}{space 4} 1.151975{col 67}{space 3}  6.06453
{txt}{space 10}8  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.545226{col 26}{space 2}  1.24292{col 37}{space 1}    2.85{col 46}{space 3}0.004{col 54}{space 4} 1.109148{col 67}{space 3} 5.981303
{txt}{space 10}9  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.482199{col 26}{space 2} 1.232913{col 37}{space 1}    2.82{col 46}{space 3}0.005{col 54}{space 4} 1.065733{col 67}{space 3} 5.898664
{txt}{space 9}10  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.419171{col 26}{space 2} 1.223214{col 37}{space 1}    2.80{col 46}{space 3}0.005{col 54}{space 4} 1.021717{col 67}{space 3} 5.816626
{txt}{space 9}11  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.356144{col 26}{space 2} 1.213829{col 37}{space 1}    2.76{col 46}{space 3}0.006{col 54}{space 4} .9770833{col 67}{space 3} 5.735205
{txt}{space 9}12  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.293117{col 26}{space 2} 1.204766{col 37}{space 1}    2.73{col 46}{space 3}0.006{col 54}{space 4} .9318193{col 67}{space 3} 5.654415
{txt}{space 9}13  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  3.23009{col 26}{space 2} 1.196032{col 37}{space 1}    2.70{col 46}{space 3}0.007{col 54}{space 4}   .88591{col 67}{space 3}  5.57427
{txt}{space 9}14  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.167063{col 26}{space 2} 1.187635{col 37}{space 1}    2.67{col 46}{space 3}0.008{col 54}{space 4} .8393413{col 67}{space 3} 5.494785
{txt}{space 9}15  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.104036{col 26}{space 2} 1.179581{col 37}{space 1}    2.63{col 46}{space 3}0.009{col 54}{space 4}  .792099{col 67}{space 3} 5.415973
{txt}{space 9}16  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.041009{col 26}{space 2} 1.171878{col 37}{space 1}    2.59{col 46}{space 3}0.009{col 54}{space 4} .7441693{col 67}{space 3} 5.337848
{txt}{space 9}17  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.977982{col 26}{space 2} 1.164533{col 37}{space 1}    2.56{col 46}{space 3}0.011{col 54}{space 4} .6955386{col 67}{space 3} 5.260425
{txt}{space 9}18  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.914955{col 26}{space 2} 1.157552{col 37}{space 1}    2.52{col 46}{space 3}0.012{col 54}{space 4} .6461935{col 67}{space 3} 5.183716
{txt}{space 9}19  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.851927{col 26}{space 2} 1.150943{col 37}{space 1}    2.48{col 46}{space 3}0.013{col 54}{space 4}  .596121{col 67}{space 3} 5.107734
{txt}{space 9}20  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}   2.7889{col 26}{space 2} 1.144711{col 37}{space 1}    2.44{col 46}{space 3}0.015{col 54}{space 4} .5453084{col 67}{space 3} 5.032492
{txt}{space 9}21  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.725873{col 26}{space 2} 1.138863{col 37}{space 1}    2.39{col 46}{space 3}0.017{col 54}{space 4} .4937437{col 67}{space 3} 4.958003
{txt}{space 9}22  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.662846{col 26}{space 2} 1.133404{col 37}{space 1}    2.35{col 46}{space 3}0.019{col 54}{space 4} .4414152{col 67}{space 3} 4.884277
{txt}{space 9}23  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.599819{col 26}{space 2} 1.128341{col 37}{space 1}    2.30{col 46}{space 3}0.021{col 54}{space 4} .3883118{col 67}{space 3} 4.811326
{txt}{space 9}24  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.536792{col 26}{space 2} 1.123678{col 37}{space 1}    2.26{col 46}{space 3}0.024{col 54}{space 4} .3344231{col 67}{space 3} 4.739161
{txt}{space 9}25  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.473765{col 26}{space 2} 1.119421{col 37}{space 1}    2.21{col 46}{space 3}0.027{col 54}{space 4} .2797391{col 67}{space 3}  4.66779
{txt}{space 9}26  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.410738{col 26}{space 2} 1.115575{col 37}{space 1}    2.16{col 46}{space 3}0.031{col 54}{space 4}  .224251{col 67}{space 3} 4.597224
{txt}{space 9}27  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.347711{col 26}{space 2} 1.112143{col 37}{space 1}    2.11{col 46}{space 3}0.035{col 54}{space 4} .1679503{col 67}{space 3} 4.527471
{txt}{space 9}28  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.284683{col 26}{space 2}  1.10913{col 37}{space 1}    2.06{col 46}{space 3}0.039{col 54}{space 4} .1108292{col 67}{space 3} 4.458538
{txt}{space 9}29  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.221656{col 26}{space 2} 1.106538{col 37}{space 1}    2.01{col 46}{space 3}0.045{col 54}{space 4} .0528815{col 67}{space 3} 4.390431
{txt}{space 9}30  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.158629{col 26}{space 2} 1.104371{col 37}{space 1}    1.95{col 46}{space 3}0.051{col 54}{space 4}-.0058991{col 67}{space 3} 4.323158
{txt}{space 9}31  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.095602{col 26}{space 2} 1.102632{col 37}{space 1}    1.90{col 46}{space 3}0.057{col 54}{space 4}-.0655172{col 67}{space 3} 4.256721
{txt}{space 9}32  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.032575{col 26}{space 2} 1.101322{col 37}{space 1}    1.85{col 46}{space 3}0.065{col 54}{space 4}-.1259768{col 67}{space 3} 4.191127
{txt}{space 9}33  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.969548{col 26}{space 2} 1.100443{col 37}{space 1}    1.79{col 46}{space 3}0.073{col 54}{space 4}-.1872811{col 67}{space 3} 4.126377
{txt}{space 9}34  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.906521{col 26}{space 2} 1.099996{col 37}{space 1}    1.73{col 46}{space 3}0.083{col 54}{space 4}-.2494318{col 67}{space 3} 4.062474
{txt}{space 9}35  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.843494{col 26}{space 2} 1.099981{col 37}{space 1}    1.68{col 46}{space 3}0.094{col 54}{space 4}-.3124303{col 67}{space 3} 3.999418
{txt}{space 9}36  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.780467{col 26}{space 2} 1.100399{col 37}{space 1}    1.62{col 46}{space 3}0.106{col 54}{space 4}-.3762763{col 67}{space 3}  3.93721
{txt}{space 9}37  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  1.71744{col 26}{space 2} 1.101249{col 37}{space 1}    1.56{col 46}{space 3}0.119{col 54}{space 4} -.440969{col 67}{space 3} 3.875848
{txt}{space 9}38  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.654412{col 26}{space 2}  1.10253{col 37}{space 1}    1.50{col 46}{space 3}0.133{col 54}{space 4}-.5065066{col 67}{space 3} 3.815331
{txt}{space 9}39  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.591385{col 26}{space 2}  1.10424{col 37}{space 1}    1.44{col 46}{space 3}0.150{col 54}{space 4}-.5728859{col 67}{space 3} 3.755657
{txt}{space 9}40  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.528358{col 26}{space 2} 1.106378{col 37}{space 1}    1.38{col 46}{space 3}0.167{col 54}{space 4}-.6401031{col 67}{space 3} 3.696819
{txt}{space 9}41  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.465331{col 26}{space 2} 1.108941{col 37}{space 1}    1.32{col 46}{space 3}0.186{col 54}{space 4}-.7081533{col 67}{space 3} 3.638815
{txt}{space 9}42  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.402304{col 26}{space 2} 1.111926{col 37}{space 1}    1.26{col 46}{space 3}0.207{col 54}{space 4}-.7770307{col 67}{space 3} 3.581639
{txt}{space 9}43  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.339277{col 26}{space 2}  1.11533{col 37}{space 1}    1.20{col 46}{space 3}0.230{col 54}{space 4}-.8467288{col 67}{space 3} 3.525283
{txt}{space 9}44  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  1.27625{col 26}{space 2} 1.119148{col 37}{space 1}    1.14{col 46}{space 3}0.254{col 54}{space 4}-.9172404{col 67}{space 3}  3.46974
{txt}{space 9}45  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.213223{col 26}{space 2} 1.123377{col 37}{space 1}    1.08{col 46}{space 3}0.280{col 54}{space 4}-.9885565{col 67}{space 3} 3.415002
{txt}{space 9}46  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.150196{col 26}{space 2} 1.128013{col 37}{space 1}    1.02{col 46}{space 3}0.308{col 54}{space 4}-1.060668{col 67}{space 3}  3.36106
{txt}{space 9}47  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.087169{col 26}{space 2} 1.133049{col 37}{space 1}    0.96{col 46}{space 3}0.337{col 54}{space 4}-1.133566{col 67}{space 3} 3.307903
{txt}{space 9}48  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.024141{col 26}{space 2} 1.138481{col 37}{space 1}    0.90{col 46}{space 3}0.368{col 54}{space 4} -1.20724{col 67}{space 3} 3.255523
{txt}{space 9}49  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9611141{col 26}{space 2} 1.144303{col 37}{space 1}    0.84{col 46}{space 3}0.401{col 54}{space 4}-1.281678{col 67}{space 3} 3.203907
{txt}{space 9}50  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8980871{col 26}{space 2} 1.150509{col 37}{space 1}    0.78{col 46}{space 3}0.435{col 54}{space 4}-1.356869{col 67}{space 3} 3.153044
{txt}{space 9}51  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}   .83506{col 26}{space 2} 1.157093{col 37}{space 1}    0.72{col 46}{space 3}0.470{col 54}{space 4}-1.432801{col 67}{space 3} 3.102921
{txt}{space 9}52  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .772033{col 26}{space 2} 1.164049{col 37}{space 1}    0.66{col 46}{space 3}0.507{col 54}{space 4}-1.509462{col 67}{space 3} 3.053528
{txt}{space 9}53  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7090059{col 26}{space 2}  1.17137{col 37}{space 1}    0.61{col 46}{space 3}0.545{col 54}{space 4}-1.586837{col 67}{space 3} 3.004849
{txt}{space 9}54  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6459786{col 26}{space 2} 1.179049{col 37}{space 1}    0.55{col 46}{space 3}0.584{col 54}{space 4}-1.664915{col 67}{space 3} 2.956872
{txt}{space 9}55  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5829515{col 26}{space 2} 1.187079{col 37}{space 1}    0.49{col 46}{space 3}0.623{col 54}{space 4}-1.743681{col 67}{space 3} 2.909584
{txt}{space 9}56  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5199245{col 26}{space 2} 1.195453{col 37}{space 1}    0.43{col 46}{space 3}0.664{col 54}{space 4}-1.823121{col 67}{space 3}  2.86297
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{txt}{space 8}155  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-5.719759{col 26}{space 2} 2.848666{col 37}{space 1}   -2.01{col 46}{space 3}0.045{col 54}{space 4}-11.30304{col 67}{space 3}-.1364751
{txt}{space 8}156  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-5.782786{col 26}{space 2}   2.8688{col 37}{space 1}   -2.02{col 46}{space 3}0.044{col 54}{space 4}-11.40553{col 67}{space 3}-.1600407
{txt}{space 8}157  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-5.845814{col 26}{space 2} 2.888959{col 37}{space 1}   -2.02{col 46}{space 3}0.043{col 54}{space 4}-11.50807{col 67}{space 3}-.1835585
{txt}{space 8}158  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -5.90884{col 26}{space 2} 2.909141{col 37}{space 1}   -2.03{col 46}{space 3}0.042{col 54}{space 4}-11.61065{col 67}{space 3}-.2070293
{txt}{space 8}159  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-5.971868{col 26}{space 2} 2.929346{col 37}{space 1}   -2.04{col 46}{space 3}0.041{col 54}{space 4}-11.71328{col 67}{space 3}-.2304545
{txt}{space 8}160  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-6.034894{col 26}{space 2} 2.949575{col 37}{space 1}   -2.05{col 46}{space 3}0.041{col 54}{space 4}-11.81595{col 67}{space 3}-.2538345
{txt}{space 8}161  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-6.097922{col 26}{space 2} 2.969825{col 37}{space 1}   -2.05{col 46}{space 3}0.040{col 54}{space 4}-11.91867{col 67}{space 3}-.2771709
{txt}{space 8}162  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-6.160949{col 26}{space 2} 2.990098{col 37}{space 1}   -2.06{col 46}{space 3}0.039{col 54}{space 4}-12.02143{col 67}{space 3}-.3004641
{txt}{space 8}163  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-6.223976{col 26}{space 2} 3.010393{col 37}{space 1}   -2.07{col 46}{space 3}0.039{col 54}{space 4}-12.12424{col 67}{space 3}-.3237151
{txt}{space 8}164  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-6.287003{col 26}{space 2} 3.030708{col 37}{space 1}   -2.07{col 46}{space 3}0.038{col 54}{space 4}-12.22708{col 67}{space 3}-.3469244
{txt}{space 8}165  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -6.35003{col 26}{space 2} 3.051044{col 37}{space 1}   -2.08{col 46}{space 3}0.037{col 54}{space 4}-12.32997{col 67}{space 3}-.3700935
{txt}{space 8}166  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-6.413057{col 26}{space 2}   3.0714{col 37}{space 1}   -2.09{col 46}{space 3}0.037{col 54}{space 4}-12.43289{col 67}{space 3}-.3932229
{txt}{space 8}167  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-6.476085{col 26}{space 2} 3.091777{col 37}{space 1}   -2.09{col 46}{space 3}0.036{col 54}{space 4}-12.53586{col 67}{space 3}-.4163134
{txt}{space 8}168  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-6.539112{col 26}{space 2} 3.112173{col 37}{space 1}   -2.10{col 46}{space 3}0.036{col 54}{space 4}-12.63886{col 67}{space 3}-.4393657
{txt}{space 8}169  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-6.602138{col 26}{space 2} 3.132587{col 37}{space 1}   -2.11{col 46}{space 3}0.035{col 54}{space 4} -12.7419{col 67}{space 3}-.4623801
{txt}{space 8}170  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-6.665165{col 26}{space 2} 3.153021{col 37}{space 1}   -2.11{col 46}{space 3}0.035{col 54}{space 4}-12.84497{col 67}{space 3}-.4853583
{txt}{space 8}171  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-6.728193{col 26}{space 2} 3.173473{col 37}{space 1}   -2.12{col 46}{space 3}0.034{col 54}{space 4}-12.94809{col 67}{space 3}-.5083005
{txt}{space 8}172  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -6.79122{col 26}{space 2} 3.193943{col 37}{space 1}   -2.13{col 46}{space 3}0.033{col 54}{space 4}-13.05123{col 67}{space 3}-.5312073
{txt}{space 8}173  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-6.854247{col 26}{space 2}  3.21443{col 37}{space 1}   -2.13{col 46}{space 3}0.033{col 54}{space 4}-13.15442{col 67}{space 3}-.5540795
{txt}{space 8}174  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-6.917274{col 26}{space 2} 3.234935{col 37}{space 1}   -2.14{col 46}{space 3}0.032{col 54}{space 4}-13.25763{col 67}{space 3}-.5769174
{txt}{space 8}175  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-6.980301{col 26}{space 2} 3.255457{col 37}{space 1}   -2.14{col 46}{space 3}0.032{col 54}{space 4}-13.36088{col 67}{space 3}-.5997223
{txt}{space 8}176  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-7.043328{col 26}{space 2} 3.275996{col 37}{space 1}   -2.15{col 46}{space 3}0.032{col 54}{space 4}-13.46416{col 67}{space 3}-.6224945
{txt}{space 8}177  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-7.106356{col 26}{space 2} 3.296551{col 37}{space 1}   -2.16{col 46}{space 3}0.031{col 54}{space 4}-13.56748{col 67}{space 3}-.6452346
{txt}{space 8}178  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-7.169383{col 26}{space 2} 3.317122{col 37}{space 1}   -2.16{col 46}{space 3}0.031{col 54}{space 4}-13.67082{col 67}{space 3}-.6679433
{txt}{space 8}179  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-7.232409{col 26}{space 2} 3.337709{col 37}{space 1}   -2.17{col 46}{space 3}0.030{col 54}{space 4} -13.7742{col 67}{space 3}-.6906206
{txt}{space 8}180  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-7.295436{col 26}{space 2} 3.358311{col 37}{space 1}   -2.17{col 46}{space 3}0.030{col 54}{space 4}-13.87761{col 67}{space 3}-.7132679
{txt}{space 8}181  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-7.358464{col 26}{space 2} 3.378929{col 37}{space 1}   -2.18{col 46}{space 3}0.029{col 54}{space 4}-13.98104{col 67}{space 3}-.7358855
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 0 78}Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.{txt}{p_end}
{res}{txt}
{com}. marginsplot, addplot(hist nytimes_cum, ///
>         freq yaxis(2) yscale(alt axis(2)) below start(0) width(0.5) legend(off)) ///
>         title("Moderator: NY Times Coverage") ytitle("Effect of Termination") ///
>         xtitle("NY Times Coverage") yline(0) saving(PLOT_nytimes_cum, replace)
{res}
{text}{p 2 6 2}Variables that uniquely identify margins: nytimes_cum{p_end}
{res}{txt}(note: file PLOT_nytimes_cum.gph not found)
{res}{txt}(file PLOT_nytimes_cum.gph saved)

{com}. /*Table A2, column 2*/
. ivreg2 approve_detrend terminate##c.nytimes_cum $c, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}19{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - duplicate variables detected
Duplicates:{col 21}nytimes_cum
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    48{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     253
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   213{txt}{col 55}F( 18,    47) = {res}  163.79
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 26892.84863{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.5264
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 27628.89294{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.5390
{txt}Residual SS             = {res}  12736.3747{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   7.095

{txt}{hline 24}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 25}{c |}{col 37}    Robust
{col 1}        approve_detrend{col 25}{c |}      Coef.{col 37}   Std. Err.{col 49}      z{col 57}   P>|z|{col 65}     [95% Con{col 78}f. Interval]
{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 12}1.terminate {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 3.433291{col 37}{space 2}  1.28556{col 48}{space 1}    2.67{col 57}{space 3}0.008{col 65}{space 4} .9136399{col 78}{space 3} 5.952941
{txt}{space 12}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .5494088{col 37}{space 2} .4175351{col 48}{space 1}    1.32{col 57}{space 3}0.188{col 65}{space 4} -.268945{col 78}{space 3} 1.367763
{txt}{space 23} {c |}
terminate#c.nytimes_cum {c |}
{space 21}1  {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.4792019{col 37}{space 2} .2038082{col 48}{space 1}   -2.35{col 57}{space 3}0.019{col 65}{space 4}-.8786587{col 78}{space 3}-.0797451
{txt}{space 23} {c |}
{space 15}miseryt1 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-2.491433{col 37}{space 2} .4286295{col 48}{space 1}   -5.81{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4}-3.331531{col 78}{space 3}-1.651335
{txt}{space 15}ICB_dura {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.7067232{col 37}{space 2} .1502189{col 48}{space 1}   -4.70{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4}-1.001147{col 78}{space 3}-.4122995
{txt}{space 15}ICB_viol {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 3.014965{col 37}{space 2} 1.310215{col 48}{space 1}    2.30{col 57}{space 3}0.021{col 65}{space 4} .4469916{col 78}{space 3} 5.582939
{txt}{space 14}strivalry {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 4.670829{col 37}{space 2} 2.018657{col 48}{space 1}    2.31{col 57}{space 3}0.021{col 65}{space 4} .7143343{col 78}{space 3} 8.627325
{txt}{space 16}coldwar {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-15.70501{col 37}{space 2} 6.513041{col 48}{space 1}   -2.41{col 57}{space 3}0.016{col 65}{space 4}-28.47033{col 78}{space 3}-2.939681
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}        0{col 37}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 9}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 2.584861{col 37}{space 2} 6.830314{col 48}{space 1}    0.38{col 57}{space 3}0.705{col 65}{space 4}-10.80231{col 78}{space 3} 15.97203
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 10.90563{col 37}{space 2} 7.119976{col 48}{space 1}    1.53{col 57}{space 3}0.126{col 65}{space 4}-3.049271{col 78}{space 3} 24.86052
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 7.080481{col 37}{space 2}  7.60091{col 48}{space 1}    0.93{col 57}{space 3}0.352{col 65}{space 4}-7.817028{col 78}{space 3} 21.97799
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 12.06926{col 37}{space 2} 7.325894{col 48}{space 1}    1.65{col 57}{space 3}0.099{col 65}{space 4}-2.289231{col 78}{space 3} 26.42775
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 25.19252{col 37}{space 2} 7.622473{col 48}{space 1}    3.31{col 57}{space 3}0.001{col 65}{space 4} 10.25275{col 78}{space 3} 40.13229
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 41.75219{col 37}{space 2} 8.443585{col 48}{space 1}    4.94{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 25.20307{col 78}{space 3} 58.30132
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 33.66871{col 37}{space 2} 7.481293{col 48}{space 1}    4.50{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 19.00564{col 78}{space 3} 48.33177
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 7.651555{col 37}{space 2} 3.241213{col 48}{space 1}    2.36{col 57}{space 3}0.018{col 65}{space 4} 1.298894{col 78}{space 3} 14.00422
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-8.129792{col 37}{space 2} 2.995705{col 48}{space 1}   -2.71{col 57}{space 3}0.007{col 65}{space 4}-14.00127{col 78}{space 3}-2.258319
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-1.671273{col 37}{space 2} 4.666251{col 48}{space 1}   -0.36{col 57}{space 3}0.720{col 65}{space 4}-10.81696{col 78}{space 3} 7.474411
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}        0{col 37}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 21.37425{col 37}{space 2} 5.450682{col 48}{space 1}    3.92{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 10.69111{col 78}{space 3} 32.05739
{txt}{hline 24}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate nytimes_cum 1.terminate#c.nytimes_cum
{col 23}miseryt1 ICB_dura ICB_viol strivalry coldwar
{col 23}_Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36
{col 23}_Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 23}_Ipresident_40 _Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42
{col 23}_Ipresident_43
Duplicates:{col 23}nytimes_cum
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. 
. ***Economic Misery Models***
. /*Table 3, column 3*/
. ivreg2 approve terminate##c.miseryt1 $c elecyear firstyear term2, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}19{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - duplicate variables detected
Duplicates:{col 21}miseryt1
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    48{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     253
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   213{txt}{col 55}F( 21,    47) = {res}  315.55
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 49844.50046{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.7454
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 740000.7433{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.9828
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 12691.85781{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   7.083

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}             approve{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}1.terminate {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2.120316{col 34}{space 2} 2.764978{col 45}{space 1}    0.77{col 54}{space 3}0.443{col 62}{space 4}-3.298941{col 75}{space 3} 7.539573
{txt}{space 12}miseryt1 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2.556723{col 34}{space 2} .4595857{col 45}{space 1}   -5.56{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-3.457495{col 75}{space 3}-1.655952
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
terminate#c.miseryt1 {c |}
{space 18}1  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0953433{col 34}{space 2} .2441036{col 45}{space 1}    0.39{col 54}{space 3}0.696{col 62}{space 4}-.3830911{col 75}{space 3} .5737776
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 12}ICB_dura {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.7983909{col 34}{space 2} .1559074{col 45}{space 1}   -5.12{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-1.103964{col 75}{space 3} -.492818
{txt}{space 12}ICB_viol {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2.214771{col 34}{space 2} 1.406397{col 45}{space 1}    1.57{col 54}{space 3}0.115{col 62}{space 4}-.5417158{col 75}{space 3} 4.971258
{txt}{space 11}strivalry {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2.822088{col 34}{space 2} 2.160591{col 45}{space 1}    1.31{col 54}{space 3}0.191{col 62}{space 4}-1.412593{col 75}{space 3} 7.056769
{txt}{space 13}coldwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-18.06976{col 34}{space 2}  7.23111{col 45}{space 1}   -2.50{col 54}{space 3}0.012{col 62}{space 4}-32.24248{col 75}{space 3}-3.897046
{txt}{space 9}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .4245645{col 34}{space 2} .3701896{col 45}{space 1}    1.15{col 54}{space 3}0.251{col 62}{space 4}-.3009938{col 75}{space 3} 1.150123
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 6}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 22.71774{col 34}{space 2} 8.510379{col 45}{space 1}    2.67{col 54}{space 3}0.008{col 62}{space 4} 6.037701{col 75}{space 3} 39.39777
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 28.70106{col 34}{space 2} 7.541456{col 45}{space 1}    3.81{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 13.92008{col 75}{space 3} 43.48204
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 13.11023{col 34}{space 2} 9.075362{col 45}{space 1}    1.44{col 54}{space 3}0.149{col 62}{space 4}-4.677157{col 75}{space 3} 30.89761
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 14.89235{col 34}{space 2} 8.242111{col 45}{space 1}    1.81{col 54}{space 3}0.071{col 62}{space 4} -1.26189{col 75}{space 3} 31.04659
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 22.14741{col 34}{space 2} 9.631468{col 45}{space 1}    2.30{col 54}{space 3}0.021{col 62}{space 4} 3.270083{col 75}{space 3} 41.02475
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 39.90992{col 34}{space 2} 10.46247{col 45}{space 1}    3.81{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 19.40386{col 75}{space 3} 60.41598
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 38.08641{col 34}{space 2} 8.201868{col 45}{space 1}    4.64{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 22.01105{col 75}{space 3} 54.16178
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 16.31853{col 34}{space 2} 3.592858{col 45}{space 1}    4.54{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 9.276661{col 75}{space 3} 23.36041
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.9245839{col 34}{space 2} 3.411295{col 45}{space 1}   -0.27{col 54}{space 3}0.786{col 62}{space 4}-7.610599{col 75}{space 3} 5.761431
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2331955{col 34}{space 2} 4.897028{col 45}{space 1}   -0.05{col 54}{space 3}0.962{col 62}{space 4}-9.831195{col 75}{space 3} 9.364804
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 12}elecyear {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-6.196339{col 34}{space 2} 2.963092{col 45}{space 1}   -2.09{col 54}{space 3}0.037{col 62}{space 4}-12.00389{col 75}{space 3}-.3887864
{txt}{space 11}firstyear {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 4.409539{col 34}{space 2} 4.232406{col 45}{space 1}    1.04{col 54}{space 3}0.297{col 62}{space 4}-3.885824{col 75}{space 3}  12.7049
{txt}{space 15}term2 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-10.00108{col 34}{space 2} 3.581898{col 45}{space 1}   -2.79{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4}-17.02147{col 75}{space 3}-2.980691
{txt}{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 76.50773{col 34}{space 2} 6.174194{col 45}{space 1}   12.39{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 64.40654{col 75}{space 3} 88.60893
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate miseryt1 1.terminate#c.miseryt1 ICB_dura
{col 23}ICB_viol strivalry coldwar nytimes_cum _Ipresident_34
{col 23}_Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36 _Ipresident_37
{col 23}_Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39 _Ipresident_40
{col 23}_Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42 _Ipresident_43 elecyear
{col 23}firstyear term2
Duplicates:{col 23}miseryt1
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. /*Figure 2, bottom left panel*/
. margins, dydx(terminate) at(miseryt1=(3.5(0.1)22)) atmeans
{res}
{txt}Conditional marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       253
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Linear prediction, predict()}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:1.terminate}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:0.terminate}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}.8300395 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:1.terminate}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}.1699605 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:miseryt1}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 8}3.5}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:ICB_dura}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}5.743083 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:ICB_viol}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}1.667984 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:strivalry}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 3}.1383399 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:coldwar}{space 9}{txt:=} {space 3}.4545455 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:nytimes_cum}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}1.094862 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~33}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~34}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.1501976 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~35}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0513834 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~36}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0750988 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~37}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 4}.083004 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~38}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0158103 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~39}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0632411 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~40}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0079051 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~41}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0395257 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~42}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.1541502 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~43}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.2648221 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~44}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0948617 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:elecyear}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}.1146245 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:firstyear}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 3}.1501976 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:term2}{space 11}{txt:=} {space 3}.3636364 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:0.terminate}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}.8300395 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:1.terminate}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}.1699605 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:miseryt1}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 8}3.6}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:ICB_dura}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}5.743083 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:ICB_viol}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}1.667984 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:strivalry}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 3}.1383399 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:coldwar}{space 9}{txt:=} {space 3}.4545455 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:nytimes_cum}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}1.094862 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~33}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~34}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.1501976 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~35}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0513834 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~36}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0750988 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~37}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 4}.083004 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~38}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0158103 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~39}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0632411 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~40}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0079051 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~41}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0395257 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~42}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.1541502 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~43}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.2648221 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~44}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0948617 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:elecyear}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}.1146245 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:firstyear}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 3}.1501976 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:term2}{space 11}{txt:=} {space 3}.3636364 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:3._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:0.terminate}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}.8300395 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:1.terminate}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}.1699605 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:miseryt1}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 8}3.7}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:ICB_dura}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}5.743083 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:ICB_viol}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}1.667984 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:strivalry}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 3}.1383399 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:coldwar}{space 9}{txt:=} {space 3}.4545455 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:nytimes_cum}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}1.094862 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~33}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~34}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.1501976 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~35}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0513834 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~36}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0750988 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~37}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 4}.083004 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~38}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0158103 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~39}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0632411 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~40}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0079051 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~41}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0395257 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~42}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.1541502 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~43}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.2648221 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~44}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0948617 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:elecyear}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}.1146245 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:firstyear}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 3}.1501976 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:term2}{space 11}{txt:=} {space 3}.3636364 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:4._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:0.terminate}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}.8300395 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:1.terminate}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}.1699605 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:miseryt1}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 8}3.8}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:ICB_dura}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}5.743083 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:ICB_viol}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}1.667984 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:strivalry}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 3}.1383399 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:coldwar}{space 9}{txt:=} {space 3}.4545455 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:nytimes_cum}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}1.094862 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~33}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~34}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.1501976 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~35}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0513834 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~36}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0750988 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~37}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 4}.083004 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~38}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0158103 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~39}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0632411 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~40}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0079051 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~41}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0395257 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~42}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.1541502 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~43}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.2648221 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~44}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0948617 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:elecyear}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}.1146245 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:firstyear}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 3}.1501976 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:term2}{space 11}{txt:=} {space 3}.3636364 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:5._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:0.terminate}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}.8300395 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:1.terminate}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}.1699605 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:miseryt1}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 8}3.9}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:ICB_dura}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}5.743083 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:ICB_viol}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}1.667984 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:strivalry}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 3}.1383399 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:coldwar}{space 9}{txt:=} {space 3}.4545455 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:nytimes_cum}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}1.094862 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~33}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~34}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.1501976 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~35}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0513834 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~36}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0750988 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~37}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 4}.083004 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~38}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0158103 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~39}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0632411 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~40}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0079051 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~41}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0395257 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~42}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.1541502 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~43}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.2648221 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~44}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0948617 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:elecyear}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}.1146245 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:firstyear}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 3}.1501976 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:term2}{space 11}{txt:=} {space 3}.3636364 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:6._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:0.terminate}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}.8300395 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:1.terminate}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}.1699605 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
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{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}      dy/dx{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0.terminate {col 14}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
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{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 0 78}Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.{txt}{p_end}
{res}{txt}
{com}. marginsplot, addplot(hist miseryt1, ///
>         freq yaxis(2) yscale(alt axis(2)) below start(1) width(0.5) legend(off)) ///
>         title("Moderator: Economic Misery") ytitle("Effect of Termination") ///
>         xtitle("Economic Misery") yline(0) saving(PLOT_miseryt1, replace)
{res}
{text}{p 2 6 2}Variables that uniquely identify margins: miseryt1{p_end}
{res}{txt}(note: file PLOT_miseryt1.gph not found)
{res}{txt}(file PLOT_miseryt1.gph saved)

{com}. /*Table A2, column 3*/
. ivreg2 approve_detrend terminate##c.miseryt1 $c, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}19{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - duplicate variables detected
Duplicates:{col 21}miseryt1
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    48{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     253
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   213{txt}{col 55}F( 18,    47) = {res}  136.75
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 26892.84863{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.5235
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 27628.89294{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.5362
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 12813.17549{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   7.117

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}     approve_detrend{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}1.terminate {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2.274784{col 34}{space 2} 2.551958{col 45}{space 1}    0.89{col 54}{space 3}0.373{col 62}{space 4}-2.726961{col 75}{space 3} 7.276528
{txt}{space 12}miseryt1 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2.496928{col 34}{space 2} .4527701{col 45}{space 1}   -5.51{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-3.384341{col 75}{space 3}-1.609515
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
terminate#c.miseryt1 {c |}
{space 18}1  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0389193{col 34}{space 2} .2276973{col 45}{space 1}    0.17{col 54}{space 3}0.864{col 62}{space 4}-.4073592{col 75}{space 3} .4851979
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 12}ICB_dura {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.6938856{col 34}{space 2} .1492484{col 45}{space 1}   -4.65{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} -.986407{col 75}{space 3}-.4013641
{txt}{space 12}ICB_viol {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 3.060176{col 34}{space 2}    1.303{col 45}{space 1}    2.35{col 54}{space 3}0.019{col 62}{space 4} .5063426{col 75}{space 3} 5.614009
{txt}{space 11}strivalry {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 4.532727{col 34}{space 2} 2.130103{col 45}{space 1}    2.13{col 54}{space 3}0.033{col 62}{space 4} .3578022{col 75}{space 3} 8.707652
{txt}{space 13}coldwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -15.8418{col 34}{space 2} 6.259176{col 45}{space 1}   -2.53{col 54}{space 3}0.011{col 62}{space 4}-28.10956{col 75}{space 3}-3.574045
{txt}{space 9}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3432747{col 34}{space 2} .3714911{col 45}{space 1}    0.92{col 54}{space 3}0.355{col 62}{space 4}-.3848346{col 75}{space 3} 1.071384
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 6}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2.879888{col 34}{space 2} 6.571492{col 45}{space 1}    0.44{col 54}{space 3}0.661{col 62}{space 4}-9.999999{col 75}{space 3} 15.75977
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 11.26942{col 34}{space 2} 6.892279{col 45}{space 1}    1.64{col 54}{space 3}0.102{col 62}{space 4}-2.239197{col 75}{space 3} 24.77804
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 7.392338{col 34}{space 2} 7.376467{col 45}{space 1}    1.00{col 54}{space 3}0.316{col 62}{space 4}-7.065271{col 75}{space 3} 21.84995
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 12.54095{col 34}{space 2} 7.105852{col 45}{space 1}    1.76{col 54}{space 3}0.078{col 62}{space 4}-1.386262{col 75}{space 3} 26.46817
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 25.60749{col 34}{space 2} 7.514665{col 45}{space 1}    3.41{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 10.87902{col 75}{space 3} 40.33596
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 42.04645{col 34}{space 2} 8.425343{col 45}{space 1}    4.99{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 25.53308{col 75}{space 3} 58.55982
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 33.43522{col 34}{space 2} 7.274889{col 45}{space 1}    4.60{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  19.1767{col 75}{space 3} 47.69374
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 8.056972{col 34}{space 2} 3.261735{col 45}{space 1}    2.47{col 54}{space 3}0.014{col 62}{space 4} 1.664089{col 75}{space 3} 14.44986
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-8.097988{col 34}{space 2} 3.008739{col 45}{space 1}   -2.69{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4}-13.99501{col 75}{space 3}-2.200967
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.796276{col 34}{space 2} 4.688509{col 45}{space 1}   -0.38{col 54}{space 3}0.702{col 62}{space 4}-10.98558{col 75}{space 3} 7.393032
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 21.41779{col 34}{space 2} 5.659279{col 45}{space 1}    3.78{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  10.3258{col 75}{space 3} 32.50977
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate miseryt1 1.terminate#c.miseryt1 ICB_dura
{col 23}ICB_viol strivalry coldwar nytimes_cum _Ipresident_34
{col 23}_Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36 _Ipresident_37
{col 23}_Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39 _Ipresident_40
{col 23}_Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42 _Ipresident_43
Duplicates:{col 23}miseryt1
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. 
. ***Partisan Conflict Models***
. /*Table 3, column 4*/
. ivreg2 approve terminate##c.partisan_conflict_monthly $c elecyear firstyear term2, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}8{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}strivalry _Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35
{col 21}_Ipresident_36 _Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 21}_Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    21{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     142
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   113{txt}{col 55}F( 15,    20) = {res}  117.36
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 25767.06916{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.6886
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 379616.9935{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.9789
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 8023.860547{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   7.517

{txt}{hline 25}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 26}{c |}{col 38}    Robust
{col 1}                 approve{col 26}{c |}      Coef.{col 38}   Std. Err.{col 50}      z{col 58}   P>|z|{col 66}     [95% Con{col 79}f. Interval]
{hline 25}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 13}1.terminate {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 11.18217{col 38}{space 2} 7.511459{col 49}{space 1}    1.49{col 58}{space 3}0.137{col 66}{space 4}-3.540015{col 79}{space 3} 25.90436
{txt}partisan_conflict_mont~y {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} .0013153{col 38}{space 2} .0671391{col 49}{space 1}    0.02{col 58}{space 3}0.984{col 66}{space 4}-.1302749{col 79}{space 3} .1329056
{txt}{space 24} {c |}
{space 15}terminate#{c |}
{space 22}c. {c |}
partisan_conflict_mont~y {c |}
{space 22}1  {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-.0933336{col 38}{space 2} .0710229{col 49}{space 1}   -1.31{col 58}{space 3}0.189{col 66}{space 4}-.2325359{col 79}{space 3} .0458686
{txt}{space 24} {c |}
{space 16}miseryt1 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-4.238471{col 38}{space 2} .8369453{col 49}{space 1}   -5.06{col 58}{space 3}0.000{col 66}{space 4}-5.878854{col 79}{space 3}-2.598088
{txt}{space 16}ICB_dura {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-.7041983{col 38}{space 2} .1622146{col 49}{space 1}   -4.34{col 58}{space 3}0.000{col 66}{space 4}-1.022133{col 79}{space 3}-.3862636
{txt}{space 16}ICB_viol {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 2.853382{col 38}{space 2} 1.960865{col 49}{space 1}    1.46{col 58}{space 3}0.146{col 66}{space 4}-.9898423{col 79}{space 3} 6.696607
{txt}{space 15}strivalry {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 17}coldwar {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-18.92985{col 38}{space 2} 8.255183{col 49}{space 1}   -2.29{col 58}{space 3}0.022{col 66}{space 4}-35.10972{col 79}{space 3}-2.749992
{txt}{space 13}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} .6249598{col 38}{space 2} .5102899{col 49}{space 1}    1.22{col 58}{space 3}0.221{col 66}{space 4}  -.37519{col 79}{space 3}  1.62511
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 45.66426{col 38}{space 2}    13.37{col 49}{space 1}    3.42{col 58}{space 3}0.001{col 66}{space 4} 19.45954{col 79}{space 3} 71.86898
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 14.55468{col 38}{space 2} 5.473522{col 49}{space 1}    2.66{col 58}{space 3}0.008{col 66}{space 4} 3.826772{col 79}{space 3} 25.28259
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-5.077066{col 38}{space 2} 4.279725{col 49}{space 1}   -1.19{col 58}{space 3}0.236{col 66}{space 4}-13.46517{col 79}{space 3} 3.311041
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-4.028467{col 38}{space 2} 5.684319{col 49}{space 1}   -0.71{col 58}{space 3}0.479{col 66}{space 4}-15.16953{col 79}{space 3} 7.112594
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 16}elecyear {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-.0476887{col 38}{space 2} 3.860934{col 49}{space 1}   -0.01{col 58}{space 3}0.990{col 66}{space 4}-7.614979{col 79}{space 3} 7.519602
{txt}{space 15}firstyear {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}  3.83022{col 38}{space 2} 5.570711{col 49}{space 1}    0.69{col 58}{space 3}0.492{col 66}{space 4}-7.088173{col 79}{space 3} 14.74861
{txt}{space 19}term2 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-14.75473{col 38}{space 2} 5.114989{col 49}{space 1}   -2.88{col 58}{space 3}0.004{col 66}{space 4}-24.77992{col 79}{space 3}-4.729536
{txt}{space 19}_cons {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 94.26183{col 38}{space 2} 12.63843{col 49}{space 1}    7.46{col 58}{space 3}0.000{col 66}{space 4} 69.49096{col 79}{space 3} 119.0327
{txt}{hline 25}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate partisan_conflict_monthly
{col 23}1.terminate#c.partisan_conflict_monthly miseryt1 ICB_dura
{col 23}ICB_viol coldwar nytimes_cum _Ipresident_40 _Ipresident_41
{col 23}_Ipresident_42 _Ipresident_43 elecyear firstyear term2
Dropped collinear:{col 23}strivalry _Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35
{col 23}_Ipresident_36 _Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38
{col 23}_Ipresident_39 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. /*Figure 2, bottom right panel*/
. margins, dydx(terminate) at(partisan_conflict_monthly=(60(1)180)) atmeans
{res}
{txt}Conditional marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       142
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Linear prediction, predict()}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:1.terminate}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:0.terminate}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}.8661972 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:1.terminate}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}.1338028 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:partisan_c~y}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 9}60}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:miseryt1}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}8.633138 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:ICB_dura}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}7.274648 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:ICB_viol}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}1.633803 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:strivalry}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:coldwar}{space 9}{txt:=} {space 4}.028169 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:nytimes_cum}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}.8028169 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~33}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~34}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~35}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~36}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~37}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~38}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~39}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~40}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0140845 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~41}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0704225 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~42}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.2746479 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~43}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 4}.471831 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~44}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.1690141 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:elecyear}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}.0140845 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:firstyear}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 3}.1619718 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:term2}{space 11}{txt:=} {space 3}.4507042 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:0.terminate}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}.8661972 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:1.terminate}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}.1338028 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:partisan_c~y}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 9}61}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:miseryt1}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}8.633138 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:ICB_dura}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}7.274648 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:ICB_viol}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}1.633803 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:strivalry}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:coldwar}{space 9}{txt:=} {space 4}.028169 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:nytimes_cum}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}.8028169 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~33}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~34}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~35}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~36}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~37}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~38}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~39}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~40}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0140845 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~41}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0704225 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~42}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.2746479 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~43}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 4}.471831 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~44}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.1690141 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:elecyear}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}.0140845 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:firstyear}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 3}.1619718 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:term2}{space 11}{txt:=} {space 3}.4507042 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:3._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:0.terminate}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}.8661972 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
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{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~34}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~35}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~36}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~37}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~38}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~39}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~40}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0140845 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~41}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0704225 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~42}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.2746479 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~43}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 4}.471831 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~44}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.1690141 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:elecyear}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}.0140845 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:firstyear}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 3}.1619718 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:term2}{space 11}{txt:=} {space 3}.4507042 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:119._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:0.terminate}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}.8661972 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:1.terminate}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}.1338028 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:partisan_c~y}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}178}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:miseryt1}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}8.633138 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:ICB_dura}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}7.274648 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:ICB_viol}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}1.633803 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:strivalry}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:coldwar}{space 9}{txt:=} {space 4}.028169 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:nytimes_cum}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}.8028169 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~33}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~34}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~35}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~36}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~37}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~38}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~39}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~40}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0140845 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~41}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0704225 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~42}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.2746479 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~43}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 4}.471831 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~44}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.1690141 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:elecyear}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}.0140845 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:firstyear}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 3}.1619718 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:term2}{space 11}{txt:=} {space 3}.4507042 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:120._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:0.terminate}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}.8661972 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:1.terminate}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}.1338028 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:partisan_c~y}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}179}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:miseryt1}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}8.633138 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:ICB_dura}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}7.274648 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:ICB_viol}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}1.633803 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:strivalry}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:coldwar}{space 9}{txt:=} {space 4}.028169 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:nytimes_cum}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}.8028169 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~33}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~34}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~35}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~36}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~37}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~38}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~39}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~40}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0140845 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~41}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0704225 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~42}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.2746479 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~43}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 4}.471831 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~44}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.1690141 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:elecyear}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}.0140845 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:firstyear}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 3}.1619718 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:term2}{space 11}{txt:=} {space 3}.4507042 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:121._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:0.terminate}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}.8661972 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:1.terminate}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}.1338028 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:partisan_c~y}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}180}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:miseryt1}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}8.633138 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:ICB_dura}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}7.274648 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:ICB_viol}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}1.633803 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:strivalry}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:coldwar}{space 9}{txt:=} {space 4}.028169 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:nytimes_cum}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}.8028169 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~33}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~34}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~35}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
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{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~36}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~37}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~38}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~39}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~40}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0140845 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~41}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0704225 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~42}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.2746479 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~43}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 4}.471831 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:_Ipreside~44}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.1690141 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:elecyear}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 3}.0140845 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:firstyear}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 3}.1619718 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:term2}{space 11}{txt:=} {space 3}.4507042 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}      dy/dx{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0.terminate {col 14}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1.terminate  {txt}{c |}
{space 9}_at {c |}
{space 10}1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 5.582157{col 26}{space 2} 3.623866{col 37}{space 1}    1.54{col 46}{space 3}0.123{col 54}{space 4} -1.52049{col 67}{space 3}  12.6848
{txt}{space 10}2  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 5.488823{col 26}{space 2} 3.566316{col 37}{space 1}    1.54{col 46}{space 3}0.124{col 54}{space 4}-1.501028{col 67}{space 3} 12.47867
{txt}{space 10}3  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 5.395489{col 26}{space 2}  3.50926{col 37}{space 1}    1.54{col 46}{space 3}0.124{col 54}{space 4}-1.482534{col 67}{space 3} 12.27351
{txt}{space 10}4  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 5.302156{col 26}{space 2} 3.452722{col 37}{space 1}    1.54{col 46}{space 3}0.125{col 54}{space 4}-1.465055{col 67}{space 3} 12.06937
{txt}{space 10}5  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 5.208822{col 26}{space 2} 3.396728{col 37}{space 1}    1.53{col 46}{space 3}0.125{col 54}{space 4}-1.448642{col 67}{space 3} 11.86629
{txt}{space 10}6  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 5.115489{col 26}{space 2} 3.341305{col 37}{space 1}    1.53{col 46}{space 3}0.126{col 54}{space 4}-1.433349{col 67}{space 3} 11.66433
{txt}{space 10}7  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 5.022155{col 26}{space 2} 3.286482{col 37}{space 1}    1.53{col 46}{space 3}0.126{col 54}{space 4}-1.419232{col 67}{space 3} 11.46354
{txt}{space 10}8  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.928821{col 26}{space 2} 3.232291{col 37}{space 1}    1.52{col 46}{space 3}0.127{col 54}{space 4}-1.406352{col 67}{space 3} 11.26399
{txt}{space 10}9  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.835488{col 26}{space 2} 3.178762{col 37}{space 1}    1.52{col 46}{space 3}0.128{col 54}{space 4}-1.394772{col 67}{space 3} 11.06575
{txt}{space 9}10  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.742154{col 26}{space 2} 3.125931{col 37}{space 1}    1.52{col 46}{space 3}0.129{col 54}{space 4}-1.384557{col 67}{space 3} 10.86887
{txt}{space 9}11  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.648821{col 26}{space 2} 3.073832{col 37}{space 1}    1.51{col 46}{space 3}0.130{col 54}{space 4} -1.37578{col 67}{space 3} 10.67342
{txt}{space 9}12  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.555487{col 26}{space 2} 3.022505{col 37}{space 1}    1.51{col 46}{space 3}0.132{col 54}{space 4}-1.368514{col 67}{space 3} 10.47949
{txt}{space 9}13  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.462153{col 26}{space 2} 2.971988{col 37}{space 1}    1.50{col 46}{space 3}0.133{col 54}{space 4}-1.362837{col 67}{space 3} 10.28714
{txt}{space 9}14  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  4.36882{col 26}{space 2} 2.922325{col 37}{space 1}    1.49{col 46}{space 3}0.135{col 54}{space 4}-1.358831{col 67}{space 3} 10.09647
{txt}{space 9}15  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.275486{col 26}{space 2} 2.873558{col 37}{space 1}    1.49{col 46}{space 3}0.137{col 54}{space 4}-1.356585{col 67}{space 3} 9.907557
{txt}{space 9}16  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.182152{col 26}{space 2} 2.825736{col 37}{space 1}    1.48{col 46}{space 3}0.139{col 54}{space 4}-1.356188{col 67}{space 3} 9.720493
{txt}{space 9}17  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.088819{col 26}{space 2} 2.778905{col 37}{space 1}    1.47{col 46}{space 3}0.141{col 54}{space 4}-1.357736{col 67}{space 3} 9.535373
{txt}{space 9}18  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.995485{col 26}{space 2} 2.733119{col 37}{space 1}    1.46{col 46}{space 3}0.144{col 54}{space 4}-1.361329{col 67}{space 3} 9.352299
{txt}{space 9}19  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.902152{col 26}{space 2} 2.688428{col 37}{space 1}    1.45{col 46}{space 3}0.147{col 54}{space 4}-1.367071{col 67}{space 3} 9.171374
{txt}{space 9}20  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.808818{col 26}{space 2}  2.64489{col 37}{space 1}    1.44{col 46}{space 3}0.150{col 54}{space 4}-1.375072{col 67}{space 3} 8.992708
{txt}{space 9}21  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.715484{col 26}{space 2} 2.602563{col 37}{space 1}    1.43{col 46}{space 3}0.153{col 54}{space 4}-1.385445{col 67}{space 3} 8.816414
{txt}{space 9}22  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.622151{col 26}{space 2} 2.561505{col 37}{space 1}    1.41{col 46}{space 3}0.157{col 54}{space 4}-1.398307{col 67}{space 3} 8.642609
{txt}{space 9}23  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.528817{col 26}{space 2}  2.52178{col 37}{space 1}    1.40{col 46}{space 3}0.162{col 54}{space 4} -1.41378{col 67}{space 3} 8.471414
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{txt}{space 8}121  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-5.617877{col 26}{space 2} 5.958938{col 37}{space 1}   -0.94{col 46}{space 3}0.346{col 54}{space 4}-17.29718{col 67}{space 3} 6.061426
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 0 78}Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.{txt}{p_end}
{res}{txt}
{com}. marginsplot, addplot(hist partisan_conflict_monthly, ///
>         freq yaxis(2) yscale(alt axis(2)) below start(50) width(0.5) legend(off)) ///
>         title("Moderator: Partisan Conflict Index") ytitle("Effect of Termination") ///
>         xtitle("Partisan Conflict Index") yline(0) saving(PLOT_partisan_conflict, replace)
{res}
{text}{p 2 6 2}Variables that uniquely identify margins: partisan_conflict_monthly{p_end}
{res}{txt}(note: file PLOT_partisan_conflict.gph not found)
{res}{txt}(file PLOT_partisan_conflict.gph saved)

{com}. /*combination of all graphs into Figure 2, if desired*/
. graph combine PLOT_elecyear.gph PLOT_nytimes_cum.gph PLOT_miseryt1.gph PLOT_partisan_conflict.gph 
{res}{txt}
{com}. /*Table A2, column 4*/
. ivreg2 approve_detrend terminate##c.partisan_conflict_monthly $c, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}8{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}strivalry _Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35
{col 21}_Ipresident_36 _Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 21}_Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    21{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     142
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   113{txt}{col 55}F( 12,    20) = {res}   46.38
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 19388.19082{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.5455
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 19978.31475{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.5589
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 8812.361257{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   7.878

{txt}{hline 25}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 26}{c |}{col 38}    Robust
{col 1}         approve_detrend{col 26}{c |}      Coef.{col 38}   Std. Err.{col 50}      z{col 58}   P>|z|{col 66}     [95% Con{col 79}f. Interval]
{hline 25}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 13}1.terminate {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}   13.028{col 38}{space 2} 6.253688{col 49}{space 1}    2.08{col 58}{space 3}0.037{col 66}{space 4} .7709966{col 79}{space 3}   25.285
{txt}partisan_conflict_mont~y {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-.0437943{col 38}{space 2} .0490192{col 49}{space 1}   -0.89{col 58}{space 3}0.372{col 66}{space 4}-.1398702{col 79}{space 3} .0522817
{txt}{space 24} {c |}
{space 15}terminate#{c |}
{space 22}c. {c |}
partisan_conflict_mont~y {c |}
{space 22}1  {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-.1135844{col 38}{space 2} .0580249{col 49}{space 1}   -1.96{col 58}{space 3}0.050{col 66}{space 4}-.2273111{col 79}{space 3} .0001422
{txt}{space 24} {c |}
{space 16}miseryt1 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-3.050418{col 38}{space 2} .6703487{col 49}{space 1}   -4.55{col 58}{space 3}0.000{col 66}{space 4}-4.364277{col 79}{space 3}-1.736558
{txt}{space 16}ICB_dura {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-.6449184{col 38}{space 2} .1541625{col 49}{space 1}   -4.18{col 58}{space 3}0.000{col 66}{space 4}-.9470714{col 79}{space 3}-.3427654
{txt}{space 16}ICB_viol {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 3.990285{col 38}{space 2} 1.734522{col 49}{space 1}    2.30{col 58}{space 3}0.021{col 66}{space 4} .5906843{col 79}{space 3} 7.389885
{txt}{space 15}strivalry {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 17}coldwar {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-14.96118{col 38}{space 2} 6.505399{col 49}{space 1}   -2.30{col 58}{space 3}0.021{col 66}{space 4}-27.71153{col 79}{space 3}-2.210834
{txt}{space 13}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} .6955962{col 38}{space 2} .4517852{col 49}{space 1}    1.54{col 58}{space 3}0.124{col 66}{space 4}-.1898866{col 79}{space 3} 1.581079
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 29.67585{col 38}{space 2}  8.83233{col 49}{space 1}    3.36{col 58}{space 3}0.001{col 66}{space 4}  12.3648{col 79}{space 3}  46.9869
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 2.903082{col 38}{space 2}  5.39517{col 49}{space 1}    0.54{col 58}{space 3}0.591{col 66}{space 4}-7.671257{col 79}{space 3} 13.47742
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-11.81974{col 38}{space 2}  3.35498{col 49}{space 1}   -3.52{col 58}{space 3}0.000{col 66}{space 4}-18.39537{col 79}{space 3}-5.244096
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-6.138216{col 38}{space 2} 5.966696{col 49}{space 1}   -1.03{col 58}{space 3}0.304{col 66}{space 4}-17.83272{col 79}{space 3} 5.556292
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 19}_cons {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}   31.715{col 38}{space 2}  9.41663{col 49}{space 1}    3.37{col 58}{space 3}0.001{col 66}{space 4} 13.25875{col 79}{space 3} 50.17126
{txt}{hline 25}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate partisan_conflict_monthly
{col 23}1.terminate#c.partisan_conflict_monthly miseryt1 ICB_dura
{col 23}ICB_viol coldwar nytimes_cum _Ipresident_40 _Ipresident_41
{col 23}_Ipresident_42 _Ipresident_43
Dropped collinear:{col 23}strivalry _Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35
{col 23}_Ipresident_36 _Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38
{col 23}_Ipresident_39 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. 
. 
. ************************************************************
. *Robustness Checks with Two-Stage Residual Inclusion Models*
. ************************************************************
. 
. ***Termination(1764 bootstrapping)***
. gen ICB_dura2 = ICB_dura^2
{txt}(685 missing values generated)

{com}. gen ICB_dura3 = ICB_dura^3
{txt}(685 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. /*Table A3, columns 1 and 2*/
. capture program drop myboot
{txt}
{com}. prog myboot, eclass
{txt}  1{com}. probit terminate ICB_globorg ICB_cenvio ICB_dura ICB_dura2 ICB_dura3
{txt}  2{com}. capture drop res
{txt}  3{com}. predict res, de
{txt}  4{com}. ivreg2 approve terminate $c firstyear elecyear term2 res, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{txt}  5{com}. tempvar touse
{txt}  6{com}. tempname b V
{txt}  7{com}. matrix `b'=e(b)
{txt}  8{com}. matrix `V'=e(V)
{txt}  9{com}. quietly gen byte `touse' = e(sample)
{txt} 10{com}. ereturn post `b' `V', esample(`touse')
{txt} 11{com}. end
{txt}
{com}. myboot

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-126.16576}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-111.03091}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-110.80564}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-110.80533}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-110.80533}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       269
{txt}{col 49}LR chi2({res}5{txt}){col 67}= {res}     30.72
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log likelihood = {res}-110.80533{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1217

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}   terminate{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 1}ICB_globorg {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.6404801{col 26}{space 2} .1561824{col 37}{space 1}   -4.10{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.9465921{col 67}{space 3}-.3343681
{txt}{space 2}ICB_cenvio {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2305616{col 26}{space 2} .0851411{col 37}{space 1}    2.71{col 46}{space 3}0.007{col 54}{space 4}  .063688{col 67}{space 3} .3974351
{txt}{space 4}ICB_dura {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5781839{col 26}{space 2} .1582171{col 37}{space 1}    3.65{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .268084{col 67}{space 3} .8882837
{txt}{space 3}ICB_dura2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0613214{col 26}{space 2} .0173452{col 37}{space 1}   -3.54{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0953173{col 67}{space 3}-.0273256
{txt}{space 3}ICB_dura3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0018031{col 26}{space 2} .0005268{col 37}{space 1}    3.42{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .0007707{col 67}{space 3} .0028356
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.579789{col 26}{space 2} .3726077{col 37}{space 1}   -4.24{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-2.310086{col 67}{space 3}-.8494908
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
(685 missing values generated)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}19{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    48{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     253
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   213{txt}{col 55}F( 21,    47) = {res}  270.08
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 49844.50046{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.7453
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 740000.7433{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.9828
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 12694.94537{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   7.084

{txt}{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}       approve{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}terminate {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 2.983718{col 28}{space 2} 1.244531{col 39}{space 1}    2.40{col 48}{space 3}0.017{col 56}{space 4} .5444827{col 69}{space 3} 5.422953
{txt}{space 6}miseryt1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-2.529199{col 28}{space 2}  .446337{col 39}{space 1}   -5.67{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-3.404004{col 69}{space 3}-1.654395
{txt}{space 6}ICB_dura {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.7987998{col 28}{space 2} .1559282{col 39}{space 1}   -5.12{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-1.104413{col 69}{space 3}-.4931862
{txt}{space 6}ICB_viol {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 2.199715{col 28}{space 2} 1.402246{col 39}{space 1}    1.57{col 48}{space 3}0.117{col 56}{space 4}-.5486369{col 69}{space 3} 4.948067
{txt}{space 5}strivalry {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 2.907624{col 28}{space 2} 2.072788{col 39}{space 1}    1.40{col 48}{space 3}0.161{col 56}{space 4}-1.154966{col 69}{space 3} 6.970214
{txt}{space 7}coldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-18.02043{col 28}{space 2} 7.217816{col 39}{space 1}   -2.50{col 48}{space 3}0.013{col 56}{space 4}-32.16709{col 69}{space 3}-3.873774
{txt}{space 3}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .4283034{col 28}{space 2} .3707292{col 39}{space 1}    1.16{col 48}{space 3}0.248{col 56}{space 4}-.2983125{col 69}{space 3} 1.154919
{txt}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}        0{col 28}{txt}  (omitted)
_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 22.64424{col 28}{space 2} 8.541784{col 39}{space 1}    2.65{col 48}{space 3}0.008{col 56}{space 4}  5.90265{col 69}{space 3} 39.38583
{txt}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 28.62258{col 28}{space 2} 7.510915{col 39}{space 1}    3.81{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 13.90146{col 69}{space 3}  43.3437
{txt}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 13.07302{col 28}{space 2} 9.067935{col 39}{space 1}    1.44{col 48}{space 3}0.149{col 56}{space 4}-4.699805{col 69}{space 3} 30.84585
{txt}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 14.82341{col 28}{space 2} 8.244012{col 39}{space 1}    1.80{col 48}{space 3}0.072{col 56}{space 4}-1.334556{col 69}{space 3} 30.98138
{txt}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 21.97879{col 28}{space 2} 9.559217{col 39}{space 1}    2.30{col 48}{space 3}0.021{col 56}{space 4} 3.243072{col 69}{space 3} 40.71452
{txt}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 39.59704{col 28}{space 2} 10.34758{col 39}{space 1}    3.83{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 19.31616{col 69}{space 3} 59.87792
{txt}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 38.41642{col 28}{space 2} 8.114698{col 39}{space 1}    4.73{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 22.51191{col 69}{space 3} 54.32094
{txt}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 16.31026{col 28}{space 2} 3.605828{col 39}{space 1}    4.52{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 9.242968{col 69}{space 3} 23.37755
{txt}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.9172142{col 28}{space 2} 3.421737{col 39}{space 1}   -0.27{col 48}{space 3}0.789{col 56}{space 4}-7.623695{col 69}{space 3} 5.789266
{txt}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1942276{col 28}{space 2} 4.884721{col 39}{space 1}   -0.04{col 48}{space 3}0.968{col 56}{space 4}-9.768105{col 69}{space 3}  9.37965
{txt}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}        0{col 28}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 5}firstyear {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 4.399516{col 28}{space 2} 4.234548{col 39}{space 1}    1.04{col 48}{space 3}0.299{col 56}{space 4}-3.900045{col 69}{space 3} 12.69908
{txt}{space 6}elecyear {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-6.178652{col 28}{space 2} 2.941197{col 39}{space 1}   -2.10{col 48}{space 3}0.036{col 56}{space 4}-11.94329{col 69}{space 3}-.4140129
{txt}{space 9}term2 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-10.00615{col 28}{space 2} 3.571068{col 39}{space 1}   -2.80{col 48}{space 3}0.005{col 56}{space 4}-17.00531{col 69}{space 3}-3.006983
{txt}{space 11}res {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0160952{col 28}{space 2} .3191527{col 39}{space 1}   -0.05{col 48}{space 3}0.960{col 56}{space 4}-.6416231{col 69}{space 3} .6094326
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 76.27169{col 28}{space 2} 6.194364{col 39}{space 1}   12.31{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 64.13096{col 69}{space 3} 88.41242
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}terminate miseryt1 ICB_dura ICB_viol strivalry coldwar
{col 23}nytimes_cum _Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36
{col 23}_Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 23}_Ipresident_40 _Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42
{col 23}_Ipresident_43 firstyear elecyear term2 res
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. 
. ***Detrended Model***
. /*Table A3, columns 3 and 4*/
. capture program drop myboot
{txt}
{com}. prog myboot, eclass
{txt}  1{com}. probit satisfy_us ICB_globorg ICB_cenvio ICB_dura ICB_dura2 ICB_dura3
{txt}  2{com}. capture drop res
{txt}  3{com}. predict res, de
{txt}  4{com}. ivreg2 approve_detrend terminate $c res, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{txt}  5{com}. tempvar touse
{txt}  6{com}. tempname b V
{txt}  7{com}. matrix `b'=e(b)
{txt}  8{com}. matrix `V'=e(V)
{txt}  9{com}. quietly gen byte `touse' = e(sample)
{txt} 10{com}. ereturn post `b' `V', esample(`touse')
{txt} 11{com}. end
{txt}
{com}. myboot

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-113.09984}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res: -100.5281}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-100.30472}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-100.30439}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-100.30439}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       269
{txt}{col 49}LR chi2({res}5{txt}){col 67}= {res}     25.59
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0001
{txt}Log likelihood = {res}-100.30439{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1131

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}  satisfy_us{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 1}ICB_globorg {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.5672854{col 26}{space 2} .1620527{col 37}{space 1}   -3.50{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.8849028{col 67}{space 3} -.249668
{txt}{space 2}ICB_cenvio {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2500822{col 26}{space 2}  .087971{col 37}{space 1}    2.84{col 46}{space 3}0.004{col 54}{space 4} .0776621{col 67}{space 3} .4225023
{txt}{space 4}ICB_dura {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5313378{col 26}{space 2} .1636261{col 37}{space 1}    3.25{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .2106365{col 67}{space 3} .8520392
{txt}{space 3}ICB_dura2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0561391{col 26}{space 2} .0178522{col 37}{space 1}   -3.14{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4}-.0911287{col 67}{space 3}-.0211495
{txt}{space 3}ICB_dura3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0016678{col 26}{space 2} .0005402{col 37}{space 1}    3.09{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} .0006091{col 67}{space 3} .0027265
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.775802{col 26}{space 2} .3882643{col 37}{space 1}   -4.57{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-2.536786{col 67}{space 3}-1.014818
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
(685 missing values generated)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}19{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    48{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     253
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   213{txt}{col 55}F( 18,    47) = {res}  129.40
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 26892.84863{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.5236
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 27628.89294{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.5363
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 12812.39406{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   7.116

{txt}{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}approve_detr~d{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}terminate {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 2.522982{col 28}{space 2} 1.176909{col 39}{space 1}    2.14{col 48}{space 3}0.032{col 56}{space 4} .2162826{col 69}{space 3} 4.829681
{txt}{space 6}miseryt1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-2.490157{col 28}{space 2}  .435412{col 39}{space 1}   -5.72{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-3.343549{col 69}{space 3}-1.636765
{txt}{space 6}ICB_dura {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.6934873{col 28}{space 2} .1493808{col 39}{space 1}   -4.64{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-.9862682{col 69}{space 3}-.4007063
{txt}{space 6}ICB_viol {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 3.057447{col 28}{space 2} 1.305615{col 39}{space 1}    2.34{col 48}{space 3}0.019{col 56}{space 4}  .498488{col 69}{space 3} 5.616406
{txt}{space 5}strivalry {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 4.582897{col 28}{space 2} 2.022925{col 39}{space 1}    2.27{col 48}{space 3}0.023{col 56}{space 4} .6180361{col 69}{space 3} 8.547757
{txt}{space 7}coldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-15.80285{col 28}{space 2} 6.254122{col 39}{space 1}   -2.53{col 48}{space 3}0.012{col 56}{space 4} -28.0607{col 69}{space 3}-3.544994
{txt}{space 3}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .3454291{col 28}{space 2} .3715149{col 39}{space 1}    0.93{col 48}{space 3}0.352{col 56}{space 4}-.3827266{col 69}{space 3} 1.073585
{txt}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}        0{col 28}{txt}  (omitted)
_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 2.810611{col 28}{space 2}  6.58889{col 39}{space 1}    0.43{col 48}{space 3}0.670{col 56}{space 4}-10.10338{col 69}{space 3}  15.7246
{txt}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 11.21072{col 28}{space 2} 6.882529{col 39}{space 1}    1.63{col 48}{space 3}0.103{col 56}{space 4}-2.278788{col 69}{space 3} 24.70023
{txt}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}  7.35661{col 28}{space 2}  7.36756{col 39}{space 1}    1.00{col 48}{space 3}0.318{col 56}{space 4}-7.083543{col 69}{space 3} 21.79676
{txt}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 12.50553{col 28}{space 2} 7.105402{col 39}{space 1}    1.76{col 48}{space 3}0.078{col 56}{space 4}-1.420803{col 69}{space 3} 26.43186
{txt}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 25.50702{col 28}{space 2} 7.424609{col 39}{space 1}    3.44{col 48}{space 3}0.001{col 56}{space 4} 10.95505{col 69}{space 3} 40.05899
{txt}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 41.95947{col 28}{space 2} 8.336763{col 39}{space 1}    5.03{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 25.61971{col 69}{space 3} 58.29922
{txt}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}  33.5763{col 28}{space 2} 7.289625{col 39}{space 1}    4.61{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}  19.2889{col 69}{space 3} 47.86371
{txt}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 8.063466{col 28}{space 2} 3.272774{col 39}{space 1}    2.46{col 48}{space 3}0.014{col 56}{space 4} 1.648947{col 69}{space 3} 14.47798
{txt}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} -8.09489{col 28}{space 2} 3.010844{col 39}{space 1}   -2.69{col 48}{space 3}0.007{col 56}{space 4}-13.99604{col 69}{space 3}-2.193744
{txt}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-1.800364{col 28}{space 2} 4.683991{col 39}{space 1}   -0.38{col 48}{space 3}0.701{col 56}{space 4}-10.98082{col 69}{space 3}  7.38009
{txt}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}        0{col 28}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 11}res {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0778464{col 28}{space 2} .2168434{col 39}{space 1}    0.36{col 48}{space 3}0.720{col 56}{space 4} -.347159{col 69}{space 3} .5028517
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 21.38357{col 28}{space 2} 5.515361{col 39}{space 1}    3.88{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 10.57367{col 69}{space 3} 32.19348
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}terminate miseryt1 ICB_dura ICB_viol strivalry coldwar
{col 23}nytimes_cum _Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36
{col 23}_Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 23}_Ipresident_40 _Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42
{col 23}_Ipresident_43 res
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. 
. ***Election Year***
. /*Table A4, column 1*/
. capture program drop myboot
{txt}
{com}. prog myboot, eclass
{txt}  1{com}. probit terminate ICB_globorg ICB_cenvio ICB_dura ICB_dura2 ICB_dura3
{txt}  2{com}. capture drop res
{txt}  3{com}. predict res, de
{txt}  4{com}. ivreg2 approve terminate##elecyear $c firstyear term2 res, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{txt}  5{com}. tempvar touse
{txt}  6{com}. tempname b V
{txt}  7{com}. matrix `b'=e(b)
{txt}  8{com}. matrix `V'=e(V)
{txt}  9{com}. quietly gen byte `touse' = e(sample)
{txt} 10{com}. ereturn post `b' `V', esample(`touse')
{txt} 11{com}. end
{txt}
{com}. myboot

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-126.16576}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-111.03091}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-110.80564}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-110.80533}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-110.80533}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       269
{txt}{col 49}LR chi2({res}5{txt}){col 67}= {res}     30.72
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log likelihood = {res}-110.80533{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1217

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}   terminate{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 1}ICB_globorg {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.6404801{col 26}{space 2} .1561824{col 37}{space 1}   -4.10{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.9465921{col 67}{space 3}-.3343681
{txt}{space 2}ICB_cenvio {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2305616{col 26}{space 2} .0851411{col 37}{space 1}    2.71{col 46}{space 3}0.007{col 54}{space 4}  .063688{col 67}{space 3} .3974351
{txt}{space 4}ICB_dura {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5781839{col 26}{space 2} .1582171{col 37}{space 1}    3.65{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .268084{col 67}{space 3} .8882837
{txt}{space 3}ICB_dura2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0613214{col 26}{space 2} .0173452{col 37}{space 1}   -3.54{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0953173{col 67}{space 3}-.0273256
{txt}{space 3}ICB_dura3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0018031{col 26}{space 2} .0005268{col 37}{space 1}    3.42{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .0007707{col 67}{space 3} .0028356
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.579789{col 26}{space 2} .3726077{col 37}{space 1}   -4.24{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-2.310086{col 67}{space 3}-.8494908
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
(685 missing values generated)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}19{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    48{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     253
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   213{txt}{col 55}F( 22,    47) = {res}  165.49
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 49844.50046{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.7503
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 740000.7433{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.9832
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 12447.60697{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   7.014

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}    Robust
{col 1}           approve{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      z{col 52}   P>|z|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}1.terminate {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 2.010557{col 32}{space 2} 1.270486{col 43}{space 1}    1.58{col 52}{space 3}0.114{col 60}{space 4}-.4795488{col 73}{space 3} 4.500663
{txt}{space 8}1.elecyear {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-7.749047{col 32}{space 2} 3.213506{col 43}{space 1}   -2.41{col 52}{space 3}0.016{col 60}{space 4} -14.0474{col 73}{space 3}-1.450691
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
terminate#elecyear {c |}
{space 14}1 1  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 10.37154{col 32}{space 2} 4.077671{col 43}{space 1}    2.54{col 52}{space 3}0.011{col 60}{space 4} 2.379449{col 73}{space 3} 18.36362
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 10}miseryt1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-2.526029{col 32}{space 2} .4495117{col 43}{space 1}   -5.62{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-3.407056{col 73}{space 3}-1.645002
{txt}{space 10}ICB_dura {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.7823773{col 32}{space 2} .1577319{col 43}{space 1}   -4.96{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-1.091526{col 73}{space 3}-.4732285
{txt}{space 10}ICB_viol {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 2.368049{col 32}{space 2} 1.403632{col 43}{space 1}    1.69{col 52}{space 3}0.092{col 60}{space 4} -.383019{col 73}{space 3} 5.119118
{txt}{space 9}strivalry {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 2.441053{col 32}{space 2} 2.090783{col 43}{space 1}    1.17{col 52}{space 3}0.243{col 60}{space 4}-1.656807{col 73}{space 3} 6.538913
{txt}{space 11}coldwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-17.15411{col 32}{space 2} 6.909232{col 43}{space 1}   -2.48{col 52}{space 3}0.013{col 60}{space 4}-30.69595{col 73}{space 3}-3.612261
{txt}{space 7}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .4426926{col 32}{space 2} .3659708{col 43}{space 1}    1.21{col 52}{space 3}0.226{col 60}{space 4}-.2745969{col 73}{space 3} 1.159982
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}        0{col 32}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 4}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 22.14044{col 32}{space 2} 8.286181{col 43}{space 1}    2.67{col 52}{space 3}0.008{col 60}{space 4} 5.899818{col 73}{space 3} 38.38105
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 28.34415{col 32}{space 2} 7.221202{col 43}{space 1}    3.93{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 14.19085{col 73}{space 3} 42.49745
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  12.4922{col 32}{space 2} 8.705324{col 43}{space 1}    1.44{col 52}{space 3}0.151{col 60}{space 4}-4.569922{col 73}{space 3} 29.55432
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 14.16108{col 32}{space 2} 8.028922{col 43}{space 1}    1.76{col 52}{space 3}0.078{col 60}{space 4} -1.57532{col 73}{space 3} 29.89747
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 21.72632{col 32}{space 2}  9.41271{col 43}{space 1}    2.31{col 52}{space 3}0.021{col 60}{space 4}  3.27775{col 73}{space 3}  40.1749
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 39.11316{col 32}{space 2} 10.09787{col 43}{space 1}    3.87{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 19.32169{col 73}{space 3} 58.90463
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 37.78285{col 32}{space 2} 7.998084{col 43}{space 1}    4.72{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}  22.1069{col 73}{space 3} 53.45881
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 15.91678{col 32}{space 2} 3.818191{col 43}{space 1}    4.17{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 8.433264{col 73}{space 3}  23.4003
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.8829866{col 32}{space 2}   3.4389{col 43}{space 1}   -0.26{col 52}{space 3}0.797{col 60}{space 4}-7.623106{col 73}{space 3} 5.857133
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -.506486{col 32}{space 2} 4.889872{col 43}{space 1}   -0.10{col 52}{space 3}0.918{col 60}{space 4}-10.09046{col 73}{space 3} 9.077487
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}        0{col 32}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 9}firstyear {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 4.129368{col 32}{space 2} 4.233507{col 43}{space 1}    0.98{col 52}{space 3}0.329{col 60}{space 4}-4.168153{col 73}{space 3} 12.42689
{txt}{space 13}term2 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -9.93773{col 32}{space 2}  3.48289{col 43}{space 1}   -2.85{col 52}{space 3}0.004{col 60}{space 4}-16.76407{col 73}{space 3}-3.111391
{txt}{space 15}res {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0195102{col 32}{space 2} .3390882{col 43}{space 1}    0.06{col 52}{space 3}0.954{col 60}{space 4}-.6450905{col 73}{space 3} .6841108
{txt}{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 76.08488{col 32}{space 2} 6.180094{col 43}{space 1}   12.31{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 63.97211{col 73}{space 3} 88.19764
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate 1.elecyear 1.terminate#1.elecyear miseryt1
{col 23}ICB_dura ICB_viol strivalry coldwar nytimes_cum
{col 23}_Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36
{col 23}_Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 23}_Ipresident_40 _Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42
{col 23}_Ipresident_43 firstyear term2 res
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. 
. *New York Times Coverage*
. /*Table A4, column 2*/
. capture program drop myboot
{txt}
{com}. prog myboot, eclass
{txt}  1{com}. probit terminate ICB_globorg ICB_cenvio ICB_dura ICB_dura2 ICB_dura3
{txt}  2{com}. capture drop res
{txt}  3{com}. predict res, de
{txt}  4{com}. ivreg2 approve terminate##c.nytimes_cum $c elecyear firstyear term2 res, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{txt}  5{com}. tempvar touse
{txt}  6{com}. tempname b V
{txt}  7{com}. matrix `b'=e(b)
{txt}  8{com}. matrix `V'=e(V)
{txt}  9{com}. quietly gen byte `touse' = e(sample)
{txt} 10{com}. ereturn post `b' `V', esample(`touse')
{txt} 11{com}. end
{txt}
{com}. myboot

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-126.16576}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-111.03091}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-110.80564}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-110.80533}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-110.80533}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       269
{txt}{col 49}LR chi2({res}5{txt}){col 67}= {res}     30.72
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log likelihood = {res}-110.80533{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1217

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}   terminate{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 1}ICB_globorg {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.6404801{col 26}{space 2} .1561824{col 37}{space 1}   -4.10{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.9465921{col 67}{space 3}-.3343681
{txt}{space 2}ICB_cenvio {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2305616{col 26}{space 2} .0851411{col 37}{space 1}    2.71{col 46}{space 3}0.007{col 54}{space 4}  .063688{col 67}{space 3} .3974351
{txt}{space 4}ICB_dura {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5781839{col 26}{space 2} .1582171{col 37}{space 1}    3.65{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .268084{col 67}{space 3} .8882837
{txt}{space 3}ICB_dura2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0613214{col 26}{space 2} .0173452{col 37}{space 1}   -3.54{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0953173{col 67}{space 3}-.0273256
{txt}{space 3}ICB_dura3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0018031{col 26}{space 2} .0005268{col 37}{space 1}    3.42{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .0007707{col 67}{space 3} .0028356
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.579789{col 26}{space 2} .3726077{col 37}{space 1}   -4.24{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-2.310086{col 67}{space 3}-.8494908
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
(685 missing values generated)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}19{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - duplicate variables detected
Duplicates:{col 21}nytimes_cum
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    48{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     253
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   213{txt}{col 55}F( 22,    47) = {res}  306.17
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 49844.50046{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.7479
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 740000.7433{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.9830
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 12565.34462{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   7.047

{txt}{hline 24}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 25}{c |}{col 37}    Robust
{col 1}                approve{col 25}{c |}      Coef.{col 37}   Std. Err.{col 49}      z{col 57}   P>|z|{col 65}     [95% Con{col 78}f. Interval]
{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 12}1.terminate {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 4.127606{col 37}{space 2} 1.496185{col 48}{space 1}    2.76{col 57}{space 3}0.006{col 65}{space 4} 1.195137{col 78}{space 3} 7.060076
{txt}{space 12}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .7121235{col 37}{space 2} .4144189{col 48}{space 1}    1.72{col 57}{space 3}0.086{col 65}{space 4}-.1001226{col 78}{space 3}  1.52437
{txt}{space 23} {c |}
terminate#c.nytimes_cum {c |}
{space 21}1  {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.6365157{col 37}{space 2} .2310851{col 48}{space 1}   -2.75{col 57}{space 3}0.006{col 65}{space 4}-1.089434{col 78}{space 3}-.1835973
{txt}{space 23} {c |}
{space 15}miseryt1 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-2.532675{col 37}{space 2} .4365933{col 48}{space 1}   -5.80{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4}-3.388382{col 78}{space 3}-1.676968
{txt}{space 15}ICB_dura {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.8126717{col 37}{space 2} .1556186{col 48}{space 1}   -5.22{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4}-1.117679{col 78}{space 3} -.507665
{txt}{space 15}ICB_viol {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 2.155902{col 37}{space 2} 1.402731{col 48}{space 1}    1.54{col 57}{space 3}0.124{col 65}{space 4}-.5934004{col 78}{space 3} 4.905204
{txt}{space 14}strivalry {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 2.998348{col 37}{space 2} 2.054629{col 48}{space 1}    1.46{col 57}{space 3}0.144{col 65}{space 4}-1.028651{col 78}{space 3} 7.025347
{txt}{space 16}coldwar {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-17.91334{col 37}{space 2} 7.479493{col 48}{space 1}   -2.39{col 57}{space 3}0.017{col 65}{space 4}-32.57288{col 78}{space 3}-3.253806
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}        0{col 37}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 9}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 22.39901{col 37}{space 2} 8.730879{col 48}{space 1}    2.57{col 57}{space 3}0.010{col 65}{space 4} 5.286802{col 78}{space 3} 39.51122
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 28.21512{col 37}{space 2} 7.767154{col 48}{space 1}    3.63{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 12.99178{col 78}{space 3} 43.43846
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 13.11613{col 37}{space 2}  9.20256{col 48}{space 1}    1.43{col 57}{space 3}0.154{col 65}{space 4}-4.920554{col 78}{space 3} 31.15282
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 14.36608{col 37}{space 2}  8.43705{col 48}{space 1}    1.70{col 57}{space 3}0.089{col 65}{space 4}-2.170235{col 78}{space 3} 30.90239
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 21.64673{col 37}{space 2} 9.679951{col 48}{space 1}    2.24{col 57}{space 3}0.025{col 65}{space 4} 2.674372{col 78}{space 3} 40.61908
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 39.87089{col 37}{space 2}  10.4278{col 48}{space 1}    3.82{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 19.43278{col 78}{space 3}   60.309
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 38.51138{col 37}{space 2} 8.325784{col 48}{space 1}    4.63{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 22.19314{col 78}{space 3} 54.82962
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 15.71077{col 37}{space 2} 3.579168{col 48}{space 1}    4.39{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 8.695731{col 78}{space 3} 22.72581
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.9681314{col 37}{space 2} 3.405993{col 48}{space 1}   -0.28{col 57}{space 3}0.776{col 65}{space 4}-7.643754{col 78}{space 3} 5.707492
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0230324{col 37}{space 2} 4.862439{col 48}{space 1}   -0.00{col 57}{space 3}0.996{col 65}{space 4}-9.553238{col 78}{space 3} 9.507173
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}        0{col 37}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 15}elecyear {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-6.840844{col 37}{space 2} 3.004232{col 48}{space 1}   -2.28{col 57}{space 3}0.023{col 65}{space 4}-12.72903{col 78}{space 3}-.9526579
{txt}{space 14}firstyear {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 4.517076{col 37}{space 2} 4.204551{col 48}{space 1}    1.07{col 57}{space 3}0.283{col 65}{space 4}-3.723693{col 78}{space 3} 12.75784
{txt}{space 18}term2 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-9.998844{col 37}{space 2} 3.574328{col 48}{space 1}   -2.80{col 57}{space 3}0.005{col 65}{space 4} -17.0044{col 78}{space 3}-2.993289
{txt}{space 20}res {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0944403{col 37}{space 2}   .33933{col 48}{space 1}   -0.28{col 57}{space 3}0.781{col 65}{space 4}-.7595149{col 78}{space 3} .5706342
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 76.22584{col 37}{space 2} 6.133046{col 48}{space 1}   12.43{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 64.20529{col 78}{space 3} 88.24638
{txt}{hline 24}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate nytimes_cum 1.terminate#c.nytimes_cum
{col 23}miseryt1 ICB_dura ICB_viol strivalry coldwar
{col 23}_Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36
{col 23}_Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 23}_Ipresident_40 _Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42
{col 23}_Ipresident_43 elecyear firstyear term2 res
Duplicates:{col 23}nytimes_cum
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. 
. ***Economic Misery***
. /*Table A4, column 3*/
. capture program drop myboot
{txt}
{com}. prog myboot, eclass
{txt}  1{com}. probit terminate ICB_globorg ICB_cenvio ICB_dura ICB_dura2 ICB_dura3
{txt}  2{com}. capture drop res
{txt}  3{com}. predict res, de
{txt}  4{com}. ivreg2 approve terminate##c.miseryt1 $c elecyear firstyear term2 res, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{txt}  5{com}. tempvar touse
{txt}  6{com}. tempname b V
{txt}  7{com}. matrix `b'=e(b)
{txt}  8{com}. matrix `V'=e(V)
{txt}  9{com}. quietly gen byte `touse' = e(sample)
{txt} 10{com}. ereturn post `b' `V', esample(`touse')
{txt} 11{com}. end
{txt}
{com}. myboot

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-126.16576}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-111.03091}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-110.80564}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-110.80533}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-110.80533}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       269
{txt}{col 49}LR chi2({res}5{txt}){col 67}= {res}     30.72
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log likelihood = {res}-110.80533{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1217

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}   terminate{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 1}ICB_globorg {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.6404801{col 26}{space 2} .1561824{col 37}{space 1}   -4.10{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.9465921{col 67}{space 3}-.3343681
{txt}{space 2}ICB_cenvio {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2305616{col 26}{space 2} .0851411{col 37}{space 1}    2.71{col 46}{space 3}0.007{col 54}{space 4}  .063688{col 67}{space 3} .3974351
{txt}{space 4}ICB_dura {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5781839{col 26}{space 2} .1582171{col 37}{space 1}    3.65{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .268084{col 67}{space 3} .8882837
{txt}{space 3}ICB_dura2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0613214{col 26}{space 2} .0173452{col 37}{space 1}   -3.54{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0953173{col 67}{space 3}-.0273256
{txt}{space 3}ICB_dura3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0018031{col 26}{space 2} .0005268{col 37}{space 1}    3.42{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .0007707{col 67}{space 3} .0028356
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.579789{col 26}{space 2} .3726077{col 37}{space 1}   -4.24{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-2.310086{col 67}{space 3}-.8494908
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
(685 missing values generated)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}19{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - duplicate variables detected
Duplicates:{col 21}miseryt1
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    48{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     253
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   213{txt}{col 55}F( 22,    47) = {res}  300.77
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 49844.50046{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.7454
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 740000.7433{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.9828
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 12691.84366{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   7.083

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}             approve{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}1.terminate {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2.135852{col 34}{space 2} 2.922235{col 45}{space 1}    0.73{col 54}{space 3}0.465{col 62}{space 4}-3.591623{col 75}{space 3} 7.863327
{txt}{space 12}miseryt1 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2.556353{col 34}{space 2} .4608421{col 45}{space 1}   -5.55{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-3.459586{col 75}{space 3}-1.653119
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
terminate#c.miseryt1 {c |}
{space 18}1  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0950059{col 34}{space 2} .2470584{col 45}{space 1}    0.38{col 54}{space 3}0.701{col 62}{space 4}-.3892196{col 75}{space 3} .5792313
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 12}ICB_dura {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.7984709{col 34}{space 2} .1555839{col 45}{space 1}   -5.13{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} -1.10341{col 75}{space 3} -.493532
{txt}{space 12}ICB_viol {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2.214123{col 34}{space 2} 1.407571{col 45}{space 1}    1.57{col 54}{space 3}0.116{col 62}{space 4}-.5446658{col 75}{space 3} 4.972912
{txt}{space 11}strivalry {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2.820322{col 34}{space 2} 2.160488{col 45}{space 1}    1.31{col 54}{space 3}0.192{col 62}{space 4}-1.414156{col 75}{space 3} 7.054801
{txt}{space 13}coldwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-18.07384{col 34}{space 2} 7.235332{col 45}{space 1}   -2.50{col 54}{space 3}0.012{col 62}{space 4}-32.25483{col 75}{space 3}-3.892849
{txt}{space 9}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .4245036{col 34}{space 2} .3695556{col 45}{space 1}    1.15{col 54}{space 3}0.251{col 62}{space 4}-.2998121{col 75}{space 3} 1.148819
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 6}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 22.72313{col 34}{space 2}  8.52736{col 45}{space 1}    2.66{col 54}{space 3}0.008{col 62}{space 4} 6.009812{col 75}{space 3} 39.43645
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 28.70593{col 34}{space 2} 7.544919{col 45}{space 1}    3.80{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 13.91816{col 75}{space 3}  43.4937
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 13.11432{col 34}{space 2} 9.091818{col 45}{space 1}    1.44{col 54}{space 3}0.149{col 62}{space 4}-4.705315{col 75}{space 3} 30.93396
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 14.89558{col 34}{space 2} 8.246208{col 45}{space 1}    1.81{col 54}{space 3}0.071{col 62}{space 4}-1.266695{col 75}{space 3} 31.05785
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 22.15335{col 34}{space 2} 9.641122{col 45}{space 1}    2.30{col 54}{space 3}0.022{col 62}{space 4} 3.257094{col 75}{space 3}  41.0496
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 39.90949{col 34}{space 2} 10.45996{col 45}{space 1}    3.82{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 19.40835{col 75}{space 3} 60.41063
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 38.08904{col 34}{space 2} 8.202187{col 45}{space 1}    4.64{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 22.01305{col 75}{space 3} 54.16503
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 16.31833{col 34}{space 2} 3.593205{col 45}{space 1}    4.54{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 9.275782{col 75}{space 3} 23.36089
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.9256234{col 34}{space 2} 3.414388{col 45}{space 1}   -0.27{col 54}{space 3}0.786{col 62}{space 4}-7.617701{col 75}{space 3} 5.766455
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2311287{col 34}{space 2} 4.902127{col 45}{space 1}   -0.05{col 54}{space 3}0.962{col 62}{space 4}-9.839121{col 75}{space 3} 9.376863
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 12}elecyear {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-6.195425{col 34}{space 2} 2.953267{col 45}{space 1}   -2.10{col 54}{space 3}0.036{col 62}{space 4}-11.98372{col 75}{space 3}-.4071279
{txt}{space 11}firstyear {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 4.409107{col 34}{space 2} 4.229481{col 45}{space 1}    1.04{col 54}{space 3}0.297{col 62}{space 4}-3.880522{col 75}{space 3} 12.69874
{txt}{space 15}term2 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-10.00084{col 34}{space 2}  3.58208{col 45}{space 1}   -2.79{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4}-17.02159{col 75}{space 3}-2.980091
{txt}{space 17}res {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0090521{col 34}{space 2} .3248735{col 45}{space 1}   -0.03{col 54}{space 3}0.978{col 62}{space 4}-.6457925{col 75}{space 3} .6276883
{txt}{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 76.50283{col 34}{space 2} 6.198923{col 45}{space 1}   12.34{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 64.35317{col 75}{space 3}  88.6525
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate miseryt1 1.terminate#c.miseryt1 ICB_dura
{col 23}ICB_viol strivalry coldwar nytimes_cum _Ipresident_34
{col 23}_Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36 _Ipresident_37
{col 23}_Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39 _Ipresident_40
{col 23}_Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42 _Ipresident_43 elecyear
{col 23}firstyear term2 res
Duplicates:{col 23}miseryt1
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. 
. ***Partisan Conflict***
. /*Table A4, column 4*/
. capture program drop myboot
{txt}
{com}. prog myboot, eclass
{txt}  1{com}. probit terminate ICB_globorg ICB_cenvio ICB_dura ICB_dura2 ICB_dura3
{txt}  2{com}. capture drop res
{txt}  3{com}. predict res, de
{txt}  4{com}. ivreg2 approve terminate##c.partisan_conflict_monthly $c elecyear firstyear term2 res, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{txt}  5{com}. tempvar touse
{txt}  6{com}. tempname b V
{txt}  7{com}. matrix `b'=e(b)
{txt}  8{com}. matrix `V'=e(V)
{txt}  9{com}. quietly gen byte `touse' = e(sample)
{txt} 10{com}. ereturn post `b' `V', esample(`touse')
{txt} 11{com}. end
{txt}
{com}. myboot

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-126.16576}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-111.03091}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-110.80564}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-110.80533}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-110.80533}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       269
{txt}{col 49}LR chi2({res}5{txt}){col 67}= {res}     30.72
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log likelihood = {res}-110.80533{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1217

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}   terminate{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 1}ICB_globorg {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.6404801{col 26}{space 2} .1561824{col 37}{space 1}   -4.10{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.9465921{col 67}{space 3}-.3343681
{txt}{space 2}ICB_cenvio {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2305616{col 26}{space 2} .0851411{col 37}{space 1}    2.71{col 46}{space 3}0.007{col 54}{space 4}  .063688{col 67}{space 3} .3974351
{txt}{space 4}ICB_dura {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5781839{col 26}{space 2} .1582171{col 37}{space 1}    3.65{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .268084{col 67}{space 3} .8882837
{txt}{space 3}ICB_dura2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0613214{col 26}{space 2} .0173452{col 37}{space 1}   -3.54{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0953173{col 67}{space 3}-.0273256
{txt}{space 3}ICB_dura3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0018031{col 26}{space 2} .0005268{col 37}{space 1}    3.42{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .0007707{col 67}{space 3} .0028356
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.579789{col 26}{space 2} .3726077{col 37}{space 1}   -4.24{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-2.310086{col 67}{space 3}-.8494908
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
(685 missing values generated)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}8{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}strivalry _Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35
{col 21}_Ipresident_36 _Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 21}_Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    21{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     142
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   113{txt}{col 55}F( 16,    20) = {res}  109.48
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 25767.06916{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.6887
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 379616.9935{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.9789
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 8020.504216{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   7.515

{txt}{hline 25}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 26}{c |}{col 38}    Robust
{col 1}                 approve{col 26}{c |}      Coef.{col 38}   Std. Err.{col 50}      z{col 58}   P>|z|{col 66}     [95% Con{col 79}f. Interval]
{hline 25}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 13}1.terminate {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 10.97132{col 38}{space 2} 7.461481{col 49}{space 1}    1.47{col 58}{space 3}0.141{col 66}{space 4}-3.652919{col 79}{space 3} 25.59555
{txt}partisan_conflict_mont~y {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}  .001824{col 38}{space 2} .0672647{col 49}{space 1}    0.03{col 58}{space 3}0.978{col 66}{space 4}-.1300123{col 79}{space 3} .1336603
{txt}{space 24} {c |}
{space 15}terminate#{c |}
{space 22}c. {c |}
partisan_conflict_mont~y {c |}
{space 22}1  {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} -.093655{col 38}{space 2} .0698951{col 49}{space 1}   -1.34{col 58}{space 3}0.180{col 66}{space 4} -.230647{col 79}{space 3}  .043337
{txt}{space 24} {c |}
{space 16}miseryt1 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-4.248735{col 38}{space 2} .8338396{col 49}{space 1}   -5.10{col 58}{space 3}0.000{col 66}{space 4} -5.88303{col 79}{space 3}-2.614439
{txt}{space 16}ICB_dura {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-.7031377{col 38}{space 2}  .162164{col 49}{space 1}   -4.34{col 58}{space 3}0.000{col 66}{space 4}-1.020973{col 79}{space 3}-.3853021
{txt}{space 16}ICB_viol {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 2.860995{col 38}{space 2} 1.966912{col 49}{space 1}    1.45{col 58}{space 3}0.146{col 66}{space 4}-.9940818{col 79}{space 3} 6.716072
{txt}{space 15}strivalry {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 17}coldwar {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} -18.8581{col 38}{space 2} 8.308062{col 49}{space 1}   -2.27{col 58}{space 3}0.023{col 66}{space 4}-35.14161{col 79}{space 3}-2.574601
{txt}{space 13}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} .6315968{col 38}{space 2} .5047307{col 49}{space 1}    1.25{col 58}{space 3}0.211{col 66}{space 4}-.3576572{col 79}{space 3} 1.620851
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 45.67864{col 38}{space 2} 13.36314{col 49}{space 1}    3.42{col 58}{space 3}0.001{col 66}{space 4} 19.48736{col 79}{space 3} 71.86991
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 14.56934{col 38}{space 2}   5.4767{col 49}{space 1}    2.66{col 58}{space 3}0.008{col 66}{space 4}  3.83521{col 79}{space 3} 25.30348
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-5.044189{col 38}{space 2} 4.331822{col 49}{space 1}   -1.16{col 58}{space 3}0.244{col 66}{space 4} -13.5344{col 79}{space 3} 3.446026
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-4.048405{col 38}{space 2} 5.697182{col 49}{space 1}   -0.71{col 58}{space 3}0.477{col 66}{space 4}-15.21468{col 79}{space 3} 7.117865
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 16}elecyear {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-.0422773{col 38}{space 2} 3.871216{col 49}{space 1}   -0.01{col 58}{space 3}0.991{col 66}{space 4}-7.629722{col 79}{space 3} 7.545167
{txt}{space 15}firstyear {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 3.868846{col 38}{space 2} 5.572621{col 49}{space 1}    0.69{col 58}{space 3}0.488{col 66}{space 4}-7.053291{col 79}{space 3} 14.79098
{txt}{space 19}term2 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-14.76782{col 38}{space 2} 5.114567{col 49}{space 1}   -2.89{col 58}{space 3}0.004{col 66}{space 4}-24.79219{col 79}{space 3}-4.743457
{txt}{space 21}res {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} .1936572{col 38}{space 2} .4684687{col 49}{space 1}    0.41{col 58}{space 3}0.679{col 66}{space 4}-.7245245{col 79}{space 3} 1.111839
{txt}{space 19}_cons {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 94.32918{col 38}{space 2}  12.6364{col 49}{space 1}    7.46{col 58}{space 3}0.000{col 66}{space 4} 69.56229{col 79}{space 3} 119.0961
{txt}{hline 25}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate partisan_conflict_monthly
{col 23}1.terminate#c.partisan_conflict_monthly miseryt1 ICB_dura
{col 23}ICB_viol coldwar nytimes_cum _Ipresident_40 _Ipresident_41
{col 23}_Ipresident_42 _Ipresident_43 elecyear firstyear term2 res
Dropped collinear:{col 23}strivalry _Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35
{col 23}_Ipresident_36 _Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38
{col 23}_Ipresident_39 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. clear all
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. *************************************
. *Robustness Checks for Crisis Sample*
. *************************************
. 
. ***Dropping crises nested within a broader war effort***
. use full_sample, clear
{txt}
{com}. tsset presidentid_crisis yearmonth
{res}{txt}{col 8}panel variable:  {res}presidentid_crisis (unbalanced)
{txt}{col 9}time variable:  {res}{col 25}yearmonth, 195304 to 201602, but with gaps
{txt}{col 17}delta:  {res}1 unit
{txt}
{com}. global president = "_Ipresident_*"
{txt}
{com}. global c "miseryt1 ICB_dura ICB_viol strivalry coldwar nytimes_cum $president"
{txt}
{com}. drop if start_and_terminate==1
{txt}(13 observations deleted)

{com}. 
. *Vietnam War*
. drop if ICB_crisno == 145
{txt}(3 observations deleted)

{com}. drop if ICB_crisno == 186
{txt}(3 observations deleted)

{com}. drop if ICB_crisno == 193
{txt}(2 observations deleted)

{com}. drop if ICB_crisno == 213
{txt}(2 observations deleted)

{com}. drop if ICB_crisno == 225
{txt}(2 observations deleted)

{com}. drop if ICB_crisno == 230
{txt}(2 observations deleted)

{com}. drop if ICB_crisno == 237
{txt}(3 observations deleted)

{com}. drop if ICB_crisno == 246
{txt}(5 observations deleted)

{com}. drop if ICB_crisno == 249
{txt}(2 observations deleted)

{com}. *Korean War*
. drop if ICB_crisno == 140
{txt}(4 observations deleted)

{com}. drop if ICB_crisno == 274
{txt}(2 observations deleted)

{com}. *Gulf War/Iraq War/War or Terror/War in Afghanistan*
. drop if ICB_crisno == 393
{txt}(7 observations deleted)

{com}. drop if ICB_crisno == 412
{txt}(2 observations deleted)

{com}. drop if ICB_crisno == 419
{txt}(2 observations deleted)

{com}. drop if ICB_crisno == 422
{txt}(4 observations deleted)

{com}. drop if ICB_crisno == 429
{txt}(3 observations deleted)

{com}. drop if ICB_crisno == 440
{txt}(5 observations deleted)

{com}. drop if ICB_crisno == 434
{txt}(4 observations deleted)

{com}. 
. /*Table A5, column 1*/
. ivreg2 approve terminate $c firstyear elecyear term2, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis)
{txt}Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on yearmonth and presidentid_crisis

Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   174{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     202
{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    31{txt}{col 55}F( 20,    30) = {res}  642.23
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 33776.80058{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.7669
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 519435.7231{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.9848
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 7873.988046{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   6.243

{txt}{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}       approve{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}terminate {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 3.279155{col 28}{space 2} 1.206721{col 39}{space 1}    2.72{col 48}{space 3}0.007{col 56}{space 4} .9140256{col 69}{space 3} 5.644285
{txt}{space 6}miseryt1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} -1.98789{col 28}{space 2} .6636528{col 39}{space 1}   -3.00{col 48}{space 3}0.003{col 56}{space 4}-3.288626{col 69}{space 3}-.6871545
{txt}{space 6}ICB_dura {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} -.675211{col 28}{space 2} .1727133{col 39}{space 1}   -3.91{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-1.013723{col 69}{space 3}-.3366992
{txt}{space 6}ICB_viol {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .4263141{col 28}{space 2} 2.792599{col 39}{space 1}    0.15{col 48}{space 3}0.879{col 56}{space 4} -5.04708{col 69}{space 3} 5.899708
{txt}{space 5}strivalry {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 2.723337{col 28}{space 2} 2.357384{col 39}{space 1}    1.16{col 48}{space 3}0.248{col 56}{space 4}-1.897052{col 69}{space 3} 7.343726
{txt}{space 7}coldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-19.64899{col 28}{space 2} 8.177673{col 39}{space 1}   -2.40{col 48}{space 3}0.016{col 56}{space 4}-35.67694{col 69}{space 3}-3.621047
{txt}{space 3}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-1.205863{col 28}{space 2} .7653797{col 39}{space 1}   -1.58{col 48}{space 3}0.115{col 56}{space 4}-2.705979{col 69}{space 3} .2942539
{txt}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}        0{col 28}{txt}  (omitted)
_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 26.16056{col 28}{space 2} 9.288336{col 39}{space 1}    2.82{col 48}{space 3}0.005{col 56}{space 4} 7.955751{col 69}{space 3} 44.36536
{txt}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}  33.2706{col 28}{space 2} 8.452015{col 39}{space 1}    3.94{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 16.70495{col 69}{space 3} 49.83624
{txt}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 16.56185{col 28}{space 2} 10.67462{col 39}{space 1}    1.55{col 48}{space 3}0.121{col 56}{space 4} -4.36002{col 69}{space 3} 37.48372
{txt}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 16.33743{col 28}{space 2} 9.540757{col 39}{space 1}    1.71{col 48}{space 3}0.087{col 56}{space 4}-2.362106{col 69}{space 3} 35.03697
{txt}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 18.84522{col 28}{space 2}  11.9087{col 39}{space 1}    1.58{col 48}{space 3}0.114{col 56}{space 4}-4.495402{col 69}{space 3} 42.18585
{txt}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 35.52051{col 28}{space 2}  12.9841{col 39}{space 1}    2.74{col 48}{space 3}0.006{col 56}{space 4} 10.07213{col 69}{space 3} 60.96889
{txt}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 40.97722{col 28}{space 2} 8.928207{col 39}{space 1}    4.59{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 23.47825{col 69}{space 3} 58.47618
{txt}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 21.91385{col 28}{space 2} 4.669408{col 39}{space 1}    4.69{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 12.76198{col 69}{space 3} 31.06572
{txt}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-1.568463{col 28}{space 2} 3.812507{col 39}{space 1}   -0.41{col 48}{space 3}0.681{col 56}{space 4} -9.04084{col 69}{space 3} 5.903914
{txt}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-2.567563{col 28}{space 2} 5.391361{col 39}{space 1}   -0.48{col 48}{space 3}0.634{col 56}{space 4}-13.13444{col 69}{space 3} 7.999311
{txt}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}        0{col 28}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 5}firstyear {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .3900295{col 28}{space 2} 4.309498{col 39}{space 1}    0.09{col 48}{space 3}0.928{col 56}{space 4}-8.056432{col 69}{space 3} 8.836491
{txt}{space 6}elecyear {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-4.827791{col 28}{space 2} 3.943248{col 39}{space 1}   -1.22{col 48}{space 3}0.221{col 56}{space 4}-12.55641{col 69}{space 3} 2.900832
{txt}{space 9}term2 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-11.55402{col 28}{space 2} 4.306945{col 39}{space 1}   -2.68{col 48}{space 3}0.007{col 56}{space 4}-19.99547{col 69}{space 3}-3.112558
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 75.05727{col 28}{space 2} 5.823254{col 39}{space 1}   12.89{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}  63.6439{col 69}{space 3} 86.47064
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}terminate miseryt1 ICB_dura ICB_viol strivalry coldwar
{col 23}nytimes_cum _Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36
{col 23}_Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 23}_Ipresident_40 _Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42
{col 23}_Ipresident_43 firstyear elecyear term2
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. /*Table A5, column 2*/
. ivreg2 approve_detrend terminate $c, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}15{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    31{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     202
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   174{txt}{col 55}F( 17,    30) = {res}  243.30
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 16124.71066{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.4980
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 19323.42618{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.5811
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 8094.173072{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}    6.33

{txt}{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}approve_detr~d{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}terminate {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 2.637762{col 28}{space 2} 1.091859{col 39}{space 1}    2.42{col 48}{space 3}0.016{col 56}{space 4} .4977576{col 69}{space 3} 4.777767
{txt}{space 6}miseryt1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-2.052573{col 28}{space 2} .6485774{col 39}{space 1}   -3.16{col 48}{space 3}0.002{col 56}{space 4}-3.323761{col 69}{space 3}-.7813845
{txt}{space 6}ICB_dura {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.5369531{col 28}{space 2} .1834894{col 39}{space 1}   -2.93{col 48}{space 3}0.003{col 56}{space 4}-.8965857{col 69}{space 3}-.1773205
{txt}{space 6}ICB_viol {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 2.307459{col 28}{space 2}  2.09509{col 39}{space 1}    1.10{col 48}{space 3}0.271{col 56}{space 4}-1.798842{col 69}{space 3} 6.413759
{txt}{space 5}strivalry {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 4.788165{col 28}{space 2} 1.885346{col 39}{space 1}    2.54{col 48}{space 3}0.011{col 56}{space 4} 1.092956{col 69}{space 3} 8.483375
{txt}{space 7}coldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-20.75974{col 28}{space 2} 6.585704{col 39}{space 1}   -3.15{col 48}{space 3}0.002{col 56}{space 4}-33.66748{col 69}{space 3}-7.851996
{txt}{space 3}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-1.259191{col 28}{space 2} .7179357{col 39}{space 1}   -1.75{col 48}{space 3}0.079{col 56}{space 4}-2.666319{col 69}{space 3} .1479369
{txt}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}        0{col 28}{txt}  (omitted)
_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 10.25319{col 28}{space 2} 7.070873{col 39}{space 1}    1.45{col 48}{space 3}0.147{col 56}{space 4}-3.605467{col 69}{space 3} 24.11185
{txt}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 17.80999{col 28}{space 2} 7.342253{col 39}{space 1}    2.43{col 48}{space 3}0.015{col 56}{space 4} 3.419435{col 69}{space 3} 32.20054
{txt}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 15.88681{col 28}{space 2} 8.096941{col 39}{space 1}    1.96{col 48}{space 3}0.050{col 56}{space 4} .0171013{col 69}{space 3} 31.75653
{txt}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 18.70956{col 28}{space 2} 7.535664{col 39}{space 1}    2.48{col 48}{space 3}0.013{col 56}{space 4} 3.939933{col 69}{space 3} 33.47919
{txt}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 28.39194{col 28}{space 2} 8.372202{col 39}{space 1}    3.39{col 48}{space 3}0.001{col 56}{space 4} 11.98273{col 69}{space 3} 44.80116
{txt}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 44.56617{col 28}{space 2} 9.172959{col 39}{space 1}    4.86{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}  26.5875{col 69}{space 3} 62.54484
{txt}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 38.40626{col 28}{space 2} 7.313318{col 39}{space 1}    5.25{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 24.07243{col 69}{space 3}  52.7401
{txt}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 13.93422{col 28}{space 2} 3.619239{col 39}{space 1}    3.85{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}  6.84064{col 69}{space 3}  21.0278
{txt}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-8.421641{col 28}{space 2} 3.226045{col 39}{space 1}   -2.61{col 48}{space 3}0.009{col 56}{space 4}-14.74457{col 69}{space 3}-2.098709
{txt}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-3.495384{col 28}{space 2} 5.532343{col 39}{space 1}   -0.63{col 48}{space 3}0.528{col 56}{space 4}-14.33858{col 69}{space 3} 7.347809
{txt}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}        0{col 28}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 17.71909{col 28}{space 2} 5.320991{col 39}{space 1}    3.33{col 48}{space 3}0.001{col 56}{space 4} 7.290136{col 69}{space 3} 28.14804
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}terminate miseryt1 ICB_dura ICB_viol strivalry coldwar
{col 23}nytimes_cum _Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36
{col 23}_Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 23}_Ipresident_40 _Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42
{col 23}_Ipresident_43
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. /*Table A6, columns 1 and 2 respectively, row 1*/
. ivreg2 approve terminate##elecyear $c firstyear term2, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}15{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    31{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     202
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   174{txt}{col 55}F( 21,    30) = {res}  390.13
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 33776.80058{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.7775
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 519435.7231{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.9855
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 7516.634239{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}     6.1

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}    Robust
{col 1}           approve{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      z{col 52}   P>|z|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}1.terminate {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.722141{col 32}{space 2} 1.143938{col 43}{space 1}    1.51{col 52}{space 3}0.132{col 60}{space 4}-.5199374{col 73}{space 3} 3.964219
{txt}{space 8}1.elecyear {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-7.441023{col 32}{space 2} 4.660755{col 43}{space 1}   -1.60{col 52}{space 3}0.110{col 60}{space 4}-16.57593{col 73}{space 3} 1.693889
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
terminate#elecyear {c |}
{space 14}1 1  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}   13.168{col 32}{space 2} 4.685843{col 43}{space 1}    2.81{col 52}{space 3}0.005{col 60}{space 4} 3.983918{col 73}{space 3} 22.35208
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 10}miseryt1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -1.87069{col 32}{space 2} .6893982{col 43}{space 1}   -2.71{col 52}{space 3}0.007{col 60}{space 4}-3.221885{col 73}{space 3} -.519494
{txt}{space 10}ICB_dura {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.6412232{col 32}{space 2} .1802039{col 43}{space 1}   -3.56{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-.9944165{col 73}{space 3}  -.28803
{txt}{space 10}ICB_viol {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .3625303{col 32}{space 2} 2.815621{col 43}{space 1}    0.13{col 52}{space 3}0.898{col 60}{space 4}-5.155985{col 73}{space 3} 5.881046
{txt}{space 9}strivalry {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.997855{col 32}{space 2}  2.26374{col 43}{space 1}    0.88{col 52}{space 3}0.377{col 60}{space 4}-2.438995{col 73}{space 3} 6.434705
{txt}{space 11}coldwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-19.66806{col 32}{space 2} 7.588135{col 43}{space 1}   -2.59{col 52}{space 3}0.010{col 60}{space 4}-34.54053{col 73}{space 3}-4.795588
{txt}{space 7}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-1.394312{col 32}{space 2} .7390835{col 43}{space 1}   -1.89{col 52}{space 3}0.059{col 60}{space 4}-2.842889{col 73}{space 3} .0542648
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}        0{col 32}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 4}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 26.76511{col 32}{space 2} 8.569134{col 43}{space 1}    3.12{col 52}{space 3}0.002{col 60}{space 4} 9.969913{col 73}{space 3}  43.5603
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 34.94838{col 32}{space 2} 7.916887{col 43}{space 1}    4.41{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 19.43157{col 73}{space 3} 50.46519
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 17.83486{col 32}{space 2} 9.773688{col 43}{space 1}    1.82{col 52}{space 3}0.068{col 60}{space 4}-1.321214{col 73}{space 3} 36.99094
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 16.22756{col 32}{space 2} 8.929551{col 43}{space 1}    1.82{col 52}{space 3}0.069{col 60}{space 4}-1.274039{col 73}{space 3} 33.72916
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 18.95468{col 32}{space 2} 11.46246{col 43}{space 1}    1.65{col 52}{space 3}0.098{col 60}{space 4}-3.511336{col 73}{space 3} 41.42069
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 35.49778{col 32}{space 2} 12.45888{col 43}{space 1}    2.85{col 52}{space 3}0.004{col 60}{space 4} 11.07881{col 73}{space 3} 59.91674
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 41.34696{col 32}{space 2}  8.69997{col 43}{space 1}    4.75{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 24.29533{col 73}{space 3} 58.39859
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 23.35988{col 32}{space 2} 4.789989{col 43}{space 1}    4.88{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 13.97167{col 73}{space 3} 32.74809
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-1.422559{col 32}{space 2} 3.939269{col 43}{space 1}   -0.36{col 52}{space 3}0.718{col 60}{space 4}-9.143383{col 73}{space 3} 6.298266
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-3.220282{col 32}{space 2} 5.368369{col 43}{space 1}   -0.60{col 52}{space 3}0.549{col 60}{space 4}-13.74209{col 73}{space 3} 7.301527
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}        0{col 32}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 9}firstyear {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.5539951{col 32}{space 2}  4.00607{col 43}{space 1}   -0.14{col 52}{space 3}0.890{col 60}{space 4}-8.405748{col 73}{space 3} 7.297758
{txt}{space 13}term2 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-11.39774{col 32}{space 2} 4.207794{col 43}{space 1}   -2.71{col 52}{space 3}0.007{col 60}{space 4}-19.64486{col 73}{space 3}-3.150612
{txt}{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 74.30253{col 32}{space 2} 5.836205{col 43}{space 1}   12.73{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 62.86378{col 73}{space 3} 85.74128
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate 1.elecyear 1.terminate#1.elecyear miseryt1
{col 23}ICB_dura ICB_viol strivalry coldwar nytimes_cum
{col 23}_Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36
{col 23}_Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 23}_Ipresident_40 _Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42
{col 23}_Ipresident_43 firstyear term2
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. ivreg2 approve_detrend terminate##elecyear $c, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}15{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    31{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     202
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   174{txt}{col 55}F( 19,    30) = {res}  250.31
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 16124.71066{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.5140
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 19323.42618{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.5945
{txt}Residual SS             = {res}  7835.83687{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   6.228

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}    Robust
{col 1}   approve_detrend{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      z{col 52}   P>|z|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}1.terminate {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.296178{col 32}{space 2} 1.099607{col 43}{space 1}    1.18{col 52}{space 3}0.238{col 60}{space 4}-.8590119{col 73}{space 3} 3.451368
{txt}{space 8}1.elecyear {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-3.834797{col 32}{space 2} 3.538086{col 43}{space 1}   -1.08{col 52}{space 3}0.278{col 60}{space 4}-10.76932{col 73}{space 3} 3.099725
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
terminate#elecyear {c |}
{space 14}1 1  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 10.66402{col 32}{space 2} 3.541337{col 43}{space 1}    3.01{col 52}{space 3}0.003{col 60}{space 4}  3.72313{col 73}{space 3} 17.60492
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 10}miseryt1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-1.973028{col 32}{space 2} .6724418{col 43}{space 1}   -2.93{col 52}{space 3}0.003{col 60}{space 4} -3.29099{col 73}{space 3}-.6550664
{txt}{space 10}ICB_dura {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.5039326{col 32}{space 2} .1864511{col 43}{space 1}   -2.70{col 52}{space 3}0.007{col 60}{space 4}-.8693699{col 73}{space 3}-.1384952
{txt}{space 10}ICB_viol {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 2.429607{col 32}{space 2} 2.182213{col 43}{space 1}    1.11{col 52}{space 3}0.266{col 60}{space 4}-1.847452{col 73}{space 3} 6.706666
{txt}{space 9}strivalry {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 4.334982{col 32}{space 2} 1.707343{col 43}{space 1}    2.54{col 52}{space 3}0.011{col 60}{space 4} .9886501{col 73}{space 3} 7.681314
{txt}{space 11}coldwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-21.28543{col 32}{space 2} 6.084323{col 43}{space 1}   -3.50{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-33.21049{col 73}{space 3}-9.360381
{txt}{space 7}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-1.204413{col 32}{space 2} .6223702{col 43}{space 1}   -1.94{col 52}{space 3}0.053{col 60}{space 4}-2.424236{col 73}{space 3} .0154104
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}        0{col 32}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 4}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 11.40745{col 32}{space 2} 6.594232{col 43}{space 1}    1.73{col 52}{space 3}0.084{col 60}{space 4} -1.51701{col 73}{space 3}  24.3319
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 19.02951{col 32}{space 2} 6.837857{col 43}{space 1}    2.78{col 52}{space 3}0.005{col 60}{space 4} 5.627557{col 73}{space 3} 32.43146
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 18.26809{col 32}{space 2} 7.897208{col 43}{space 1}    2.31{col 52}{space 3}0.021{col 60}{space 4} 2.789846{col 73}{space 3} 33.74633
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 19.08586{col 32}{space 2} 7.123835{col 43}{space 1}    2.68{col 52}{space 3}0.007{col 60}{space 4} 5.123397{col 73}{space 3} 33.04832
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 29.09394{col 32}{space 2} 7.911634{col 43}{space 1}    3.68{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 13.58742{col 73}{space 3} 44.60046
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 46.27531{col 32}{space 2} 8.974498{col 43}{space 1}    5.16{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 28.68562{col 73}{space 3}   63.865
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 38.77082{col 32}{space 2}   6.8805{col 43}{space 1}    5.63{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 25.28529{col 73}{space 3} 52.25635
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 14.91186{col 32}{space 2} 3.810303{col 43}{space 1}    3.91{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 7.443803{col 73}{space 3} 22.37992
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-8.543755{col 32}{space 2} 3.325169{col 43}{space 1}   -2.57{col 52}{space 3}0.010{col 60}{space 4}-15.06097{col 73}{space 3}-2.026544
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-3.700396{col 32}{space 2} 5.478939{col 43}{space 1}   -0.68{col 52}{space 3}0.499{col 60}{space 4}-14.43892{col 73}{space 3} 7.038127
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}        0{col 32}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 16.79655{col 32}{space 2} 5.492149{col 43}{space 1}    3.06{col 52}{space 3}0.002{col 60}{space 4} 6.032139{col 73}{space 3} 27.56097
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate 1.elecyear 1.terminate#1.elecyear miseryt1
{col 23}ICB_dura ICB_viol strivalry coldwar nytimes_cum
{col 23}_Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36
{col 23}_Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 23}_Ipresident_40 _Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42
{col 23}_Ipresident_43
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. /*Table A6, columns 1 and 2 respectively, row 2*/
. ivreg2 approve terminate##c.nytimes_cum $c elecyear firstyear term2, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}15{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - duplicate variables detected
Duplicates:{col 21}nytimes_cum
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    31{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     202
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   174{txt}{col 55}F( 21,    30) = {res}  712.33
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 33776.80058{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.7681
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 519435.7231{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.9849
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 7831.609801{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   6.227

{txt}{hline 24}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 25}{c |}{col 37}    Robust
{col 1}                approve{col 25}{c |}      Coef.{col 37}   Std. Err.{col 49}      z{col 57}   P>|z|{col 65}     [95% Con{col 78}f. Interval]
{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 12}1.terminate {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 2.366298{col 37}{space 2} 1.418885{col 48}{space 1}    1.67{col 57}{space 3}0.095{col 65}{space 4}-.4146653{col 78}{space 3} 5.147262
{txt}{space 12}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-1.777143{col 37}{space 2} 1.109651{col 48}{space 1}   -1.60{col 57}{space 3}0.109{col 65}{space 4}-3.952019{col 78}{space 3} .3977341
{txt}{space 23} {c |}
terminate#c.nytimes_cum {c |}
{space 21}1  {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}  1.09511{col 37}{space 2} .8124823{col 48}{space 1}    1.35{col 57}{space 3}0.178{col 65}{space 4}-.4973262{col 78}{space 3} 2.687546
{txt}{space 23} {c |}
{space 15}miseryt1 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-1.963287{col 37}{space 2} .6726801{col 48}{space 1}   -2.92{col 57}{space 3}0.004{col 65}{space 4}-3.281716{col 78}{space 3}-.6448586
{txt}{space 15}ICB_dura {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.6538372{col 37}{space 2} .1791833{col 48}{space 1}   -3.65{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} -1.00503{col 78}{space 3}-.3026445
{txt}{space 15}ICB_viol {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .3725393{col 37}{space 2}  2.80314{col 48}{space 1}    0.13{col 57}{space 3}0.894{col 65}{space 4}-5.121514{col 78}{space 3} 5.866593
{txt}{space 14}strivalry {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 2.427652{col 37}{space 2}   2.3454{col 48}{space 1}    1.04{col 57}{space 3}0.301{col 65}{space 4}-2.169248{col 78}{space 3} 7.024553
{txt}{space 16}coldwar {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} -19.3615{col 37}{space 2} 7.924503{col 48}{space 1}   -2.44{col 57}{space 3}0.015{col 65}{space 4}-34.89324{col 78}{space 3}-3.829755
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}        0{col 37}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 9}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 26.15002{col 37}{space 2} 9.120663{col 48}{space 1}    2.87{col 57}{space 3}0.004{col 65}{space 4}  8.27385{col 78}{space 3} 44.02619
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 33.40758{col 37}{space 2} 8.190723{col 48}{space 1}    4.08{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 17.35405{col 78}{space 3}  49.4611
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 16.41802{col 37}{space 2} 10.51224{col 48}{space 1}    1.56{col 57}{space 3}0.118{col 65}{space 4}-4.185587{col 78}{space 3} 37.02163
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 16.78282{col 37}{space 2} 9.395208{col 48}{space 1}    1.79{col 57}{space 3}0.074{col 65}{space 4}-1.631449{col 78}{space 3} 35.19709
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 18.90641{col 37}{space 2} 11.77375{col 48}{space 1}    1.61{col 57}{space 3}0.108{col 65}{space 4}-4.169729{col 78}{space 3} 41.98254
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 35.01585{col 37}{space 2} 12.88087{col 48}{space 1}    2.72{col 57}{space 3}0.007{col 65}{space 4}  9.76981{col 78}{space 3} 60.26189
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 40.09738{col 37}{space 2} 8.549795{col 48}{space 1}    4.69{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 23.34009{col 78}{space 3} 56.85467
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 22.24271{col 37}{space 2} 4.756041{col 48}{space 1}    4.68{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 12.92104{col 78}{space 3} 31.56438
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-1.417392{col 37}{space 2} 3.821181{col 48}{space 1}   -0.37{col 57}{space 3}0.711{col 65}{space 4}-8.906769{col 78}{space 3} 6.071985
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-2.857199{col 37}{space 2} 5.490935{col 48}{space 1}   -0.52{col 57}{space 3}0.603{col 65}{space 4}-13.61923{col 78}{space 3} 7.904836
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}        0{col 37}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 15}elecyear {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-4.180616{col 37}{space 2} 4.022967{col 48}{space 1}   -1.04{col 57}{space 3}0.299{col 65}{space 4}-12.06549{col 78}{space 3} 3.704255
{txt}{space 14}firstyear {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .1576731{col 37}{space 2} 4.359086{col 48}{space 1}    0.04{col 57}{space 3}0.971{col 65}{space 4}-8.385978{col 78}{space 3} 8.701324
{txt}{space 18}term2 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-11.50554{col 37}{space 2} 4.335716{col 48}{space 1}   -2.65{col 57}{space 3}0.008{col 65}{space 4}-20.00338{col 78}{space 3}-3.007691
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 74.98882{col 37}{space 2} 5.953264{col 48}{space 1}   12.60{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 63.32064{col 78}{space 3}   86.657
{txt}{hline 24}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate nytimes_cum 1.terminate#c.nytimes_cum
{col 23}miseryt1 ICB_dura ICB_viol strivalry coldwar
{col 23}_Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36
{col 23}_Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 23}_Ipresident_40 _Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42
{col 23}_Ipresident_43 elecyear firstyear term2
Duplicates:{col 23}nytimes_cum
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. ivreg2 approve_detrend terminate##c.nytimes_cum $c, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}15{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - duplicate variables detected
Duplicates:{col 21}nytimes_cum
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    31{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     202
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   174{txt}{col 55}F( 18,    30) = {res}21317.29
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 16124.71066{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.5015
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 19323.42618{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.5840
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 8037.724217{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   6.308

{txt}{hline 24}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 25}{c |}{col 37}    Robust
{col 1}        approve_detrend{col 25}{c |}      Coef.{col 37}   Std. Err.{col 49}      z{col 57}   P>|z|{col 65}     [95% Con{col 78}f. Interval]
{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 12}1.terminate {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 1.591654{col 37}{space 2} 1.328205{col 48}{space 1}    1.20{col 57}{space 3}0.231{col 65}{space 4}-1.011579{col 78}{space 3} 4.194887
{txt}{space 12}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} -1.81484{col 37}{space 2} 1.038385{col 48}{space 1}   -1.75{col 57}{space 3}0.081{col 65}{space 4}-3.850038{col 78}{space 3} .2203584
{txt}{space 23} {c |}
terminate#c.nytimes_cum {c |}
{space 21}1  {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 1.218869{col 37}{space 2} .7781707{col 48}{space 1}    1.57{col 57}{space 3}0.117{col 65}{space 4}-.3063174{col 78}{space 3} 2.744056
{txt}{space 23} {c |}
{space 15}miseryt1 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-2.028848{col 37}{space 2} .6582169{col 48}{space 1}   -3.08{col 57}{space 3}0.002{col 65}{space 4}-3.318929{col 78}{space 3}-.7387661
{txt}{space 15}ICB_dura {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.5111915{col 37}{space 2}  .187918{col 48}{space 1}   -2.72{col 57}{space 3}0.007{col 65}{space 4}-.8795039{col 78}{space 3} -.142879
{txt}{space 15}ICB_viol {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 2.305581{col 37}{space 2}  2.11835{col 48}{space 1}    1.09{col 57}{space 3}0.276{col 65}{space 4}-1.846308{col 78}{space 3} 6.457471
{txt}{space 14}strivalry {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 4.510758{col 37}{space 2} 1.922379{col 48}{space 1}    2.35{col 57}{space 3}0.019{col 65}{space 4} .7429641{col 78}{space 3} 8.278551
{txt}{space 16}coldwar {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-20.60383{col 37}{space 2} 6.219044{col 48}{space 1}   -3.31{col 57}{space 3}0.001{col 65}{space 4}-32.79293{col 78}{space 3}-8.414731
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}        0{col 37}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 9}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}  10.4586{col 37}{space 2} 6.775139{col 48}{space 1}    1.54{col 57}{space 3}0.123{col 65}{space 4}-2.820426{col 78}{space 3} 23.73763
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 17.89205{col 37}{space 2} 7.001821{col 48}{space 1}    2.56{col 57}{space 3}0.011{col 65}{space 4}  4.16873{col 78}{space 3} 31.61536
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 16.25074{col 37}{space 2} 7.819367{col 48}{space 1}    2.08{col 57}{space 3}0.038{col 65}{space 4} .9250627{col 78}{space 3} 31.57642
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 19.33037{col 37}{space 2} 7.325626{col 48}{space 1}    2.64{col 57}{space 3}0.008{col 65}{space 4} 4.972412{col 78}{space 3} 33.68834
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 28.63172{col 37}{space 2} 8.118408{col 48}{space 1}    3.53{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 12.71993{col 78}{space 3}  44.5435
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}  44.6478{col 37}{space 2}  8.99787{col 48}{space 1}    4.96{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4}  27.0123{col 78}{space 3}  62.2833
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 37.42084{col 37}{space 2} 6.890526{col 48}{space 1}    5.43{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 23.91565{col 78}{space 3} 50.92602
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 14.22456{col 37}{space 2} 3.706107{col 48}{space 1}    3.84{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 6.960725{col 78}{space 3}  21.4884
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-8.342771{col 37}{space 2} 3.250773{col 48}{space 1}   -2.57{col 57}{space 3}0.010{col 65}{space 4}-14.71417{col 78}{space 3}-1.971373
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-3.699661{col 37}{space 2}  5.59078{col 48}{space 1}   -0.66{col 57}{space 3}0.508{col 65}{space 4}-14.65739{col 78}{space 3} 7.258066
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}        0{col 37}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 17.52736{col 37}{space 2}   5.3966{col 48}{space 1}    3.25{col 57}{space 3}0.001{col 65}{space 4} 6.950222{col 78}{space 3} 28.10451
{txt}{hline 24}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate nytimes_cum 1.terminate#c.nytimes_cum
{col 23}miseryt1 ICB_dura ICB_viol strivalry coldwar
{col 23}_Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36
{col 23}_Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 23}_Ipresident_40 _Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42
{col 23}_Ipresident_43
Duplicates:{col 23}nytimes_cum
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. /*Table A6, columns 1 and 2 respectively, row 3*/
. ivreg2 approve terminate##c.miseryt1 $c elecyear firstyear term2, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}15{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - duplicate variables detected
Duplicates:{col 21}miseryt1
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    31{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     202
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   174{txt}{col 55}F( 21,    30) = {res}  606.22
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 33776.80058{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.7669
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 519435.7231{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.9848
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 7871.909154{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   6.243

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}             approve{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}1.terminate {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2.471215{col 34}{space 2} 3.422146{col 45}{space 1}    0.72{col 54}{space 3}0.470{col 62}{space 4}-4.236068{col 75}{space 3} 9.178498
{txt}{space 12}miseryt1 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2.013061{col 34}{space 2} .7187682{col 45}{space 1}   -2.80{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4}-3.421821{col 75}{space 3}-.6043012
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
terminate#c.miseryt1 {c |}
{space 18}1  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0882604{col 34}{space 2} .3310477{col 45}{space 1}    0.27{col 54}{space 3}0.790{col 62}{space 4}-.5605811{col 75}{space 3}  .737102
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 12}ICB_dura {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.6738363{col 34}{space 2} .1752168{col 45}{space 1}   -3.85{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-1.017255{col 75}{space 3}-.3304178
{txt}{space 12}ICB_viol {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .4426624{col 34}{space 2} 2.811155{col 45}{space 1}    0.16{col 54}{space 3}0.875{col 62}{space 4}  -5.0671{col 75}{space 3} 5.952425
{txt}{space 11}strivalry {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2.605671{col 34}{space 2} 2.364009{col 45}{space 1}    1.10{col 54}{space 3}0.270{col 62}{space 4}-2.027703{col 75}{space 3} 7.239044
{txt}{space 13}coldwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-19.60439{col 34}{space 2} 8.195736{col 45}{space 1}   -2.39{col 54}{space 3}0.017{col 62}{space 4}-35.66773{col 75}{space 3} -3.54104
{txt}{space 9}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.241973{col 34}{space 2} .7708848{col 45}{space 1}   -1.61{col 54}{space 3}0.107{col 62}{space 4}-2.752879{col 75}{space 3} .2689336
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 6}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  26.1611{col 34}{space 2} 9.288685{col 45}{space 1}    2.82{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4} 7.955609{col 75}{space 3} 44.36658
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 33.33873{col 34}{space 2} 8.456229{col 45}{space 1}    3.94{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 16.76483{col 75}{space 3} 49.91264
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 16.50152{col 34}{space 2} 10.69169{col 45}{space 1}    1.54{col 54}{space 3}0.123{col 62}{space 4}-4.453803{col 75}{space 3} 37.45685
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 16.41915{col 34}{space 2} 9.561905{col 45}{space 1}    1.72{col 54}{space 3}0.086{col 62}{space 4}-2.321838{col 75}{space 3} 35.16014
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 18.97232{col 34}{space 2} 12.06254{col 45}{space 1}    1.57{col 54}{space 3}0.116{col 62}{space 4}-4.669826{col 75}{space 3} 42.61447
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  35.7191{col 34}{space 2}  13.3084{col 45}{space 1}    2.68{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4} 9.635112{col 75}{space 3} 61.80308
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 40.63725{col 34}{space 2} 8.902976{col 45}{space 1}    4.56{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 23.18774{col 75}{space 3} 58.08676
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 21.85504{col 34}{space 2} 4.715174{col 45}{space 1}    4.64{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 12.61347{col 75}{space 3} 31.09661
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.557488{col 34}{space 2} 3.813466{col 45}{space 1}   -0.41{col 54}{space 3}0.683{col 62}{space 4}-9.031744{col 75}{space 3} 5.916768
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2.620031{col 34}{space 2}  5.47193{col 45}{space 1}   -0.48{col 54}{space 3}0.632{col 62}{space 4}-13.34482{col 75}{space 3} 8.104754
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 12}elecyear {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-4.791465{col 34}{space 2} 3.988525{col 45}{space 1}   -1.20{col 54}{space 3}0.230{col 62}{space 4}-12.60883{col 75}{space 3}   3.0259
{txt}{space 11}firstyear {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3680364{col 34}{space 2} 4.309763{col 45}{space 1}    0.09{col 54}{space 3}0.932{col 62}{space 4}-8.078943{col 75}{space 3} 8.815016
{txt}{space 15}term2 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-11.55041{col 34}{space 2} 4.322842{col 45}{space 1}   -2.67{col 54}{space 3}0.008{col 62}{space 4}-20.02302{col 75}{space 3}-3.077792
{txt}{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 75.27446{col 34}{space 2} 5.998399{col 45}{space 1}   12.55{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 63.51781{col 75}{space 3}  87.0311
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate miseryt1 1.terminate#c.miseryt1 ICB_dura
{col 23}ICB_viol strivalry coldwar nytimes_cum _Ipresident_34
{col 23}_Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36 _Ipresident_37
{col 23}_Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39 _Ipresident_40
{col 23}_Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42 _Ipresident_43 elecyear
{col 23}firstyear term2
Duplicates:{col 23}miseryt1
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. ivreg2 approve_detrend terminate##c.miseryt1 $c, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}15{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - duplicate variables detected
Duplicates:{col 21}miseryt1
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    31{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     202
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   174{txt}{col 55}F( 18,    30) = {res}  252.57
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 16124.71066{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.4981
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 19323.42618{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.5812
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 8092.996437{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}    6.33

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}     approve_detrend{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}1.terminate {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2.030232{col 34}{space 2} 3.129225{col 45}{space 1}    0.65{col 54}{space 3}0.516{col 62}{space 4}-4.102937{col 75}{space 3} 8.163401
{txt}{space 12}miseryt1 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2.071924{col 34}{space 2} .7102605{col 45}{space 1}   -2.92{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4}-3.464009{col 75}{space 3}-.6798388
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
terminate#c.miseryt1 {c |}
{space 18}1  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0661985{col 34}{space 2} .2978093{col 45}{space 1}    0.22{col 54}{space 3}0.824{col 62}{space 4} -.517497{col 75}{space 3}  .649894
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 12}ICB_dura {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.5358124{col 34}{space 2} .1838463{col 45}{space 1}   -2.91{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4}-.8961446{col 75}{space 3}-.1754803
{txt}{space 12}ICB_viol {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2.323565{col 34}{space 2} 2.123257{col 45}{space 1}    1.09{col 54}{space 3}0.274{col 62}{space 4}-1.837943{col 75}{space 3} 6.485073
{txt}{space 11}strivalry {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 4.702286{col 34}{space 2} 1.959092{col 45}{space 1}    2.40{col 54}{space 3}0.016{col 62}{space 4} .8625367{col 75}{space 3} 8.542034
{txt}{space 13}coldwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-20.73785{col 34}{space 2} 6.599604{col 45}{space 1}   -3.14{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4}-33.67283{col 75}{space 3}-7.802863
{txt}{space 9}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.282473{col 34}{space 2} .7202405{col 45}{space 1}   -1.78{col 54}{space 3}0.075{col 62}{space 4}-2.694119{col 75}{space 3} .1291724
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 6}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 10.26857{col 34}{space 2} 7.060746{col 45}{space 1}    1.45{col 54}{space 3}0.146{col 62}{space 4}-3.570238{col 75}{space 3} 24.10738
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 17.85933{col 34}{space 2} 7.316688{col 45}{space 1}    2.44{col 54}{space 3}0.015{col 62}{space 4}  3.51889{col 75}{space 3} 32.19978
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 15.86547{col 34}{space 2} 8.113333{col 45}{space 1}    1.96{col 54}{space 3}0.051{col 62}{space 4}-.0363666{col 75}{space 3} 31.76731
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 18.78352{col 34}{space 2} 7.611237{col 45}{space 1}    2.47{col 54}{space 3}0.014{col 62}{space 4}  3.86577{col 75}{space 3} 33.70127
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 28.50298{col 34}{space 2} 8.567344{col 45}{space 1}    3.33{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 11.71129{col 75}{space 3} 45.29467
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 44.74817{col 34}{space 2} 9.568469{col 45}{space 1}    4.68{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 25.99431{col 75}{space 3} 63.50202
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 38.15481{col 34}{space 2}  7.21608{col 45}{space 1}    5.29{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 24.01155{col 75}{space 3} 52.29807
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 13.88629{col 34}{space 2} 3.700516{col 45}{space 1}    3.75{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 6.633414{col 75}{space 3} 21.13917
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-8.418234{col 34}{space 2} 3.219123{col 45}{space 1}   -2.62{col 54}{space 3}0.009{col 62}{space 4} -14.7276{col 75}{space 3} -2.10887
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-3.528136{col 34}{space 2} 5.587068{col 45}{space 1}   -0.63{col 54}{space 3}0.528{col 62}{space 4}-14.47859{col 75}{space 3} 7.422316
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 17.87653{col 34}{space 2} 5.745706{col 45}{space 1}    3.11{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 6.615153{col 75}{space 3} 29.13791
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate miseryt1 1.terminate#c.miseryt1 ICB_dura
{col 23}ICB_viol strivalry coldwar nytimes_cum _Ipresident_34
{col 23}_Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36 _Ipresident_37
{col 23}_Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39 _Ipresident_40
{col 23}_Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42 _Ipresident_43
Duplicates:{col 23}miseryt1
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. /*Table A6, columns 1 and 2 respectively, row 4*/
. ivreg2 approve terminate##c.partisan_conflict_monthly $c elecyear firstyear term2, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis)  bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}6{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}strivalry _Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35
{col 21}_Ipresident_36 _Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 21}_Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    14{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     116
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}    93{txt}{col 55}F( 15,    13) = {res}   95.04
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 13695.47656{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.6672
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 262215.4733{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.9826
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 4557.758485{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   6.268

{txt}{hline 25}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 26}{c |}{col 38}    Robust
{col 1}                 approve{col 26}{c |}      Coef.{col 38}   Std. Err.{col 50}      z{col 58}   P>|z|{col 66}     [95% Con{col 79}f. Interval]
{hline 25}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 13}1.terminate {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 4.352277{col 38}{space 2} 8.288404{col 49}{space 1}    0.53{col 58}{space 3}0.600{col 66}{space 4} -11.8927{col 79}{space 3} 20.59725
{txt}partisan_conflict_mont~y {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} .0242967{col 38}{space 2} .0504583{col 49}{space 1}    0.48{col 58}{space 3}0.630{col 66}{space 4}-.0745997{col 79}{space 3} .1231931
{txt}{space 24} {c |}
{space 15}terminate#{c |}
{space 22}c. {c |}
partisan_conflict_mont~y {c |}
{space 22}1  {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-.0274878{col 38}{space 2} .0620352{col 49}{space 1}   -0.44{col 58}{space 3}0.658{col 66}{space 4}-.1490745{col 79}{space 3} .0940989
{txt}{space 24} {c |}
{space 16}miseryt1 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-3.273203{col 38}{space 2} 1.084926{col 49}{space 1}   -3.02{col 58}{space 3}0.003{col 66}{space 4} -5.39962{col 79}{space 3}-1.146787
{txt}{space 16}ICB_dura {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-.6202703{col 38}{space 2} .1757238{col 49}{space 1}   -3.53{col 58}{space 3}0.000{col 66}{space 4}-.9646827{col 79}{space 3} -.275858
{txt}{space 16}ICB_viol {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-.3007667{col 38}{space 2} 3.408675{col 49}{space 1}   -0.09{col 58}{space 3}0.930{col 66}{space 4}-6.981647{col 79}{space 3} 6.380114
{txt}{space 15}strivalry {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 17}coldwar {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-17.54919{col 38}{space 2} 8.483508{col 49}{space 1}   -2.07{col 58}{space 3}0.039{col 66}{space 4}-34.17656{col 79}{space 3}-.9218213
{txt}{space 13}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-2.515611{col 38}{space 2} 1.914316{col 49}{space 1}   -1.31{col 58}{space 3}0.189{col 66}{space 4}-6.267602{col 79}{space 3} 1.236381
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 49.99674{col 38}{space 2} 13.76696{col 49}{space 1}    3.63{col 58}{space 3}0.000{col 66}{space 4} 23.01399{col 79}{space 3} 76.97949
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 23.00534{col 38}{space 2} 6.396886{col 49}{space 1}    3.60{col 58}{space 3}0.000{col 66}{space 4} 10.46767{col 79}{space 3} 35.54301
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-2.636122{col 38}{space 2} 3.284013{col 49}{space 1}   -0.80{col 58}{space 3}0.422{col 66}{space 4} -9.07267{col 79}{space 3} 3.800426
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-4.886518{col 38}{space 2} 4.758247{col 49}{space 1}   -1.03{col 58}{space 3}0.304{col 66}{space 4}-14.21251{col 79}{space 3} 4.439474
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 16}elecyear {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 1.912589{col 38}{space 2} 5.836536{col 49}{space 1}    0.33{col 58}{space 3}0.743{col 66}{space 4}-9.526812{col 79}{space 3} 13.35199
{txt}{space 15}firstyear {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-4.087512{col 38}{space 2} 4.602418{col 49}{space 1}   -0.89{col 58}{space 3}0.374{col 66}{space 4}-13.10809{col 79}{space 3} 4.933061
{txt}{space 19}term2 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-17.23997{col 38}{space 2}  4.77321{col 49}{space 1}   -3.61{col 58}{space 3}0.000{col 66}{space 4}-26.59529{col 79}{space 3}-7.884654
{txt}{space 19}_cons {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 89.45224{col 38}{space 2} 8.813679{col 49}{space 1}   10.15{col 58}{space 3}0.000{col 66}{space 4} 72.17774{col 79}{space 3} 106.7267
{txt}{hline 25}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate partisan_conflict_monthly
{col 23}1.terminate#c.partisan_conflict_monthly miseryt1 ICB_dura
{col 23}ICB_viol coldwar nytimes_cum _Ipresident_40 _Ipresident_41
{col 23}_Ipresident_42 _Ipresident_43 elecyear firstyear term2
Dropped collinear:{col 23}strivalry _Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35
{col 23}_Ipresident_36 _Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38
{col 23}_Ipresident_39 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. ivreg2 approve_detrend terminate##c.partisan_conflict_monthly $c, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}6{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}strivalry _Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35
{col 21}_Ipresident_36 _Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 21}_Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    14{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     116
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}    93{txt}{col 55}F( 12,    13) = {res}  550.06
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 10466.27467{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.4301
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 13190.32314{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.5478
{txt}Residual SS             = {res}  5964.80122{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   7.171

{txt}{hline 25}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 26}{c |}{col 38}    Robust
{col 1}         approve_detrend{col 26}{c |}      Coef.{col 38}   Std. Err.{col 50}      z{col 58}   P>|z|{col 66}     [95% Con{col 79}f. Interval]
{hline 25}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 13}1.terminate {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 3.631594{col 38}{space 2} 5.648149{col 49}{space 1}    0.64{col 58}{space 3}0.520{col 66}{space 4}-7.438574{col 79}{space 3} 14.70176
{txt}partisan_conflict_mont~y {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} .0069062{col 38}{space 2} .0441543{col 49}{space 1}    0.16{col 58}{space 3}0.876{col 66}{space 4}-.0796347{col 79}{space 3}  .093447
{txt}{space 24} {c |}
{space 15}terminate#{c |}
{space 22}c. {c |}
partisan_conflict_mont~y {c |}
{space 22}1  {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-.0304323{col 38}{space 2} .0385678{col 49}{space 1}   -0.79{col 58}{space 3}0.430{col 66}{space 4}-.1060239{col 79}{space 3} .0451592
{txt}{space 24} {c |}
{space 16}miseryt1 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-2.342603{col 38}{space 2} .9379684{col 49}{space 1}   -2.50{col 58}{space 3}0.013{col 66}{space 4}-4.180988{col 79}{space 3}-.5042191
{txt}{space 16}ICB_dura {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-.4832339{col 38}{space 2} .2179212{col 49}{space 1}   -2.22{col 58}{space 3}0.027{col 66}{space 4}-.9103516{col 79}{space 3}-.0561162
{txt}{space 16}ICB_viol {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 2.439381{col 38}{space 2}  2.22305{col 49}{space 1}    1.10{col 58}{space 3}0.273{col 66}{space 4}-1.917717{col 79}{space 3}  6.79648
{txt}{space 15}strivalry {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 17}coldwar {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} -21.5073{col 38}{space 2} 6.363949{col 49}{space 1}   -3.38{col 58}{space 3}0.001{col 66}{space 4}-33.98041{col 79}{space 3}-9.034186
{txt}{space 13}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-1.301712{col 38}{space 2} 1.697621{col 49}{space 1}   -0.77{col 58}{space 3}0.443{col 66}{space 4}-4.628989{col 79}{space 3} 2.025564
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 40.78956{col 38}{space 2} 8.323328{col 49}{space 1}    4.90{col 58}{space 3}0.000{col 66}{space 4} 24.47613{col 79}{space 3} 57.10298
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 15.31523{col 38}{space 2} 4.815718{col 49}{space 1}    3.18{col 58}{space 3}0.001{col 66}{space 4} 5.876596{col 79}{space 3} 24.75387
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-8.940031{col 38}{space 2} 3.861449{col 49}{space 1}   -2.32{col 58}{space 3}0.021{col 66}{space 4}-16.50833{col 79}{space 3}-1.371731
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-4.476273{col 38}{space 2} 7.009609{col 49}{space 1}   -0.64{col 58}{space 3}0.523{col 66}{space 4}-18.21485{col 79}{space 3} 9.262308
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 19}_cons {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}  19.7479{col 38}{space 2} 10.19479{col 49}{space 1}    1.94{col 58}{space 3}0.053{col 66}{space 4} -.233525{col 79}{space 3} 39.72932
{txt}{hline 25}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate partisan_conflict_monthly
{col 23}1.terminate#c.partisan_conflict_monthly miseryt1 ICB_dura
{col 23}ICB_viol coldwar nytimes_cum _Ipresident_40 _Ipresident_41
{col 23}_Ipresident_42 _Ipresident_43
Dropped collinear:{col 23}strivalry _Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35
{col 23}_Ipresident_36 _Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38
{col 23}_Ipresident_39 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. clear all
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. ***Controlling for instances in which a crisis is directly related to a previous crisis in the dataset***
. use full_sample, clear
{txt}
{com}. tsset presidentid_crisis yearmonth
{res}{txt}{col 8}panel variable:  {res}presidentid_crisis (unbalanced)
{txt}{col 9}time variable:  {res}{col 25}yearmonth, 195304 to 201602, but with gaps
{txt}{col 17}delta:  {res}1 unit
{txt}
{com}. global president = "_Ipresident_*"
{txt}
{com}. global c "miseryt1 ICB_dura ICB_viol strivalry coldwar nytimes_cum $president"
{txt}
{com}. drop if start_and_terminate==1
{txt}(13 observations deleted)

{com}. 
. gen related=.
{txt}(954 missing values generated)

{com}. replace related = 1 if ICB_crisno == 166
{txt}(2 real changes made)

{com}. replace related = 1 if ICB_crisno == 186
{txt}(3 real changes made)

{com}. replace related = 1 if ICB_crisno == 193
{txt}(2 real changes made)

{com}. replace related = 1 if ICB_crisno == 213
{txt}(2 real changes made)

{com}. replace related = 1 if ICB_crisno == 225
{txt}(2 real changes made)

{com}. replace related = 1 if ICB_crisno == 230
{txt}(2 real changes made)

{com}. replace related = 1 if ICB_crisno == 237
{txt}(3 real changes made)

{com}. replace related = 1 if ICB_crisno == 239
{txt}(2 real changes made)

{com}. replace related = 1 if ICB_crisno == 246
{txt}(5 real changes made)

{com}. replace related = 1 if ICB_crisno == 249
{txt}(2 real changes made)

{com}. replace related = 1 if ICB_crisno == 274
{txt}(2 real changes made)

{com}. replace related = 1 if ICB_crisno == 412
{txt}(2 real changes made)

{com}. replace related = 1 if ICB_crisno == 419
{txt}(2 real changes made)

{com}. replace related = 1 if ICB_crisno == 422
{txt}(4 real changes made)

{com}. replace related = 1 if ICB_crisno == 429
{txt}(3 real changes made)

{com}. replace related = 1 if ICB_crisno == 440
{txt}(5 real changes made)

{com}. replace related = 1 if ICB_crisno == 441
{txt}(16 real changes made)

{com}. replace related = 1 if ICB_crisno == 450
{txt}(18 real changes made)

{com}. replace related = 1 if ICB_crisno == 459
{txt}(6 real changes made)

{com}. replace related = 1 if ICB_crisno == 469
{txt}(7 real changes made)

{com}. replace related = 0 if related ==.
{txt}(864 real changes made)

{com}. 
. /*Table A5, column 3*/
. ivreg2 approve terminate $c firstyear elecyear term2, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}19{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    48{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     253
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   213{txt}{col 55}F( 20,    47) = {res}  281.67
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 49844.50046{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.7453
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 740000.7433{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.9828
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 12694.99025{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   7.084

{txt}{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}       approve{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}terminate {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 2.961386{col 28}{space 2} 1.154492{col 39}{space 1}    2.57{col 48}{space 3}0.010{col 56}{space 4} .6986227{col 69}{space 3} 5.224149
{txt}{space 6}miseryt1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-2.529689{col 28}{space 2}  .445863{col 39}{space 1}   -5.67{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-3.403564{col 69}{space 3}-1.655813
{txt}{space 6}ICB_dura {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.7986593{col 28}{space 2} .1562711{col 39}{space 1}   -5.11{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-1.104945{col 69}{space 3}-.4923735
{txt}{space 6}ICB_viol {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 2.200779{col 28}{space 2} 1.401569{col 39}{space 1}    1.57{col 48}{space 3}0.116{col 56}{space 4} -.546245{col 69}{space 3} 4.947803
{txt}{space 5}strivalry {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 2.911325{col 28}{space 2} 2.069874{col 39}{space 1}    1.41{col 48}{space 3}0.160{col 56}{space 4}-1.145555{col 69}{space 3} 6.968204
{txt}{space 7}coldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-18.01283{col 28}{space 2} 7.214958{col 39}{space 1}   -2.50{col 48}{space 3}0.013{col 56}{space 4}-32.15388{col 69}{space 3}-3.871769
{txt}{space 3}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .4284361{col 28}{space 2} .3715275{col 39}{space 1}    1.15{col 48}{space 3}0.249{col 56}{space 4}-.2997444{col 69}{space 3} 1.156617
{txt}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}        0{col 28}{txt}  (omitted)
_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 22.63412{col 28}{space 2} 8.526007{col 39}{space 1}    2.65{col 48}{space 3}0.008{col 56}{space 4} 5.923455{col 69}{space 3} 39.34479
{txt}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 28.61337{col 28}{space 2} 7.506971{col 39}{space 1}    3.81{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 13.89998{col 69}{space 3} 43.32677
{txt}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 13.06546{col 28}{space 2} 9.051026{col 39}{space 1}    1.44{col 48}{space 3}0.149{col 56}{space 4}-4.674228{col 69}{space 3} 30.80514
{txt}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}  14.8172{col 28}{space 2} 8.240994{col 39}{space 1}    1.80{col 48}{space 3}0.072{col 56}{space 4}-1.334849{col 69}{space 3} 30.96925
{txt}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 21.96711{col 28}{space 2} 9.545103{col 39}{space 1}    2.30{col 48}{space 3}0.021{col 56}{space 4} 3.259055{col 69}{space 3} 40.67517
{txt}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 39.59583{col 28}{space 2} 10.34753{col 39}{space 1}    3.83{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 19.31504{col 69}{space 3} 59.87662
{txt}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 38.41381{col 28}{space 2} 8.117003{col 39}{space 1}    4.73{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 22.50478{col 69}{space 3} 54.32284
{txt}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 16.31057{col 28}{space 2} 3.605555{col 39}{space 1}    4.52{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 9.243806{col 69}{space 3} 23.37732
{txt}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.9153076{col 28}{space 2} 3.418567{col 39}{space 1}   -0.27{col 48}{space 3}0.789{col 56}{space 4}-7.615575{col 69}{space 3}  5.78496
{txt}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1976792{col 28}{space 2} 4.881327{col 39}{space 1}   -0.04{col 48}{space 3}0.968{col 56}{space 4}-9.764904{col 69}{space 3} 9.369546
{txt}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}        0{col 28}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 5}firstyear {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 4.400225{col 28}{space 2} 4.237095{col 39}{space 1}    1.04{col 48}{space 3}0.299{col 56}{space 4}-3.904328{col 69}{space 3} 12.70478
{txt}{space 6}elecyear {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-6.180177{col 28}{space 2} 2.951107{col 39}{space 1}   -2.09{col 48}{space 3}0.036{col 56}{space 4}-11.96424{col 69}{space 3}-.3961127
{txt}{space 9}term2 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-10.00661{col 28}{space 2} 3.570676{col 39}{space 1}   -2.80{col 48}{space 3}0.005{col 56}{space 4}-17.00501{col 69}{space 3}-3.008217
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 76.27897{col 28}{space 2} 6.177004{col 39}{space 1}   12.35{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 64.17226{col 69}{space 3} 88.38568
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}terminate miseryt1 ICB_dura ICB_viol strivalry coldwar
{col 23}nytimes_cum _Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36
{col 23}_Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 23}_Ipresident_40 _Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42
{col 23}_Ipresident_43 firstyear elecyear term2
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. /*Table A5, column 4*/
. ivreg2 approve_detrend terminate $c, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}19{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    48{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     253
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   213{txt}{col 55}F( 17,    47) = {res}  131.61
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 26892.84863{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.5235
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 27628.89294{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.5362
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 12813.69839{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   7.117

{txt}{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}approve_detr~d{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}terminate {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 2.617469{col 28}{space 2} 1.101088{col 39}{space 1}    2.38{col 48}{space 3}0.017{col 56}{space 4} .4593761{col 69}{space 3} 4.775561
{txt}{space 6}miseryt1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-2.485831{col 28}{space 2} .4352348{col 39}{space 1}   -5.71{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-3.338876{col 69}{space 3}-1.632787
{txt}{space 6}ICB_dura {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.6939373{col 28}{space 2} .1494143{col 39}{space 1}   -4.64{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-.9867839{col 69}{space 3}-.4010906
{txt}{space 6}ICB_viol {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 3.054865{col 28}{space 2} 1.305283{col 39}{space 1}    2.34{col 48}{space 3}0.019{col 56}{space 4} .4965571{col 69}{space 3} 5.613173
{txt}{space 5}strivalry {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 4.568798{col 28}{space 2} 2.027576{col 39}{space 1}    2.25{col 48}{space 3}0.024{col 56}{space 4}  .594823{col 69}{space 3} 8.542773
{txt}{space 7}coldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-15.82046{col 28}{space 2} 6.243505{col 39}{space 1}   -2.53{col 48}{space 3}0.011{col 56}{space 4}-28.05751{col 69}{space 3}-3.583419
{txt}{space 3}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .3450343{col 28}{space 2} .3715996{col 39}{space 1}    0.93{col 48}{space 3}0.353{col 56}{space 4}-.3832876{col 69}{space 3} 1.073356
{txt}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}        0{col 28}{txt}  (omitted)
_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 2.848614{col 28}{space 2} 6.577113{col 39}{space 1}    0.43{col 48}{space 3}0.665{col 56}{space 4}-10.04229{col 69}{space 3} 15.73952
{txt}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}  11.2353{col 28}{space 2} 6.875464{col 39}{space 1}    1.63{col 48}{space 3}0.102{col 56}{space 4}-2.240366{col 69}{space 3} 24.71096
{txt}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 7.381165{col 28}{space 2} 7.361395{col 39}{space 1}    1.00{col 48}{space 3}0.316{col 56}{space 4}-7.046905{col 69}{space 3} 21.80923
{txt}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 12.51297{col 28}{space 2} 7.092296{col 39}{space 1}    1.76{col 48}{space 3}0.078{col 56}{space 4} -1.38767{col 69}{space 3} 26.41362
{txt}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 25.53789{col 28}{space 2} 7.422695{col 39}{space 1}    3.44{col 48}{space 3}0.001{col 56}{space 4} 10.98967{col 69}{space 3}  40.0861
{txt}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 41.92584{col 28}{space 2} 8.314534{col 39}{space 1}    5.04{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 25.62966{col 69}{space 3} 58.22203
{txt}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 33.56887{col 28}{space 2} 7.275352{col 39}{space 1}    4.61{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 19.30944{col 69}{space 3}  47.8283
{txt}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 8.053691{col 28}{space 2} 3.265566{col 39}{space 1}    2.47{col 48}{space 3}0.014{col 56}{space 4} 1.653299{col 69}{space 3} 14.45408
{txt}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-8.093956{col 28}{space 2} 3.009666{col 39}{space 1}   -2.69{col 48}{space 3}0.007{col 56}{space 4}-13.99279{col 69}{space 3} -2.19512
{txt}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-1.781714{col 28}{space 2} 4.679857{col 39}{space 1}   -0.38{col 48}{space 3}0.703{col 56}{space 4}-10.95406{col 69}{space 3} 7.390637
{txt}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}        0{col 28}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 21.32117{col 28}{space 2} 5.502236{col 39}{space 1}    3.88{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 10.53698{col 69}{space 3} 32.10535
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}terminate miseryt1 ICB_dura ICB_viol strivalry coldwar
{col 23}nytimes_cum _Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36
{col 23}_Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 23}_Ipresident_40 _Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42
{col 23}_Ipresident_43
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. /*Table A6, columns 3 and 4 respectively, row 1*/
. ivreg2 approve terminate##elecyear $c firstyear term2, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}19{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    48{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     253
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   213{txt}{col 55}F( 21,    47) = {res}  168.01
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 49844.50046{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.7503
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 740000.7433{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.9832
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 12447.67285{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   7.014

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}    Robust
{col 1}           approve{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      z{col 52}   P>|z|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}1.terminate {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 2.038077{col 32}{space 2} 1.160989{col 43}{space 1}    1.76{col 52}{space 3}0.079{col 60}{space 4}-.2374197{col 73}{space 3} 4.313573
{txt}{space 8}1.elecyear {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-7.746437{col 32}{space 2} 3.226787{col 43}{space 1}   -2.40{col 52}{space 3}0.016{col 60}{space 4}-14.07082{col 73}{space 3}-1.422052
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
terminate#elecyear {c |}
{space 14}1 1  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 10.36649{col 32}{space 2} 4.106005{col 43}{space 1}    2.52{col 52}{space 3}0.012{col 60}{space 4} 2.318873{col 73}{space 3} 18.41412
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 10}miseryt1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-2.525438{col 32}{space 2} .4487534{col 43}{space 1}   -5.63{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-3.404979{col 73}{space 3}-1.645898
{txt}{space 10}ICB_dura {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.7825554{col 32}{space 2}  .157943{col 43}{space 1}   -4.95{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-1.092118{col 73}{space 3}-.4729928
{txt}{space 10}ICB_viol {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 2.366679{col 32}{space 2}  1.40238{col 43}{space 1}    1.69{col 52}{space 3}0.091{col 60}{space 4}-.3819356{col 73}{space 3} 5.115293
{txt}{space 9}strivalry {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 2.436798{col 32}{space 2} 2.089568{col 43}{space 1}    1.17{col 52}{space 3}0.244{col 60}{space 4} -1.65868{col 73}{space 3} 6.532276
{txt}{space 11}coldwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-17.16374{col 32}{space 2} 6.902468{col 43}{space 1}   -2.49{col 52}{space 3}0.013{col 60}{space 4}-30.69233{col 73}{space 3}-3.635153
{txt}{space 7}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .4425249{col 32}{space 2} .3667157{col 43}{space 1}    1.21{col 52}{space 3}0.228{col 60}{space 4}-.2762247{col 73}{space 3} 1.161274
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}        0{col 32}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 4}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 22.15293{col 32}{space 2} 8.268028{col 43}{space 1}    2.68{col 52}{space 3}0.007{col 60}{space 4} 5.947894{col 73}{space 3} 38.35797
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 28.35544{col 32}{space 2} 7.216886{col 43}{space 1}    3.93{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}  14.2106{col 73}{space 3} 42.50028
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 12.50164{col 32}{space 2} 8.683329{col 43}{space 1}    1.44{col 52}{space 3}0.150{col 60}{space 4}-4.517371{col 73}{space 3} 29.52066
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 14.16892{col 32}{space 2} 8.022209{col 43}{space 1}    1.77{col 52}{space 3}0.077{col 60}{space 4}-1.554322{col 73}{space 3} 29.89216
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 21.74059{col 32}{space 2}  9.40368{col 43}{space 1}    2.31{col 52}{space 3}0.021{col 60}{space 4} 3.309719{col 73}{space 3} 40.17147
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 39.11485{col 32}{space 2} 10.09425{col 43}{space 1}    3.87{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 19.33049{col 73}{space 3} 58.89922
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 37.78633{col 32}{space 2} 7.999396{col 43}{space 1}    4.72{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}  22.1078{col 73}{space 3} 53.46485
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  15.9166{col 32}{space 2} 3.817922{col 43}{space 1}    4.17{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 8.433613{col 73}{space 3} 23.39959
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.8853123{col 32}{space 2} 3.435645{col 43}{space 1}   -0.26{col 52}{space 3}0.797{col 60}{space 4}-7.619053{col 73}{space 3} 5.848429
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -.502154{col 32}{space 2} 4.882465{col 43}{space 1}   -0.10{col 52}{space 3}0.918{col 60}{space 4}-10.07161{col 73}{space 3} 9.067301
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}        0{col 32}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 9}firstyear {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 4.128642{col 32}{space 2}  4.23614{col 43}{space 1}    0.97{col 52}{space 3}0.330{col 60}{space 4} -4.17404{col 73}{space 3} 12.43132
{txt}{space 13}term2 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-9.937199{col 32}{space 2} 3.482414{col 43}{space 1}   -2.85{col 52}{space 3}0.004{col 60}{space 4} -16.7626{col 73}{space 3}-3.111793
{txt}{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 76.07615{col 32}{space 2} 6.163519{col 43}{space 1}   12.34{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 63.99588{col 73}{space 3} 88.15643
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate 1.elecyear 1.terminate#1.elecyear miseryt1
{col 23}ICB_dura ICB_viol strivalry coldwar nytimes_cum
{col 23}_Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36
{col 23}_Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 23}_Ipresident_40 _Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42
{col 23}_Ipresident_43 firstyear term2
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. ivreg2 approve_detrend terminate##elecyear $c, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}19{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    48{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     253
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   213{txt}{col 55}F( 19,    47) = {res}   68.19
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 26892.84863{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.5332
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 27628.89294{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.5456
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 12553.61765{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   7.044

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}    Robust
{col 1}   approve_detrend{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      z{col 52}   P>|z|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}1.terminate {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.649825{col 32}{space 2} 1.142869{col 43}{space 1}    1.44{col 52}{space 3}0.149{col 60}{space 4}-.5901567{col 73}{space 3} 3.889808
{txt}{space 8}1.elecyear {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-3.810511{col 32}{space 2} 2.605455{col 43}{space 1}   -1.46{col 52}{space 3}0.144{col 60}{space 4}-8.917108{col 73}{space 3} 1.296086
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
terminate#elecyear {c |}
{space 14}1 1  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 8.992652{col 32}{space 2} 3.489032{col 43}{space 1}    2.58{col 52}{space 3}0.010{col 60}{space 4} 2.154275{col 73}{space 3} 15.83103
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 10}miseryt1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -2.47808{col 32}{space 2} .4407856{col 43}{space 1}   -5.62{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-3.342004{col 73}{space 3}-1.614156
{txt}{space 10}ICB_dura {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.6677676{col 32}{space 2} .1511918{col 43}{space 1}   -4.42{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-.9640981{col 73}{space 3}-.3714371
{txt}{space 10}ICB_viol {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 3.242607{col 32}{space 2}  1.32366{col 43}{space 1}    2.45{col 52}{space 3}0.014{col 60}{space 4} .6482802{col 73}{space 3} 5.836934
{txt}{space 9}strivalry {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 4.076184{col 32}{space 2} 2.044263{col 43}{space 1}    1.99{col 52}{space 3}0.046{col 60}{space 4} .0695017{col 73}{space 3} 8.082866
{txt}{space 11}coldwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-14.94452{col 32}{space 2} 5.821938{col 43}{space 1}   -2.57{col 52}{space 3}0.010{col 60}{space 4}-26.35531{col 73}{space 3}-3.533732
{txt}{space 7}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .4025117{col 32}{space 2} .3748323{col 43}{space 1}    1.07{col 52}{space 3}0.283{col 60}{space 4}-.3321461{col 73}{space 3} 1.137169
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}        0{col 32}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 4}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 2.416247{col 32}{space 2} 6.204423{col 43}{space 1}    0.39{col 52}{space 3}0.697{col 60}{space 4}-9.744198{col 73}{space 3} 14.57669
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 10.83018{col 32}{space 2} 6.533786{col 43}{space 1}    1.66{col 52}{space 3}0.097{col 60}{space 4}-1.975804{col 73}{space 3} 23.63617
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 8.135886{col 32}{space 2} 6.750702{col 43}{space 1}    1.21{col 52}{space 3}0.228{col 60}{space 4}-5.095247{col 73}{space 3} 21.36702
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 12.13567{col 32}{space 2} 6.783968{col 43}{space 1}    1.79{col 52}{space 3}0.074{col 60}{space 4}-1.160665{col 73}{space 3}   25.432
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 25.32765{col 32}{space 2} 7.078516{col 43}{space 1}    3.58{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 11.45401{col 73}{space 3} 39.20128
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 43.10312{col 32}{space 2} 8.177084{col 43}{space 1}    5.27{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 27.07633{col 73}{space 3} 59.12991
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 32.74535{col 32}{space 2} 7.002921{col 43}{space 1}    4.68{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 19.01987{col 73}{space 3} 46.47082
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 7.429387{col 32}{space 2} 3.537996{col 43}{space 1}    2.10{col 52}{space 3}0.036{col 60}{space 4} .4950426{col 73}{space 3} 14.36373
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-8.049392{col 32}{space 2}  3.07201{col 43}{space 1}   -2.62{col 52}{space 3}0.009{col 60}{space 4}-14.07042{col 73}{space 3}-2.028362
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-2.033158{col 32}{space 2} 4.677322{col 43}{space 1}   -0.43{col 52}{space 3}0.664{col 60}{space 4}-11.20054{col 73}{space 3} 7.134224
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}        0{col 32}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  20.9681{col 32}{space 2} 5.537674{col 43}{space 1}    3.79{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 10.11445{col 73}{space 3} 31.82174
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate 1.elecyear 1.terminate#1.elecyear miseryt1
{col 23}ICB_dura ICB_viol strivalry coldwar nytimes_cum
{col 23}_Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36
{col 23}_Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 23}_Ipresident_40 _Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42
{col 23}_Ipresident_43
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. /*Table A6, columns 3 and 4 respectively, row 2*/
. ivreg2 approve terminate##c.nytimes_cum $c elecyear firstyear term2, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}19{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - duplicate variables detected
Duplicates:{col 21}nytimes_cum
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    48{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     253
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   213{txt}{col 55}F( 21,    47) = {res}  315.86
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 49844.50046{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.7479
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 740000.7433{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.9830
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 12566.87729{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   7.048

{txt}{hline 24}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 25}{c |}{col 37}    Robust
{col 1}                approve{col 25}{c |}      Coef.{col 37}   Std. Err.{col 49}      z{col 57}   P>|z|{col 65}     [95% Con{col 78}f. Interval]
{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 12}1.terminate {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 3.986415{col 37}{space 2} 1.320953{col 48}{space 1}    3.02{col 57}{space 3}0.003{col 65}{space 4} 1.397396{col 78}{space 3} 6.575435
{txt}{space 12}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .7101113{col 37}{space 2}  .412053{col 48}{space 1}    1.72{col 57}{space 3}0.085{col 65}{space 4}-.0974977{col 78}{space 3}  1.51772
{txt}{space 23} {c |}
terminate#c.nytimes_cum {c |}
{space 21}1  {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.6302711{col 37}{space 2} .2181314{col 48}{space 1}   -2.89{col 57}{space 3}0.004{col 65}{space 4}-1.057801{col 78}{space 3}-.2027414
{txt}{space 23} {c |}
{space 15}miseryt1 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-2.535488{col 37}{space 2}   .43639{col 48}{space 1}   -5.81{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4}-3.390797{col 78}{space 3}-1.680179
{txt}{space 15}ICB_dura {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} -.811718{col 37}{space 2} .1559775{col 48}{space 1}   -5.20{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4}-1.117428{col 78}{space 3}-.5060078
{txt}{space 15}ICB_viol {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 2.162526{col 37}{space 2} 1.401336{col 48}{space 1}    1.54{col 57}{space 3}0.123{col 65}{space 4}-.5840419{col 78}{space 3} 4.909093
{txt}{space 14}strivalry {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 3.018996{col 37}{space 2} 2.057263{col 48}{space 1}    1.47{col 57}{space 3}0.142{col 65}{space 4}-1.013164{col 78}{space 3} 7.051157
{txt}{space 16}coldwar {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-17.87012{col 37}{space 2} 7.488854{col 48}{space 1}   -2.39{col 57}{space 3}0.017{col 65}{space 4}-32.54801{col 78}{space 3}-3.192237
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}        0{col 37}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 9}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 22.34254{col 37}{space 2} 8.727448{col 48}{space 1}    2.56{col 57}{space 3}0.010{col 65}{space 4} 5.237058{col 78}{space 3} 39.44803
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 28.16552{col 37}{space 2} 7.773653{col 48}{space 1}    3.62{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 12.92944{col 78}{space 3}  43.4016
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 13.07169{col 37}{space 2} 9.192786{col 48}{space 1}    1.42{col 57}{space 3}0.155{col 65}{space 4} -4.94584{col 78}{space 3} 31.08922
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 14.33443{col 37}{space 2} 8.445973{col 48}{space 1}    1.70{col 57}{space 3}0.090{col 65}{space 4}-2.219375{col 78}{space 3} 30.88823
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}   21.582{col 37}{space 2} 9.677043{col 48}{space 1}    2.23{col 57}{space 3}0.026{col 65}{space 4} 2.615348{col 78}{space 3} 40.54866
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 39.86118{col 37}{space 2} 10.43642{col 48}{space 1}    3.82{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 19.40617{col 78}{space 3} 60.31619
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 38.49524{col 37}{space 2} 8.331208{col 48}{space 1}    4.62{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 22.16638{col 78}{space 3} 54.82411
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 15.71842{col 37}{space 2} 3.578677{col 48}{space 1}    4.39{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 8.704344{col 78}{space 3}  22.7325
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.9565355{col 37}{space 2} 3.404164{col 48}{space 1}   -0.28{col 57}{space 3}0.779{col 65}{space 4}-7.628573{col 78}{space 3} 5.715502
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0447993{col 37}{space 2} 4.859324{col 48}{space 1}   -0.01{col 57}{space 3}0.993{col 65}{space 4}  -9.5689{col 78}{space 3} 9.479302
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}        0{col 37}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 15}elecyear {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-6.843221{col 37}{space 2} 3.010041{col 48}{space 1}   -2.27{col 57}{space 3}0.023{col 65}{space 4}-12.74279{col 78}{space 3}-.9436496
{txt}{space 14}firstyear {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 4.520045{col 37}{space 2} 4.205005{col 48}{space 1}    1.07{col 57}{space 3}0.282{col 65}{space 4}-3.721613{col 78}{space 3}  12.7617
{txt}{space 18}term2 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-10.00163{col 37}{space 2} 3.574921{col 48}{space 1}   -2.80{col 57}{space 3}0.005{col 65}{space 4}-17.00834{col 78}{space 3}-2.994912
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 76.26863{col 37}{space 2} 6.117108{col 48}{space 1}   12.47{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 64.27932{col 78}{space 3} 88.25794
{txt}{hline 24}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate nytimes_cum 1.terminate#c.nytimes_cum
{col 23}miseryt1 ICB_dura ICB_viol strivalry coldwar
{col 23}_Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36
{col 23}_Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 23}_Ipresident_40 _Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42
{col 23}_Ipresident_43 elecyear firstyear term2
Duplicates:{col 23}nytimes_cum
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. ivreg2 approve_detrend terminate##c.nytimes_cum $c, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}19{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - duplicate variables detected
Duplicates:{col 21}nytimes_cum
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    48{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     253
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   213{txt}{col 55}F( 18,    47) = {res}  163.79
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 26892.84863{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.5264
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 27628.89294{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.5390
{txt}Residual SS             = {res}  12736.3747{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   7.095

{txt}{hline 24}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 25}{c |}{col 37}    Robust
{col 1}        approve_detrend{col 25}{c |}      Coef.{col 37}   Std. Err.{col 49}      z{col 57}   P>|z|{col 65}     [95% Con{col 78}f. Interval]
{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 12}1.terminate {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 3.433291{col 37}{space 2}  1.28556{col 48}{space 1}    2.67{col 57}{space 3}0.008{col 65}{space 4} .9136399{col 78}{space 3} 5.952941
{txt}{space 12}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .5494088{col 37}{space 2} .4175351{col 48}{space 1}    1.32{col 57}{space 3}0.188{col 65}{space 4} -.268945{col 78}{space 3} 1.367763
{txt}{space 23} {c |}
terminate#c.nytimes_cum {c |}
{space 21}1  {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.4792019{col 37}{space 2} .2038082{col 48}{space 1}   -2.35{col 57}{space 3}0.019{col 65}{space 4}-.8786587{col 78}{space 3}-.0797451
{txt}{space 23} {c |}
{space 15}miseryt1 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-2.491433{col 37}{space 2} .4286295{col 48}{space 1}   -5.81{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4}-3.331531{col 78}{space 3}-1.651335
{txt}{space 15}ICB_dura {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.7067232{col 37}{space 2} .1502189{col 48}{space 1}   -4.70{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4}-1.001147{col 78}{space 3}-.4122995
{txt}{space 15}ICB_viol {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 3.014965{col 37}{space 2} 1.310215{col 48}{space 1}    2.30{col 57}{space 3}0.021{col 65}{space 4} .4469916{col 78}{space 3} 5.582939
{txt}{space 14}strivalry {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 4.670829{col 37}{space 2} 2.018657{col 48}{space 1}    2.31{col 57}{space 3}0.021{col 65}{space 4} .7143343{col 78}{space 3} 8.627325
{txt}{space 16}coldwar {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-15.70501{col 37}{space 2} 6.513041{col 48}{space 1}   -2.41{col 57}{space 3}0.016{col 65}{space 4}-28.47033{col 78}{space 3}-2.939681
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}        0{col 37}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 9}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 2.584861{col 37}{space 2} 6.830314{col 48}{space 1}    0.38{col 57}{space 3}0.705{col 65}{space 4}-10.80231{col 78}{space 3} 15.97203
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 10.90563{col 37}{space 2} 7.119976{col 48}{space 1}    1.53{col 57}{space 3}0.126{col 65}{space 4}-3.049271{col 78}{space 3} 24.86052
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 7.080481{col 37}{space 2}  7.60091{col 48}{space 1}    0.93{col 57}{space 3}0.352{col 65}{space 4}-7.817028{col 78}{space 3} 21.97799
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 12.06926{col 37}{space 2} 7.325894{col 48}{space 1}    1.65{col 57}{space 3}0.099{col 65}{space 4}-2.289231{col 78}{space 3} 26.42775
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 25.19252{col 37}{space 2} 7.622473{col 48}{space 1}    3.31{col 57}{space 3}0.001{col 65}{space 4} 10.25275{col 78}{space 3} 40.13229
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 41.75219{col 37}{space 2} 8.443585{col 48}{space 1}    4.94{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 25.20307{col 78}{space 3} 58.30132
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 33.66871{col 37}{space 2} 7.481293{col 48}{space 1}    4.50{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 19.00564{col 78}{space 3} 48.33177
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 7.651555{col 37}{space 2} 3.241213{col 48}{space 1}    2.36{col 57}{space 3}0.018{col 65}{space 4} 1.298894{col 78}{space 3} 14.00422
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-8.129792{col 37}{space 2} 2.995705{col 48}{space 1}   -2.71{col 57}{space 3}0.007{col 65}{space 4}-14.00127{col 78}{space 3}-2.258319
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-1.671273{col 37}{space 2} 4.666251{col 48}{space 1}   -0.36{col 57}{space 3}0.720{col 65}{space 4}-10.81696{col 78}{space 3} 7.474411
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}        0{col 37}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 21.37425{col 37}{space 2} 5.450682{col 48}{space 1}    3.92{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 10.69111{col 78}{space 3} 32.05739
{txt}{hline 24}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate nytimes_cum 1.terminate#c.nytimes_cum
{col 23}miseryt1 ICB_dura ICB_viol strivalry coldwar
{col 23}_Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36
{col 23}_Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 23}_Ipresident_40 _Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42
{col 23}_Ipresident_43
Duplicates:{col 23}nytimes_cum
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. /*Table A6, columns 3 and 4 respectively, row 3*/
. ivreg2 approve terminate##c.miseryt1 $c elecyear firstyear term2, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}19{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - duplicate variables detected
Duplicates:{col 21}miseryt1
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    48{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     253
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   213{txt}{col 55}F( 21,    47) = {res}  315.55
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 49844.50046{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.7454
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 740000.7433{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.9828
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 12691.85781{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   7.083

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}             approve{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}1.terminate {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2.120316{col 34}{space 2} 2.764978{col 45}{space 1}    0.77{col 54}{space 3}0.443{col 62}{space 4}-3.298941{col 75}{space 3} 7.539573
{txt}{space 12}miseryt1 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2.556723{col 34}{space 2} .4595857{col 45}{space 1}   -5.56{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-3.457495{col 75}{space 3}-1.655952
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
terminate#c.miseryt1 {c |}
{space 18}1  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0953433{col 34}{space 2} .2441036{col 45}{space 1}    0.39{col 54}{space 3}0.696{col 62}{space 4}-.3830911{col 75}{space 3} .5737776
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 12}ICB_dura {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.7983909{col 34}{space 2} .1559074{col 45}{space 1}   -5.12{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-1.103964{col 75}{space 3} -.492818
{txt}{space 12}ICB_viol {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2.214771{col 34}{space 2} 1.406397{col 45}{space 1}    1.57{col 54}{space 3}0.115{col 62}{space 4}-.5417158{col 75}{space 3} 4.971258
{txt}{space 11}strivalry {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2.822088{col 34}{space 2} 2.160591{col 45}{space 1}    1.31{col 54}{space 3}0.191{col 62}{space 4}-1.412593{col 75}{space 3} 7.056769
{txt}{space 13}coldwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-18.06976{col 34}{space 2}  7.23111{col 45}{space 1}   -2.50{col 54}{space 3}0.012{col 62}{space 4}-32.24248{col 75}{space 3}-3.897046
{txt}{space 9}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .4245645{col 34}{space 2} .3701896{col 45}{space 1}    1.15{col 54}{space 3}0.251{col 62}{space 4}-.3009938{col 75}{space 3} 1.150123
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 6}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 22.71774{col 34}{space 2} 8.510379{col 45}{space 1}    2.67{col 54}{space 3}0.008{col 62}{space 4} 6.037701{col 75}{space 3} 39.39777
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 28.70106{col 34}{space 2} 7.541456{col 45}{space 1}    3.81{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 13.92008{col 75}{space 3} 43.48204
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 13.11023{col 34}{space 2} 9.075362{col 45}{space 1}    1.44{col 54}{space 3}0.149{col 62}{space 4}-4.677157{col 75}{space 3} 30.89761
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 14.89235{col 34}{space 2} 8.242111{col 45}{space 1}    1.81{col 54}{space 3}0.071{col 62}{space 4} -1.26189{col 75}{space 3} 31.04659
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 22.14741{col 34}{space 2} 9.631468{col 45}{space 1}    2.30{col 54}{space 3}0.021{col 62}{space 4} 3.270083{col 75}{space 3} 41.02475
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 39.90992{col 34}{space 2} 10.46247{col 45}{space 1}    3.81{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 19.40386{col 75}{space 3} 60.41598
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 38.08641{col 34}{space 2} 8.201868{col 45}{space 1}    4.64{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 22.01105{col 75}{space 3} 54.16178
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 16.31853{col 34}{space 2} 3.592858{col 45}{space 1}    4.54{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 9.276661{col 75}{space 3} 23.36041
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.9245839{col 34}{space 2} 3.411295{col 45}{space 1}   -0.27{col 54}{space 3}0.786{col 62}{space 4}-7.610599{col 75}{space 3} 5.761431
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2331955{col 34}{space 2} 4.897028{col 45}{space 1}   -0.05{col 54}{space 3}0.962{col 62}{space 4}-9.831195{col 75}{space 3} 9.364804
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 12}elecyear {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-6.196339{col 34}{space 2} 2.963092{col 45}{space 1}   -2.09{col 54}{space 3}0.037{col 62}{space 4}-12.00389{col 75}{space 3}-.3887864
{txt}{space 11}firstyear {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 4.409539{col 34}{space 2} 4.232406{col 45}{space 1}    1.04{col 54}{space 3}0.297{col 62}{space 4}-3.885824{col 75}{space 3}  12.7049
{txt}{space 15}term2 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-10.00108{col 34}{space 2} 3.581898{col 45}{space 1}   -2.79{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4}-17.02147{col 75}{space 3}-2.980691
{txt}{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 76.50773{col 34}{space 2} 6.174194{col 45}{space 1}   12.39{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 64.40654{col 75}{space 3} 88.60893
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate miseryt1 1.terminate#c.miseryt1 ICB_dura
{col 23}ICB_viol strivalry coldwar nytimes_cum _Ipresident_34
{col 23}_Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36 _Ipresident_37
{col 23}_Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39 _Ipresident_40
{col 23}_Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42 _Ipresident_43 elecyear
{col 23}firstyear term2
Duplicates:{col 23}miseryt1
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. ivreg2 approve_detrend terminate##c.miseryt1 $c, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}19{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - duplicate variables detected
Duplicates:{col 21}miseryt1
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    48{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     253
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   213{txt}{col 55}F( 18,    47) = {res}  136.75
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 26892.84863{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.5235
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 27628.89294{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.5362
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 12813.17549{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   7.117

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}     approve_detrend{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}1.terminate {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2.274784{col 34}{space 2} 2.551958{col 45}{space 1}    0.89{col 54}{space 3}0.373{col 62}{space 4}-2.726961{col 75}{space 3} 7.276528
{txt}{space 12}miseryt1 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2.496928{col 34}{space 2} .4527701{col 45}{space 1}   -5.51{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-3.384341{col 75}{space 3}-1.609515
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
terminate#c.miseryt1 {c |}
{space 18}1  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0389193{col 34}{space 2} .2276973{col 45}{space 1}    0.17{col 54}{space 3}0.864{col 62}{space 4}-.4073592{col 75}{space 3} .4851979
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 12}ICB_dura {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.6938856{col 34}{space 2} .1492484{col 45}{space 1}   -4.65{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} -.986407{col 75}{space 3}-.4013641
{txt}{space 12}ICB_viol {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 3.060176{col 34}{space 2}    1.303{col 45}{space 1}    2.35{col 54}{space 3}0.019{col 62}{space 4} .5063426{col 75}{space 3} 5.614009
{txt}{space 11}strivalry {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 4.532727{col 34}{space 2} 2.130103{col 45}{space 1}    2.13{col 54}{space 3}0.033{col 62}{space 4} .3578022{col 75}{space 3} 8.707652
{txt}{space 13}coldwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -15.8418{col 34}{space 2} 6.259176{col 45}{space 1}   -2.53{col 54}{space 3}0.011{col 62}{space 4}-28.10956{col 75}{space 3}-3.574045
{txt}{space 9}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3432747{col 34}{space 2} .3714911{col 45}{space 1}    0.92{col 54}{space 3}0.355{col 62}{space 4}-.3848346{col 75}{space 3} 1.071384
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 6}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2.879888{col 34}{space 2} 6.571492{col 45}{space 1}    0.44{col 54}{space 3}0.661{col 62}{space 4}-9.999999{col 75}{space 3} 15.75977
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 11.26942{col 34}{space 2} 6.892279{col 45}{space 1}    1.64{col 54}{space 3}0.102{col 62}{space 4}-2.239197{col 75}{space 3} 24.77804
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 7.392338{col 34}{space 2} 7.376467{col 45}{space 1}    1.00{col 54}{space 3}0.316{col 62}{space 4}-7.065271{col 75}{space 3} 21.84995
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 12.54095{col 34}{space 2} 7.105852{col 45}{space 1}    1.76{col 54}{space 3}0.078{col 62}{space 4}-1.386262{col 75}{space 3} 26.46817
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 25.60749{col 34}{space 2} 7.514665{col 45}{space 1}    3.41{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 10.87902{col 75}{space 3} 40.33596
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 42.04645{col 34}{space 2} 8.425343{col 45}{space 1}    4.99{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 25.53308{col 75}{space 3} 58.55982
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 33.43522{col 34}{space 2} 7.274889{col 45}{space 1}    4.60{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  19.1767{col 75}{space 3} 47.69374
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 8.056972{col 34}{space 2} 3.261735{col 45}{space 1}    2.47{col 54}{space 3}0.014{col 62}{space 4} 1.664089{col 75}{space 3} 14.44986
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-8.097988{col 34}{space 2} 3.008739{col 45}{space 1}   -2.69{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4}-13.99501{col 75}{space 3}-2.200967
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.796276{col 34}{space 2} 4.688509{col 45}{space 1}   -0.38{col 54}{space 3}0.702{col 62}{space 4}-10.98558{col 75}{space 3} 7.393032
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 21.41779{col 34}{space 2} 5.659279{col 45}{space 1}    3.78{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  10.3258{col 75}{space 3} 32.50977
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate miseryt1 1.terminate#c.miseryt1 ICB_dura
{col 23}ICB_viol strivalry coldwar nytimes_cum _Ipresident_34
{col 23}_Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36 _Ipresident_37
{col 23}_Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39 _Ipresident_40
{col 23}_Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42 _Ipresident_43
Duplicates:{col 23}miseryt1
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. /*Table A6, columns 3 and 4 respectively, row 4*/
. ivreg2 approve terminate##c.partisan_conflict_monthly $c elecyear firstyear term2, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis)  bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}8{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}strivalry _Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35
{col 21}_Ipresident_36 _Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 21}_Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    21{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     142
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   113{txt}{col 55}F( 15,    20) = {res}  117.36
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 25767.06916{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.6886
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 379616.9935{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.9789
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 8023.860547{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   7.517

{txt}{hline 25}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 26}{c |}{col 38}    Robust
{col 1}                 approve{col 26}{c |}      Coef.{col 38}   Std. Err.{col 50}      z{col 58}   P>|z|{col 66}     [95% Con{col 79}f. Interval]
{hline 25}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 13}1.terminate {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 11.18217{col 38}{space 2} 7.511459{col 49}{space 1}    1.49{col 58}{space 3}0.137{col 66}{space 4}-3.540015{col 79}{space 3} 25.90436
{txt}partisan_conflict_mont~y {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} .0013153{col 38}{space 2} .0671391{col 49}{space 1}    0.02{col 58}{space 3}0.984{col 66}{space 4}-.1302749{col 79}{space 3} .1329056
{txt}{space 24} {c |}
{space 15}terminate#{c |}
{space 22}c. {c |}
partisan_conflict_mont~y {c |}
{space 22}1  {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-.0933336{col 38}{space 2} .0710229{col 49}{space 1}   -1.31{col 58}{space 3}0.189{col 66}{space 4}-.2325359{col 79}{space 3} .0458686
{txt}{space 24} {c |}
{space 16}miseryt1 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-4.238471{col 38}{space 2} .8369453{col 49}{space 1}   -5.06{col 58}{space 3}0.000{col 66}{space 4}-5.878854{col 79}{space 3}-2.598088
{txt}{space 16}ICB_dura {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-.7041983{col 38}{space 2} .1622146{col 49}{space 1}   -4.34{col 58}{space 3}0.000{col 66}{space 4}-1.022133{col 79}{space 3}-.3862636
{txt}{space 16}ICB_viol {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 2.853382{col 38}{space 2} 1.960865{col 49}{space 1}    1.46{col 58}{space 3}0.146{col 66}{space 4}-.9898423{col 79}{space 3} 6.696607
{txt}{space 15}strivalry {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 17}coldwar {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-18.92985{col 38}{space 2} 8.255183{col 49}{space 1}   -2.29{col 58}{space 3}0.022{col 66}{space 4}-35.10972{col 79}{space 3}-2.749992
{txt}{space 13}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} .6249598{col 38}{space 2} .5102899{col 49}{space 1}    1.22{col 58}{space 3}0.221{col 66}{space 4}  -.37519{col 79}{space 3}  1.62511
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 45.66426{col 38}{space 2}    13.37{col 49}{space 1}    3.42{col 58}{space 3}0.001{col 66}{space 4} 19.45954{col 79}{space 3} 71.86898
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 14.55468{col 38}{space 2} 5.473522{col 49}{space 1}    2.66{col 58}{space 3}0.008{col 66}{space 4} 3.826772{col 79}{space 3} 25.28259
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-5.077066{col 38}{space 2} 4.279725{col 49}{space 1}   -1.19{col 58}{space 3}0.236{col 66}{space 4}-13.46517{col 79}{space 3} 3.311041
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-4.028467{col 38}{space 2} 5.684319{col 49}{space 1}   -0.71{col 58}{space 3}0.479{col 66}{space 4}-15.16953{col 79}{space 3} 7.112594
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 16}elecyear {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-.0476887{col 38}{space 2} 3.860934{col 49}{space 1}   -0.01{col 58}{space 3}0.990{col 66}{space 4}-7.614979{col 79}{space 3} 7.519602
{txt}{space 15}firstyear {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}  3.83022{col 38}{space 2} 5.570711{col 49}{space 1}    0.69{col 58}{space 3}0.492{col 66}{space 4}-7.088173{col 79}{space 3} 14.74861
{txt}{space 19}term2 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-14.75473{col 38}{space 2} 5.114989{col 49}{space 1}   -2.88{col 58}{space 3}0.004{col 66}{space 4}-24.77992{col 79}{space 3}-4.729536
{txt}{space 19}_cons {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 94.26183{col 38}{space 2} 12.63843{col 49}{space 1}    7.46{col 58}{space 3}0.000{col 66}{space 4} 69.49096{col 79}{space 3} 119.0327
{txt}{hline 25}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate partisan_conflict_monthly
{col 23}1.terminate#c.partisan_conflict_monthly miseryt1 ICB_dura
{col 23}ICB_viol coldwar nytimes_cum _Ipresident_40 _Ipresident_41
{col 23}_Ipresident_42 _Ipresident_43 elecyear firstyear term2
Dropped collinear:{col 23}strivalry _Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35
{col 23}_Ipresident_36 _Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38
{col 23}_Ipresident_39 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. ivreg2 approve_detrend terminate##c.partisan_conflict_monthly $c, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}8{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}strivalry _Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35
{col 21}_Ipresident_36 _Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 21}_Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    21{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     142
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   113{txt}{col 55}F( 12,    20) = {res}   46.38
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 19388.19082{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.5455
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 19978.31475{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.5589
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 8812.361257{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   7.878

{txt}{hline 25}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 26}{c |}{col 38}    Robust
{col 1}         approve_detrend{col 26}{c |}      Coef.{col 38}   Std. Err.{col 50}      z{col 58}   P>|z|{col 66}     [95% Con{col 79}f. Interval]
{hline 25}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 13}1.terminate {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}   13.028{col 38}{space 2} 6.253688{col 49}{space 1}    2.08{col 58}{space 3}0.037{col 66}{space 4} .7709966{col 79}{space 3}   25.285
{txt}partisan_conflict_mont~y {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-.0437943{col 38}{space 2} .0490192{col 49}{space 1}   -0.89{col 58}{space 3}0.372{col 66}{space 4}-.1398702{col 79}{space 3} .0522817
{txt}{space 24} {c |}
{space 15}terminate#{c |}
{space 22}c. {c |}
partisan_conflict_mont~y {c |}
{space 22}1  {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-.1135844{col 38}{space 2} .0580249{col 49}{space 1}   -1.96{col 58}{space 3}0.050{col 66}{space 4}-.2273111{col 79}{space 3} .0001422
{txt}{space 24} {c |}
{space 16}miseryt1 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-3.050418{col 38}{space 2} .6703487{col 49}{space 1}   -4.55{col 58}{space 3}0.000{col 66}{space 4}-4.364277{col 79}{space 3}-1.736558
{txt}{space 16}ICB_dura {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-.6449184{col 38}{space 2} .1541625{col 49}{space 1}   -4.18{col 58}{space 3}0.000{col 66}{space 4}-.9470714{col 79}{space 3}-.3427654
{txt}{space 16}ICB_viol {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 3.990285{col 38}{space 2} 1.734522{col 49}{space 1}    2.30{col 58}{space 3}0.021{col 66}{space 4} .5906843{col 79}{space 3} 7.389885
{txt}{space 15}strivalry {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 17}coldwar {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-14.96118{col 38}{space 2} 6.505399{col 49}{space 1}   -2.30{col 58}{space 3}0.021{col 66}{space 4}-27.71153{col 79}{space 3}-2.210834
{txt}{space 13}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} .6955962{col 38}{space 2} .4517852{col 49}{space 1}    1.54{col 58}{space 3}0.124{col 66}{space 4}-.1898866{col 79}{space 3} 1.581079
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 29.67585{col 38}{space 2}  8.83233{col 49}{space 1}    3.36{col 58}{space 3}0.001{col 66}{space 4}  12.3648{col 79}{space 3}  46.9869
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 2.903082{col 38}{space 2}  5.39517{col 49}{space 1}    0.54{col 58}{space 3}0.591{col 66}{space 4}-7.671257{col 79}{space 3} 13.47742
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-11.81974{col 38}{space 2}  3.35498{col 49}{space 1}   -3.52{col 58}{space 3}0.000{col 66}{space 4}-18.39537{col 79}{space 3}-5.244096
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-6.138216{col 38}{space 2} 5.966696{col 49}{space 1}   -1.03{col 58}{space 3}0.304{col 66}{space 4}-17.83272{col 79}{space 3} 5.556292
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 19}_cons {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}   31.715{col 38}{space 2}  9.41663{col 49}{space 1}    3.37{col 58}{space 3}0.001{col 66}{space 4} 13.25875{col 79}{space 3} 50.17126
{txt}{hline 25}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate partisan_conflict_monthly
{col 23}1.terminate#c.partisan_conflict_monthly miseryt1 ICB_dura
{col 23}ICB_viol coldwar nytimes_cum _Ipresident_40 _Ipresident_41
{col 23}_Ipresident_42 _Ipresident_43
Dropped collinear:{col 23}strivalry _Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35
{col 23}_Ipresident_36 _Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38
{col 23}_Ipresident_39 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. clear all
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. ***Introducing war dummies***
. use full_sample, clear
{txt}
{com}. tsset presidentid_crisis yearmonth
{res}{txt}{col 8}panel variable:  {res}presidentid_crisis (unbalanced)
{txt}{col 9}time variable:  {res}{col 25}yearmonth, 195304 to 201602, but with gaps
{txt}{col 17}delta:  {res}1 unit
{txt}
{com}. global president = "_Ipresident_*"
{txt}
{com}. global c "miseryt1 ICB_dura ICB_viol strivalry coldwar nytimes_cum $president"
{txt}
{com}. drop if start_and_terminate==1
{txt}(13 observations deleted)

{com}. 
. gen vietnamwar=.
{txt}(954 missing values generated)

{com}. replace vietnamwar = 1 if ICB_crisno == 145
{txt}(3 real changes made)

{com}. replace vietnamwar = 1 if ICB_crisno == 186
{txt}(3 real changes made)

{com}. replace vietnamwar = 1 if ICB_crisno == 193
{txt}(2 real changes made)

{com}. replace vietnamwar = 1 if ICB_crisno == 213
{txt}(2 real changes made)

{com}. replace vietnamwar = 1 if ICB_crisno == 225
{txt}(2 real changes made)

{com}. replace vietnamwar = 1 if ICB_crisno == 230
{txt}(2 real changes made)

{com}. replace vietnamwar = 1 if ICB_crisno == 237
{txt}(3 real changes made)

{com}. replace vietnamwar = 1 if ICB_crisno == 246
{txt}(5 real changes made)

{com}. replace vietnamwar = 1 if ICB_crisno == 249
{txt}(2 real changes made)

{com}. replace vietnamwar = 0 if vietnamwar == .
{txt}(930 real changes made)

{com}. gen cuba=.
{txt}(954 missing values generated)

{com}. replace cuba = 1 if ICB_crisno == 196
{txt}(2 real changes made)

{com}. replace cuba = 1 if ICB_crisno == 239
{txt}(2 real changes made)

{com}. replace cuba = 0 if cuba == .
{txt}(950 real changes made)

{com}. gen taiwan=.
{txt}(954 missing values generated)

{com}. replace taiwan = 1 if ICB_crisno == 146
{txt}(8 real changes made)

{com}. replace taiwan = 1 if ICB_crisno == 166
{txt}(2 real changes made)

{com}. replace taiwan = 0 if taiwan == .
{txt}(944 real changes made)

{com}. gen koreanwar=.
{txt}(954 missing values generated)

{com}. replace koreanwar = 1 if ICB_crisno == 140
{txt}(4 real changes made)

{com}. replace koreanwar = 1 if ICB_crisno == 274
{txt}(2 real changes made)

{com}. replace koreanwar = 0 if koreanwar ==.
{txt}(948 real changes made)

{com}. gen iraq=.
{txt}(954 missing values generated)

{com}. replace iraq = 1 if ICB_crisno == 393
{txt}(7 real changes made)

{com}. replace iraq = 1 if ICB_crisno == 412
{txt}(2 real changes made)

{com}. replace iraq = 1 if ICB_crisno == 419
{txt}(2 real changes made)

{com}. replace iraq = 1 if ICB_crisno == 422
{txt}(4 real changes made)

{com}. replace iraq = 1 if ICB_crisno == 429
{txt}(3 real changes made)

{com}. replace iraq = 1 if ICB_crisno == 440
{txt}(5 real changes made)

{com}. replace iraq = 0 if iraq == .
{txt}(931 real changes made)

{com}. gen dprk =.
{txt}(954 missing values generated)

{com}. replace dprk = 1 if ICB_crisno == 408
{txt}(20 real changes made)

{com}. replace dprk = 1 if ICB_crisno == 441
{txt}(16 real changes made)

{com}. replace dprk = 1 if ICB_crisno == 450
{txt}(18 real changes made)

{com}. replace dprk = 1 if ICB_crisno == 459
{txt}(6 real changes made)

{com}. replace dprk = 1 if ICB_crisno == 469
{txt}(7 real changes made)

{com}. replace dprk = 0 if dprk == .
{txt}(887 real changes made)

{com}. 
. /*Table A5, column 5*/
. ivreg2 approve terminate cuba taiwan iraq dprk koreanwar vietnamwar $c firstyear elecyear term2, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis)
{txt}Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on yearmonth and presidentid_crisis

Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   213{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     253
{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    48{txt}{col 55}F( 26,    47) = {res}   92.06
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 49844.50046{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.7763
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 740000.7433{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.9849
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 11149.41432{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   6.638

{txt}{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}       approve{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}terminate {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 3.194096{col 28}{space 2} 1.084873{col 39}{space 1}    2.94{col 48}{space 3}0.003{col 56}{space 4} 1.067784{col 69}{space 3} 5.320408
{txt}{space 10}cuba {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} -6.01126{col 28}{space 2} 5.893784{col 39}{space 1}   -1.02{col 48}{space 3}0.308{col 56}{space 4}-17.56286{col 69}{space 3} 5.540343
{txt}{space 8}taiwan {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-8.559917{col 28}{space 2} 3.714878{col 39}{space 1}   -2.30{col 48}{space 3}0.021{col 56}{space 4}-15.84094{col 69}{space 3} -1.27889
{txt}{space 10}iraq {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 3.698075{col 28}{space 2} 5.022406{col 39}{space 1}    0.74{col 48}{space 3}0.462{col 56}{space 4}-6.145659{col 69}{space 3} 13.54181
{txt}{space 10}dprk {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 3.072216{col 28}{space 2} 4.384548{col 39}{space 1}    0.70{col 48}{space 3}0.483{col 56}{space 4}-5.521339{col 69}{space 3} 11.66577
{txt}{space 5}koreanwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-23.88881{col 28}{space 2} 5.526345{col 39}{space 1}   -4.32{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-34.72025{col 69}{space 3}-13.05737
{txt}{space 4}vietnamwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-3.265822{col 28}{space 2} 3.205111{col 39}{space 1}   -1.02{col 48}{space 3}0.308{col 56}{space 4}-9.547723{col 69}{space 3} 3.016079
{txt}{space 6}miseryt1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-2.983628{col 28}{space 2} .4639149{col 39}{space 1}   -6.43{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-3.892884{col 69}{space 3}-2.074371
{txt}{space 6}ICB_dura {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.7253268{col 28}{space 2} .1483912{col 39}{space 1}   -4.89{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-1.016168{col 69}{space 3}-.4344854
{txt}{space 6}ICB_viol {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 3.449655{col 28}{space 2} 1.528638{col 39}{space 1}    2.26{col 48}{space 3}0.024{col 56}{space 4} .4535791{col 69}{space 3} 6.445731
{txt}{space 5}strivalry {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 6.272291{col 28}{space 2} 1.713506{col 39}{space 1}    3.66{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}  2.91388{col 69}{space 3} 9.630701
{txt}{space 7}coldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-15.46634{col 28}{space 2} 7.703544{col 39}{space 1}   -2.01{col 48}{space 3}0.045{col 56}{space 4}-30.56501{col 69}{space 3}-.3676762
{txt}{space 3}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .3360754{col 28}{space 2} .3983016{col 39}{space 1}    0.84{col 48}{space 3}0.399{col 56}{space 4}-.4445813{col 69}{space 3} 1.116732
{txt}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}        0{col 28}{txt}  (omitted)
_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 23.51839{col 28}{space 2} 8.749501{col 39}{space 1}    2.69{col 48}{space 3}0.007{col 56}{space 4} 6.369687{col 69}{space 3}  40.6671
{txt}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 28.19636{col 28}{space 2}  7.83068{col 39}{space 1}    3.60{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 12.84851{col 69}{space 3} 43.54421
{txt}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 11.02442{col 28}{space 2} 8.951244{col 39}{space 1}    1.23{col 48}{space 3}0.218{col 56}{space 4}-6.519696{col 69}{space 3} 28.56854
{txt}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 16.24877{col 28}{space 2} 8.389223{col 39}{space 1}    1.94{col 48}{space 3}0.053{col 56}{space 4}-.1938089{col 69}{space 3} 32.69134
{txt}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 21.64833{col 28}{space 2} 10.08929{col 39}{space 1}    2.15{col 48}{space 3}0.032{col 56}{space 4} 1.873686{col 69}{space 3} 41.42297
{txt}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 42.96045{col 28}{space 2} 10.34291{col 39}{space 1}    4.15{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 22.68872{col 69}{space 3} 63.23218
{txt}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}  38.8861{col 28}{space 2} 8.347822{col 39}{space 1}    4.66{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 22.52467{col 69}{space 3} 55.24754
{txt}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 13.42204{col 28}{space 2} 4.479646{col 39}{space 1}    3.00{col 48}{space 3}0.003{col 56}{space 4} 4.642099{col 69}{space 3} 22.20199
{txt}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-2.476579{col 28}{space 2} 3.354872{col 39}{space 1}   -0.74{col 48}{space 3}0.460{col 56}{space 4}-9.052007{col 69}{space 3} 4.098849
{txt}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.8049931{col 28}{space 2} 4.751877{col 39}{space 1}   -0.17{col 48}{space 3}0.865{col 56}{space 4} -10.1185{col 69}{space 3} 8.508514
{txt}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}        0{col 28}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 5}firstyear {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 5.535589{col 28}{space 2}   4.7192{col 39}{space 1}    1.17{col 48}{space 3}0.241{col 56}{space 4}-3.713872{col 69}{space 3} 14.78505
{txt}{space 6}elecyear {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-6.592203{col 28}{space 2} 2.839485{col 39}{space 1}   -2.32{col 48}{space 3}0.020{col 56}{space 4}-12.15749{col 69}{space 3}-1.026915
{txt}{space 9}term2 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-10.71329{col 28}{space 2} 3.824844{col 39}{space 1}   -2.80{col 48}{space 3}0.005{col 56}{space 4}-18.20984{col 69}{space 3}-3.216731
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}  76.6253{col 28}{space 2} 7.313204{col 39}{space 1}   10.48{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 62.29168{col 69}{space 3} 90.95891
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}terminate cuba taiwan iraq dprk koreanwar vietnamwar
{col 23}miseryt1 ICB_dura ICB_viol strivalry coldwar nytimes_cum
{col 23}_Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36
{col 23}_Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 23}_Ipresident_40 _Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42
{col 23}_Ipresident_43 firstyear elecyear term2
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. /*Table A5, column 6*/
. ivreg2 approve_detrend terminate vietnamwar iraq dprk koreanwar cuba taiwan $c, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}19{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    48{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     253
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   213{txt}{col 55}F( 23,    47) = {res}   83.39
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 26892.84863{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.5817
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 27628.89294{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.5928
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 11249.29067{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   6.668

{txt}{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}approve_detr~d{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}terminate {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 3.068848{col 28}{space 2} 1.107949{col 39}{space 1}    2.77{col 48}{space 3}0.006{col 56}{space 4} .8973073{col 69}{space 3} 5.240389
{txt}{space 4}vietnamwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-3.299947{col 28}{space 2} 3.080336{col 39}{space 1}   -1.07{col 48}{space 3}0.284{col 56}{space 4}-9.337294{col 69}{space 3}   2.7374
{txt}{space 10}iraq {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 2.789315{col 28}{space 2} 4.831886{col 39}{space 1}    0.58{col 48}{space 3}0.564{col 56}{space 4}-6.681007{col 69}{space 3} 12.25964
{txt}{space 10}dprk {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 4.348326{col 28}{space 2} 4.282739{col 39}{space 1}    1.02{col 48}{space 3}0.310{col 56}{space 4}-4.045687{col 69}{space 3} 12.74234
{txt}{space 5}koreanwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-22.52541{col 28}{space 2} 3.478315{col 39}{space 1}   -6.48{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-29.34278{col 69}{space 3}-15.70804
{txt}{space 10}cuba {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-6.750339{col 28}{space 2} 5.782056{col 39}{space 1}   -1.17{col 48}{space 3}0.243{col 56}{space 4}-18.08296{col 69}{space 3} 4.582282
{txt}{space 8}taiwan {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-8.089103{col 28}{space 2} 2.065308{col 39}{space 1}   -3.92{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-12.13703{col 69}{space 3}-4.041173
{txt}{space 6}miseryt1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-2.895465{col 28}{space 2} .4712506{col 39}{space 1}   -6.14{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-3.819099{col 69}{space 3}-1.971831
{txt}{space 6}ICB_dura {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.6498857{col 28}{space 2} .1539553{col 39}{space 1}   -4.22{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-.9516324{col 69}{space 3}-.3481389
{txt}{space 6}ICB_viol {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 4.667384{col 28}{space 2} 1.473951{col 39}{space 1}    3.17{col 48}{space 3}0.002{col 56}{space 4} 1.778493{col 69}{space 3} 7.556275
{txt}{space 5}strivalry {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 8.117234{col 28}{space 2} 1.669267{col 39}{space 1}    4.86{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}  4.84553{col 69}{space 3} 11.38894
{txt}{space 7}coldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-12.52163{col 28}{space 2} 6.234813{col 39}{space 1}   -2.01{col 48}{space 3}0.045{col 56}{space 4}-24.74164{col 69}{space 3}-.3016217
{txt}{space 3}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}  .242297{col 28}{space 2} .4097161{col 39}{space 1}    0.59{col 48}{space 3}0.554{col 56}{space 4}-.5607317{col 69}{space 3} 1.045326
{txt}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}        0{col 28}{txt}  (omitted)
_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 3.358286{col 28}{space 2} 6.808965{col 39}{space 1}    0.49{col 48}{space 3}0.622{col 56}{space 4} -9.98704{col 69}{space 3} 16.70361
{txt}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 11.82715{col 28}{space 2} 7.249575{col 39}{space 1}    1.63{col 48}{space 3}0.103{col 56}{space 4}-2.381753{col 69}{space 3} 26.03606
{txt}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 5.069837{col 28}{space 2} 7.133914{col 39}{space 1}    0.71{col 48}{space 3}0.477{col 56}{space 4}-8.912378{col 69}{space 3} 19.05205
{txt}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}  13.3378{col 28}{space 2} 7.220702{col 39}{space 1}    1.85{col 48}{space 3}0.065{col 56}{space 4}-.8145106{col 69}{space 3} 27.49012
{txt}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 24.89413{col 28}{space 2} 7.940204{col 39}{space 1}    3.14{col 48}{space 3}0.002{col 56}{space 4} 9.331611{col 69}{space 3} 40.45664
{txt}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 44.49407{col 28}{space 2} 8.682633{col 39}{space 1}    5.12{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 27.47642{col 69}{space 3} 61.51172
{txt}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 33.93825{col 28}{space 2} 7.633697{col 39}{space 1}    4.45{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 18.97648{col 69}{space 3} 48.90002
{txt}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 5.805749{col 28}{space 2} 3.701995{col 39}{space 1}    1.57{col 48}{space 3}0.117{col 56}{space 4}-1.450027{col 69}{space 3} 13.06152
{txt}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-9.106285{col 28}{space 2}  2.80528{col 39}{space 1}   -3.25{col 48}{space 3}0.001{col 56}{space 4}-14.60453{col 69}{space 3}-3.608037
{txt}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-2.244342{col 28}{space 2} 4.739627{col 39}{space 1}   -0.47{col 48}{space 3}0.636{col 56}{space 4}-11.53384{col 69}{space 3} 7.045156
{txt}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}        0{col 28}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 19.99735{col 28}{space 2} 6.476624{col 39}{space 1}    3.09{col 48}{space 3}0.002{col 56}{space 4} 7.303397{col 69}{space 3}  32.6913
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}terminate vietnamwar iraq dprk koreanwar cuba taiwan
{col 23}miseryt1 ICB_dura ICB_viol strivalry coldwar nytimes_cum
{col 23}_Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36
{col 23}_Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 23}_Ipresident_40 _Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42
{col 23}_Ipresident_43
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. /*Table A6, columns 5 and 6 respectively, row 1*/
. ivreg2 approve terminate##elecyear vietnamwar iraq dprk koreanwar cuba taiwan $c firstyear term2, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}19{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    48{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     253
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   213{txt}{col 55}F( 27,    47) = {res}   85.93
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 49844.50046{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.7796
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 740000.7433{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.9852
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 10987.67352{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}    6.59

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}    Robust
{col 1}           approve{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      z{col 52}   P>|z|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}1.terminate {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 2.429554{col 32}{space 2} 1.161092{col 43}{space 1}    2.09{col 52}{space 3}0.036{col 60}{space 4} .1538558{col 73}{space 3} 4.705253
{txt}{space 8}1.elecyear {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-7.857931{col 32}{space 2}  3.22218{col 43}{space 1}   -2.44{col 52}{space 3}0.015{col 60}{space 4}-14.17329{col 73}{space 3}-1.542574
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
terminate#elecyear {c |}
{space 14}1 1  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 8.422607{col 32}{space 2} 4.009359{col 43}{space 1}    2.10{col 52}{space 3}0.036{col 60}{space 4} .5644081{col 73}{space 3} 16.28081
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 8}vietnamwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-3.095316{col 32}{space 2} 3.106655{col 43}{space 1}   -1.00{col 52}{space 3}0.319{col 60}{space 4}-9.184248{col 73}{space 3} 2.993617
{txt}{space 14}iraq {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 3.748943{col 32}{space 2} 4.943818{col 43}{space 1}    0.76{col 52}{space 3}0.448{col 60}{space 4}-5.940763{col 73}{space 3} 13.43865
{txt}{space 14}dprk {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 3.035592{col 32}{space 2}  4.29897{col 43}{space 1}    0.71{col 52}{space 3}0.480{col 60}{space 4}-5.390234{col 73}{space 3} 11.46142
{txt}{space 9}koreanwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-23.31086{col 32}{space 2} 5.672567{col 43}{space 1}   -4.11{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-34.42888{col 73}{space 3}-12.19283
{txt}{space 14}cuba {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-5.689556{col 32}{space 2} 6.076828{col 43}{space 1}   -0.94{col 52}{space 3}0.349{col 60}{space 4}-17.59992{col 73}{space 3} 6.220808
{txt}{space 12}taiwan {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -8.11964{col 32}{space 2} 3.690392{col 43}{space 1}   -2.20{col 52}{space 3}0.028{col 60}{space 4}-15.35268{col 73}{space 3}-.8866035
{txt}{space 10}miseryt1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -2.96036{col 32}{space 2} .4717044{col 43}{space 1}   -6.28{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-3.884883{col 73}{space 3}-2.035836
{txt}{space 10}ICB_dura {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.7116911{col 32}{space 2}  .154076{col 43}{space 1}   -4.62{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-1.013675{col 73}{space 3}-.4097078
{txt}{space 10}ICB_viol {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 3.558312{col 32}{space 2} 1.531894{col 43}{space 1}    2.32{col 52}{space 3}0.020{col 60}{space 4} .5558549{col 73}{space 3} 6.560769
{txt}{space 9}strivalry {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 5.758646{col 32}{space 2} 1.665201{col 43}{space 1}    3.46{col 52}{space 3}0.001{col 60}{space 4} 2.494912{col 73}{space 3}  9.02238
{txt}{space 11}coldwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-14.75572{col 32}{space 2} 7.489293{col 43}{space 1}   -1.97{col 52}{space 3}0.049{col 60}{space 4}-29.43447{col 73}{space 3}-.0769782
{txt}{space 7}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .3465932{col 32}{space 2} .3939518{col 43}{space 1}    0.88{col 52}{space 3}0.379{col 60}{space 4}-.4255382{col 73}{space 3} 1.118725
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}        0{col 32}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 4}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 23.04231{col 32}{space 2}  8.60832{col 43}{space 1}    2.68{col 52}{space 3}0.007{col 60}{space 4} 6.170312{col 73}{space 3} 39.91431
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  27.9089{col 32}{space 2} 7.558798{col 43}{space 1}    3.69{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 13.09392{col 73}{space 3} 42.72387
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 10.59556{col 32}{space 2} 8.681894{col 43}{space 1}    1.22{col 52}{space 3}0.222{col 60}{space 4}-6.420635{col 73}{space 3} 27.61176
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 15.57431{col 32}{space 2}  8.27113{col 43}{space 1}    1.88{col 52}{space 3}0.060{col 60}{space 4}-.6368048{col 73}{space 3} 31.78543
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 21.44174{col 32}{space 2} 9.959605{col 43}{space 1}    2.15{col 52}{space 3}0.031{col 60}{space 4} 1.921277{col 73}{space 3} 40.96221
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 42.37617{col 32}{space 2} 10.24112{col 43}{space 1}    4.14{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 22.30395{col 73}{space 3}  62.4484
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 38.24042{col 32}{space 2} 8.310162{col 43}{space 1}    4.60{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}  21.9528{col 73}{space 3} 54.52804
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 13.09239{col 32}{space 2} 4.645908{col 43}{space 1}    2.82{col 52}{space 3}0.005{col 60}{space 4} 3.986575{col 73}{space 3}  22.1982
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -2.43482{col 32}{space 2} 3.362489{col 43}{space 1}   -0.72{col 52}{space 3}0.469{col 60}{space 4}-9.025177{col 73}{space 3} 4.155538
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-1.037038{col 32}{space 2} 4.742613{col 43}{space 1}   -0.22{col 52}{space 3}0.827{col 60}{space 4}-10.33239{col 73}{space 3} 8.258313
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}        0{col 32}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 9}firstyear {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 5.341694{col 32}{space 2} 4.724646{col 43}{space 1}    1.13{col 52}{space 3}0.258{col 60}{space 4}-3.918442{col 73}{space 3} 14.60183
{txt}{space 13}term2 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-10.59605{col 32}{space 2} 3.774053{col 43}{space 1}   -2.81{col 52}{space 3}0.005{col 60}{space 4}-17.99306{col 73}{space 3}-3.199045
{txt}{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 76.29834{col 32}{space 2} 7.332954{col 43}{space 1}   10.40{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 61.92602{col 73}{space 3} 90.67067
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate 1.elecyear 1.terminate#1.elecyear vietnamwar
{col 23}iraq dprk koreanwar cuba taiwan miseryt1 ICB_dura ICB_viol
{col 23}strivalry coldwar nytimes_cum _Ipresident_34
{col 23}_Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36 _Ipresident_37
{col 23}_Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39 _Ipresident_40
{col 23}_Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42 _Ipresident_43 firstyear
{col 23}term2
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. ivreg2 approve_detrend terminate##elecyear vietnamwar iraq dprk koreanwar cuba taiwan $c, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}19{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    48{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     253
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   213{txt}{col 55}F( 25,    47) = {res}   84.67
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 26892.84863{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.5899
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 27628.89294{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.6009
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 11028.03516{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   6.602

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}    Robust
{col 1}   approve_detrend{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      z{col 52}   P>|z|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}1.terminate {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  2.21042{col 32}{space 2} 1.189671{col 43}{space 1}    1.86{col 52}{space 3}0.063{col 60}{space 4}-.1212913{col 73}{space 3} 4.542132
{txt}{space 8}1.elecyear {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-3.960678{col 32}{space 2} 2.538302{col 43}{space 1}   -1.56{col 52}{space 3}0.119{col 60}{space 4}-8.935658{col 73}{space 3} 1.014302
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
terminate#elecyear {c |}
{space 14}1 1  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 7.335217{col 32}{space 2} 3.606776{col 43}{space 1}    2.03{col 52}{space 3}0.042{col 60}{space 4} .2660658{col 73}{space 3} 14.40437
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 8}vietnamwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-3.018307{col 32}{space 2} 2.920689{col 43}{space 1}   -1.03{col 52}{space 3}0.301{col 60}{space 4}-8.742752{col 73}{space 3} 2.706138
{txt}{space 14}iraq {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 2.930056{col 32}{space 2}     4.91{col 43}{space 1}    0.60{col 52}{space 3}0.551{col 60}{space 4}-6.693366{col 73}{space 3} 12.55348
{txt}{space 14}dprk {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 4.314535{col 32}{space 2} 4.231526{col 43}{space 1}    1.02{col 52}{space 3}0.308{col 60}{space 4}-3.979103{col 73}{space 3} 12.60817
{txt}{space 9}koreanwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-22.39992{col 32}{space 2} 3.502999{col 43}{space 1}   -6.39{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-29.26567{col 73}{space 3}-15.53417
{txt}{space 14}cuba {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-6.587573{col 32}{space 2} 6.034084{col 43}{space 1}   -1.09{col 52}{space 3}0.275{col 60}{space 4}-18.41416{col 73}{space 3} 5.239015
{txt}{space 12}taiwan {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -7.70074{col 32}{space 2} 2.105231{col 43}{space 1}   -3.66{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-11.82692{col 73}{space 3}-3.574563
{txt}{space 10}miseryt1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-2.869383{col 32}{space 2} .4696525{col 43}{space 1}   -6.11{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-3.789885{col 73}{space 3}-1.948881
{txt}{space 10}ICB_dura {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.6232959{col 32}{space 2}  .155463{col 43}{space 1}   -4.01{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-.9279978{col 73}{space 3} -.318594
{txt}{space 10}ICB_viol {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 4.803409{col 32}{space 2}  1.46897{col 43}{space 1}    3.27{col 52}{space 3}0.001{col 60}{space 4} 1.924281{col 73}{space 3} 7.682537
{txt}{space 9}strivalry {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 7.656197{col 32}{space 2} 1.628325{col 43}{space 1}    4.70{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 4.464738{col 73}{space 3} 10.84766
{txt}{space 11}coldwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-11.56704{col 32}{space 2} 5.969486{col 43}{space 1}   -1.94{col 52}{space 3}0.053{col 60}{space 4}-23.26702{col 73}{space 3} .1329366
{txt}{space 7}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .3029938{col 32}{space 2} .4161661{col 43}{space 1}    0.73{col 52}{space 3}0.467{col 60}{space 4}-.5126767{col 73}{space 3} 1.118664
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}        0{col 32}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 4}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 2.706661{col 32}{space 2} 6.604234{col 43}{space 1}    0.41{col 52}{space 3}0.682{col 60}{space 4} -10.2374{col 73}{space 3} 15.65072
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 11.17259{col 32}{space 2} 7.032683{col 43}{space 1}    1.59{col 52}{space 3}0.112{col 60}{space 4}-2.611212{col 73}{space 3}  24.9564
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 5.927073{col 32}{space 2} 6.638377{col 43}{space 1}    0.89{col 52}{space 3}0.372{col 60}{space 4}-7.083906{col 73}{space 3} 18.93805
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 12.72207{col 32}{space 2} 7.052809{col 43}{space 1}    1.80{col 52}{space 3}0.071{col 60}{space 4}-1.101182{col 73}{space 3} 26.54532
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 24.39237{col 32}{space 2} 7.668689{col 43}{space 1}    3.18{col 52}{space 3}0.001{col 60}{space 4} 9.362016{col 73}{space 3} 39.42272
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 45.60694{col 32}{space 2} 8.652634{col 43}{space 1}    5.27{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 28.64809{col 73}{space 3} 62.56579
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 32.90333{col 32}{space 2} 7.478487{col 43}{space 1}    4.40{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 18.24576{col 73}{space 3} 47.56089
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  5.09042{col 32}{space 2} 4.105379{col 43}{space 1}    1.24{col 52}{space 3}0.215{col 60}{space 4}-2.955975{col 73}{space 3} 13.13681
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-9.075327{col 32}{space 2} 2.870453{col 43}{space 1}   -3.16{col 52}{space 3}0.002{col 60}{space 4}-14.70131{col 73}{space 3}-3.449343
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-2.454182{col 32}{space 2} 4.759878{col 43}{space 1}   -0.52{col 52}{space 3}0.606{col 60}{space 4}-11.78337{col 73}{space 3} 6.875008
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}        0{col 32}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 19.54947{col 32}{space 2} 6.412666{col 43}{space 1}    3.05{col 52}{space 3}0.002{col 60}{space 4} 6.980879{col 73}{space 3} 32.11807
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate 1.elecyear 1.terminate#1.elecyear vietnamwar
{col 23}iraq dprk koreanwar cuba taiwan miseryt1 ICB_dura ICB_viol
{col 23}strivalry coldwar nytimes_cum _Ipresident_34
{col 23}_Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36 _Ipresident_37
{col 23}_Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39 _Ipresident_40
{col 23}_Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42 _Ipresident_43
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. /*Table A6, columns 5 and 6 respectively, row 2*/
. ivreg2 approve terminate##c.nytimes_cum vietnamwar iraq dprk koreanwar cuba taiwan $c elecyear firstyear term2, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}19{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - duplicate variables detected
Duplicates:{col 21}nytimes_cum
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    48{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     253
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   213{txt}{col 55}F( 27,    47) = {res}  118.79
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 49844.50046{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.7785
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 740000.7433{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.9851
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 11041.96942{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   6.606

{txt}{hline 24}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 25}{c |}{col 37}    Robust
{col 1}                approve{col 25}{c |}      Coef.{col 37}   Std. Err.{col 49}      z{col 57}   P>|z|{col 65}     [95% Con{col 78}f. Interval]
{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 12}1.terminate {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 4.138998{col 37}{space 2} 1.301581{col 48}{space 1}    3.18{col 57}{space 3}0.001{col 65}{space 4} 1.587947{col 78}{space 3}  6.69005
{txt}{space 12}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .5990616{col 37}{space 2} .4553883{col 48}{space 1}    1.32{col 57}{space 3}0.188{col 65}{space 4}-.2934831{col 78}{space 3} 1.491606
{txt}{space 23} {c |}
terminate#c.nytimes_cum {c |}
{space 21}1  {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.5784428{col 37}{space 2} .2347041{col 48}{space 1}   -2.46{col 57}{space 3}0.014{col 65}{space 4}-1.038454{col 78}{space 3}-.1184312
{txt}{space 23} {c |}
{space 13}vietnamwar {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-3.310478{col 37}{space 2} 3.150971{col 48}{space 1}   -1.05{col 57}{space 3}0.293{col 65}{space 4}-9.486267{col 78}{space 3} 2.865312
{txt}{space 19}iraq {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 3.497631{col 37}{space 2}  4.98584{col 48}{space 1}    0.70{col 57}{space 3}0.483{col 65}{space 4}-6.274435{col 78}{space 3}  13.2697
{txt}{space 19}dprk {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 3.056275{col 37}{space 2} 4.366341{col 48}{space 1}    0.70{col 57}{space 3}0.484{col 65}{space 4}-5.501596{col 78}{space 3} 11.61415
{txt}{space 14}koreanwar {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-23.83939{col 37}{space 2} 5.514587{col 48}{space 1}   -4.32{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4}-34.64778{col 78}{space 3}-13.03099
{txt}{space 19}cuba {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-5.898711{col 37}{space 2} 5.796405{col 48}{space 1}   -1.02{col 57}{space 3}0.309{col 65}{space 4}-17.25945{col 78}{space 3} 5.462034
{txt}{space 17}taiwan {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-8.590951{col 37}{space 2} 3.651106{col 48}{space 1}   -2.35{col 57}{space 3}0.019{col 65}{space 4}-15.74699{col 78}{space 3}-1.434915
{txt}{space 15}miseryt1 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-2.991869{col 37}{space 2}  .465279{col 48}{space 1}   -6.43{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4}-3.903799{col 78}{space 3}-2.079939
{txt}{space 15}ICB_dura {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.7399708{col 37}{space 2} .1513858{col 48}{space 1}   -4.89{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4}-1.036682{col 78}{space 3}  -.44326
{txt}{space 15}ICB_viol {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 3.422867{col 37}{space 2} 1.539204{col 48}{space 1}    2.22{col 57}{space 3}0.026{col 65}{space 4} .4060823{col 78}{space 3} 6.439652
{txt}{space 14}strivalry {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 6.359841{col 37}{space 2} 1.640391{col 48}{space 1}    3.88{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 3.144733{col 78}{space 3} 9.574949
{txt}{space 16}coldwar {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-15.46715{col 37}{space 2} 7.888595{col 48}{space 1}   -1.96{col 57}{space 3}0.050{col 65}{space 4}-30.92852{col 78}{space 3}-.0057905
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}        0{col 37}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 9}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 23.37546{col 37}{space 2} 8.919142{col 48}{space 1}    2.62{col 57}{space 3}0.009{col 65}{space 4} 5.894262{col 78}{space 3} 40.85666
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 27.90957{col 37}{space 2} 8.020696{col 48}{space 1}    3.48{col 57}{space 3}0.001{col 65}{space 4} 12.18929{col 78}{space 3} 43.62984
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 11.13587{col 37}{space 2} 9.095411{col 48}{space 1}    1.22{col 57}{space 3}0.221{col 65}{space 4}-6.690804{col 78}{space 3} 28.96255
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 15.91383{col 37}{space 2}  8.56797{col 48}{space 1}    1.86{col 57}{space 3}0.063{col 65}{space 4}-.8790827{col 78}{space 3} 32.70674
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 21.44184{col 37}{space 2} 10.14395{col 48}{space 1}    2.11{col 57}{space 3}0.035{col 65}{space 4} 1.560057{col 78}{space 3} 41.32362
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 43.34724{col 37}{space 2} 10.52497{col 48}{space 1}    4.12{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 22.71867{col 78}{space 3} 63.97582
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 39.10295{col 37}{space 2} 8.577686{col 48}{space 1}    4.56{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4}   22.291{col 78}{space 3} 55.91491
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 13.00447{col 37}{space 2} 4.546822{col 48}{space 1}    2.86{col 57}{space 3}0.004{col 65}{space 4}  4.09286{col 78}{space 3} 21.91607
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-2.462175{col 37}{space 2}  3.39356{col 48}{space 1}   -0.73{col 57}{space 3}0.468{col 65}{space 4} -9.11343{col 78}{space 3}  4.18908
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.6467773{col 37}{space 2} 4.730463{col 48}{space 1}   -0.14{col 57}{space 3}0.891{col 65}{space 4}-9.918315{col 78}{space 3} 8.624761
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}        0{col 37}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 15}elecyear {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-7.192236{col 37}{space 2} 2.982759{col 48}{space 1}   -2.41{col 57}{space 3}0.016{col 65}{space 4}-13.03834{col 78}{space 3}-1.346136
{txt}{space 14}firstyear {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 5.624107{col 37}{space 2} 4.708862{col 48}{space 1}    1.19{col 57}{space 3}0.232{col 65}{space 4}-3.605093{col 78}{space 3} 14.85331
{txt}{space 18}term2 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-10.70547{col 37}{space 2} 3.844184{col 48}{space 1}   -2.78{col 57}{space 3}0.005{col 65}{space 4}-18.23993{col 78}{space 3} -3.17101
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 76.65313{col 37}{space 2} 7.381168{col 48}{space 1}   10.38{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 62.18631{col 78}{space 3} 91.11995
{txt}{hline 24}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate nytimes_cum 1.terminate#c.nytimes_cum
{col 23}vietnamwar iraq dprk koreanwar cuba taiwan miseryt1
{col 23}ICB_dura ICB_viol strivalry coldwar _Ipresident_34
{col 23}_Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36 _Ipresident_37
{col 23}_Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39 _Ipresident_40
{col 23}_Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42 _Ipresident_43 elecyear
{col 23}firstyear term2
Duplicates:{col 23}nytimes_cum
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. ivreg2 approve_detrend terminate##c.nytimes_cum vietnamwar iraq dprk koreanwar cuba taiwan $c, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}19{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - duplicate variables detected
Duplicates:{col 21}nytimes_cum
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    48{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     253
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   213{txt}{col 55}F( 24,    47) = {res}  135.45
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 26892.84863{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.5838
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 27628.89294{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.5949
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 11191.69866{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   6.651

{txt}{hline 24}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 25}{c |}{col 37}    Robust
{col 1}        approve_detrend{col 25}{c |}      Coef.{col 37}   Std. Err.{col 49}      z{col 57}   P>|z|{col 65}     [95% Con{col 78}f. Interval]
{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 12}1.terminate {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 3.778753{col 37}{space 2} 1.288486{col 48}{space 1}    2.93{col 57}{space 3}0.003{col 65}{space 4} 1.253367{col 78}{space 3}  6.30414
{txt}{space 12}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .4228111{col 37}{space 2} .4688317{col 48}{space 1}    0.90{col 57}{space 3}0.367{col 65}{space 4}-.4960821{col 78}{space 3} 1.341704
{txt}{space 23} {c |}
terminate#c.nytimes_cum {c |}
{space 21}1  {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.4149592{col 37}{space 2}   .23339{col 48}{space 1}   -1.78{col 57}{space 3}0.075{col 65}{space 4}-.8723953{col 78}{space 3} .0424768
{txt}{space 23} {c |}
{space 13}vietnamwar {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-3.362428{col 37}{space 2} 3.086276{col 48}{space 1}   -1.09{col 57}{space 3}0.276{col 65}{space 4}-9.411417{col 78}{space 3} 2.686561
{txt}{space 19}iraq {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 2.623847{col 37}{space 2} 4.873811{col 48}{space 1}    0.54{col 57}{space 3}0.590{col 65}{space 4}-6.928648{col 78}{space 3} 12.17634
{txt}{space 19}dprk {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 4.335648{col 37}{space 2}  4.28019{col 48}{space 1}    1.01{col 57}{space 3}0.311{col 65}{space 4}-4.053369{col 78}{space 3} 12.72467
{txt}{space 14}koreanwar {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-22.41152{col 37}{space 2} 3.470325{col 48}{space 1}   -6.46{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4}-29.21323{col 78}{space 3} -15.6098
{txt}{space 19}cuba {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-6.683904{col 37}{space 2} 5.689638{col 48}{space 1}   -1.17{col 57}{space 3}0.240{col 65}{space 4}-17.83539{col 78}{space 3} 4.467582
{txt}{space 17}taiwan {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-8.127998{col 37}{space 2} 2.009618{col 48}{space 1}   -4.04{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4}-12.06678{col 78}{space 3}-4.189219
{txt}{space 15}miseryt1 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} -2.90317{col 37}{space 2} .4681659{col 48}{space 1}   -6.20{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4}-3.820759{col 78}{space 3}-1.985582
{txt}{space 15}ICB_dura {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.6630602{col 37}{space 2} .1558521{col 48}{space 1}   -4.25{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4}-.9685247{col 78}{space 3}-.3575957
{txt}{space 15}ICB_viol {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 4.639263{col 37}{space 2} 1.476444{col 48}{space 1}    3.14{col 57}{space 3}0.002{col 65}{space 4} 1.745487{col 78}{space 3} 7.533039
{txt}{space 14}strivalry {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 8.186507{col 37}{space 2} 1.658002{col 48}{space 1}    4.94{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 4.936883{col 78}{space 3} 11.43613
{txt}{space 16}coldwar {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-12.55023{col 37}{space 2} 6.459821{col 48}{space 1}   -1.94{col 57}{space 3}0.052{col 65}{space 4}-25.21125{col 78}{space 3} .1107863
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}        0{col 37}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 9}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 3.260262{col 37}{space 2} 7.005284{col 48}{space 1}    0.47{col 57}{space 3}0.642{col 65}{space 4}-10.46984{col 78}{space 3} 16.99037
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 11.67061{col 37}{space 2}   7.4317{col 48}{space 1}    1.57{col 57}{space 3}0.116{col 65}{space 4}-2.895255{col 78}{space 3} 26.23647
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 4.926398{col 37}{space 2} 7.342071{col 48}{space 1}    0.67{col 57}{space 3}0.502{col 65}{space 4}-9.463796{col 78}{space 3} 19.31659
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 13.08554{col 37}{space 2}  7.40171{col 48}{space 1}    1.77{col 57}{space 3}0.077{col 65}{space 4} -1.42154{col 78}{space 3} 27.59263
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 24.75231{col 37}{space 2}   8.0787{col 48}{space 1}    3.06{col 57}{space 3}0.002{col 65}{space 4} 8.918348{col 78}{space 3} 40.58627
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 44.49713{col 37}{space 2} 8.802623{col 48}{space 1}    5.05{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 27.24431{col 78}{space 3} 61.74996
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}    34.16{col 37}{space 2} 7.820967{col 48}{space 1}    4.37{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 18.83119{col 78}{space 3} 49.48881
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 5.567699{col 37}{space 2} 3.691998{col 48}{space 1}    1.51{col 57}{space 3}0.132{col 65}{space 4}-1.668485{col 78}{space 3} 12.80388
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} -9.09531{col 37}{space 2} 2.806886{col 48}{space 1}   -3.24{col 57}{space 3}0.001{col 65}{space 4}-14.59671{col 78}{space 3}-3.593914
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-2.131345{col 37}{space 2} 4.733419{col 48}{space 1}   -0.45{col 57}{space 3}0.653{col 65}{space 4}-11.40868{col 78}{space 3} 7.145985
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}        0{col 37}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 20.07529{col 37}{space 2} 6.445461{col 48}{space 1}    3.11{col 57}{space 3}0.002{col 65}{space 4} 7.442421{col 78}{space 3} 32.70816
{txt}{hline 24}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate nytimes_cum 1.terminate#c.nytimes_cum
{col 23}vietnamwar iraq dprk koreanwar cuba taiwan miseryt1
{col 23}ICB_dura ICB_viol strivalry coldwar _Ipresident_34
{col 23}_Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36 _Ipresident_37
{col 23}_Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39 _Ipresident_40
{col 23}_Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42 _Ipresident_43
Duplicates:{col 23}nytimes_cum
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. /*Table A6, columns 5 and 6 respectively, row 3*/
. ivreg2 approve terminate##c.miseryt1 vietnamwar iraq dprk koreanwar cuba taiwan $c elecyear firstyear term2, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}19{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - duplicate variables detected
Duplicates:{col 21}miseryt1
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    48{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     253
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   213{txt}{col 55}F( 27,    47) = {res}  113.48
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 49844.50046{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.7763
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 740000.7433{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.9849
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 11149.11285{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   6.638

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}             approve{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}1.terminate {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2.931747{col 34}{space 2} 2.594204{col 45}{space 1}    1.13{col 54}{space 3}0.258{col 62}{space 4}  -2.1528{col 75}{space 3} 8.016294
{txt}{space 12}miseryt1 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -2.99207{col 34}{space 2} .4982758{col 45}{space 1}   -6.00{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-3.968673{col 75}{space 3}-2.015468
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
terminate#c.miseryt1 {c |}
{space 18}1  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0298359{col 34}{space 2} .2295379{col 45}{space 1}    0.13{col 54}{space 3}0.897{col 62}{space 4}-.4200501{col 75}{space 3} .4797218
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}vietnamwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-3.279029{col 34}{space 2} 3.191935{col 45}{space 1}   -1.03{col 54}{space 3}0.304{col 62}{space 4}-9.535106{col 75}{space 3} 2.977048
{txt}{space 16}iraq {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 3.707251{col 34}{space 2} 4.922338{col 45}{space 1}    0.75{col 54}{space 3}0.451{col 62}{space 4}-5.940354{col 75}{space 3} 13.35486
{txt}{space 16}dprk {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 3.079538{col 34}{space 2} 4.377251{col 45}{space 1}    0.70{col 54}{space 3}0.482{col 62}{space 4}-5.499716{col 75}{space 3} 11.65879
{txt}{space 11}koreanwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-23.86296{col 34}{space 2} 5.568207{col 45}{space 1}   -4.29{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-34.77645{col 75}{space 3}-12.94948
{txt}{space 16}cuba {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-6.010045{col 34}{space 2}  5.90567{col 45}{space 1}   -1.02{col 54}{space 3}0.309{col 62}{space 4}-17.58494{col 75}{space 3} 5.564855
{txt}{space 14}taiwan {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-8.548268{col 34}{space 2} 3.742726{col 45}{space 1}   -2.28{col 54}{space 3}0.022{col 62}{space 4}-15.88388{col 75}{space 3} -1.21266
{txt}{space 12}ICB_dura {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.7251761{col 34}{space 2} .1510438{col 45}{space 1}   -4.80{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-1.021217{col 75}{space 3}-.4291356
{txt}{space 12}ICB_viol {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 3.455897{col 34}{space 2} 1.555829{col 45}{space 1}    2.22{col 54}{space 3}0.026{col 62}{space 4} .4065284{col 75}{space 3} 6.505266
{txt}{space 11}strivalry {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 6.236654{col 34}{space 2} 1.770206{col 45}{space 1}    3.52{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 2.767115{col 75}{space 3} 9.706193
{txt}{space 13}coldwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-15.47442{col 34}{space 2} 7.661062{col 45}{space 1}   -2.02{col 54}{space 3}0.043{col 62}{space 4}-30.48983{col 75}{space 3}-.4590195
{txt}{space 9}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3343088{col 34}{space 2} .3992245{col 45}{space 1}    0.84{col 54}{space 3}0.402{col 62}{space 4} -.448157{col 75}{space 3} 1.116775
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 6}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 23.54011{col 34}{space 2} 8.744282{col 45}{space 1}    2.69{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4} 6.401628{col 75}{space 3} 40.67858
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 28.22752{col 34}{space 2} 7.815375{col 45}{space 1}    3.61{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 12.90967{col 75}{space 3} 43.54537
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 11.03405{col 34}{space 2} 8.969602{col 45}{space 1}    1.23{col 54}{space 3}0.219{col 62}{space 4} -6.54605{col 75}{space 3} 28.61414
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 16.27437{col 34}{space 2} 8.391045{col 45}{space 1}    1.94{col 54}{space 3}0.052{col 62}{space 4} -.171775{col 75}{space 3} 32.72052
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 21.70826{col 34}{space 2} 10.16221{col 45}{space 1}    2.14{col 54}{space 3}0.033{col 62}{space 4}   1.7907{col 75}{space 3} 41.62582
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 43.05421{col 34}{space 2} 10.59814{col 45}{space 1}    4.06{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 22.28223{col 75}{space 3} 63.82619
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 38.77799{col 34}{space 2} 8.390666{col 45}{space 1}    4.62{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 22.33259{col 75}{space 3}  55.2234
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 13.41917{col 34}{space 2} 4.481501{col 45}{space 1}    2.99{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} 4.635593{col 75}{space 3} 22.20275
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2.481018{col 34}{space 2} 3.383524{col 45}{space 1}   -0.73{col 54}{space 3}0.463{col 62}{space 4}-9.112603{col 75}{space 3} 4.150567
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.8163189{col 34}{space 2} 4.750147{col 45}{space 1}   -0.17{col 54}{space 3}0.864{col 62}{space 4}-10.12644{col 75}{space 3} 8.493798
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 12}elecyear {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -6.59652{col 34}{space 2}   2.8982{col 45}{space 1}   -2.28{col 54}{space 3}0.023{col 62}{space 4}-12.27689{col 75}{space 3}-.9161512
{txt}{space 11}firstyear {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 5.536418{col 34}{space 2} 4.731716{col 45}{space 1}    1.17{col 54}{space 3}0.242{col 62}{space 4}-3.737576{col 75}{space 3} 14.81041
{txt}{space 15}term2 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-10.71056{col 34}{space 2} 3.856667{col 45}{space 1}   -2.78{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4}-18.26949{col 75}{space 3}-3.151629
{txt}{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 76.68924{col 34}{space 2} 7.401794{col 45}{space 1}   10.36{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 62.18199{col 75}{space 3} 91.19649
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate miseryt1 1.terminate#c.miseryt1 vietnamwar
{col 23}iraq dprk koreanwar cuba taiwan ICB_dura ICB_viol
{col 23}strivalry coldwar nytimes_cum _Ipresident_34
{col 23}_Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36 _Ipresident_37
{col 23}_Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39 _Ipresident_40
{col 23}_Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42 _Ipresident_43 elecyear
{col 23}firstyear term2
Duplicates:{col 23}miseryt1
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. ivreg2 approve_detrend terminate##c.miseryt1 vietnamwar iraq dprk koreanwar cuba taiwan $c, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}19{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - duplicate variables detected
Duplicates:{col 21}miseryt1
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    48{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     253
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   213{txt}{col 55}F( 24,    47) = {res}   86.86
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 26892.84863{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.5817
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 27628.89294{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.5928
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 11249.19131{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   6.668

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}     approve_detrend{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}1.terminate {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 3.219147{col 34}{space 2} 2.306333{col 45}{space 1}    1.40{col 54}{space 3}0.163{col 62}{space 4}-1.301183{col 75}{space 3} 7.739476
{txt}{space 12}miseryt1 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2.890527{col 34}{space 2} .5024072{col 45}{space 1}   -5.75{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-3.875227{col 75}{space 3}-1.905827
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
terminate#c.miseryt1 {c |}
{space 18}1  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0171154{col 34}{space 2} .2041273{col 45}{space 1}   -0.08{col 54}{space 3}0.933{col 62}{space 4}-.4171976{col 75}{space 3} .3829669
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}vietnamwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-3.291614{col 34}{space 2} 3.106574{col 45}{space 1}   -1.06{col 54}{space 3}0.289{col 62}{space 4}-9.380387{col 75}{space 3}  2.79716
{txt}{space 16}iraq {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  2.78412{col 34}{space 2}  4.82948{col 45}{space 1}    0.58{col 54}{space 3}0.564{col 62}{space 4}-6.681488{col 75}{space 3} 12.24973
{txt}{space 16}dprk {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 4.344712{col 34}{space 2} 4.289919{col 45}{space 1}    1.01{col 54}{space 3}0.311{col 62}{space 4}-4.063375{col 75}{space 3}  12.7528
{txt}{space 11}koreanwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -22.5399{col 34}{space 2} 3.437189{col 45}{space 1}   -6.56{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-29.27667{col 75}{space 3}-15.80313
{txt}{space 16}cuba {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-6.750072{col 34}{space 2} 5.781305{col 45}{space 1}   -1.17{col 54}{space 3}0.243{col 62}{space 4}-18.08122{col 75}{space 3} 4.581078
{txt}{space 14}taiwan {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-8.094696{col 34}{space 2} 2.057293{col 45}{space 1}   -3.93{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-12.12692{col 75}{space 3}-4.062476
{txt}{space 12}ICB_dura {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.6499593{col 34}{space 2} .1540609{col 45}{space 1}   -4.22{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-.9519131{col 75}{space 3}-.3480054
{txt}{space 12}ICB_viol {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 4.664119{col 34}{space 2} 1.479594{col 45}{space 1}    3.15{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 1.764167{col 75}{space 3} 7.564071
{txt}{space 11}strivalry {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 8.137629{col 34}{space 2} 1.757211{col 45}{space 1}    4.63{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 4.693558{col 75}{space 3}  11.5817
{txt}{space 13}coldwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-12.51639{col 34}{space 2} 6.231324{col 45}{space 1}   -2.01{col 54}{space 3}0.045{col 62}{space 4}-24.72956{col 75}{space 3}-.3032208
{txt}{space 9}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2433716{col 34}{space 2} .4103405{col 45}{space 1}    0.59{col 54}{space 3}0.553{col 62}{space 4} -.560881{col 75}{space 3} 1.047624
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 6}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 3.345547{col 34}{space 2} 6.811818{col 45}{space 1}    0.49{col 54}{space 3}0.623{col 62}{space 4}-10.00537{col 75}{space 3} 16.69647
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 11.80938{col 34}{space 2} 7.268197{col 45}{space 1}    1.62{col 54}{space 3}0.104{col 62}{space 4}-2.436021{col 75}{space 3} 26.05479
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 5.066089{col 34}{space 2} 7.133813{col 45}{space 1}    0.71{col 54}{space 3}0.478{col 62}{space 4}-8.915928{col 75}{space 3} 19.04811
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 13.32225{col 34}{space 2} 7.247438{col 45}{space 1}    1.84{col 54}{space 3}0.066{col 62}{space 4}-.8824629{col 75}{space 3} 27.52697
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 24.85986{col 34}{space 2} 8.073191{col 45}{space 1}    3.08{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 9.036694{col 75}{space 3} 40.68302
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 44.44145{col 34}{space 2} 8.893436{col 45}{space 1}    5.00{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 27.01064{col 75}{space 3} 61.87226
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 33.99908{col 34}{space 2} 7.536524{col 45}{space 1}    4.51{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 19.22776{col 75}{space 3}  48.7704
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 5.807215{col 34}{space 2} 3.701907{col 45}{space 1}    1.57{col 54}{space 3}0.117{col 62}{space 4} -1.44839{col 75}{space 3} 13.06282
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-9.103408{col 34}{space 2} 2.810673{col 45}{space 1}   -3.24{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-14.61223{col 75}{space 3}-3.594591
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2.237882{col 34}{space 2} 4.735058{col 45}{space 1}   -0.47{col 54}{space 3}0.636{col 62}{space 4}-11.51842{col 75}{space 3} 7.042661
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 19.95812{col 34}{space 2} 6.615084{col 45}{space 1}    3.02{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} 6.992794{col 75}{space 3} 32.92345
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate miseryt1 1.terminate#c.miseryt1 vietnamwar
{col 23}iraq dprk koreanwar cuba taiwan ICB_dura ICB_viol
{col 23}strivalry coldwar nytimes_cum _Ipresident_34
{col 23}_Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36 _Ipresident_37
{col 23}_Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39 _Ipresident_40
{col 23}_Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42 _Ipresident_43
Duplicates:{col 23}miseryt1
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. /*Table A6, columns 5 and 6 respectively, row 4*/
. ivreg2 approve terminate##c.partisan_conflict_monthly vietnamwar iraq dprk koreanwar cuba taiwan $c elecyear firstyear term2, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}8{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}vietnamwar koreanwar cuba taiwan strivalry _Ipresident_33
{col 21}_Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36 _Ipresident_37
{col 21}_Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    21{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     142
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   113{txt}{col 55}F( 17,    20) = {res}  507.08
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 25767.06916{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.6929
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 379616.9935{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.9792
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 7912.530504{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   7.465

{txt}{hline 25}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 26}{c |}{col 38}    Robust
{col 1}                 approve{col 26}{c |}      Coef.{col 38}   Std. Err.{col 50}      z{col 58}   P>|z|{col 66}     [95% Con{col 79}f. Interval]
{hline 25}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 13}1.terminate {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 10.54347{col 38}{space 2} 7.406627{col 49}{space 1}    1.42{col 58}{space 3}0.155{col 66}{space 4}-3.973252{col 79}{space 3} 25.06019
{txt}partisan_conflict_mont~y {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-.0055571{col 38}{space 2} .0636012{col 49}{space 1}   -0.09{col 58}{space 3}0.930{col 66}{space 4}-.1302132{col 79}{space 3} .1190989
{txt}{space 24} {c |}
{space 15}terminate#{c |}
{space 22}c. {c |}
partisan_conflict_mont~y {c |}
{space 22}1  {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-.0838158{col 38}{space 2} .0710539{col 49}{space 1}   -1.18{col 58}{space 3}0.238{col 66}{space 4} -.223079{col 79}{space 3} .0554473
{txt}{space 24} {c |}
{space 14}vietnamwar {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 20}iraq {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 2.090795{col 38}{space 2} 5.531704{col 49}{space 1}    0.38{col 58}{space 3}0.705{col 66}{space 4}-8.751146{col 79}{space 3} 12.93274
{txt}{space 20}dprk {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 2.380868{col 38}{space 2} 4.408753{col 49}{space 1}    0.54{col 58}{space 3}0.589{col 66}{space 4}-6.260129{col 79}{space 3} 11.02187
{txt}{space 15}koreanwar {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 20}cuba {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 18}taiwan {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 16}miseryt1 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-4.054208{col 38}{space 2} .8575949{col 49}{space 1}   -4.73{col 58}{space 3}0.000{col 66}{space 4}-5.735063{col 79}{space 3}-2.373353
{txt}{space 16}ICB_dura {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-.6748769{col 38}{space 2} .1585275{col 49}{space 1}   -4.26{col 58}{space 3}0.000{col 66}{space 4}-.9855851{col 79}{space 3}-.3641688
{txt}{space 16}ICB_viol {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 3.582219{col 38}{space 2} 2.407457{col 49}{space 1}    1.49{col 58}{space 3}0.137{col 66}{space 4} -1.13631{col 79}{space 3} 8.300748
{txt}{space 15}strivalry {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 17}coldwar {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} -16.5802{col 38}{space 2} 8.691791{col 49}{space 1}   -1.91{col 58}{space 3}0.056{col 66}{space 4} -33.6158{col 79}{space 3} .4553936
{txt}{space 13}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} .4923343{col 38}{space 2} .5390025{col 49}{space 1}    0.91{col 58}{space 3}0.361{col 66}{space 4}-.5640912{col 79}{space 3}  1.54876
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 43.18571{col 38}{space 2} 13.42598{col 49}{space 1}    3.22{col 58}{space 3}0.001{col 66}{space 4} 16.87127{col 79}{space 3} 69.50015
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}   12.995{col 38}{space 2} 5.785174{col 49}{space 1}    2.25{col 58}{space 3}0.025{col 66}{space 4} 1.656267{col 79}{space 3} 24.33373
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-5.247681{col 38}{space 2} 4.341292{col 49}{space 1}   -1.21{col 58}{space 3}0.227{col 66}{space 4}-13.75646{col 79}{space 3} 3.261094
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-3.940844{col 38}{space 2}  5.79821{col 49}{space 1}   -0.68{col 58}{space 3}0.497{col 66}{space 4}-15.30513{col 79}{space 3} 7.423438
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 16}elecyear {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-.4194532{col 38}{space 2} 4.222404{col 49}{space 1}   -0.10{col 58}{space 3}0.921{col 66}{space 4}-8.695213{col 79}{space 3} 7.856307
{txt}{space 15}firstyear {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 3.896874{col 38}{space 2} 5.600154{col 49}{space 1}    0.70{col 58}{space 3}0.487{col 66}{space 4}-7.079226{col 79}{space 3} 14.87297
{txt}{space 19}term2 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-13.82011{col 38}{space 2} 5.668594{col 49}{space 1}   -2.44{col 58}{space 3}0.015{col 66}{space 4}-24.93035{col 79}{space 3} -2.70987
{txt}{space 19}_cons {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 90.19084{col 38}{space 2} 14.65281{col 49}{space 1}    6.16{col 58}{space 3}0.000{col 66}{space 4} 61.47186{col 79}{space 3} 118.9098
{txt}{hline 25}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate partisan_conflict_monthly
{col 23}1.terminate#c.partisan_conflict_monthly iraq dprk miseryt1
{col 23}ICB_dura ICB_viol coldwar nytimes_cum _Ipresident_40
{col 23}_Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42 _Ipresident_43 elecyear
{col 23}firstyear term2
Dropped collinear:{col 23}vietnamwar koreanwar cuba taiwan strivalry _Ipresident_33
{col 23}_Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36
{col 23}_Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 23}_Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. ivreg2 approve_detrend terminate##c.partisan_conflict_monthly vietnamwar iraq dprk koreanwar cuba taiwan $c, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}8{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}vietnamwar koreanwar cuba taiwan strivalry _Ipresident_33
{col 21}_Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36 _Ipresident_37
{col 21}_Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    21{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     142
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   113{txt}{col 55}F( 14,    20) = {res}  103.35
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 19388.19082{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.5702
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 19978.31475{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.5829
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 8332.841353{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}    7.66

{txt}{hline 25}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 26}{c |}{col 38}    Robust
{col 1}         approve_detrend{col 26}{c |}      Coef.{col 38}   Std. Err.{col 50}      z{col 58}   P>|z|{col 66}     [95% Con{col 79}f. Interval]
{hline 25}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 13}1.terminate {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 11.37312{col 38}{space 2} 6.608874{col 49}{space 1}    1.72{col 58}{space 3}0.085{col 66}{space 4} -1.58004{col 79}{space 3} 24.32627
{txt}partisan_conflict_mont~y {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-.0431693{col 38}{space 2} .0438317{col 49}{space 1}   -0.98{col 58}{space 3}0.325{col 66}{space 4}-.1290779{col 79}{space 3} .0427394
{txt}{space 24} {c |}
{space 15}terminate#{c |}
{space 22}c. {c |}
partisan_conflict_mont~y {c |}
{space 22}1  {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-.0903185{col 38}{space 2} .0629105{col 49}{space 1}   -1.44{col 58}{space 3}0.151{col 66}{space 4}-.2136209{col 79}{space 3} .0329839
{txt}{space 24} {c |}
{space 14}vietnamwar {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 20}iraq {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 1.760952{col 38}{space 2} 5.026362{col 49}{space 1}    0.35{col 58}{space 3}0.726{col 66}{space 4}-8.090537{col 79}{space 3} 11.61244
{txt}{space 20}dprk {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}  4.89721{col 38}{space 2} 4.613464{col 49}{space 1}    1.06{col 58}{space 3}0.288{col 66}{space 4}-4.145014{col 79}{space 3} 13.93943
{txt}{space 15}koreanwar {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 20}cuba {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 18}taiwan {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 16}miseryt1 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-3.145602{col 38}{space 2} .6510043{col 49}{space 1}   -4.83{col 58}{space 3}0.000{col 66}{space 4}-4.421547{col 79}{space 3}-1.869657
{txt}{space 16}ICB_dura {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} -.605729{col 38}{space 2} .1526166{col 49}{space 1}   -3.97{col 58}{space 3}0.000{col 66}{space 4}-.9048521{col 79}{space 3}-.3066059
{txt}{space 16}ICB_viol {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}  5.61026{col 38}{space 2} 2.013449{col 49}{space 1}    2.79{col 58}{space 3}0.005{col 66}{space 4} 1.663972{col 79}{space 3} 9.556548
{txt}{space 15}strivalry {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 17}coldwar {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-12.47331{col 38}{space 2} 6.520118{col 49}{space 1}   -1.91{col 58}{space 3}0.056{col 66}{space 4}-25.25251{col 79}{space 3} .3058852
{txt}{space 13}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} .4733336{col 38}{space 2}  .541695{col 49}{space 1}    0.87{col 58}{space 3}0.382{col 66}{space 4} -.588369{col 79}{space 3} 1.535036
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}  30.3367{col 38}{space 2} 9.328661{col 49}{space 1}    3.25{col 58}{space 3}0.001{col 66}{space 4} 12.05286{col 79}{space 3} 48.62054
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 2.066085{col 38}{space 2} 5.418375{col 49}{space 1}    0.38{col 58}{space 3}0.703{col 66}{space 4}-8.553735{col 79}{space 3}  12.6859
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-11.76066{col 38}{space 2} 3.396392{col 49}{space 1}   -3.46{col 58}{space 3}0.001{col 66}{space 4}-18.41747{col 79}{space 3} -5.10386
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-5.497473{col 38}{space 2}  5.98898{col 49}{space 1}   -0.92{col 58}{space 3}0.359{col 66}{space 4}-17.23566{col 79}{space 3} 6.240712
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 19}_cons {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 26.71897{col 38}{space 2} 11.48196{col 49}{space 1}    2.33{col 58}{space 3}0.020{col 66}{space 4} 4.214738{col 79}{space 3} 49.22321
{txt}{hline 25}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate partisan_conflict_monthly
{col 23}1.terminate#c.partisan_conflict_monthly iraq dprk miseryt1
{col 23}ICB_dura ICB_viol coldwar nytimes_cum _Ipresident_40
{col 23}_Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42 _Ipresident_43
Dropped collinear:{col 23}vietnamwar koreanwar cuba taiwan strivalry _Ipresident_33
{col 23}_Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36
{col 23}_Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 23}_Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. clear all
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. ***Ad hoc removal of crises of low salience based on authors' qualitative review and expertise***
. use full_sample, clear
{txt}
{com}. tsset presidentid_crisis yearmonth
{res}{txt}{col 8}panel variable:  {res}presidentid_crisis (unbalanced)
{txt}{col 9}time variable:  {res}{col 25}yearmonth, 195304 to 201602, but with gaps
{txt}{col 17}delta:  {res}1 unit
{txt}
{com}. global president = "_Ipresident_*"
{txt}
{com}. global c "miseryt1 ICB_dura ICB_viol strivalry coldwar nytimes_cum $president"
{txt}
{com}. drop if start_and_terminate==1
{txt}(13 observations deleted)

{com}. 
. drop if ICB_crisno == 159
{txt}(3 observations deleted)

{com}. drop if ICB_crisno == 165
{txt}(4 observations deleted)

{com}. drop if ICB_crisno == 166
{txt}(2 observations deleted)

{com}. drop if ICB_crisno == 193
{txt}(2 observations deleted)

{com}. drop if ICB_crisno == 211
{txt}(3 observations deleted)

{com}. drop if ICB_crisno == 239
{txt}(2 observations deleted)

{com}. drop if ICB_crisno == 246
{txt}(5 observations deleted)

{com}. 
. /*Table A5, column 7*/
. ivreg2 approve terminate $c firstyear elecyear term2, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}19{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    41{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     235
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   197{txt}{col 55}F( 20,    40) = {res}   60.83
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 48618.80905{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.7506
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 678609.4933{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.9821
{txt}Residual SS             = {res}  12124.5334{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   7.183

{txt}{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}       approve{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}terminate {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 2.720803{col 28}{space 2} 1.313088{col 39}{space 1}    2.07{col 48}{space 3}0.038{col 56}{space 4} .1471979{col 69}{space 3} 5.294407
{txt}{space 6}miseryt1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-2.769674{col 28}{space 2} .5011873{col 39}{space 1}   -5.53{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-3.751983{col 69}{space 3}-1.787365
{txt}{space 6}ICB_dura {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.7650237{col 28}{space 2} .1473368{col 39}{space 1}   -5.19{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-1.053798{col 69}{space 3} -.476249
{txt}{space 6}ICB_viol {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 2.060796{col 28}{space 2} 1.512416{col 39}{space 1}    1.36{col 48}{space 3}0.173{col 56}{space 4}-.9034857{col 69}{space 3} 5.025077
{txt}{space 5}strivalry {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 4.383337{col 28}{space 2} 2.471482{col 39}{space 1}    1.77{col 48}{space 3}0.076{col 56}{space 4}-.4606792{col 69}{space 3} 9.227353
{txt}{space 7}coldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-18.01073{col 28}{space 2} 7.365432{col 39}{space 1}   -2.45{col 48}{space 3}0.014{col 56}{space 4}-32.44671{col 69}{space 3}-3.574748
{txt}{space 3}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .3674042{col 28}{space 2} .4204988{col 39}{space 1}    0.87{col 48}{space 3}0.382{col 56}{space 4}-.4567583{col 69}{space 3} 1.191567
{txt}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}        0{col 28}{txt}  (omitted)
_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 18.95562{col 28}{space 2}  9.26752{col 39}{space 1}    2.05{col 48}{space 3}0.041{col 56}{space 4}  .791613{col 69}{space 3} 37.11962
{txt}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 28.22565{col 28}{space 2} 7.625686{col 39}{space 1}    3.70{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 13.27959{col 69}{space 3} 43.17172
{txt}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 11.96335{col 28}{space 2}  9.78211{col 39}{space 1}    1.22{col 48}{space 3}0.221{col 56}{space 4}-7.209236{col 69}{space 3} 31.13593
{txt}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 14.63967{col 28}{space 2}  8.39566{col 39}{space 1}    1.74{col 48}{space 3}0.081{col 56}{space 4}-1.815524{col 69}{space 3} 31.09486
{txt}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 21.36729{col 28}{space 2} 10.31121{col 39}{space 1}    2.07{col 48}{space 3}0.038{col 56}{space 4} 1.157681{col 69}{space 3} 41.57689
{txt}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 41.92026{col 28}{space 2} 10.45523{col 39}{space 1}    4.01{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 21.42839{col 69}{space 3} 62.41212
{txt}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 39.93964{col 28}{space 2} 8.629162{col 39}{space 1}    4.63{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}  23.0268{col 69}{space 3} 56.85249
{txt}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 16.77588{col 28}{space 2}  3.67628{col 39}{space 1}    4.56{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 9.570499{col 69}{space 3} 23.98125
{txt}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-1.459223{col 28}{space 2} 3.560762{col 39}{space 1}   -0.41{col 48}{space 3}0.682{col 56}{space 4}-8.438188{col 69}{space 3} 5.519741
{txt}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.8353011{col 28}{space 2}  4.71235{col 39}{space 1}   -0.18{col 48}{space 3}0.859{col 56}{space 4}-10.07134{col 69}{space 3} 8.400736
{txt}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}        0{col 28}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 5}firstyear {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}   3.5489{col 28}{space 2}  4.77633{col 39}{space 1}    0.74{col 48}{space 3}0.457{col 56}{space 4}-5.812535{col 69}{space 3} 12.91034
{txt}{space 6}elecyear {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-7.216351{col 28}{space 2} 3.800245{col 39}{space 1}   -1.90{col 48}{space 3}0.058{col 56}{space 4}-14.66469{col 69}{space 3} .2319916
{txt}{space 9}term2 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-11.09617{col 28}{space 2} 4.169124{col 39}{space 1}   -2.66{col 48}{space 3}0.008{col 56}{space 4} -19.2675{col 69}{space 3}-2.924832
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 79.45547{col 28}{space 2} 7.876413{col 39}{space 1}   10.09{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 64.01798{col 69}{space 3} 94.89295
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}terminate miseryt1 ICB_dura ICB_viol strivalry coldwar
{col 23}nytimes_cum _Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36
{col 23}_Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 23}_Ipresident_40 _Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42
{col 23}_Ipresident_43 firstyear elecyear term2
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. /*Table A5, column 8*/
. ivreg2 approve_detrend terminate $c, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}19{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    41{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     235
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   197{txt}{col 55}F( 17,    40) = {res}  152.70
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res}  26028.1028{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.5206
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 26820.19572{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.5348
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 12477.80432{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   7.287

{txt}{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}approve_detr~d{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}terminate {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}  2.47424{col 28}{space 2} 1.300763{col 39}{space 1}    1.90{col 48}{space 3}0.057{col 56}{space 4}-.0752095{col 69}{space 3} 5.023689
{txt}{space 6}miseryt1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-2.665025{col 28}{space 2} .5152781{col 39}{space 1}   -5.17{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-3.674952{col 69}{space 3}-1.655099
{txt}{space 6}ICB_dura {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.6663842{col 28}{space 2}  .149868{col 39}{space 1}   -4.45{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-.9601199{col 69}{space 3}-.3726484
{txt}{space 6}ICB_viol {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 3.096335{col 28}{space 2} 1.341056{col 39}{space 1}    2.31{col 48}{space 3}0.021{col 56}{space 4} .4679136{col 69}{space 3} 5.724757
{txt}{space 5}strivalry {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 5.040419{col 28}{space 2} 2.254222{col 39}{space 1}    2.24{col 48}{space 3}0.025{col 56}{space 4} .6222254{col 69}{space 3} 9.458613
{txt}{space 7}coldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-16.15193{col 28}{space 2} 6.330737{col 39}{space 1}   -2.55{col 48}{space 3}0.011{col 56}{space 4}-28.55995{col 69}{space 3}-3.743913
{txt}{space 3}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .3195611{col 28}{space 2} .4238858{col 39}{space 1}    0.75{col 48}{space 3}0.451{col 56}{space 4}-.5112398{col 69}{space 3} 1.150362
{txt}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}        0{col 28}{txt}  (omitted)
_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.126022{col 28}{space 2} 6.742446{col 39}{space 1}    0.17{col 48}{space 3}0.867{col 56}{space 4}-12.08893{col 69}{space 3} 14.34097
{txt}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 11.73642{col 28}{space 2} 7.035514{col 39}{space 1}    1.67{col 48}{space 3}0.095{col 56}{space 4}-2.052931{col 69}{space 3} 25.52578
{txt}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 6.919319{col 28}{space 2} 7.574328{col 39}{space 1}    0.91{col 48}{space 3}0.361{col 56}{space 4} -7.92609{col 69}{space 3} 21.76473
{txt}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 12.56887{col 28}{space 2} 7.127559{col 39}{space 1}    1.76{col 48}{space 3}0.078{col 56}{space 4}-1.400893{col 69}{space 3} 26.53862
{txt}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 26.61053{col 28}{space 2} 7.786933{col 39}{space 1}    3.42{col 48}{space 3}0.001{col 56}{space 4} 11.34843{col 69}{space 3} 41.87264
{txt}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 43.95475{col 28}{space 2} 8.756244{col 39}{space 1}    5.02{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 26.79283{col 69}{space 3} 61.11667
{txt}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 34.69302{col 28}{space 2} 7.545293{col 39}{space 1}    4.60{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 19.90451{col 69}{space 3} 49.48152
{txt}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 8.447893{col 28}{space 2} 3.400755{col 39}{space 1}    2.48{col 48}{space 3}0.013{col 56}{space 4} 1.782535{col 69}{space 3} 15.11325
{txt}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-8.453968{col 28}{space 2} 2.996968{col 39}{space 1}   -2.82{col 48}{space 3}0.005{col 56}{space 4}-14.32792{col 69}{space 3}-2.580019
{txt}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} -2.31698{col 28}{space 2} 4.810633{col 39}{space 1}   -0.48{col 48}{space 3}0.630{col 56}{space 4}-11.74565{col 69}{space 3} 7.111689
{txt}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}        0{col 28}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 22.95677{col 28}{space 2} 6.262615{col 39}{space 1}    3.67{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 10.68227{col 69}{space 3} 35.23127
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}terminate miseryt1 ICB_dura ICB_viol strivalry coldwar
{col 23}nytimes_cum _Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36
{col 23}_Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 23}_Ipresident_40 _Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42
{col 23}_Ipresident_43
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. /*Table A6, columns 7 and 8 respectively, row 1*/
. ivreg2 approve terminate##elecyear $c firstyear term2, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}19{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    41{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     235
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   197{txt}{col 55}F( 21,    40) = {res}   63.45
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 48618.80905{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.7537
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 678609.4933{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.9824
{txt}Residual SS             = {res}  11974.5809{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   7.138

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}    Robust
{col 1}           approve{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      z{col 52}   P>|z|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}1.terminate {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 2.005281{col 32}{space 2} 1.342634{col 43}{space 1}    1.49{col 52}{space 3}0.135{col 60}{space 4}-.6262329{col 73}{space 3} 4.636794
{txt}{space 8}1.elecyear {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-8.625394{col 32}{space 2} 4.214059{col 43}{space 1}   -2.05{col 52}{space 3}0.041{col 60}{space 4} -16.8848{col 73}{space 3}-.3659905
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
terminate#elecyear {c |}
{space 14}1 1  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}   9.9752{col 32}{space 2} 5.633654{col 43}{space 1}    1.77{col 52}{space 3}0.077{col 60}{space 4}-1.066558{col 73}{space 3} 21.01696
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 10}miseryt1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-2.740496{col 32}{space 2} .5027743{col 43}{space 1}   -5.45{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-3.725915{col 73}{space 3}-1.755076
{txt}{space 10}ICB_dura {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.7532617{col 32}{space 2} .1514032{col 43}{space 1}   -4.98{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-1.050007{col 73}{space 3}-.4565169
{txt}{space 10}ICB_viol {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 2.219956{col 32}{space 2} 1.525642{col 43}{space 1}    1.46{col 52}{space 3}0.146{col 60}{space 4}-.7702474{col 73}{space 3} 5.210159
{txt}{space 9}strivalry {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 3.495464{col 32}{space 2} 2.509853{col 43}{space 1}    1.39{col 52}{space 3}0.164{col 60}{space 4}-1.423758{col 73}{space 3} 8.414685
{txt}{space 11}coldwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-17.70622{col 32}{space 2} 7.073606{col 43}{space 1}   -2.50{col 52}{space 3}0.012{col 60}{space 4}-31.57023{col 73}{space 3}-3.842204
{txt}{space 7}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .3810748{col 32}{space 2} .4127132{col 43}{space 1}    0.92{col 52}{space 3}0.356{col 60}{space 4}-.4278282{col 73}{space 3} 1.189978
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}        0{col 32}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 4}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  19.5471{col 32}{space 2} 9.103362{col 43}{space 1}    2.15{col 52}{space 3}0.032{col 60}{space 4}  1.70484{col 73}{space 3} 37.38937
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 28.45952{col 32}{space 2}  7.35932{col 43}{space 1}    3.87{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 14.03551{col 73}{space 3} 42.88352
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 12.61719{col 32}{space 2} 9.512713{col 43}{space 1}    1.33{col 52}{space 3}0.185{col 60}{space 4}-6.027384{col 73}{space 3} 31.26177
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 14.18904{col 32}{space 2} 8.121967{col 43}{space 1}    1.75{col 52}{space 3}0.081{col 60}{space 4}-1.729724{col 73}{space 3}  30.1078
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 22.14612{col 32}{space 2} 10.23556{col 43}{space 1}    2.16{col 52}{space 3}0.030{col 60}{space 4}   2.0848{col 73}{space 3} 42.20745
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 41.97673{col 32}{space 2} 10.17891{col 43}{space 1}    4.12{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 22.02644{col 73}{space 3} 61.92701
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  39.5283{col 32}{space 2} 8.409477{col 43}{space 1}    4.70{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 23.04603{col 73}{space 3} 56.01058
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 16.56448{col 32}{space 2} 3.766597{col 43}{space 1}    4.40{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 9.182086{col 73}{space 3} 23.94687
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-1.363052{col 32}{space 2} 3.535962{col 43}{space 1}   -0.39{col 52}{space 3}0.700{col 60}{space 4} -8.29341{col 73}{space 3} 5.567307
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-1.007961{col 32}{space 2} 4.739752{col 43}{space 1}   -0.21{col 52}{space 3}0.832{col 60}{space 4} -10.2977{col 73}{space 3} 8.281781
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}        0{col 32}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 9}firstyear {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 3.797757{col 32}{space 2} 4.809237{col 43}{space 1}    0.79{col 52}{space 3}0.430{col 60}{space 4}-5.628174{col 73}{space 3} 13.22369
{txt}{space 13}term2 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-10.75902{col 32}{space 2} 4.132142{col 43}{space 1}   -2.60{col 52}{space 3}0.009{col 60}{space 4}-18.85787{col 73}{space 3}-2.660168
{txt}{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 78.76723{col 32}{space 2} 7.856641{col 43}{space 1}   10.03{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 63.36849{col 73}{space 3} 94.16596
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate 1.elecyear 1.terminate#1.elecyear miseryt1
{col 23}ICB_dura ICB_viol strivalry coldwar nytimes_cum
{col 23}_Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36
{col 23}_Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 23}_Ipresident_40 _Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42
{col 23}_Ipresident_43 firstyear term2
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. ivreg2 approve_detrend terminate##elecyear $c, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}19{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    41{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     235
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   197{txt}{col 55}F( 19,    40) = {res} 1623.95
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res}  26028.1028{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.5309
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 26820.19572{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.5447
{txt}Residual SS             = {res}  12209.9465{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   7.208

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}    Robust
{col 1}   approve_detrend{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      z{col 52}   P>|z|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}1.terminate {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.634695{col 32}{space 2} 1.316406{col 43}{space 1}    1.24{col 52}{space 3}0.214{col 60}{space 4}-.9454138{col 73}{space 3} 4.214804
{txt}{space 8}1.elecyear {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-4.852148{col 32}{space 2} 3.326313{col 43}{space 1}   -1.46{col 52}{space 3}0.145{col 60}{space 4} -11.3716{col 73}{space 3} 1.667307
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
terminate#elecyear {c |}
{space 14}1 1  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 10.31599{col 32}{space 2} 5.417975{col 43}{space 1}    1.90{col 52}{space 3}0.057{col 60}{space 4}-.3030493{col 73}{space 3} 20.93502
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 10}miseryt1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-2.584859{col 32}{space 2} .5216693{col 43}{space 1}   -4.95{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-3.607312{col 73}{space 3}-1.562406
{txt}{space 10}ICB_dura {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.6462662{col 32}{space 2} .1515269{col 43}{space 1}   -4.27{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-.9432534{col 73}{space 3} -.349279
{txt}{space 10}ICB_viol {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 3.226471{col 32}{space 2} 1.355842{col 43}{space 1}    2.38{col 52}{space 3}0.017{col 60}{space 4} .5690701{col 73}{space 3} 5.883872
{txt}{space 9}strivalry {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 4.197082{col 32}{space 2} 2.229448{col 43}{space 1}    1.88{col 52}{space 3}0.060{col 60}{space 4}-.1725551{col 73}{space 3} 8.566719
{txt}{space 11}coldwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-15.38012{col 32}{space 2} 5.937462{col 43}{space 1}   -2.59{col 52}{space 3}0.010{col 60}{space 4}-27.01733{col 73}{space 3}-3.742912
{txt}{space 7}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .3538459{col 32}{space 2} .4202867{col 43}{space 1}    0.84{col 52}{space 3}0.400{col 60}{space 4}-.4699008{col 73}{space 3} 1.177593
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}        0{col 32}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 4}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.360891{col 32}{space 2} 6.369559{col 43}{space 1}    0.21{col 52}{space 3}0.831{col 60}{space 4}-11.12322{col 73}{space 3}   13.845
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 11.63006{col 32}{space 2} 6.718166{col 43}{space 1}    1.73{col 52}{space 3}0.083{col 60}{space 4}-1.537303{col 73}{space 3} 24.79742
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 8.963718{col 32}{space 2} 7.048187{col 43}{space 1}    1.27{col 52}{space 3}0.203{col 60}{space 4}-4.850474{col 73}{space 3} 22.77791
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 11.57127{col 32}{space 2}  6.85779{col 43}{space 1}    1.69{col 52}{space 3}0.092{col 60}{space 4}-1.869752{col 73}{space 3} 25.01229
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 26.36011{col 32}{space 2} 7.483175{col 43}{space 1}    3.52{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 11.69336{col 73}{space 3} 41.02687
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 45.32863{col 32}{space 2} 8.638184{col 43}{space 1}    5.25{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}  28.3981{col 73}{space 3} 62.25916
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 33.66882{col 32}{space 2} 7.295362{col 43}{space 1}    4.62{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 19.37017{col 73}{space 3} 47.96746
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 7.921127{col 32}{space 2} 3.601356{col 43}{space 1}    2.20{col 52}{space 3}0.028{col 60}{space 4} .8625988{col 73}{space 3} 14.97966
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-8.241004{col 32}{space 2} 3.088321{col 43}{space 1}   -2.67{col 52}{space 3}0.008{col 60}{space 4}  -14.294{col 73}{space 3}-2.188007
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-2.371777{col 32}{space 2} 4.789088{col 43}{space 1}   -0.50{col 52}{space 3}0.620{col 60}{space 4}-11.75822{col 73}{space 3} 7.014662
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}        0{col 32}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 21.98336{col 32}{space 2} 6.324937{col 43}{space 1}    3.48{col 52}{space 3}0.001{col 60}{space 4} 9.586711{col 73}{space 3} 34.38001
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate 1.elecyear 1.terminate#1.elecyear miseryt1
{col 23}ICB_dura ICB_viol strivalry coldwar nytimes_cum
{col 23}_Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36
{col 23}_Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 23}_Ipresident_40 _Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42
{col 23}_Ipresident_43
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. /*Table A6, columns 7 and 8 respectively, row 2*/
. ivreg2 approve terminate##c.nytimes_cum $c elecyear firstyear term2, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}19{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - duplicate variables detected
Duplicates:{col 21}nytimes_cum
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    41{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     235
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   197{txt}{col 55}F( 21,    40) = {res}  114.08
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 48618.80905{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.7524
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 678609.4933{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.9823
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 12038.41718{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   7.157

{txt}{hline 24}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 25}{c |}{col 37}    Robust
{col 1}                approve{col 25}{c |}      Coef.{col 37}   Std. Err.{col 49}      z{col 57}   P>|z|{col 65}     [95% Con{col 78}f. Interval]
{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 12}1.terminate {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 3.623992{col 37}{space 2} 1.489502{col 48}{space 1}    2.43{col 57}{space 3}0.015{col 65}{space 4} .7046214{col 78}{space 3} 6.543362
{txt}{space 12}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .6412134{col 37}{space 2} .4968438{col 48}{space 1}    1.29{col 57}{space 3}0.197{col 65}{space 4}-.3325826{col 78}{space 3} 1.615009
{txt}{space 23} {c |}
terminate#c.nytimes_cum {c |}
{space 21}1  {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.5522104{col 37}{space 2} .2688576{col 48}{space 1}   -2.05{col 57}{space 3}0.040{col 65}{space 4}-1.079162{col 78}{space 3}-.0252593
{txt}{space 23} {c |}
{space 15}miseryt1 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-2.797691{col 37}{space 2} .4967649{col 48}{space 1}   -5.63{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4}-3.771332{col 78}{space 3} -1.82405
{txt}{space 15}ICB_dura {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.7769549{col 37}{space 2} .1470108{col 48}{space 1}   -5.29{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4}-1.065091{col 78}{space 3} -.488819
{txt}{space 15}ICB_viol {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 2.028235{col 37}{space 2} 1.513165{col 48}{space 1}    1.34{col 57}{space 3}0.180{col 65}{space 4}-.9375145{col 78}{space 3} 4.993984
{txt}{space 14}strivalry {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 4.448154{col 37}{space 2} 2.487799{col 48}{space 1}    1.79{col 57}{space 3}0.074{col 65}{space 4}-.4278416{col 78}{space 3}  9.32415
{txt}{space 16}coldwar {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-17.75982{col 37}{space 2} 7.603951{col 48}{space 1}   -2.34{col 57}{space 3}0.020{col 65}{space 4}-32.66329{col 78}{space 3}-2.856344
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}        0{col 37}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 9}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 18.53867{col 37}{space 2} 9.432977{col 48}{space 1}    1.97{col 57}{space 3}0.049{col 65}{space 4} .0503733{col 78}{space 3} 37.02697
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 27.66638{col 37}{space 2} 7.875752{col 48}{space 1}    3.51{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4}  12.2302{col 78}{space 3} 43.10257
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 11.52742{col 37}{space 2} 9.932963{col 48}{space 1}    1.16{col 57}{space 3}0.246{col 65}{space 4} -7.94083{col 78}{space 3} 30.99567
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 14.28816{col 37}{space 2} 8.579977{col 48}{space 1}    1.67{col 57}{space 3}0.096{col 65}{space 4}-2.528286{col 78}{space 3} 31.10461
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}  21.0436{col 37}{space 2}  10.4186{col 48}{space 1}    2.02{col 57}{space 3}0.043{col 65}{space 4}  .623527{col 78}{space 3} 41.46367
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 41.93074{col 37}{space 2} 10.51764{col 48}{space 1}    3.99{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 21.31655{col 78}{space 3} 62.54493
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 39.96072{col 37}{space 2} 8.825664{col 48}{space 1}    4.53{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 22.66273{col 78}{space 3}  57.2587
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 16.14365{col 37}{space 2} 3.699094{col 48}{space 1}    4.36{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 8.893559{col 78}{space 3} 23.39374
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}  -1.5574{col 37}{space 2} 3.533644{col 48}{space 1}   -0.44{col 57}{space 3}0.659{col 65}{space 4}-8.483214{col 78}{space 3} 5.368414
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.7760139{col 37}{space 2} 4.684749{col 48}{space 1}   -0.17{col 57}{space 3}0.868{col 65}{space 4}-9.957952{col 78}{space 3} 8.405925
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}        0{col 37}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 15}elecyear {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-7.419634{col 37}{space 2} 3.796639{col 48}{space 1}   -1.95{col 57}{space 3}0.051{col 65}{space 4}-14.86091{col 78}{space 3}  .021642
{txt}{space 14}firstyear {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}  3.62366{col 37}{space 2} 4.745199{col 48}{space 1}    0.76{col 57}{space 3}0.445{col 65}{space 4}-5.676759{col 78}{space 3} 12.92408
{txt}{space 18}term2 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-11.10443{col 37}{space 2} 4.177048{col 48}{space 1}   -2.66{col 57}{space 3}0.008{col 65}{space 4}-19.29129{col 78}{space 3}-2.917562
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 79.68674{col 37}{space 2} 7.863094{col 48}{space 1}   10.13{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 64.27536{col 78}{space 3} 95.09812
{txt}{hline 24}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate nytimes_cum 1.terminate#c.nytimes_cum
{col 23}miseryt1 ICB_dura ICB_viol strivalry coldwar
{col 23}_Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36
{col 23}_Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 23}_Ipresident_40 _Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42
{col 23}_Ipresident_43 elecyear firstyear term2
Duplicates:{col 23}nytimes_cum
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. ivreg2 approve_detrend terminate##c.nytimes_cum $c, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}19{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - duplicate variables detected
Duplicates:{col 21}nytimes_cum
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    41{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     235
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   197{txt}{col 55}F( 18,    40) = {res}  161.03
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res}  26028.1028{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.5232
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 26820.19572{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.5372
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 12411.40882{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   7.267

{txt}{hline 24}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 25}{c |}{col 37}    Robust
{col 1}        approve_detrend{col 25}{c |}      Coef.{col 37}   Std. Err.{col 49}      z{col 57}   P>|z|{col 65}     [95% Con{col 78}f. Interval]
{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 12}1.terminate {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 3.272724{col 37}{space 2} 1.461775{col 48}{space 1}    2.24{col 57}{space 3}0.025{col 65}{space 4} .4076974{col 78}{space 3}  6.13775
{txt}{space 12}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .5575241{col 37}{space 2} .5182413{col 48}{space 1}    1.08{col 57}{space 3}0.282{col 65}{space 4}-.4582102{col 78}{space 3} 1.573258
{txt}{space 23} {c |}
terminate#c.nytimes_cum {c |}
{space 21}1  {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.4834419{col 37}{space 2} .2822098{col 48}{space 1}   -1.71{col 57}{space 3}0.087{col 65}{space 4}-1.036563{col 78}{space 3} .0696791
{txt}{space 23} {c |}
{space 15}miseryt1 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-2.692889{col 37}{space 2}  .510951{col 48}{space 1}   -5.27{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4}-3.694335{col 78}{space 3}-1.691443
{txt}{space 15}ICB_dura {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.6778827{col 37}{space 2} .1491891{col 48}{space 1}   -4.54{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4}-.9702879{col 78}{space 3}-.3854774
{txt}{space 15}ICB_viol {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 3.068527{col 37}{space 2} 1.341394{col 48}{space 1}    2.29{col 57}{space 3}0.022{col 65}{space 4}  .439443{col 78}{space 3} 5.697611
{txt}{space 14}strivalry {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 5.106012{col 37}{space 2}  2.27186{col 48}{space 1}    2.25{col 57}{space 3}0.025{col 65}{space 4} .6532486{col 78}{space 3} 9.558776
{txt}{space 16}coldwar {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-15.88591{col 37}{space 2} 6.602681{col 48}{space 1}   -2.41{col 57}{space 3}0.016{col 65}{space 4}-28.82692{col 78}{space 3}-2.944888
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}        0{col 37}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 9}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .6859768{col 37}{space 2} 7.021265{col 48}{space 1}    0.10{col 57}{space 3}0.922{col 65}{space 4}-13.07545{col 78}{space 3}  14.4474
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 11.22845{col 37}{space 2}  7.30002{col 48}{space 1}    1.54{col 57}{space 3}0.124{col 65}{space 4}-3.079324{col 78}{space 3} 25.53623
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 6.371412{col 37}{space 2} 7.867664{col 48}{space 1}    0.81{col 57}{space 3}0.418{col 65}{space 4}-9.048926{col 78}{space 3} 21.79175
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 12.21539{col 37}{space 2} 7.365673{col 48}{space 1}    1.66{col 57}{space 3}0.097{col 65}{space 4}-2.221069{col 78}{space 3} 26.65184
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 26.27844{col 37}{space 2} 7.956319{col 48}{space 1}    3.30{col 57}{space 3}0.001{col 65}{space 4} 10.68434{col 78}{space 3} 41.87253
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 43.80842{col 37}{space 2} 8.833106{col 48}{space 1}    4.96{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 26.49585{col 78}{space 3} 61.12099
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 34.69992{col 37}{space 2}  7.73604{col 48}{space 1}    4.49{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 19.53756{col 78}{space 3} 49.86228
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 7.893554{col 37}{space 2} 3.484715{col 48}{space 1}    2.27{col 57}{space 3}0.024{col 65}{space 4} 1.063638{col 78}{space 3} 14.72347
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-8.545616{col 37}{space 2} 2.974725{col 48}{space 1}   -2.87{col 57}{space 3}0.004{col 65}{space 4}-14.37597{col 78}{space 3}-2.715261
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-2.281758{col 37}{space 2} 4.788208{col 48}{space 1}   -0.48{col 57}{space 3}0.634{col 65}{space 4}-11.66647{col 78}{space 3} 7.102958
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}        0{col 37}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 23.20811{col 37}{space 2} 6.219698{col 48}{space 1}    3.73{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 11.01772{col 78}{space 3} 35.39849
{txt}{hline 24}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate nytimes_cum 1.terminate#c.nytimes_cum
{col 23}miseryt1 ICB_dura ICB_viol strivalry coldwar
{col 23}_Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36
{col 23}_Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 23}_Ipresident_40 _Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42
{col 23}_Ipresident_43
Duplicates:{col 23}nytimes_cum
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. /*Table A6, columns 7 and 8 respectively, row 3*/
. ivreg2 approve terminate##c.miseryt1 $c elecyear firstyear term2, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}19{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - duplicate variables detected
Duplicates:{col 21}miseryt1
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    41{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     235
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   197{txt}{col 55}F( 21,    40) = {res}   66.91
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 48618.80905{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.7507
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 678609.4933{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.9821
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 12121.95615{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   7.182

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}             approve{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}1.terminate {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1.93826{col 34}{space 2} 3.055559{col 45}{space 1}    0.63{col 54}{space 3}0.526{col 62}{space 4}-4.050525{col 75}{space 3} 7.927045
{txt}{space 12}miseryt1 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2.793885{col 34}{space 2} .5171967{col 45}{space 1}   -5.40{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-3.807572{col 75}{space 3}-1.780198
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
terminate#c.miseryt1 {c |}
{space 18}1  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  .088032{col 34}{space 2} .2604641{col 45}{space 1}    0.34{col 54}{space 3}0.735{col 62}{space 4}-.4224682{col 75}{space 3} .5985323
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 12}ICB_dura {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.7646558{col 34}{space 2}  .147136{col 45}{space 1}   -5.20{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-1.053037{col 75}{space 3}-.4762745
{txt}{space 12}ICB_viol {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  2.07576{col 34}{space 2} 1.519754{col 45}{space 1}    1.37{col 54}{space 3}0.172{col 62}{space 4}-.9029031{col 75}{space 3} 5.054423
{txt}{space 11}strivalry {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 4.283747{col 34}{space 2} 2.663679{col 45}{space 1}    1.61{col 54}{space 3}0.108{col 62}{space 4}-.9369667{col 75}{space 3} 9.504461
{txt}{space 13}coldwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-18.05013{col 34}{space 2} 7.378593{col 45}{space 1}   -2.45{col 54}{space 3}0.014{col 62}{space 4}-32.51191{col 75}{space 3}-3.588354
{txt}{space 9}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3641645{col 34}{space 2}  .418892{col 45}{space 1}    0.87{col 54}{space 3}0.385{col 62}{space 4}-.4568486{col 75}{space 3} 1.185178
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 6}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 19.03954{col 34}{space 2} 9.255034{col 45}{space 1}    2.06{col 54}{space 3}0.040{col 62}{space 4} .9000065{col 75}{space 3} 37.17907
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 28.30519{col 34}{space 2} 7.666135{col 45}{space 1}    3.69{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 13.27984{col 75}{space 3} 43.33053
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 11.98613{col 34}{space 2} 9.797312{col 45}{space 1}    1.22{col 54}{space 3}0.221{col 62}{space 4}-7.216248{col 75}{space 3} 31.18851
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 14.69239{col 34}{space 2} 8.391197{col 45}{space 1}    1.75{col 54}{space 3}0.080{col 62}{space 4} -1.75405{col 75}{space 3} 31.13884
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 21.53491{col 34}{space 2} 10.44601{col 45}{space 1}    2.06{col 54}{space 3}0.039{col 62}{space 4} 1.061099{col 75}{space 3} 42.00872
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  42.1962{col 34}{space 2} 10.61471{col 45}{space 1}    3.98{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 21.39175{col 75}{space 3} 63.00066
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  39.6222{col 34}{space 2} 8.715055{col 45}{space 1}    4.55{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 22.54101{col 75}{space 3} 56.70339
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 16.77607{col 34}{space 2} 3.667144{col 45}{space 1}    4.57{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 9.588604{col 75}{space 3} 23.96355
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.466182{col 34}{space 2} 3.554404{col 45}{space 1}   -0.41{col 54}{space 3}0.680{col 62}{space 4}-8.432686{col 75}{space 3} 5.500323
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.8686427{col 34}{space 2} 4.732394{col 45}{space 1}   -0.18{col 54}{space 3}0.854{col 62}{space 4}-10.14397{col 75}{space 3}  8.40668
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 12}elecyear {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-7.238282{col 34}{space 2} 3.822519{col 45}{space 1}   -1.89{col 54}{space 3}0.058{col 62}{space 4}-14.73028{col 75}{space 3} .2537175
{txt}{space 11}firstyear {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 3.552143{col 34}{space 2} 4.771829{col 45}{space 1}    0.74{col 54}{space 3}0.457{col 62}{space 4}-5.800469{col 75}{space 3} 12.90476
{txt}{space 15}term2 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-11.08807{col 34}{space 2} 4.185717{col 45}{space 1}   -2.65{col 54}{space 3}0.008{col 62}{space 4}-19.29192{col 75}{space 3}-2.884214
{txt}{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 79.65631{col 34}{space 2} 7.881491{col 45}{space 1}   10.11{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 64.20887{col 75}{space 3} 95.10375
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate miseryt1 1.terminate#c.miseryt1 ICB_dura
{col 23}ICB_viol strivalry coldwar nytimes_cum _Ipresident_34
{col 23}_Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36 _Ipresident_37
{col 23}_Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39 _Ipresident_40
{col 23}_Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42 _Ipresident_43 elecyear
{col 23}firstyear term2
Duplicates:{col 23}miseryt1
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. ivreg2 approve_detrend terminate##c.miseryt1 $c, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}19{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - duplicate variables detected
Duplicates:{col 21}miseryt1
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    41{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     235
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   197{txt}{col 55}F( 18,    40) = {res}  160.36
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res}  26028.1028{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.5206
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 26820.19572{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.5348
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 12477.62768{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   7.287

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}     approve_detrend{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}1.terminate {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2.269791{col 34}{space 2} 2.836618{col 45}{space 1}    0.80{col 54}{space 3}0.424{col 62}{space 4}-3.289877{col 75}{space 3} 7.829459
{txt}{space 12}miseryt1 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2.671603{col 34}{space 2} .5423312{col 45}{space 1}   -4.93{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-3.734552{col 75}{space 3}-1.608653
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
terminate#c.miseryt1 {c |}
{space 18}1  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0230187{col 34}{space 2} .2359641{col 45}{space 1}    0.10{col 54}{space 3}0.922{col 62}{space 4}-.4394625{col 75}{space 3} .4854998
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 12}ICB_dura {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.6663027{col 34}{space 2} .1498211{col 45}{space 1}   -4.45{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-.9599467{col 75}{space 3}-.3726588
{txt}{space 12}ICB_viol {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  3.09995{col 34}{space 2} 1.339005{col 45}{space 1}    2.32{col 54}{space 3}0.021{col 62}{space 4} .4755481{col 75}{space 3} 5.724352
{txt}{space 11}strivalry {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 5.014982{col 34}{space 2} 2.403375{col 45}{space 1}    2.09{col 54}{space 3}0.037{col 62}{space 4} .3044535{col 75}{space 3} 9.725511
{txt}{space 13}coldwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-16.16283{col 34}{space 2} 6.338915{col 45}{space 1}   -2.55{col 54}{space 3}0.011{col 62}{space 4}-28.58687{col 75}{space 3}-3.738782
{txt}{space 9}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  .318624{col 34}{space 2} .4232699{col 45}{space 1}    0.75{col 54}{space 3}0.452{col 62}{space 4}-.5109698{col 75}{space 3} 1.148218
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 6}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.146778{col 34}{space 2} 6.713171{col 45}{space 1}    0.17{col 54}{space 3}0.864{col 62}{space 4} -12.0108{col 75}{space 3} 14.30435
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 11.75662{col 34}{space 2} 7.050108{col 45}{space 1}    1.67{col 54}{space 3}0.095{col 62}{space 4}-2.061339{col 75}{space 3} 25.57458
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 6.921214{col 34}{space 2} 7.579978{col 45}{space 1}    0.91{col 54}{space 3}0.361{col 62}{space 4} -7.93527{col 75}{space 3}  21.7777
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 12.58449{col 34}{space 2} 7.138225{col 45}{space 1}    1.76{col 54}{space 3}0.078{col 62}{space 4}-1.406169{col 75}{space 3} 26.57516
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 26.65468{col 34}{space 2} 7.928722{col 45}{space 1}    3.36{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 11.11467{col 75}{space 3} 42.19469
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  44.0248{col 34}{space 2} 8.933743{col 45}{space 1}    4.93{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 26.51498{col 75}{space 3} 61.53461
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 34.61243{col 34}{space 2} 7.502598{col 45}{space 1}    4.61{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 19.90761{col 75}{space 3} 49.31725
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 8.448476{col 34}{space 2} 3.398654{col 45}{space 1}    2.49{col 54}{space 3}0.013{col 62}{space 4} 1.787237{col 75}{space 3} 15.10971
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-8.456478{col 34}{space 2} 2.999159{col 45}{space 1}   -2.82{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4}-14.33472{col 75}{space 3}-2.578235
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2.325938{col 34}{space 2} 4.825956{col 45}{space 1}   -0.48{col 54}{space 3}0.630{col 62}{space 4}-11.78464{col 75}{space 3} 7.132762
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 23.01332{col 34}{space 2}   6.4826{col 45}{space 1}    3.55{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 10.30765{col 75}{space 3} 35.71898
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate miseryt1 1.terminate#c.miseryt1 ICB_dura
{col 23}ICB_viol strivalry coldwar nytimes_cum _Ipresident_34
{col 23}_Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36 _Ipresident_37
{col 23}_Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39 _Ipresident_40
{col 23}_Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42 _Ipresident_43
Duplicates:{col 23}miseryt1
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. /*Table A6, columns 7 and 8 respectively, row 4*/
. ivreg2 approve terminate##c.partisan_conflict_monthly $c elecyear firstyear term2, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis)  bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}8{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}strivalry _Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35
{col 21}_Ipresident_36 _Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 21}_Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    21{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     142
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   113{txt}{col 55}F( 15,    20) = {res}  117.36
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 25767.06916{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.6886
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 379616.9935{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.9789
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 8023.860547{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   7.517

{txt}{hline 25}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 26}{c |}{col 38}    Robust
{col 1}                 approve{col 26}{c |}      Coef.{col 38}   Std. Err.{col 50}      z{col 58}   P>|z|{col 66}     [95% Con{col 79}f. Interval]
{hline 25}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 13}1.terminate {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 11.18217{col 38}{space 2} 7.511459{col 49}{space 1}    1.49{col 58}{space 3}0.137{col 66}{space 4}-3.540015{col 79}{space 3} 25.90436
{txt}partisan_conflict_mont~y {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} .0013153{col 38}{space 2} .0671391{col 49}{space 1}    0.02{col 58}{space 3}0.984{col 66}{space 4}-.1302749{col 79}{space 3} .1329056
{txt}{space 24} {c |}
{space 15}terminate#{c |}
{space 22}c. {c |}
partisan_conflict_mont~y {c |}
{space 22}1  {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-.0933336{col 38}{space 2} .0710229{col 49}{space 1}   -1.31{col 58}{space 3}0.189{col 66}{space 4}-.2325359{col 79}{space 3} .0458686
{txt}{space 24} {c |}
{space 16}miseryt1 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-4.238471{col 38}{space 2} .8369453{col 49}{space 1}   -5.06{col 58}{space 3}0.000{col 66}{space 4}-5.878854{col 79}{space 3}-2.598088
{txt}{space 16}ICB_dura {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-.7041983{col 38}{space 2} .1622146{col 49}{space 1}   -4.34{col 58}{space 3}0.000{col 66}{space 4}-1.022133{col 79}{space 3}-.3862636
{txt}{space 16}ICB_viol {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 2.853382{col 38}{space 2} 1.960865{col 49}{space 1}    1.46{col 58}{space 3}0.146{col 66}{space 4}-.9898423{col 79}{space 3} 6.696607
{txt}{space 15}strivalry {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 17}coldwar {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-18.92985{col 38}{space 2} 8.255183{col 49}{space 1}   -2.29{col 58}{space 3}0.022{col 66}{space 4}-35.10972{col 79}{space 3}-2.749992
{txt}{space 13}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} .6249598{col 38}{space 2} .5102899{col 49}{space 1}    1.22{col 58}{space 3}0.221{col 66}{space 4}  -.37519{col 79}{space 3}  1.62511
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 45.66426{col 38}{space 2}    13.37{col 49}{space 1}    3.42{col 58}{space 3}0.001{col 66}{space 4} 19.45954{col 79}{space 3} 71.86898
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 14.55468{col 38}{space 2} 5.473522{col 49}{space 1}    2.66{col 58}{space 3}0.008{col 66}{space 4} 3.826772{col 79}{space 3} 25.28259
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-5.077066{col 38}{space 2} 4.279725{col 49}{space 1}   -1.19{col 58}{space 3}0.236{col 66}{space 4}-13.46517{col 79}{space 3} 3.311041
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-4.028467{col 38}{space 2} 5.684319{col 49}{space 1}   -0.71{col 58}{space 3}0.479{col 66}{space 4}-15.16953{col 79}{space 3} 7.112594
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 16}elecyear {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-.0476887{col 38}{space 2} 3.860934{col 49}{space 1}   -0.01{col 58}{space 3}0.990{col 66}{space 4}-7.614979{col 79}{space 3} 7.519602
{txt}{space 15}firstyear {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}  3.83022{col 38}{space 2} 5.570711{col 49}{space 1}    0.69{col 58}{space 3}0.492{col 66}{space 4}-7.088173{col 79}{space 3} 14.74861
{txt}{space 19}term2 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-14.75473{col 38}{space 2} 5.114989{col 49}{space 1}   -2.88{col 58}{space 3}0.004{col 66}{space 4}-24.77992{col 79}{space 3}-4.729536
{txt}{space 19}_cons {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 94.26183{col 38}{space 2} 12.63843{col 49}{space 1}    7.46{col 58}{space 3}0.000{col 66}{space 4} 69.49096{col 79}{space 3} 119.0327
{txt}{hline 25}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate partisan_conflict_monthly
{col 23}1.terminate#c.partisan_conflict_monthly miseryt1 ICB_dura
{col 23}ICB_viol coldwar nytimes_cum _Ipresident_40 _Ipresident_41
{col 23}_Ipresident_42 _Ipresident_43 elecyear firstyear term2
Dropped collinear:{col 23}strivalry _Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35
{col 23}_Ipresident_36 _Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38
{col 23}_Ipresident_39 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. ivreg2 approve_detrend terminate##c.partisan_conflict_monthly $c, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}8{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}strivalry _Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35
{col 21}_Ipresident_36 _Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 21}_Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    21{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     142
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   113{txt}{col 55}F( 12,    20) = {res}   46.38
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 19388.19082{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.5455
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 19978.31475{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.5589
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 8812.361257{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   7.878

{txt}{hline 25}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 26}{c |}{col 38}    Robust
{col 1}         approve_detrend{col 26}{c |}      Coef.{col 38}   Std. Err.{col 50}      z{col 58}   P>|z|{col 66}     [95% Con{col 79}f. Interval]
{hline 25}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 13}1.terminate {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}   13.028{col 38}{space 2} 6.253688{col 49}{space 1}    2.08{col 58}{space 3}0.037{col 66}{space 4} .7709966{col 79}{space 3}   25.285
{txt}partisan_conflict_mont~y {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-.0437943{col 38}{space 2} .0490192{col 49}{space 1}   -0.89{col 58}{space 3}0.372{col 66}{space 4}-.1398702{col 79}{space 3} .0522817
{txt}{space 24} {c |}
{space 15}terminate#{c |}
{space 22}c. {c |}
partisan_conflict_mont~y {c |}
{space 22}1  {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-.1135844{col 38}{space 2} .0580249{col 49}{space 1}   -1.96{col 58}{space 3}0.050{col 66}{space 4}-.2273111{col 79}{space 3} .0001422
{txt}{space 24} {c |}
{space 16}miseryt1 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-3.050418{col 38}{space 2} .6703487{col 49}{space 1}   -4.55{col 58}{space 3}0.000{col 66}{space 4}-4.364277{col 79}{space 3}-1.736558
{txt}{space 16}ICB_dura {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-.6449184{col 38}{space 2} .1541625{col 49}{space 1}   -4.18{col 58}{space 3}0.000{col 66}{space 4}-.9470714{col 79}{space 3}-.3427654
{txt}{space 16}ICB_viol {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 3.990285{col 38}{space 2} 1.734522{col 49}{space 1}    2.30{col 58}{space 3}0.021{col 66}{space 4} .5906843{col 79}{space 3} 7.389885
{txt}{space 15}strivalry {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 17}coldwar {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-14.96118{col 38}{space 2} 6.505399{col 49}{space 1}   -2.30{col 58}{space 3}0.021{col 66}{space 4}-27.71153{col 79}{space 3}-2.210834
{txt}{space 13}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} .6955962{col 38}{space 2} .4517852{col 49}{space 1}    1.54{col 58}{space 3}0.124{col 66}{space 4}-.1898866{col 79}{space 3} 1.581079
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 29.67585{col 38}{space 2}  8.83233{col 49}{space 1}    3.36{col 58}{space 3}0.001{col 66}{space 4}  12.3648{col 79}{space 3}  46.9869
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 2.903082{col 38}{space 2}  5.39517{col 49}{space 1}    0.54{col 58}{space 3}0.591{col 66}{space 4}-7.671257{col 79}{space 3} 13.47742
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-11.81974{col 38}{space 2}  3.35498{col 49}{space 1}   -3.52{col 58}{space 3}0.000{col 66}{space 4}-18.39537{col 79}{space 3}-5.244096
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-6.138216{col 38}{space 2} 5.966696{col 49}{space 1}   -1.03{col 58}{space 3}0.304{col 66}{space 4}-17.83272{col 79}{space 3} 5.556292
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 19}_cons {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}   31.715{col 38}{space 2}  9.41663{col 49}{space 1}    3.37{col 58}{space 3}0.001{col 66}{space 4} 13.25875{col 79}{space 3} 50.17126
{txt}{hline 25}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate partisan_conflict_monthly
{col 23}1.terminate#c.partisan_conflict_monthly miseryt1 ICB_dura
{col 23}ICB_viol coldwar nytimes_cum _Ipresident_40 _Ipresident_41
{col 23}_Ipresident_42 _Ipresident_43
Dropped collinear:{col 23}strivalry _Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35
{col 23}_Ipresident_36 _Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38
{col 23}_Ipresident_39 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. clear all
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. ***Dropping crises that overlap or where the crisis termination occurred within three months of a previous termination***
. use full_sample, clear
{txt}
{com}. tsset presidentid_crisis yearmonth
{res}{txt}{col 8}panel variable:  {res}presidentid_crisis (unbalanced)
{txt}{col 9}time variable:  {res}{col 25}yearmonth, 195304 to 201602, but with gaps
{txt}{col 17}delta:  {res}1 unit
{txt}
{com}. global president = "_Ipresident_*"
{txt}
{com}. global c "miseryt1 ICB_dura ICB_viol strivalry coldwar nytimes_cum $president"
{txt}
{com}. drop if start_and_terminate==1
{txt}(13 observations deleted)

{com}. 
. drop if ICB_crisno == 144
{txt}(5 observations deleted)

{com}. drop if ICB_crisno == 165
{txt}(4 observations deleted)

{com}. drop if ICB_crisno == 186
{txt}(3 observations deleted)

{com}. drop if ICB_crisno == 225
{txt}(2 observations deleted)

{com}. drop if ICB_crisno == 230
{txt}(2 observations deleted)

{com}. drop if ICB_crisno == 303
{txt}(3 observations deleted)

{com}. drop if ICB_crisno == 411
{txt}(4 observations deleted)

{com}. drop if ICB_crisno == 441
{txt}(16 observations deleted)

{com}. drop if ICB_crisno == 448
{txt}(24 observations deleted)

{com}. drop if ICB_crisno == 470
{txt}(2 observations deleted)

{com}. 
. /*Table A5, column 9*/
. ivreg2 approve terminate $c firstyear elecyear term2, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}15{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    38{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     189
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   188{txt}{col 55}F( 20,    37) = {res}  156.86
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 37930.01539{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.7928
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 571595.4055{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.9862
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 7859.816656{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   6.449

{txt}{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}       approve{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}terminate {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 2.318712{col 28}{space 2}  1.16002{col 39}{space 1}    2.00{col 48}{space 3}0.046{col 56}{space 4} .0451155{col 69}{space 3} 4.592309
{txt}{space 6}miseryt1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-2.701284{col 28}{space 2} .4162678{col 39}{space 1}   -6.49{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-3.517154{col 69}{space 3}-1.885415
{txt}{space 6}ICB_dura {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.7936879{col 28}{space 2} .2058437{col 39}{space 1}   -3.86{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-1.197134{col 69}{space 3}-.3902417
{txt}{space 6}ICB_viol {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}  3.66685{col 28}{space 2} 1.281193{col 39}{space 1}    2.86{col 48}{space 3}0.004{col 56}{space 4} 1.155759{col 69}{space 3} 6.177942
{txt}{space 5}strivalry {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 3.590659{col 28}{space 2} 2.663342{col 39}{space 1}    1.35{col 48}{space 3}0.178{col 56}{space 4}-1.629394{col 69}{space 3} 8.810713
{txt}{space 7}coldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-17.60789{col 28}{space 2} 6.921213{col 39}{space 1}   -2.54{col 48}{space 3}0.011{col 56}{space 4}-31.17322{col 69}{space 3}-4.042559
{txt}{space 3}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .5996023{col 28}{space 2} .3823594{col 39}{space 1}    1.57{col 48}{space 3}0.117{col 56}{space 4}-.1498084{col 69}{space 3} 1.349013
{txt}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}        0{col 28}{txt}  (omitted)
_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 20.71871{col 28}{space 2} 9.193536{col 39}{space 1}    2.25{col 48}{space 3}0.024{col 56}{space 4} 2.699708{col 69}{space 3} 38.73771
{txt}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 28.01525{col 28}{space 2} 7.368308{col 39}{space 1}    3.80{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 13.57364{col 69}{space 3} 42.45687
{txt}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 15.17055{col 28}{space 2} 8.824901{col 39}{space 1}    1.72{col 48}{space 3}0.086{col 56}{space 4}-2.125943{col 69}{space 3} 32.46703
{txt}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 13.49353{col 28}{space 2} 8.434279{col 39}{space 1}    1.60{col 48}{space 3}0.110{col 56}{space 4}-3.037353{col 69}{space 3} 30.02441
{txt}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 25.22805{col 28}{space 2} 9.491727{col 39}{space 1}    2.66{col 48}{space 3}0.008{col 56}{space 4} 6.624605{col 69}{space 3} 43.83149
{txt}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 42.79426{col 28}{space 2} 9.581464{col 39}{space 1}    4.47{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 24.01494{col 69}{space 3} 61.57358
{txt}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 36.89551{col 28}{space 2} 7.999261{col 39}{space 1}    4.61{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 21.21725{col 69}{space 3} 52.57378
{txt}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 14.91785{col 28}{space 2} 3.272835{col 39}{space 1}    4.56{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 8.503211{col 69}{space 3} 21.33249
{txt}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .6070816{col 28}{space 2} 2.304812{col 39}{space 1}    0.26{col 48}{space 3}0.792{col 56}{space 4}-3.910267{col 69}{space 3}  5.12443
{txt}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-5.181646{col 28}{space 2} 5.181497{col 39}{space 1}   -1.00{col 48}{space 3}0.317{col 56}{space 4}-15.33719{col 69}{space 3} 4.973901
{txt}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}        0{col 28}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 5}firstyear {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 6.744005{col 28}{space 2} 4.825548{col 39}{space 1}    1.40{col 48}{space 3}0.162{col 56}{space 4}-2.713894{col 69}{space 3}  16.2019
{txt}{space 6}elecyear {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-7.571172{col 28}{space 2} 3.164149{col 39}{space 1}   -2.39{col 48}{space 3}0.017{col 56}{space 4}-13.77279{col 69}{space 3}-1.369553
{txt}{space 9}term2 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-4.895626{col 28}{space 2}  1.89049{col 39}{space 1}   -2.59{col 48}{space 3}0.010{col 56}{space 4}-8.600919{col 69}{space 3}-1.190333
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 73.26827{col 28}{space 2} 5.422525{col 39}{space 1}   13.51{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 62.64032{col 69}{space 3} 83.89623
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}terminate miseryt1 ICB_dura ICB_viol strivalry coldwar
{col 23}nytimes_cum _Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36
{col 23}_Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 23}_Ipresident_40 _Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42
{col 23}_Ipresident_43 firstyear elecyear term2
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. /*Table A5, column 10*/
. ivreg2 approve_detrend terminate $c, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}15{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    38{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     189
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   188{txt}{col 55}F( 17,    37) = {res}  119.39
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 21568.23028{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.6313
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 21896.07563{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.6368
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 7953.069155{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   6.487

{txt}{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}approve_detr~d{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}terminate {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 2.620757{col 28}{space 2} 1.179144{col 39}{space 1}    2.22{col 48}{space 3}0.026{col 56}{space 4} .3096767{col 69}{space 3} 4.931837
{txt}{space 6}miseryt1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-2.720718{col 28}{space 2} .4038785{col 39}{space 1}   -6.74{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-3.512306{col 69}{space 3}-1.929131
{txt}{space 6}ICB_dura {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.7843979{col 28}{space 2} .1703925{col 39}{space 1}   -4.60{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-1.118361{col 69}{space 3}-.4504348
{txt}{space 6}ICB_viol {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 3.554311{col 28}{space 2} 1.247651{col 39}{space 1}    2.85{col 48}{space 3}0.004{col 56}{space 4}  1.10896{col 69}{space 3} 5.999661
{txt}{space 5}strivalry {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 5.406969{col 28}{space 2} 2.613914{col 39}{space 1}    2.07{col 48}{space 3}0.039{col 56}{space 4} .2837914{col 69}{space 3} 10.53015
{txt}{space 7}coldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-15.39816{col 28}{space 2} 6.016802{col 39}{space 1}   -2.56{col 48}{space 3}0.010{col 56}{space 4}-27.19088{col 69}{space 3}-3.605446
{txt}{space 3}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .4216153{col 28}{space 2} .3952691{col 39}{space 1}    1.07{col 48}{space 3}0.286{col 56}{space 4}-.3530978{col 69}{space 3} 1.196328
{txt}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}        0{col 28}{txt}  (omitted)
_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .2387755{col 28}{space 2} 6.697414{col 39}{space 1}    0.04{col 48}{space 3}0.972{col 56}{space 4}-12.88792{col 69}{space 3} 13.36547
{txt}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 8.102224{col 28}{space 2} 7.167302{col 39}{space 1}    1.13{col 48}{space 3}0.258{col 56}{space 4} -5.94543{col 69}{space 3} 22.14988
{txt}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 6.609704{col 28}{space 2} 7.155335{col 39}{space 1}    0.92{col 48}{space 3}0.356{col 56}{space 4}-7.414495{col 69}{space 3}  20.6339
{txt}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 11.41972{col 28}{space 2}  6.92058{col 39}{space 1}    1.65{col 48}{space 3}0.099{col 56}{space 4}-2.144363{col 69}{space 3} 24.98381
{txt}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 25.57596{col 28}{space 2} 7.323972{col 39}{space 1}    3.49{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 11.22124{col 69}{space 3} 39.93069
{txt}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 42.85713{col 28}{space 2} 7.938351{col 39}{space 1}    5.40{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 27.29825{col 69}{space 3} 58.41602
{txt}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 34.01527{col 28}{space 2} 7.339059{col 39}{space 1}    4.63{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 19.63098{col 69}{space 3} 48.39957
{txt}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 6.662949{col 28}{space 2} 3.288325{col 39}{space 1}    2.03{col 48}{space 3}0.043{col 56}{space 4} .2179515{col 69}{space 3} 13.10795
{txt}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-6.773568{col 28}{space 2} 2.490635{col 39}{space 1}   -2.72{col 48}{space 3}0.007{col 56}{space 4}-11.65512{col 69}{space 3}-1.892013
{txt}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-5.127627{col 28}{space 2} 4.837554{col 39}{space 1}   -1.06{col 48}{space 3}0.289{col 56}{space 4}-14.60906{col 69}{space 3} 4.353804
{txt}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}        0{col 28}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 23.49742{col 28}{space 2} 5.161054{col 39}{space 1}    4.55{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 13.38194{col 69}{space 3}  33.6129
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}terminate miseryt1 ICB_dura ICB_viol strivalry coldwar
{col 23}nytimes_cum _Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36
{col 23}_Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 23}_Ipresident_40 _Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42
{col 23}_Ipresident_43
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. /*Table A6, columns 9 and 10 respectively, row 1*/
. ivreg2 approve terminate##elecyear $c firstyear term2, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}15{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    38{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     189
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   188{txt}{col 55}F( 21,    37) = {res}  214.08
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 37930.01539{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.7941
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 571595.4055{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.9863
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 7809.219351{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   6.428

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}    Robust
{col 1}           approve{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      z{col 52}   P>|z|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}1.terminate {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 2.054377{col 32}{space 2} 1.218695{col 43}{space 1}    1.69{col 52}{space 3}0.092{col 60}{space 4}-.3342206{col 73}{space 3} 4.442975
{txt}{space 8}1.elecyear {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-7.980223{col 32}{space 2} 3.257652{col 43}{space 1}   -2.45{col 52}{space 3}0.014{col 60}{space 4} -14.3651{col 73}{space 3}-1.595343
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
terminate#elecyear {c |}
{space 14}1 1  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 7.744922{col 32}{space 2} 6.373366{col 43}{space 1}    1.22{col 52}{space 3}0.224{col 60}{space 4}-4.746645{col 73}{space 3} 20.23649
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 10}miseryt1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-2.687907{col 32}{space 2} .4145956{col 43}{space 1}   -6.48{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-3.500499{col 73}{space 3}-1.875315
{txt}{space 10}ICB_dura {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.7915608{col 32}{space 2}  .202814{col 43}{space 1}   -3.90{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-1.189069{col 73}{space 3}-.3940527
{txt}{space 10}ICB_viol {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 3.669593{col 32}{space 2} 1.288477{col 43}{space 1}    2.85{col 52}{space 3}0.004{col 60}{space 4} 1.144225{col 73}{space 3} 6.194962
{txt}{space 9}strivalry {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  3.64579{col 32}{space 2} 2.672832{col 43}{space 1}    1.36{col 52}{space 3}0.173{col 60}{space 4}-1.592865{col 73}{space 3} 8.884445
{txt}{space 11}coldwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-17.06776{col 32}{space 2}  7.04022{col 43}{space 1}   -2.42{col 52}{space 3}0.015{col 60}{space 4}-30.86634{col 73}{space 3}-3.269186
{txt}{space 7}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .6073466{col 32}{space 2} .3855695{col 43}{space 1}    1.58{col 52}{space 3}0.115{col 60}{space 4}-.1483558{col 73}{space 3} 1.363049
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}        0{col 32}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 4}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 20.16595{col 32}{space 2} 9.394505{col 43}{space 1}    2.15{col 52}{space 3}0.032{col 60}{space 4} 1.753053{col 73}{space 3} 38.57884
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 27.64687{col 32}{space 2}   7.4376{col 43}{space 1}    3.72{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 13.06944{col 73}{space 3}  42.2243
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 14.34947{col 32}{space 2} 9.162382{col 43}{space 1}    1.57{col 52}{space 3}0.117{col 60}{space 4}-3.608465{col 73}{space 3} 32.30741
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 12.91603{col 32}{space 2} 8.636667{col 43}{space 1}    1.50{col 52}{space 3}0.135{col 60}{space 4}-4.011526{col 73}{space 3} 29.84359
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 24.42821{col 32}{space 2} 9.814061{col 43}{space 1}    2.49{col 52}{space 3}0.013{col 60}{space 4} 5.193004{col 73}{space 3} 43.66342
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 42.22459{col 32}{space 2} 9.762368{col 43}{space 1}    4.33{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}  23.0907{col 73}{space 3} 61.35848
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 36.48691{col 32}{space 2} 8.140819{col 43}{space 1}    4.48{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}  20.5312{col 73}{space 3} 52.44262
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 14.72607{col 32}{space 2}   3.3996{col 43}{space 1}    4.33{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 8.062975{col 73}{space 3} 21.38916
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .6458777{col 32}{space 2} 2.325554{col 43}{space 1}    0.28{col 52}{space 3}0.781{col 60}{space 4}-3.912125{col 73}{space 3}  5.20388
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-5.175624{col 32}{space 2} 5.233985{col 43}{space 1}   -0.99{col 52}{space 3}0.323{col 60}{space 4}-15.43405{col 73}{space 3} 5.082798
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}        0{col 32}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 9}firstyear {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}   6.3455{col 32}{space 2} 5.036214{col 43}{space 1}    1.26{col 52}{space 3}0.208{col 60}{space 4}-3.525298{col 73}{space 3}  16.2163
{txt}{space 13}term2 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-5.035556{col 32}{space 2} 1.906007{col 43}{space 1}   -2.64{col 52}{space 3}0.008{col 60}{space 4}-8.771261{col 73}{space 3}-1.299851
{txt}{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 73.30829{col 32}{space 2} 5.465341{col 43}{space 1}   13.41{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 62.59642{col 73}{space 3} 84.02016
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate 1.elecyear 1.terminate#1.elecyear miseryt1
{col 23}ICB_dura ICB_viol strivalry coldwar nytimes_cum
{col 23}_Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36
{col 23}_Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 23}_Ipresident_40 _Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42
{col 23}_Ipresident_43 firstyear term2
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. ivreg2 approve_detrend terminate##elecyear $c, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}15{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    38{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     189
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   188{txt}{col 55}F( 19,    37) = {res}  100.46
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 21568.23028{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.6400
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 21896.07563{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.6454
{txt}Residual SS             = {res}  7764.98635{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}    6.41

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}    Robust
{col 1}   approve_detrend{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      z{col 52}   P>|z|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}1.terminate {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  1.93674{col 32}{space 2} 1.207571{col 43}{space 1}    1.60{col 52}{space 3}0.109{col 60}{space 4} -.430055{col 73}{space 3} 4.303535
{txt}{space 8}1.elecyear {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-4.238593{col 32}{space 2} 2.476197{col 43}{space 1}   -1.71{col 52}{space 3}0.087{col 60}{space 4} -9.09185{col 73}{space 3} .6146639
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
terminate#elecyear {c |}
{space 14}1 1  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 6.333179{col 32}{space 2} 2.670403{col 43}{space 1}    2.37{col 52}{space 3}0.018{col 60}{space 4} 1.099285{col 73}{space 3} 11.56707
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 10}miseryt1 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-2.717385{col 32}{space 2} .4072776{col 43}{space 1}   -6.67{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-3.515635{col 73}{space 3}-1.919136
{txt}{space 10}ICB_dura {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -.760418{col 32}{space 2} .1685531{col 43}{space 1}   -4.51{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-1.090776{col 73}{space 3}  -.43006
{txt}{space 10}ICB_viol {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 3.680298{col 32}{space 2} 1.257628{col 43}{space 1}    2.93{col 52}{space 3}0.003{col 60}{space 4} 1.215393{col 73}{space 3} 6.145203
{txt}{space 9}strivalry {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 5.263602{col 32}{space 2} 2.641869{col 43}{space 1}    1.99{col 52}{space 3}0.046{col 60}{space 4}  .085634{col 73}{space 3} 10.44157
{txt}{space 11}coldwar {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-14.58224{col 32}{space 2} 5.713311{col 43}{space 1}   -2.55{col 52}{space 3}0.011{col 60}{space 4}-25.78013{col 73}{space 3}-3.384359
{txt}{space 7}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .4999334{col 32}{space 2} .3978315{col 43}{space 1}    1.26{col 52}{space 3}0.209{col 60}{space 4}-.2798021{col 73}{space 3} 1.279669
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}        0{col 32}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 4}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.3439566{col 32}{space 2} 6.469903{col 43}{space 1}   -0.05{col 52}{space 3}0.958{col 60}{space 4}-13.02473{col 73}{space 3} 12.33682
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  7.57685{col 32}{space 2} 6.963736{col 43}{space 1}    1.09{col 52}{space 3}0.277{col 60}{space 4}-6.071821{col 73}{space 3} 21.22552
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 7.725362{col 32}{space 2} 6.560515{col 43}{space 1}    1.18{col 52}{space 3}0.239{col 60}{space 4}-5.133012{col 73}{space 3} 20.58374
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 11.18486{col 32}{space 2} 6.663903{col 43}{space 1}    1.68{col 52}{space 3}0.093{col 60}{space 4}-1.876146{col 73}{space 3} 24.24587
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 25.04765{col 32}{space 2} 7.061425{col 43}{space 1}    3.55{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 11.20752{col 73}{space 3} 38.88779
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 44.97367{col 32}{space 2} 7.849156{col 43}{space 1}    5.73{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 29.58961{col 73}{space 3} 60.35774
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 33.20323{col 32}{space 2} 7.130698{col 43}{space 1}    4.66{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 19.22732{col 73}{space 3} 47.17914
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 6.077074{col 32}{space 2} 3.503358{col 43}{space 1}    1.73{col 52}{space 3}0.083{col 60}{space 4}-.7893814{col 73}{space 3} 12.94353
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-6.701062{col 32}{space 2} 2.581442{col 43}{space 1}   -2.60{col 52}{space 3}0.009{col 60}{space 4} -11.7606{col 73}{space 3}-1.641528
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-5.348743{col 32}{space 2} 4.859052{col 43}{space 1}   -1.10{col 52}{space 3}0.271{col 60}{space 4}-14.87231{col 73}{space 3} 4.174825
{txt}{space 4}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}        0{col 32}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 23.22549{col 32}{space 2} 5.201147{col 43}{space 1}    4.47{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 13.03143{col 73}{space 3} 33.41955
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate 1.elecyear 1.terminate#1.elecyear miseryt1
{col 23}ICB_dura ICB_viol strivalry coldwar nytimes_cum
{col 23}_Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36
{col 23}_Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 23}_Ipresident_40 _Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42
{col 23}_Ipresident_43
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. /*Table A6, columns 9 and 10 respectively, row 2*/
. ivreg2 approve terminate##c.nytimes_cum $c elecyear firstyear term2, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}15{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - duplicate variables detected
Duplicates:{col 21}nytimes_cum
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    38{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     189
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   188{txt}{col 55}F( 21,    37) = {res}  180.66
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 37930.01539{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.7964
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 571595.4055{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.9865
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 7723.536938{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   6.393

{txt}{hline 24}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 25}{c |}{col 37}    Robust
{col 1}                approve{col 25}{c |}      Coef.{col 37}   Std. Err.{col 49}      z{col 57}   P>|z|{col 65}     [95% Con{col 78}f. Interval]
{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 12}1.terminate {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 3.484063{col 37}{space 2} 1.323058{col 48}{space 1}    2.63{col 57}{space 3}0.008{col 65}{space 4} .8909165{col 78}{space 3} 6.077209
{txt}{space 12}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .9010666{col 37}{space 2} .4124766{col 48}{space 1}    2.18{col 57}{space 3}0.029{col 65}{space 4} .0926274{col 78}{space 3} 1.709506
{txt}{space 23} {c |}
terminate#c.nytimes_cum {c |}
{space 21}1  {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.6642434{col 37}{space 2} .2037615{col 48}{space 1}   -3.26{col 57}{space 3}0.001{col 65}{space 4}-1.063609{col 78}{space 3}-.2648782
{txt}{space 23} {c |}
{space 15}miseryt1 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-2.688856{col 37}{space 2} .4067902{col 48}{space 1}   -6.61{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} -3.48615{col 78}{space 3}-1.891562
{txt}{space 15}ICB_dura {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.8152798{col 37}{space 2} .2075104{col 48}{space 1}   -3.93{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4}-1.221993{col 78}{space 3}-.4085669
{txt}{space 15}ICB_viol {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}  3.62626{col 37}{space 2} 1.279059{col 48}{space 1}    2.84{col 57}{space 3}0.005{col 65}{space 4}  1.11935{col 78}{space 3} 6.133169
{txt}{space 14}strivalry {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 3.734784{col 37}{space 2} 2.616498{col 48}{space 1}    1.43{col 57}{space 3}0.153{col 65}{space 4}-1.393459{col 78}{space 3} 8.863027
{txt}{space 16}coldwar {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-17.38959{col 37}{space 2} 7.187467{col 48}{space 1}   -2.42{col 57}{space 3}0.016{col 65}{space 4}-31.47677{col 78}{space 3}-3.302415
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}        0{col 37}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 9}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 20.35966{col 37}{space 2} 9.368425{col 48}{space 1}    2.17{col 57}{space 3}0.030{col 65}{space 4}  1.99789{col 78}{space 3} 38.72144
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}  27.4823{col 37}{space 2} 7.637485{col 48}{space 1}    3.60{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 12.51311{col 78}{space 3}  42.4515
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 15.11581{col 37}{space 2} 8.977159{col 48}{space 1}    1.68{col 57}{space 3}0.092{col 65}{space 4}-2.479096{col 78}{space 3} 32.71072
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 12.75839{col 37}{space 2} 8.630447{col 48}{space 1}    1.48{col 57}{space 3}0.139{col 65}{space 4}-4.156974{col 78}{space 3} 29.67376
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 24.55981{col 37}{space 2} 9.658347{col 48}{space 1}    2.54{col 57}{space 3}0.011{col 65}{space 4}   5.6298{col 78}{space 3} 43.48982
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 42.81512{col 37}{space 2} 9.678437{col 48}{space 1}    4.42{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 23.84573{col 78}{space 3} 61.78451
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}  36.8041{col 37}{space 2} 8.214164{col 48}{space 1}    4.48{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 20.70463{col 78}{space 3} 52.90356
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 14.20048{col 37}{space 2} 3.257284{col 48}{space 1}    4.36{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 7.816318{col 78}{space 3} 20.58464
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .6048398{col 37}{space 2} 2.264956{col 48}{space 1}    0.27{col 57}{space 3}0.789{col 65}{space 4}-3.834393{col 78}{space 3} 5.044073
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} -5.06681{col 37}{space 2} 5.136317{col 48}{space 1}   -0.99{col 57}{space 3}0.324{col 65}{space 4}-15.13381{col 78}{space 3} 5.000186
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}        0{col 37}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 15}elecyear {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-8.249694{col 37}{space 2} 3.226865{col 48}{space 1}   -2.56{col 57}{space 3}0.011{col 65}{space 4}-14.57423{col 78}{space 3}-1.925154
{txt}{space 14}firstyear {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 6.823784{col 37}{space 2} 4.790688{col 48}{space 1}    1.42{col 57}{space 3}0.154{col 65}{space 4}-2.565792{col 78}{space 3} 16.21336
{txt}{space 18}term2 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-4.857248{col 37}{space 2} 1.890989{col 48}{space 1}   -2.57{col 57}{space 3}0.010{col 65}{space 4}-8.563518{col 78}{space 3}-1.150978
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 73.11588{col 37}{space 2} 5.335287{col 48}{space 1}   13.70{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4}  62.6589{col 78}{space 3} 83.57285
{txt}{hline 24}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate nytimes_cum 1.terminate#c.nytimes_cum
{col 23}miseryt1 ICB_dura ICB_viol strivalry coldwar
{col 23}_Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36
{col 23}_Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 23}_Ipresident_40 _Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42
{col 23}_Ipresident_43 elecyear firstyear term2
Duplicates:{col 23}nytimes_cum
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. ivreg2 approve_detrend terminate##c.nytimes_cum $c, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}15{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - duplicate variables detected
Duplicates:{col 21}nytimes_cum
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    38{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     189
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   188{txt}{col 55}F( 18,    37) = {res}  147.36
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 21568.23028{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.6348
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 21896.07563{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.6403
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 7875.764974{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   6.455

{txt}{hline 24}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 25}{c |}{col 37}    Robust
{col 1}        approve_detrend{col 25}{c |}      Coef.{col 37}   Std. Err.{col 49}      z{col 57}   P>|z|{col 65}     [95% Con{col 78}f. Interval]
{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 12}1.terminate {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}  3.54547{col 37}{space 2} 1.403733{col 48}{space 1}    2.53{col 57}{space 3}0.012{col 65}{space 4} .7942044{col 78}{space 3} 6.296735
{txt}{space 12}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .6353623{col 37}{space 2}  .446452{col 48}{space 1}    1.42{col 57}{space 3}0.155{col 65}{space 4}-.2396676{col 78}{space 3} 1.510392
{txt}{space 23} {c |}
terminate#c.nytimes_cum {c |}
{space 21}1  {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.4918474{col 37}{space 2} .2283172{col 48}{space 1}   -2.15{col 57}{space 3}0.031{col 65}{space 4} -.939341{col 78}{space 3}-.0443539
{txt}{space 23} {c |}
{space 15}miseryt1 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-2.710633{col 37}{space 2}  .400292{col 48}{space 1}   -6.77{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4}-3.495191{col 78}{space 3}-1.926075
{txt}{space 15}ICB_dura {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.8036825{col 37}{space 2} .1727746{col 48}{space 1}   -4.65{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4}-1.142315{col 78}{space 3}-.4650505
{txt}{space 15}ICB_viol {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 3.505559{col 37}{space 2} 1.252632{col 48}{space 1}    2.80{col 57}{space 3}0.005{col 65}{space 4} 1.050446{col 78}{space 3} 5.960672
{txt}{space 14}strivalry {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 5.539736{col 37}{space 2} 2.583308{col 48}{space 1}    2.14{col 57}{space 3}0.032{col 65}{space 4} .4765457{col 78}{space 3} 10.60293
{txt}{space 16}coldwar {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-15.27404{col 37}{space 2} 6.321795{col 48}{space 1}   -2.42{col 57}{space 3}0.016{col 65}{space 4}-27.66453{col 78}{space 3}-2.883549
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}        0{col 37}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 9}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0247639{col 37}{space 2} 6.970357{col 48}{space 1}   -0.00{col 57}{space 3}0.997{col 65}{space 4}-13.68641{col 78}{space 3} 13.63688
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 7.723266{col 37}{space 2} 7.427741{col 48}{space 1}    1.04{col 57}{space 3}0.298{col 65}{space 4} -6.83484{col 78}{space 3} 22.28137
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 6.321316{col 37}{space 2} 7.426527{col 48}{space 1}    0.85{col 57}{space 3}0.395{col 65}{space 4} -8.23441{col 78}{space 3} 20.87704
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}  10.8335{col 37}{space 2} 7.191879{col 48}{space 1}    1.51{col 57}{space 3}0.132{col 65}{space 4}-3.262324{col 78}{space 3} 24.92932
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 25.04104{col 37}{space 2} 7.569303{col 48}{space 1}    3.31{col 57}{space 3}0.001{col 65}{space 4} 10.20548{col 78}{space 3}  39.8766
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 42.52384{col 37}{space 2} 8.113173{col 48}{space 1}    5.24{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 26.62232{col 78}{space 3} 58.42537
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 34.00713{col 37}{space 2} 7.570551{col 48}{space 1}    4.49{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 19.16912{col 78}{space 3} 48.84513
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 6.184518{col 37}{space 2} 3.264533{col 48}{space 1}    1.89{col 57}{space 3}0.058{col 65}{space 4}-.2138492{col 78}{space 3} 12.58289
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-6.779748{col 37}{space 2} 2.453074{col 48}{space 1}   -2.76{col 57}{space 3}0.006{col 65}{space 4}-11.58768{col 78}{space 3}-1.971812
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-5.009312{col 37}{space 2} 4.816883{col 48}{space 1}   -1.04{col 57}{space 3}0.298{col 65}{space 4}-14.45023{col 78}{space 3} 4.431605
{txt}{space 9}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}        0{col 37}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 23.44046{col 37}{space 2} 5.106102{col 48}{space 1}    4.59{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 13.43269{col 78}{space 3} 33.44824
{txt}{hline 24}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate nytimes_cum 1.terminate#c.nytimes_cum
{col 23}miseryt1 ICB_dura ICB_viol strivalry coldwar
{col 23}_Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36
{col 23}_Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 23}_Ipresident_40 _Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42
{col 23}_Ipresident_43
Duplicates:{col 23}nytimes_cum
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. /*Table A6, columns 9 and 10 respectively, row 3*/
. ivreg2 approve terminate##c.miseryt1 $c elecyear firstyear term2, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}15{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - duplicate variables detected
Duplicates:{col 21}miseryt1
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    38{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     189
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   188{txt}{col 55}F( 21,    37) = {res}  180.31
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 37930.01539{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.7934
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 571595.4055{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.9863
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 7835.389897{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   6.439

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}             approve{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}1.terminate {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.5021157{col 34}{space 2} 2.692761{col 45}{space 1}   -0.19{col 54}{space 3}0.852{col 62}{space 4} -5.77983{col 75}{space 3} 4.775599
{txt}{space 12}miseryt1 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2.794354{col 34}{space 2} .4078841{col 45}{space 1}   -6.85{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-3.593792{col 75}{space 3}-1.994916
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
terminate#c.miseryt1 {c |}
{space 18}1  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3291773{col 34}{space 2} .2779888{col 45}{space 1}    1.18{col 54}{space 3}0.236{col 62}{space 4}-.2156708{col 75}{space 3} .8740255
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 12}ICB_dura {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.7998375{col 34}{space 2} .2062403{col 45}{space 1}   -3.88{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-1.204061{col 75}{space 3}-.3956139
{txt}{space 12}ICB_viol {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 3.678731{col 34}{space 2} 1.271991{col 45}{space 1}    2.89{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4} 1.185674{col 75}{space 3} 6.171787
{txt}{space 11}strivalry {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}   3.4517{col 34}{space 2} 2.653281{col 45}{space 1}    1.30{col 54}{space 3}0.193{col 62}{space 4}-1.748635{col 75}{space 3} 8.652035
{txt}{space 13}coldwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-17.81362{col 34}{space 2} 7.002716{col 45}{space 1}   -2.54{col 54}{space 3}0.011{col 62}{space 4} -31.5387{col 75}{space 3}-4.088554
{txt}{space 9}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .5990694{col 34}{space 2}  .378541{col 45}{space 1}    1.58{col 54}{space 3}0.114{col 62}{space 4}-.1428573{col 75}{space 3} 1.340996
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 6}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 20.88655{col 34}{space 2} 9.205501{col 45}{space 1}    2.27{col 54}{space 3}0.023{col 62}{space 4} 2.844095{col 75}{space 3}   38.929
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 28.23683{col 34}{space 2}  7.41877{col 45}{space 1}    3.81{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  13.6963{col 75}{space 3} 42.77735
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}   15.305{col 34}{space 2} 8.876676{col 45}{space 1}    1.72{col 54}{space 3}0.085{col 62}{space 4}-2.092961{col 75}{space 3} 32.70297
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 13.69238{col 34}{space 2}  8.45904{col 45}{space 1}    1.62{col 54}{space 3}0.106{col 62}{space 4}-2.887037{col 75}{space 3} 30.27179
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 25.63016{col 34}{space 2}  9.44655{col 45}{space 1}    2.71{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4} 7.115261{col 75}{space 3} 44.14506
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 44.04338{col 34}{space 2} 9.379172{col 45}{space 1}    4.70{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 25.66054{col 75}{space 3} 62.42622
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 35.75476{col 34}{space 2} 7.922562{col 45}{space 1}    4.51{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 20.22682{col 75}{space 3} 51.28269
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 14.94193{col 34}{space 2} 3.182991{col 45}{space 1}    4.69{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 8.703385{col 75}{space 3} 21.18048
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .5759576{col 34}{space 2} 2.258696{col 45}{space 1}    0.25{col 54}{space 3}0.799{col 62}{space 4}-3.851005{col 75}{space 3}  5.00292
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -5.31693{col 34}{space 2} 5.153982{col 45}{space 1}   -1.03{col 54}{space 3}0.302{col 62}{space 4}-15.41855{col 75}{space 3} 4.784689
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 12}elecyear {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-7.563858{col 34}{space 2} 3.193656{col 45}{space 1}   -2.37{col 54}{space 3}0.018{col 62}{space 4}-13.82331{col 75}{space 3}-1.304406
{txt}{space 11}firstyear {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 6.766475{col 34}{space 2} 4.798868{col 45}{space 1}    1.41{col 54}{space 3}0.159{col 62}{space 4}-2.639133{col 75}{space 3} 16.17208
{txt}{space 15}term2 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-4.857772{col 34}{space 2} 1.878998{col 45}{space 1}   -2.59{col 54}{space 3}0.010{col 62}{space 4} -8.54054{col 75}{space 3}-1.175003
{txt}{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 74.13789{col 34}{space 2} 5.598575{col 45}{space 1}   13.24{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 63.16488{col 75}{space 3}  85.1109
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate miseryt1 1.terminate#c.miseryt1 ICB_dura
{col 23}ICB_viol strivalry coldwar nytimes_cum _Ipresident_34
{col 23}_Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36 _Ipresident_37
{col 23}_Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39 _Ipresident_40
{col 23}_Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42 _Ipresident_43 elecyear
{col 23}firstyear term2
Duplicates:{col 23}miseryt1
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. ivreg2 approve_detrend terminate##c.miseryt1 $c, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}15{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - duplicate variables detected
Duplicates:{col 21}miseryt1
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    38{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}     189
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}   188{txt}{col 55}F( 18,    37) = {res}  146.14
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 21568.23028{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.6318
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 21896.07563{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.6373
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 7940.772319{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   6.482

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}     approve_detrend{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}1.terminate {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .6221336{col 34}{space 2}  2.83838{col 45}{space 1}    0.22{col 54}{space 3}0.827{col 62}{space 4}-4.940989{col 75}{space 3} 6.185256
{txt}{space 12}miseryt1 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2.787206{col 34}{space 2} .4085111{col 45}{space 1}   -6.82{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-3.587873{col 75}{space 3}-1.986539
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
terminate#c.miseryt1 {c |}
{space 18}1  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2334147{col 34}{space 2} .2735894{col 45}{space 1}    0.85{col 54}{space 3}0.394{col 62}{space 4}-.3028106{col 75}{space 3}   .76964
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 12}ICB_dura {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.7892795{col 34}{space 2} .1710692{col 45}{space 1}   -4.61{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-1.124569{col 75}{space 3}-.4539901
{txt}{space 12}ICB_viol {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 3.557968{col 34}{space 2} 1.241191{col 45}{space 1}    2.87{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4} 1.125278{col 75}{space 3} 5.990657
{txt}{space 11}strivalry {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 5.307525{col 34}{space 2} 2.638861{col 45}{space 1}    2.01{col 54}{space 3}0.044{col 62}{space 4} .1354516{col 75}{space 3}  10.4796
{txt}{space 13}coldwar {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-15.53937{col 34}{space 2} 6.135052{col 45}{space 1}   -2.53{col 54}{space 3}0.011{col 62}{space 4}-27.56385{col 75}{space 3}-3.514888
{txt}{space 9}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .4208257{col 34}{space 2} .3926885{col 45}{space 1}    1.07{col 54}{space 3}0.284{col 62}{space 4}-.3488296{col 75}{space 3} 1.190481
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 6}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3514858{col 34}{space 2} 6.768932{col 45}{space 1}    0.05{col 54}{space 3}0.959{col 62}{space 4}-12.91538{col 75}{space 3} 13.61835
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  8.24613{col 34}{space 2} 7.242369{col 45}{space 1}    1.14{col 54}{space 3}0.255{col 62}{space 4}-5.948653{col 75}{space 3} 22.44091
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 6.691726{col 34}{space 2} 7.251319{col 45}{space 1}    0.92{col 54}{space 3}0.356{col 62}{space 4}-7.520598{col 75}{space 3} 20.90405
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  11.5616{col 34}{space 2}  6.99801{col 45}{space 1}    1.65{col 54}{space 3}0.099{col 62}{space 4}-2.154247{col 75}{space 3} 25.27745
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 25.84276{col 34}{space 2} 7.412569{col 45}{space 1}    3.49{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 11.31439{col 75}{space 3} 40.37113
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 43.73752{col 34}{space 2} 8.039348{col 45}{space 1}    5.44{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 27.98069{col 75}{space 3} 59.49436
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 33.21529{col 34}{space 2}  7.29963{col 45}{space 1}    4.55{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 18.90828{col 75}{space 3}  47.5223
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 6.679517{col 34}{space 2} 3.236575{col 45}{space 1}    2.06{col 54}{space 3}0.039{col 62}{space 4} .3359463{col 75}{space 3} 13.02309
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-6.795536{col 34}{space 2} 2.459321{col 45}{space 1}   -2.76{col 54}{space 3}0.006{col 62}{space 4}-11.61572{col 75}{space 3}-1.975355
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -5.21495{col 34}{space 2} 4.821849{col 45}{space 1}   -1.08{col 54}{space 3}0.279{col 62}{space 4} -14.6656{col 75}{space 3}   4.2357
{txt}{space 6}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  24.1426{col 34}{space 2} 5.338376{col 45}{space 1}    4.52{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 13.67958{col 75}{space 3} 34.60563
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate miseryt1 1.terminate#c.miseryt1 ICB_dura
{col 23}ICB_viol strivalry coldwar nytimes_cum _Ipresident_34
{col 23}_Ipresident_35 _Ipresident_36 _Ipresident_37
{col 23}_Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39 _Ipresident_40
{col 23}_Ipresident_41 _Ipresident_42 _Ipresident_43
Duplicates:{col 23}miseryt1
Dropped collinear:{col 23}_Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. /*Table A6, columns 9 and 10 respectively, row 4*/
. ivreg2 approve terminate##c.partisan_conflict_monthly $c elecyear firstyear term2, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis)  bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}5{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}strivalry _Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35
{col 21}_Ipresident_36 _Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 21}_Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    17{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}      96
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}    95{txt}{col 55}F( 15,    16) = {res}  102.72
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res}  17723.0098{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.7819
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 279395.9057{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.9862
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 3866.065532{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   6.346

{txt}{hline 25}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 26}{c |}{col 38}    Robust
{col 1}                 approve{col 26}{c |}      Coef.{col 38}   Std. Err.{col 50}      z{col 58}   P>|z|{col 66}     [95% Con{col 79}f. Interval]
{hline 25}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 13}1.terminate {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 12.67906{col 38}{space 2} 7.698785{col 49}{space 1}    1.65{col 58}{space 3}0.100{col 66}{space 4}-2.410277{col 79}{space 3}  27.7684
{txt}partisan_conflict_mont~y {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-.1056846{col 38}{space 2} .0581207{col 49}{space 1}   -1.82{col 58}{space 3}0.069{col 66}{space 4}-.2195991{col 79}{space 3}   .00823
{txt}{space 24} {c |}
{space 15}terminate#{c |}
{space 22}c. {c |}
partisan_conflict_mont~y {c |}
{space 22}1  {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-.1212083{col 38}{space 2} .0715533{col 49}{space 1}   -1.69{col 58}{space 3}0.090{col 66}{space 4}-.2614502{col 79}{space 3} .0190336
{txt}{space 24} {c |}
{space 16}miseryt1 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-2.989341{col 38}{space 2} .8257974{col 49}{space 1}   -3.62{col 58}{space 3}0.000{col 66}{space 4}-4.607875{col 79}{space 3}-1.370808
{txt}{space 16}ICB_dura {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-.5946589{col 38}{space 2} .1480095{col 49}{space 1}   -4.02{col 58}{space 3}0.000{col 66}{space 4}-.8847522{col 79}{space 3}-.3045657
{txt}{space 16}ICB_viol {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 5.499749{col 38}{space 2} 1.630823{col 49}{space 1}    3.37{col 58}{space 3}0.001{col 66}{space 4} 2.303396{col 79}{space 3} 8.696103
{txt}{space 15}strivalry {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 17}coldwar {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-17.06887{col 38}{space 2} 7.189737{col 49}{space 1}   -2.37{col 58}{space 3}0.018{col 66}{space 4}-31.16049{col 79}{space 3}-2.977242
{txt}{space 13}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 1.082117{col 38}{space 2} .4604372{col 49}{space 1}    2.35{col 58}{space 3}0.019{col 66}{space 4} .1796765{col 79}{space 3} 1.984557
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 27.34637{col 38}{space 2} 10.38729{col 49}{space 1}    2.63{col 58}{space 3}0.008{col 66}{space 4}  6.98765{col 79}{space 3} 47.70509
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 6.320098{col 38}{space 2} 4.381517{col 49}{space 1}    1.44{col 58}{space 3}0.149{col 66}{space 4}-2.267517{col 79}{space 3} 14.90771
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-5.209885{col 38}{space 2}  3.56675{col 49}{space 1}   -1.46{col 58}{space 3}0.144{col 66}{space 4}-12.20059{col 79}{space 3} 1.780816
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-13.48924{col 38}{space 2} 5.395308{col 49}{space 1}   -2.50{col 58}{space 3}0.012{col 66}{space 4}-24.06385{col 79}{space 3}-2.914631
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 16}elecyear {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 1.498426{col 38}{space 2} 2.622309{col 49}{space 1}    0.57{col 58}{space 3}0.568{col 66}{space 4}-3.641206{col 79}{space 3} 6.638058
{txt}{space 15}firstyear {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 8.882992{col 38}{space 2} 6.208962{col 49}{space 1}    1.43{col 58}{space 3}0.153{col 66}{space 4} -3.28635{col 79}{space 3} 21.05234
{txt}{space 19}term2 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-3.345114{col 38}{space 2} 4.453824{col 49}{space 1}   -0.75{col 58}{space 3}0.453{col 66}{space 4}-12.07445{col 79}{space 3}  5.38422
{txt}{space 19}_cons {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 85.33439{col 38}{space 2} 12.76378{col 49}{space 1}    6.69{col 58}{space 3}0.000{col 66}{space 4} 60.31785{col 79}{space 3} 110.3509
{txt}{hline 25}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{err}Warning: estimated covariance matrix of moment conditions not of full rank.
         overidentification statistic not reported, and standard errors and
         model tests should be interpreted with caution.
Possible causes:
         number of clusters insufficient to calculate robust covariance matrix
         covariance matrix of moment conditions not positive definite
         covariance matrix uses too many lags
         singleton dummy variable (dummy with one 1 and N-1 0s or vice versa)
{help ivreg2##partial:partial} option may address problem.
{txt}{hline 78}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate partisan_conflict_monthly
{col 23}1.terminate#c.partisan_conflict_monthly miseryt1 ICB_dura
{col 23}ICB_viol coldwar nytimes_cum _Ipresident_40 _Ipresident_41
{col 23}_Ipresident_42 _Ipresident_43 elecyear firstyear term2
Dropped collinear:{col 23}strivalry _Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35
{col 23}_Ipresident_36 _Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38
{col 23}_Ipresident_39 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. ivreg2 approve_detrend terminate##c.partisan_conflict_monthly $c, cluster(yearmonth presidentid_crisis) bw(2)
{res}{txt}Warning: time variable {res}yearmonth{txt} has {res}5{txt} gap(s) in relevant range
Warning - collinearities detected
Vars dropped:{col 21}strivalry _Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35
{col 21}_Ipresident_36 _Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38 _Ipresident_39
{col 21}_Ipresident_44
{res}
{txt}OLS estimation
{hline 14}

Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on presidentid_crisis and yearmonth
and kernel-robust to common correlated disturbances (Driscoll-Kraay)
  kernel=Bartlett; bandwidth=2
  time variable (t):  {res}yearmonth
{txt}  group variable (i): {res}presidentid_crisis

{txt}Number of clusters (presidentid_crisis) = {col 33}{res}    17{txt}{col 55}Number of obs = {res}      96
{txt}Number of clusters (yearmonth) = {col 33}{res}    95{txt}{col 55}F( 12,    16) = {res}  209.50
{txt}{col 55}Prob > F      = {res}  0.0000
{txt}Total (centered) SS     = {res} 15160.30037{txt}{col 55}Centered R2   = {res}  0.7568
{txt}Total (uncentered) SS   = {res} 15286.89695{txt}{col 55}Uncentered R2 = {res}  0.7588
{txt}Residual SS             = {res} 3687.706915{txt}{col 55}Root MSE      = {res}   6.198

{txt}{hline 25}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 26}{c |}{col 38}    Robust
{col 1}         approve_detrend{col 26}{c |}      Coef.{col 38}   Std. Err.{col 50}      z{col 58}   P>|z|{col 66}     [95% Con{col 79}f. Interval]
{hline 25}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 13}1.terminate {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 15.85203{col 38}{space 2} 8.754207{col 49}{space 1}    1.81{col 58}{space 3}0.070{col 66}{space 4}-1.305896{col 79}{space 3} 33.00996
{txt}partisan_conflict_mont~y {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-.1116583{col 38}{space 2} .0549561{col 49}{space 1}   -2.03{col 58}{space 3}0.042{col 66}{space 4}-.2193702{col 79}{space 3}-.0039464
{txt}{space 24} {c |}
{space 15}terminate#{c |}
{space 22}c. {c |}
partisan_conflict_mont~y {c |}
{space 22}1  {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} -.153928{col 38}{space 2} .0828605{col 49}{space 1}   -1.86{col 58}{space 3}0.063{col 66}{space 4}-.3163316{col 79}{space 3} .0084756
{txt}{space 24} {c |}
{space 16}miseryt1 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-3.452929{col 38}{space 2} .3975934{col 49}{space 1}   -8.68{col 58}{space 3}0.000{col 66}{space 4}-4.232198{col 79}{space 3} -2.67366
{txt}{space 16}ICB_dura {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} -.708244{col 38}{space 2} .1281228{col 49}{space 1}   -5.53{col 58}{space 3}0.000{col 66}{space 4}  -.95936{col 79}{space 3}-.4571279
{txt}{space 16}ICB_viol {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 5.240623{col 38}{space 2} 1.321146{col 49}{space 1}    3.97{col 58}{space 3}0.000{col 66}{space 4} 2.651226{col 79}{space 3} 7.830021
{txt}{space 15}strivalry {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 17}coldwar {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-14.17265{col 38}{space 2} 5.672193{col 49}{space 1}   -2.50{col 58}{space 3}0.012{col 66}{space 4}-25.28995{col 79}{space 3}-3.055359
{txt}{space 13}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} .9249499{col 38}{space 2} .4229078{col 49}{space 1}    2.19{col 58}{space 3}0.029{col 66}{space 4} .0960658{col 79}{space 3} 1.753834
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 10}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 26.22926{col 38}{space 2} 8.097846{col 49}{space 1}    3.24{col 58}{space 3}0.001{col 66}{space 4} 10.35778{col 79}{space 3} 42.10075
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-2.422637{col 38}{space 2} 4.428507{col 49}{space 1}   -0.55{col 58}{space 3}0.584{col 66}{space 4}-11.10235{col 79}{space 3} 6.257077
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-13.17574{col 38}{space 2} 2.789963{col 49}{space 1}   -4.72{col 58}{space 3}0.000{col 66}{space 4}-18.64397{col 79}{space 3}-7.707517
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}-14.35232{col 38}{space 2} 3.851394{col 49}{space 1}   -3.73{col 58}{space 3}0.000{col 66}{space 4}-21.90092{col 79}{space 3} -6.80373
{txt}{space 10}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2}        0{col 38}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 19}_cons {c |}{col 26}{res}{space 2} 42.82804{col 38}{space 2} 6.728303{col 49}{space 1}    6.37{col 58}{space 3}0.000{col 66}{space 4} 29.64081{col 79}{space 3} 56.01527
{txt}{hline 25}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
Included instruments:{col 23}1.terminate partisan_conflict_monthly
{col 23}1.terminate#c.partisan_conflict_monthly miseryt1 ICB_dura
{col 23}ICB_viol coldwar nytimes_cum _Ipresident_40 _Ipresident_41
{col 23}_Ipresident_42 _Ipresident_43
Dropped collinear:{col 23}strivalry _Ipresident_33 _Ipresident_34 _Ipresident_35
{col 23}_Ipresident_36 _Ipresident_37 _Ipresident_38
{col 23}_Ipresident_39 _Ipresident_44
{hline 78}

{com}. clear all
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. *************************************************
. *Proof of Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation*
. *************************************************
. use full_sample, clear
{txt}
{com}. tsset presidentid_crisis yearmonth
{res}{txt}{col 8}panel variable:  {res}presidentid_crisis (unbalanced)
{txt}{col 9}time variable:  {res}{col 25}yearmonth, 195304 to 201602, but with gaps
{txt}{col 17}delta:  {res}1 unit
{txt}
{com}. global president = "_Ipresident_*"
{txt}
{com}. global c "miseryt1 ICB_dura ICB_viol strivalry coldwar nytimes_cum $president"
{txt}
{com}. drop if start_and_terminate==1
{txt}(13 observations deleted)

{com}. 
. ***Heteroskedasticity Test***
. /*Table 1, left panel*/
. reg approve terminate $c 
{txt}note: _Ipresident_33 omitted because of collinearity
note: _Ipresident_40 omitted because of collinearity

      Source {c |}       SS           df       MS      Number of obs   ={res}       253
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 34}   F(17, 235)      = {res}    23.49
{txt}       Model {c |} {res} 31379.4505        17  1845.85003   {txt}Prob > F        ={res}    0.0000
{txt}    Residual {c |} {res}   18465.05       235  78.5746806   {txt}R-squared       ={res}    0.6295
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 34}   Adj R-squared   ={res}    0.6027
{txt}       Total {c |} {res} 49844.5005       252  197.795637   {txt}Root MSE        =   {res} 8.8642

{txt}{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}       approve{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      t{col 48}   P>|t|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}terminate {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 3.307854{col 28}{space 2} 1.571499{col 39}{space 1}    2.10{col 48}{space 3}0.036{col 56}{space 4} .2118271{col 69}{space 3} 6.403881
{txt}{space 6}miseryt1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-2.357292{col 28}{space 2} .3899926{col 39}{space 1}   -6.04{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-3.125621{col 69}{space 3}-1.588964
{txt}{space 6}ICB_dura {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} -.868656{col 28}{space 2} .1331745{col 39}{space 1}   -6.52{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-1.131024{col 69}{space 3}-.6062875
{txt}{space 6}ICB_viol {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 3.306017{col 28}{space 2} .8347657{col 39}{space 1}    3.96{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 1.661437{col 69}{space 3} 4.950598
{txt}{space 5}strivalry {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 4.573701{col 28}{space 2} 2.308793{col 39}{space 1}    1.98{col 48}{space 3}0.049{col 56}{space 4} .0251241{col 69}{space 3} 9.122278
{txt}{space 7}coldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} -11.7638{col 28}{space 2} 7.225691{col 39}{space 1}   -1.63{col 48}{space 3}0.105{col 56}{space 4} -25.9992{col 69}{space 3} 2.471611
{txt}{space 3}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .4730138{col 28}{space 2} .2996347{col 39}{space 1}    1.58{col 48}{space 3}0.116{col 56}{space 4}-.1172995{col 69}{space 3} 1.063327
{txt}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}        0{col 28}{txt}  (omitted)
_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-16.59992{col 28}{space 2} 7.241548{col 39}{space 1}   -2.29{col 48}{space 3}0.023{col 56}{space 4}-30.86657{col 69}{space 3}-2.333274
{txt}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} -2.54595{col 28}{space 2} 7.361498{col 39}{space 1}   -0.35{col 48}{space 3}0.730{col 56}{space 4}-17.04891{col 69}{space 3} 11.95701
{txt}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-24.94001{col 28}{space 2} 7.236307{col 39}{space 1}   -3.45{col 48}{space 3}0.001{col 56}{space 4}-39.19633{col 69}{space 3}-10.68369
{txt}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-26.30877{col 28}{space 2}  6.77317{col 39}{space 1}   -3.88{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-39.65266{col 69}{space 3}-12.96488
{txt}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} -14.7369{col 28}{space 2} 8.126268{col 39}{space 1}   -1.81{col 48}{space 3}0.071{col 56}{space 4}-30.74654{col 69}{space 3} 1.272746
{txt}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}  -1.6912{col 28}{space 2} 7.049332{col 39}{space 1}   -0.24{col 48}{space 3}0.811{col 56}{space 4}-15.57916{col 69}{space 3} 12.19676
{txt}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}        0{col 28}{txt}  (omitted)
_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-15.02271{col 28}{space 2} 9.072714{col 39}{space 1}   -1.66{col 48}{space 3}0.099{col 56}{space 4}-32.89696{col 69}{space 3} 2.851534
{txt}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-30.72059{col 28}{space 2} 10.22493{col 39}{space 1}   -3.00{col 48}{space 3}0.003{col 56}{space 4}-50.86484{col 69}{space 3}-10.57635
{txt}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-33.46491{col 28}{space 2} 10.26284{col 39}{space 1}   -3.26{col 48}{space 3}0.001{col 56}{space 4}-53.68383{col 69}{space 3}-13.24598
{txt}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-31.03843{col 28}{space 2} 10.10474{col 39}{space 1}   -3.07{col 48}{space 3}0.002{col 56}{space 4}-50.94588{col 69}{space 3}-11.13098
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 101.2276{col 28}{space 2} 11.95608{col 39}{space 1}    8.47{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}  77.6728{col 69}{space 3} 124.7824
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. predict resid, r
{txt}(701 missing values generated)

{com}. gen resid2 = resid^2
{txt}(701 missing values generated)

{com}. predict yhat, xb
{txt}(689 missing values generated)

{com}. predict se, stdp
{txt}(689 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. twoway (hist approve, yaxis(2) fcolor(gs12) bcolor(gs10) bin(100)) /*
> */ (scatter resid2 yhat, msymbol(smcircle) mcolor(black) msize(small) yaxis(1)) /*
> */ (lowess resid2 yhat, lcolor(black)) /*
> */ , ytitle(Squared Residuals) subtitle("Heteroskedasticity Test", size(small)) /* 
> */ xtitle(Predicted Values of Y) legend(off) saving(figure1hetero, replace)
{res}{txt}(note: file figure1hetero.gph not found)
{res}{txt}(file figure1hetero.gph saved)

{com}. 
. drop resid resid2 yhat se
{txt}
{com}. reg approve_detrend terminate $c
{txt}note: _Ipresident_33 omitted because of collinearity
note: _Ipresident_40 omitted because of collinearity

      Source {c |}       SS           df       MS      Number of obs   ={res}       253
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 34}   F(17, 235)      = {res}    15.19
{txt}       Model {c |} {res} 14079.1502        17  828.185308   {txt}Prob > F        ={res}    0.0000
{txt}    Residual {c |} {res} 12813.6984       235  54.5263761   {txt}R-squared       ={res}    0.5235
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 34}   Adj R-squared   ={res}    0.4891
{txt}       Total {c |} {res} 26892.8486       252  106.717653   {txt}Root MSE        =   {res} 7.3842

{txt}{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}approve_detr~d{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      t{col 48}   P>|t|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}terminate {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 2.617469{col 28}{space 2}  1.30911{col 39}{space 1}    2.00{col 48}{space 3}0.047{col 56}{space 4} .0383774{col 69}{space 3}  5.19656
{txt}{space 6}miseryt1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-2.485831{col 28}{space 2} .3248765{col 39}{space 1}   -7.65{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-3.125874{col 69}{space 3}-1.845789
{txt}{space 6}ICB_dura {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.6939373{col 28}{space 2} .1109387{col 39}{space 1}   -6.26{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-.9124987{col 69}{space 3}-.4753758
{txt}{space 6}ICB_viol {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 3.054865{col 28}{space 2} .6953871{col 39}{space 1}    4.39{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 1.684876{col 69}{space 3} 4.424854
{txt}{space 5}strivalry {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 4.568798{col 28}{space 2}   1.9233{col 39}{space 1}    2.38{col 48}{space 3}0.018{col 56}{space 4} .7796853{col 69}{space 3} 8.357911
{txt}{space 7}coldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-15.82046{col 28}{space 2} 6.019236{col 39}{space 1}   -2.63{col 48}{space 3}0.009{col 56}{space 4}-27.67902{col 69}{space 3}-3.961906
{txt}{space 3}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .3450343{col 28}{space 2} .2496055{col 39}{space 1}    1.38{col 48}{space 3}0.168{col 56}{space 4} -.146716{col 69}{space 3} .8367845
{txt}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}        0{col 28}{txt}  (omitted)
_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-30.72026{col 28}{space 2} 6.032445{col 39}{space 1}   -5.09{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-42.60484{col 69}{space 3}-18.83568
{txt}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-22.33358{col 28}{space 2} 6.132368{col 39}{space 1}   -3.64{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-34.41502{col 69}{space 3}-10.25214
{txt}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-26.18771{col 28}{space 2} 6.028079{col 39}{space 1}   -4.34{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-38.06369{col 69}{space 3}-14.31173
{txt}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} -21.0559{col 28}{space 2} 5.642271{col 39}{space 1}   -3.73{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-32.17179{col 69}{space 3}-9.940001
{txt}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-8.030985{col 28}{space 2} 6.769446{col 39}{space 1}   -1.19{col 48}{space 3}0.237{col 56}{space 4}-21.36754{col 69}{space 3}  5.30557
{txt}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 8.356973{col 28}{space 2} 5.872324{col 39}{space 1}    1.42{col 48}{space 3}0.156{col 56}{space 4}-3.212151{col 69}{space 3}  19.9261
{txt}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}        0{col 28}{txt}  (omitted)
_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-25.51518{col 28}{space 2} 7.557866{col 39}{space 1}   -3.38{col 48}{space 3}0.001{col 56}{space 4}-40.40501{col 69}{space 3}-10.62535
{txt}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-41.66283{col 28}{space 2} 8.517702{col 39}{space 1}   -4.89{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-58.44364{col 69}{space 3}-24.88202
{txt}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-35.35059{col 28}{space 2} 8.549282{col 39}{space 1}   -4.13{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-52.19361{col 69}{space 3}-18.50756
{txt}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-33.56887{col 28}{space 2}  8.41758{col 39}{space 1}   -3.99{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-50.15243{col 69}{space 3}-16.98531
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 54.89004{col 28}{space 2} 9.959801{col 39}{space 1}    5.51{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 35.26813{col 69}{space 3} 74.51194
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. estat hettest

{txt}Breusch-Pagan / Cook-Weisberg test for heteroskedasticity 
         Ho: Constant variance
{p 9 20}Variables: fitted values of approve_detrend

{col 10}chi2({res}1{txt}){col 23}={res}    16.47
{txt}{col 10}Prob > chi2{col 23}={res}   0.0000
{txt}
{com}. estat imtest, white

{txt}White's test for Ho: homoskedasticity
         against Ha: unrestricted heteroskedasticity

{col 10}chi2({res}83{txt}){col 23}= {res}   148.83
{col 10}{txt}Prob > chi2  = {res}   0.0000

{txt}Cameron & Trivedi's decomposition of IM-test

{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 29}
{ralign 20:Source} {c |}       chi2     df      p
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 29}
{ralign 20:Heteroskedasticity} {c |}{res}     148.83     83    0.0000
{txt}{ralign 20:Skewness} {c |}{res}      32.19     17    0.0143
{txt}{ralign 20:Kurtosis} {c |}{res}       0.96      1    0.3282
{txt}{hline 21}{c +}{hline 29}
{ralign 20:Total} {c |}{res}     181.98    101    0.0000
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 29}

{com}. 
. ***Autocorrelation Test***
. /*Table 1, right panel*/
. reg approve terminate $c
{txt}note: _Ipresident_33 omitted because of collinearity
note: _Ipresident_40 omitted because of collinearity

      Source {c |}       SS           df       MS      Number of obs   ={res}       253
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 34}   F(17, 235)      = {res}    23.49
{txt}       Model {c |} {res} 31379.4505        17  1845.85003   {txt}Prob > F        ={res}    0.0000
{txt}    Residual {c |} {res}   18465.05       235  78.5746806   {txt}R-squared       ={res}    0.6295
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 34}   Adj R-squared   ={res}    0.6027
{txt}       Total {c |} {res} 49844.5005       252  197.795637   {txt}Root MSE        =   {res} 8.8642

{txt}{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}       approve{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      t{col 48}   P>|t|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}terminate {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 3.307854{col 28}{space 2} 1.571499{col 39}{space 1}    2.10{col 48}{space 3}0.036{col 56}{space 4} .2118271{col 69}{space 3} 6.403881
{txt}{space 6}miseryt1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-2.357292{col 28}{space 2} .3899926{col 39}{space 1}   -6.04{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-3.125621{col 69}{space 3}-1.588964
{txt}{space 6}ICB_dura {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} -.868656{col 28}{space 2} .1331745{col 39}{space 1}   -6.52{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-1.131024{col 69}{space 3}-.6062875
{txt}{space 6}ICB_viol {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 3.306017{col 28}{space 2} .8347657{col 39}{space 1}    3.96{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 1.661437{col 69}{space 3} 4.950598
{txt}{space 5}strivalry {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 4.573701{col 28}{space 2} 2.308793{col 39}{space 1}    1.98{col 48}{space 3}0.049{col 56}{space 4} .0251241{col 69}{space 3} 9.122278
{txt}{space 7}coldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} -11.7638{col 28}{space 2} 7.225691{col 39}{space 1}   -1.63{col 48}{space 3}0.105{col 56}{space 4} -25.9992{col 69}{space 3} 2.471611
{txt}{space 3}nytimes_cum {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .4730138{col 28}{space 2} .2996347{col 39}{space 1}    1.58{col 48}{space 3}0.116{col 56}{space 4}-.1172995{col 69}{space 3} 1.063327
{txt}_Ipresident_33 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}        0{col 28}{txt}  (omitted)
_Ipresident_34 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-16.59992{col 28}{space 2} 7.241548{col 39}{space 1}   -2.29{col 48}{space 3}0.023{col 56}{space 4}-30.86657{col 69}{space 3}-2.333274
{txt}_Ipresident_35 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} -2.54595{col 28}{space 2} 7.361498{col 39}{space 1}   -0.35{col 48}{space 3}0.730{col 56}{space 4}-17.04891{col 69}{space 3} 11.95701
{txt}_Ipresident_36 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-24.94001{col 28}{space 2} 7.236307{col 39}{space 1}   -3.45{col 48}{space 3}0.001{col 56}{space 4}-39.19633{col 69}{space 3}-10.68369
{txt}_Ipresident_37 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-26.30877{col 28}{space 2}  6.77317{col 39}{space 1}   -3.88{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-39.65266{col 69}{space 3}-12.96488
{txt}_Ipresident_38 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} -14.7369{col 28}{space 2} 8.126268{col 39}{space 1}   -1.81{col 48}{space 3}0.071{col 56}{space 4}-30.74654{col 69}{space 3} 1.272746
{txt}_Ipresident_39 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}  -1.6912{col 28}{space 2} 7.049332{col 39}{space 1}   -0.24{col 48}{space 3}0.811{col 56}{space 4}-15.57916{col 69}{space 3} 12.19676
{txt}_Ipresident_40 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}        0{col 28}{txt}  (omitted)
_Ipresident_41 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-15.02271{col 28}{space 2} 9.072714{col 39}{space 1}   -1.66{col 48}{space 3}0.099{col 56}{space 4}-32.89696{col 69}{space 3} 2.851534
{txt}_Ipresident_42 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-30.72059{col 28}{space 2} 10.22493{col 39}{space 1}   -3.00{col 48}{space 3}0.003{col 56}{space 4}-50.86484{col 69}{space 3}-10.57635
{txt}_Ipresident_43 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-33.46491{col 28}{space 2} 10.26284{col 39}{space 1}   -3.26{col 48}{space 3}0.001{col 56}{space 4}-53.68383{col 69}{space 3}-13.24598
{txt}_Ipresident_44 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-31.03843{col 28}{space 2} 10.10474{col 39}{space 1}   -3.07{col 48}{space 3}0.002{col 56}{space 4}-50.94588{col 69}{space 3}-11.13098
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 101.2276{col 28}{space 2} 11.95608{col 39}{space 1}    8.47{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}  77.6728{col 69}{space 3} 124.7824
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. predict resid if e(sample), r
{txt}(701 missing values generated)

{com}. gen lag1_resid = L.resid
{txt}(760 missing values generated)

{com}. gen lag2_resid = L2.resid
{txt}(810 missing values generated)

{com}. gen lag3_resid = L3.resid
{txt}(845 missing values generated)

{com}. reg resid lag1_resid terminate $c2

{txt}      Source {c |}       SS           df       MS      Number of obs   ={res}       186
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 34}   F(2, 183)       = {res}   398.21
{txt}       Model {c |} {res} 11478.7311         2  5739.36556   {txt}Prob > F        ={res}    0.0000
{txt}    Residual {c |} {res} 2637.54864       183  14.4128341   {txt}R-squared       ={res}    0.8132
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 34}   Adj R-squared   ={res}    0.8111
{txt}       Total {c |} {res} 14116.2798       185   76.304215   {txt}Root MSE        =   {res} 3.7964

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}       resid{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}lag1_resid {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .898072{col 26}{space 2} .0318557{col 37}{space 1}   28.19{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .8352203{col 67}{space 3} .9609238
{txt}{space 3}terminate {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -3.20263{col 26}{space 2} .7168257{col 37}{space 1}   -4.47{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-4.616935{col 67}{space 3}-1.788324
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4877155{col 26}{space 2} .3090893{col 37}{space 1}    1.58{col 46}{space 3}0.116{col 54}{space 4}-.1221215{col 67}{space 3} 1.097552
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. reg resid lag1_resid lag2_resid terminate $c2

{txt}      Source {c |}       SS           df       MS      Number of obs   ={res}       133
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 34}   F(3, 129)       = {res}   223.04
{txt}       Model {c |} {res} 8315.60181         3  2771.86727   {txt}Prob > F        ={res}    0.0000
{txt}    Residual {c |} {res} 1603.20027       129  12.4279091   {txt}R-squared       ={res}    0.8384
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 34}   Adj R-squared   ={res}    0.8346
{txt}       Total {c |} {res} 9918.80208       132    75.14244   {txt}Root MSE        =   {res} 3.5253

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}       resid{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}lag1_resid {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7821333{col 26}{space 2} .0824806{col 37}{space 1}    9.48{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .6189434{col 67}{space 3} .9453232
{txt}{space 2}lag2_resid {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1003489{col 26}{space 2} .0850807{col 37}{space 1}    1.18{col 46}{space 3}0.240{col 54}{space 4}-.0679853{col 67}{space 3} .2686831
{txt}{space 3}terminate {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.449654{col 26}{space 2} .8046063{col 37}{space 1}   -4.29{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-5.041587{col 67}{space 3} -1.85772
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .180656{col 26}{space 2} .3383867{col 37}{space 1}    0.53{col 46}{space 3}0.594{col 54}{space 4}-.4888503{col 67}{space 3} .8501624
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. reg resid lag1_resid lag2_resid lag3_resid terminate $c2

{txt}      Source {c |}       SS           df       MS      Number of obs   ={res}        97
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 34}   F(4, 92)        = {res}   126.07
{txt}       Model {c |} {res} 5911.28623         4  1477.82156   {txt}Prob > F        ={res}    0.0000
{txt}    Residual {c |} {res} 1078.47908        92  11.7225987   {txt}R-squared       ={res}    0.8457
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 34}   Adj R-squared   ={res}    0.8390
{txt}       Total {c |} {res}  6989.7653        96  72.8100553   {txt}Root MSE        =   {res} 3.4238

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}       resid{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}lag1_resid {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7511579{col 26}{space 2} .0983823{col 37}{space 1}    7.64{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .5557622{col 67}{space 3} .9465535
{txt}{space 2}lag2_resid {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .067238{col 26}{space 2} .1246516{col 37}{space 1}    0.54{col 46}{space 3}0.591{col 54}{space 4}-.1803309{col 67}{space 3} .3148068
{txt}{space 2}lag3_resid {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0695647{col 26}{space 2} .0918823{col 37}{space 1}    0.76{col 46}{space 3}0.451{col 54}{space 4}-.1129214{col 67}{space 3} .2520508
{txt}{space 3}terminate {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -2.92846{col 26}{space 2} .9276256{col 37}{space 1}   -3.16{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4}-4.770804{col 67}{space 3}-1.086115
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2075081{col 26}{space 2} .3840331{col 37}{space 1}    0.54{col 46}{space 3}0.590{col 54}{space 4}-.5552149{col 67}{space 3}  .970231
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. twoway (hist lag1_resid, yaxis(2) fcolor(gs12) bcolor(gs10) bin(100)) /*
> */ (scatter resid lag1_resid, msymbol(smcircle) mcolor(black) msize(small) yaxis(1)) /*
> */ (lowess resid lag1_resid, lcolor(black)) /*
> */ , ytitle(Residuals at t) subtitle("Autocorrelation Test", size(small)) /* 
> */ xtitle(Residuals at t-1) legend(off) saving(figure1auto, replace)
{res}{txt}(note: file figure1auto.gph not found)
{res}{txt}(file figure1auto.gph saved)

{com}. 
. capture drop resid lag1_resid lag2_resid lag3_resid
{txt}
{com}. *AR(1) process is significant. AR(2) coefficient is small and less significant. AR(3) none
. 
. /*combination into Figure 1, if desired*/
. graph combine figure1hetero.gph figure1auto.gph, saving(figure1, replace)
{res}{txt}(note: file figure1.gph not found)
{res}{txt}(file figure1.gph saved)

{com}. 
. ********************
. *Summary Statistics*
. ********************
. drop if ICB_crisno == .
{txt}(685 observations deleted)

{com}. /*Table A1*/
. sum approve terminate nytimes_cum elecyear miseryt1 partisan_conflict_monthly ICB_dura ICB_viol strivalry coldwar firstyear term2

{txt}    Variable {c |}        Obs        Mean    Std. Dev.       Min        Max
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
{space 5}approve {c |}{res}        257    52.14853    13.96891   25.33333         88
{txt}{space 3}terminate {c |}{res}        269    .1784387    .3835952          0          1
{txt}{space 1}nytimes_cum {c |}{res}        265    1.162264     2.65577          0         18
{txt}{space 4}elecyear {c |}{res}        269    .1449814    .3527384          0          1
{txt}{space 4}miseryt1 {c |}{res}        269    9.158048    3.733022   3.457579    21.9845
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
partisan_c~y {c |}{res}        147    95.67238    26.23233      59.19     181.73
{txt}{space 4}ICB_dura {c |}{res}        269    5.635688    5.100592          1         24
{txt}{space 4}ICB_viol {c |}{res}        269    1.687732    .9920759          1          4
{txt}{space 3}strivalry {c |}{res}        269    .1375465    .3450653          0          1
{txt}{space 5}coldwar {c |}{res}        269    .4684015    .4999306          0          1
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
{space 3}firstyear {c |}{res}        269    .1524164    .3600939          0          1
{txt}{space 7}term2 {c |}{res}        269    .3605948    .4810681          0          1
{txt}
{com}. sum approve_detrend ICB_globorg ICB_cenvio

{txt}    Variable {c |}        Obs        Mean    Std. Dev.       Min        Max
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
approve_de~d {c |}{res}        257    -1.57616    10.30375  -22.84894   30.89187
{txt}{space 1}ICB_globorg {c |}{res}        269    1.568773    .6578393          0          2
{txt}{space 2}ICB_cenvio {c |}{res}        269    1.639405    1.149338          1          4
{txt}
{com}. 
{txt}end of do-file

{com}. log close
      {txt}name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}C:\Users\Kerry\Documents\Alchemy\Publications\210914 - termrally\Publication\Replication files\Replication run log.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}closed on:  {res}14 Sep 2021, 17:56:52
{txt}{.-}
{smcl}
{txt}{sf}{ul off}